Categories
Politics

Western warmth wave just about not possible with out local weather change, researchers say

People sleep at a cooling shelter set up during an unprecedented heat wave in Portland, Oregon, U.S. June 27, 2021.

Maranie Staab | Reuters

SANTA MONICA, Calif. — The deadly heat wave that brought triple-digit temperatures to the Pacific Northwest and western Canada and killed hundreds of people was virtually impossible without human-caused climate change, according to a new analysis by an international team of 27 scientists.

The temperature records were so extreme — 116 degrees Fahrenheit in Portland, Oregon, and 121 degrees Fahrenheit in Canada’s British Columbia — that researchers said it was difficult to quantify just how rare the heat wave was. The team, working under the umbrella of Oxford University-based World Weather Attribution, estimated it was a once-in-a-millennium event.

The scientists, who are based in the U.S., Canada, the U.K., the Netherlands, France, Germany and Switzerland, estimated that human-caused climate change increased the likelihood of such a heat wave by at least 150 times.

“An event such as the Pacific Northwest 2021 heatwave is still rare or extremely rare in today’s climate, yet would be virtually impossible without human-caused climate change,” the team of scientists wrote. “As warming continues, it will become a lot less rare.”

The researchers urged adaptation measures that account for the rising risk of heat waves, including action plans that incorporate early warning systems for high temperatures, as well as more ambitious targets to drastically reduce planet-warming greenhouse gas emissions.

Researchers also found that in a world with 2 degrees Celsius of warming, which could happen this century unless there are significant cuts to greenhouse gas emissions, such a heat event would occur about every five to 10 years.

The Earth has already heated up more than 1 degree Celsius compared with preindustrial levels, according to the World Meteorological Organization.

The analysis by World Weather Attribution, which conducts quick analyses to determine if there is a link between climate change and specific extreme weather events, has not yet been peer-reviewed. However, it uses processes that have been peer-reviewed in the past 10 years.

Scientists used computer simulations that compared a hypothetical world without greenhouse gas emissions to the existing world in order to assess the impact of climate change on weather events. The research will later be published in peer-reviewed journals.

CNBC Politics

Read more of CNBC’s politics coverage:

The study, published on Wednesday, is in line with previous research on the impact climate change has on the frequency and severity of heat waves and drought.

The recent historic heat wave, which started at the end of June, fueled wildfires, threatened water shortages and was linked to hundreds of deaths in Oregon, Washington and British Columbia. The official death count is expected to rise.

More than one-third of global heat-related deaths during warm seasons can be attributed to climate change, experts have said. Heat also kills more people than any other weather-related disaster in the U.S.

“Our results provide a strong warning: our rapidly warming climate is bringing us into uncharted territory that has significant consequences for health, well-being and livelihoods,” the scientists wrote.

North America just recorded its hottest June on record, according to scientists with the Copernicus Climate Change Service, with 2021 virtually certain to be among the 10 hottest years on record.

Categories
Health

The best way to Just about Grow to be a Physician

Jerrel Catlett’s eyes narrowed on the large intestine, a sloppy, glowing object the color of which matched the stool inside. He decided to isolate the organ, and it expanded on his screen as the parts of the body surrounding it receded – the gallbladder pale green with bile, the ribs white and curved like half moons.

“My old boss used to tell me that if I did that, I would be so impressed by the complexity of the human body,” said Catlett, 25, a freshman at the Mount Sinai Icahn School of Medicine. pointed to the image of a body on his laptop screen. “But it feels like something is missing from the experience right now.”

For generations, medical students have been initiated into their training through a ritual that is as bloody as it is impressive: the dissection of corpses. Since at least the 14th century, doctors have improved their understanding of human anatomy by examining cadavers. In the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, cadaver preparation – like many practical aspects of the medical curriculum – became virtual with the help of three-dimensional simulation software.

Of the country’s 155 medical schools, a majority switched at least part of their first and second year curriculum to distance learning during the pandemic. Nearly three-quarters offered virtual lectures, according to a survey by the Association of American Medical Colleges, and 40 percent used virtual platforms to teach students how to interview patients about their symptoms and record their medical history. Although dissection was a more difficult challenge, nearly 30 percent of medical schools, including Mount Sinai, used online platforms to teach anatomy.

Although medical students in many states have been eligible for and have been able to obtain vaccines, some have not yet fully turned to face-to-face learning. The school administrators said they would rather wait until the Covid case rates continue to fall. Some face-to-face training, such as clinical skills practice, has largely been resumed.

