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World News

The Tech Chilly Warfare’s ‘Most Difficult Machine’ That’s Out of China’s Attain

SAN FRANCISCO — President Biden and many lawmakers in Washington are worried these days about computer chips and China’s ambitions with the foundational technology.

But a massive machine sold by a Dutch company has emerged as a key lever for policymakers — and illustrates how any country’s hopes of building a completely self-sufficient supply chain in semiconductor technology are unrealistic.

The machine is made by ASML Holding, based in Veldhoven. Its system uses a different kind of light to define ultrasmall circuitry on chips, packing more performance into the small slices of silicon. The tool, which took decades to develop and was introduced for high-volume manufacturing in 2017, costs more than $150 million. Shipping it to customers requires 40 shipping containers, 20 trucks and three Boeing 747s.

The complex machine is widely acknowledged as necessary for making the most advanced chips, an ability with geopolitical implications. The Trump administration successfully lobbied the Dutch government to block shipments of such a machine to China in 2019, and the Biden administration has shown no signs of reversing that stance.

Manufacturers can’t produce leading-edge chips without the system, and “it is only made by the Dutch firm ASML,” said Will Hunt, a research analyst at Georgetown University’s Center for Security and Emerging Technology, which has concluded that it would take China at least a decade to build its own similar equipment. “From China’s perspective, that is a frustrating thing.”

ASML’s machine has effectively turned into a choke point in the supply chain for chips, which act as the brains of computers and other digital devices. The tool’s three-continent development and production — using expertise and parts from Japan, the United States and Germany — is also a reminder of just how global that supply chain is, providing a reality check for any country that wants to leap ahead in semiconductors by itself.

That includes not only China but the United States, where Congress is debating plans to spend more than $50 billion to reduce reliance on foreign chip manufacturers. Many branches of the federal government, particularly the Pentagon, have been worried about the U.S. dependence on Taiwan’s leading chip manufacturer and the island’s proximity to China.

A study this spring by Boston Consulting Group and the Semiconductor Industry Association estimated that creating a self-sufficient chip supply chain would take at least $1 trillion and sharply increase prices for chips and products made with them.

That goal is “completely unrealistic” for anybody, said Willy Shih, a management professor at Harvard Business School who studies supply chains. ASML’s technology “is a great example of why you have global trade.”

The situation underscores the crucial role played by ASML, a once obscure company whose market value now exceeds $285 billion. It is “the most important company you never heard of,” said C.J. Muse, an analyst at Evercore ISI.

Created in 1984 by the electronics giant Philips and another toolmaker, Advanced Semiconductor Materials International, ASML became an independent company and by far the biggest supplier of chip-manufacturing equipment that involves a process called lithography.

Using lithography, manufacturers repeatedly project patterns of chip circuitry onto silicon wafers. The more tiny transistors and other components that can be added to an individual chip, the more powerful it becomes and the more data it can store. The pace of that miniaturization is known as Moore’s Law, named after Gordon Moore, a co-founder of the chip giant Intel.

In 1997, ASML began studying a shift to using extreme ultraviolet, or EUV, light. Such light has ultrasmall wavelengths that can create much tinier circuitry than is possible with conventional lithography. The company later decided to make machines based on the technology, an effort that has cost $8 billion since the late 1990s.

The development process quickly went global. ASML now assembles the advanced machines using mirrors from Germany and hardware developed in San Diego that generates light by blasting tin droplets with a laser. Key chemicals and components come from Japan.

Peter Wennink, ASML’s chief executive, said a lack of money in the company’s early years had led it to integrate inventions from specialty suppliers, creating what he calls a “collaborative knowledge network” that innovates quickly.

“We were forced to not do ourselves what other people do better,” he said.

ASML built on other international cooperation. In the early 1980s, researchers in the United States, Japan and Europe began considering the radical shift in light sources. The concept was taken up by a consortium that included Intel and two other U.S. chip makers, as well as Department of Energy labs.

ASML joined in 1999 after more than a year of negotiations, said Martin van den Brink, ASML’s president and chief technology officer. Other partners of the company included the Imec research center in Belgium and another U.S. consortium, Sematech. ASML later attracted big investments from Intel, Samsung Electronics and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company to help fund development.