Medical schools adapted last year with inventive approaches to clinical training. Case Western Reserve University School of Medicine and Stanford used virtual reality technology to teach anatomy. Columbia University’s Vagelos College for Doctors and Surgeons offered students the opportunity to virtually shadow doctors and attend telemedicine appointments. And last fall, students at Baylor College of Medicine were videotaped physical exams describing what actions they would take personally, according to Dr. Nadia Ismail, Assistant Dean of Baylor’s Curriculum: “Now I would hit you on this part of the knee and that’s the reflex I would see. “

The Keck School of Medicine at the University of Southern California chose to have faculty members dissect corpses with body cameras so students could watch from a distance. The bodies were also imaged with three-dimensional scanners so that students could practice manipulating the types of images produced by magnetic resonance imaging and CT scans.

“When the faculty came up with it, I said, ‘Oh my gosh, that’s amazing,” said Dr. Donna Elliott, Vice Dean of Medical Education at Keck. “These scanned three-dimensional images are roughly the kind of imaging you as a clinician use.”

Educators recognize that despite the promise of new technology, there is a sense of loss for students who are unable to be in person in hospitals, classrooms, and section laboratories. “The medical school classroom is the clinical setting, and it’s so tight right now,” said Lisa Howley, senior director, strategic initiatives and partnerships at AAMC. “That worries me.”

Students said they were a little frustrated as they watched pressure increase on frontline providers without their being able to help. “We know more than the average person, but we generally feel powerless,” said Saundra Albers, 28, a sophomore student in Columbia.

Both faculty and students recognize that observing organs moving on a laptop screen is not the same as removing them one at a time from a human body. “A corpse’s body parts wouldn’t look as smooth and perfect as they would on a screen,” said Catlett. “Let’s say the body was an alcoholic. You may see cirrhosis of the liver with bumps and ridges covering the liver.”

He and his classmates know they missed a medical rite of passage: “We can’t feel what the tissue is like or how hard the bones are.”

Mr Catlett and his classmates have now been offered vaccines and are starting to resume some personal activities, including the first meeting with patients this month. Your presentations are still online.

Sarah Serrano Calove, 26, is a sophomore at the University of Massachusetts Medical School, which offered a mix of face-to-face and virtual learning in the final semester. Since beginning medical training, Ms. Calove had been eager to practice dealing with patients – taking their medical history and delivering messages of diagnoses – so the transition to learning clinical skills at Zoom was a disappointment.

She was hired to interview a medical actor known as a standardized patient about his financial troubles, virtually having an emotional conversation that she found uncomfortable.

“When you’re on zoom, you can’t tell if the person is clenching their hands or shaking their legs,” she said. “For some of my classmates, the feedback was that we had to show more empathy. But how should I make my empathy known on a computer screen? “

Medical schools have often been unable to get students to practice their skills on medical actors in the past semester, as those actors tend to come from older, retired populations who are at increased risk for Covid-19. Some schools, including the University of Massachusetts, had students take physical exams on their classmates, dispensing with the parts of the exam that involved opening their mouths and peeping their noses.

Ms. Calove was challenged to assess her physical examination skills as she could only prepare by watching videos, while any other year she would have practiced in person for weeks.

“You usually hear lungs wheezing, feel an enlarged liver, and find the edges of the abdominal aorta,” she said. “Hearing an online recording of a heart murmur is different from listening in person.”

Even so, she appreciated the school’s efforts to find out from her and her classmates how they fared as they adapted to partial distance learning.

Some students pointed to a silver lining in their virtual medical education: they understood how to talk to patients about sensitive topics via video, a lesson that is very likely to prove essential as the field of telemedicine expands. Through distance traineeships at schools such as Sidney Kimmel Medical College at Thomas Jefferson University, medical students supported hospital staff by providing virtual mentoring to patients discharged earlier than usual due to the pandemic.

“Other doctors have been taken in depth, but we can practice with this technology,” said Ernesto Rojas, a sophomore at the University of California San Francisco’s medical school. “We learned how to develop a relationship and ask the patient things like, ‘Are you in a place where you can talk privately?'”