That development was made trickier by the quirks of extreme ultraviolet light. Lithography machines usually focus light through lenses to project circuit patterns on wafers. But the small EUV wavelengths are absorbed by glass, so lenses won’t work. Mirrors, another common tool to direct light, have the same problem. That meant the new lithography required mirrors with complex coatings that combined to better reflect the small wavelengths.

So ASML turned to Zeiss Group, a 175-year-old German optics company and longtime partner. Its contributions included a two-ton projection system to handle extreme ultraviolet light, with six specially shaped mirrors that are ground, polished and coated over several months in an elaborate robotic process that uses ion beams to remove defects.

Generating sufficient light to project images quickly also caused delays, Mr. van den Brink said. But Cymer, a San Diego company that ASML bought in 2013, eventually improved a system that directs pulses from a high-powered laser to hit droplets of tin 50,000 times a second — once to flatten them and a second time to vaporize them — to create intense light.

The new system also required redesigned components called photomasks, which act like stencils in projecting circuit designs, as well as new chemicals deposited on wafers that generate those images when exposed to light. Japanese companies now supply most of those products.

Since ASML introduced its commercial EUV model in 2017, customers have bought about 100 of them. Buyers include Samsung and TSMC, the biggest service producing chips designed by other companies. TSMC uses the tool to make the processors designed by Apple for its latest iPhones. Intel and IBM have said EUV is crucial to their plans.

“It’s definitely the most complicated machine humans have built,” said Darío Gil, a senior vice president at IBM.

Dutch restrictions on exporting such machines to China, which have been enforced since 2019, haven’t had much financial impact on ASML since it has a backlog of orders from other countries. But about 15 percent of the company’s sales come from selling older systems in China.

In a final report to Congress and Mr. Biden in March, the National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence proposed extending export controls to some other advanced ASML machines as well. The group, funded by Congress, seeks to limit artificial intelligence advances with military applications.

Mr. Hunt and other policy experts argued that since China was already using those machines, blocking additional sales would hurt ASML without much strategic benefit. So does the company.

“I hope common sense will prevail,” Mr. van den Brink said.

Categories
Politics

As Wars Wind Down, Congress Revisits Presidential Powers

In turn, they believe, presidents will be more politically sensitive to using their powers to carry out military actions absent specific approval from Congress. Mr. Kaine, for instance, said Mr. Biden’s recent airstrikes in Syria, which he ordered without congressional authorization, “show that the executive branch, regardless of party, will continue to stretch its war powers.”

President Barack Obama more or less dared Congress in 2015 to debate the use of military force abroad, but both parties refused for opposite reasons. Republicans were loath to grant Mr. Obama authority because they disapproved of his foreign policies, and Democrats were still stinging from the vote in 2002 to authorize the war in Iraq.

But time and the resident of the White House have shifted the ground, and a broad group supports a repeal of the 2002 authorization including the conservative Heritage Foundation and Concerned Veterans for America, as well as VoteVets, a liberal nonprofit group that supports Democrats, and the American Legion, the veterans’ advocacy group.

Mr. Obama sent mixed messages about his view of presidential war powers, and President Donald J. Trump would have vetoed efforts to eliminate the 2002 authorization. But Mr. Biden, who was once the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, has always been more sympathetic toward the constitutional role that Congress has on matters of war.

“The president is committed to working with the Congress to ensure that outdated authorizations for the use of military force are replaced with a narrow and specific framework appropriate to ensure that we can continue to protect Americans from terrorist threats,” the White House said in a statement.

The remaining uncertainty may be one or two Senate Democrats and several Senate Republicans who remain skeptical of the repeal. This week, Senators Joni Ernst of Iowa, Susan Collins of Maine, Josh Hawley of Missouri, John Thune of South Dakota and other Republicans said in interviews that they were open to repeal of the 2002 measure.

“It’s something we’re all I think going to be looking at,” Mr. Thune said.

Mr. Young, a retired Marine captain, may be persuasive in helping round up Republican support for the Senate bill being pushed by Mr. Kaine, who has worked on this issue for decades.

Categories
Business

McDonald’s goals to win chicken-sandwich wars with worth

McDonald’s Chicken Sandwich

Source: McDonald’s

McDonald’s will gain an edge in the chicken sandwich wars with lower prices, while Restaurant Brands International’s Burger King is still evaluating its options, a Credit Suisse report said.

Burger King’s sister chain Popeyes started the Chicken Sandwich Wars in August 2019 with the introduction of the version of the menu item. Social media users pitted it against Chick-fil-A’s, and Popeyes’ sandwich quickly became a hit, generating double-digit sales growth in the same store and adding around $ 400,000 in annual sales for each location.

“We expect competition to intensify in 2021 as brands in various segments expand their offerings to get a bite out of the chicken category and improve their competitive position,” Credit Suisse analyst Lauren Silberman said in one Notice on Friday.

McDonald’s is poised to launch its own version of the chicken sandwich on Feb.24, and Yum Brands’ KFC is launching a nationwide version by the end of the month. Burger King is still in the test phase.

McDonald’s new Crispy Chicken Sandwich undercuts its main competitors, Silberman said. The burger chain’s sandwich costs $ 3.49 to $ 3.69 in test markets, compared to the $ 3.75 sandwich from Chick-fil-A or the $ 3.99 version from Popeyes.

McDonald’s may have learned a lesson from its recent foray into chicken sandwiches. Introduced in 2015, the Buttermilk Crispy Chicken Sandwich was offered at a premium price.

Silberman estimates that restaurants in McDonald’s’ test markets sell an average of 125 to 150 crispy chicken sandwiches a day. The analyst added that the sandwich could increase the company’s sales in the same store by 4% if restaurants hit the high end of that range when it launches nationwide.

Burger King, on the other hand, seems to be working on its pricing strategy. Silberman said one of its test markets priced the new sandwich at $ 5.29, well above its competitors. Two other test markets rate the sandwich at a discount of $ 3.49 and $ 3.89, respectively. In markets where the new sandwich isn’t being tested, the burger chain usually charges more for the current chicken sandwich.

Burger King restaurants sell an average of 60 to 75 chicken sandwiches a day, according to Credit Suisse. The new sandwich could increase sales in the same store by up to 4% if it sells 75 sandwiches per restaurant when it launches nationwide.

Categories
Entertainment

‘Star Wars,’ ‘Pinocchio’ and Extra as Disney Leans Sharply Into Streaming

But there are huge challenges ahead of us. Streaming services are immensely expensive to build, and Disney now has four: Disney +, Hulu (39 million subscribers), ESPN + (11.5 million), and Star +, an overseas version of Hulu that will be available in the coming months is introduced in Latin America. Disney’s direct customer business losses were $ 2.8 billion in fiscal 2020. The company has ditched billions in royalties for amassing library content on Disney + instead of selling it to outside companies like Netflix.

Disney is also facing an increasingly competitive streaming environment. HBO Max, CBS All Access (soon to be renamed Paramount +), Peacock, Apple TV +, and the recently announced Discovery + are determined to keep moving forward. Netflix and Amazon continue to invest billions of dollars annually in the original programming.

A significant portion of the presentation was dedicated to Star, which will feature programs from Disney real estate such as ABC, FX, Freeform, Searchlight and 20th Century Studios, which Rupert Murdoch sold to Disney last year. In Latin America, Star + will be launched as a standalone service in June and will also include ESPN coverage of sporting events. In Europe, Canada, Australia and several other markets, Star + is being integrated directly into Disney +, adding a variety of more sophisticated programming to the service (“Deadpool 2”, the animated series “Family Guy”) that Disney potentially has an audience reach far beyond families.

The addition of a Star channel in Disney + also justifies a price hike of around 28 percent to around $ 11 per month.

New shows are also being routed to Disney’s Hulu, including the series “Nine Perfect Strangers,” a David E. Kelley puzzle starring Regina Hall, Nicole Kidman and Melissa McCarthy – which Dana Walden, chairwoman of entertainment at Walt Disney Television, called “juicy content that can’t be turned off”. Disney-owned FX, which broadcasts its programs on several Disney streaming services, is working with one on a TV spin-off of the film franchise “Alien” and a retelling of “Shogun”, the James Clavell saga half a dozen other highs profile projects.

During the presentation, Disney discussed its evolving approach to film distribution. The coronavirus pandemic has forced Disney and other studios to cut back on the release of big budget movies – more than half of US cinemas are closed – and redirect others to streaming services. In September, Disney debuted “Mulan” on Disney + as part of a “Premium Access” experiment and billed subscribers $ 30 for perpetual access. Pixar’s latest film, Soul, will be released on Disney + on Christmas Day at no additional cost.