Students also said they felt especially motivated to complete their education amid the pandemic. According to the AAMC, applications for medical schools are up 18 percent over the past year

For 22-year-old Prerana Katiyar, a freshman medical student in Columbia, the first few months of medical school didn’t look like she expected. She began the semester at her childhood home in Fairfax, Virginia, sharing lessons from her anatomy classes over dinner with her family. “When my father said his stomach was injured, I was able to talk to him about the quadrants of the stomach,” said Ms. Katiyar.

In the middle of the semester, she had an exciting update for her parents. “My skull finally arrived in the mail,” she said. Ms. Katiyar’s anatomy professor had a plastic model of the skull ordered for each student.

“Now I can see the bony sights and where the nerves are,” she continued. “I’m a very visual person, so it was helpful to trace her with my finger.”

Categories
Health

Methods to Take pleasure in Theater Nearly

Another time would be the start of Broadway’s much-anticipated spring season. The cast would drop their scripts, the fans would plan their show schedules, and the reviewers would sharpen their pens. Sadly, Broadway and many theaters around the world are on their longest hiatus in history, but to keep the industry alive big stars are taking the virtual stage and much-lauded past productions are available to stream. These productions cannot be compared to the energy of a full theater, but what accessibility they make is not to be underestimated. The theater community is currently experiencing a devastating loss, but their ability to innovate, invent and continue to create joy gives great hope for what will return.

“Medea”
The surprising exclusion of Michaela Coel’s “I May Destroy You” from the Golden Globe nominations only drew more attention to the actor, director and writer’s unique talent. Current streaming offers from the National Theater in London include the 2014 production of “Medea”, which starred Coel as the nurse for Helen McCrory’s title character in the famous story of a woman’s revenge on her stray husband. The production also features an intense score by Will Gregory and Alison Goldfrapp, the pairing behind the music duo Goldfrapp. Available for three days to stream for $ 9.99. ntathome.com/products/medea

’25 Years of Rent: Measured in Love ‘ If your kids think “Hamilton” was the first musical to surpass the genre, introduce them to the 1996 cult hit that lasted for over a decade. The New York Theater Workshop’s annual gala celebrates Rent’s 25th anniversary with a virtual concert that brings together an impressive cast of the show’s original cast, including Idina Menzel, Daphne Rubin-Vega, Jesse L. Martin and Anthony Rapp. They are joined by an all-star cast of Rent fans including Neil Patrick Harris, Lin-Manuel Miranda, Billy Porter and Jeremy O. Harris. The program will also honor the creator of Rent, Jonathan Larson, who died on the morning of the show’s first performance at the age of 35. March 2nd, 8pm East and available until March 6th. Tickets start at $ 25. nytw.org/

“Elaine Stritch at Liberty”

BroadwayHD streaming service has hundreds of live performances (available for a monthly fee of $ 9 or $ 100 per year). A special gem in the mix, however, is Elaine Stritch’s rough autobiographical show from 2001, which combines stories about her unique life with some of her most popular songs, most notably “The Ladies Who Lunch” by “Company”. Filmed in London’s Old Vic in 2002, this bioshow recounts her Broadway victories as well as her battle against alcoholism and her many rocky romances. broadwayhd.com/movies/AW2GxBd-px3F9_4Aqe1K

‘Frederick Douglass: My eyes have seen the fame’

As part of the Black History Trilogy, a series of virtual productions from Flushing Town Hall in Queens, 2019 Tony winner André De Shields will portray Frederick Douglass in a rousing one-man performance. The transcendent “Hadestown” star also wrote the show, which examines the abolitionist leader’s accomplishments and ingenuity, as well as the darkness and horror he experienced. The program follows Flushing Town Hall’s Divine Sass: A Tribute to the Music, Life and Legacy of Sarah Vaughan by Lillias White on February 18. All performances are free. February 26, 7 p.m., flushingtownhall.org/black-history-trilogy-iii

“An evening with Ali Stroker from the Enlow Recital Hall”

Ali Stroker, who shone in her performance in the 2019 revival of “Oklahoma!” And won one of the best actresses Tony for the role of Ado Annie, will perform on the stage at Kean University in New Jersey for a night of classics the Great American Songbook. Stroker, the first person to win a Tony with a wheelchair, will sing favorites from Stephen Sondheim, Carole King, Rodgers and Hammerstein, and Lin-Manuel Miranda during the livestream event. February 27 at 7:30 a.m. Tickets $ 25, kean.universitytickets.com

Categories
Health

CDC director says to observe Tremendous Bowl nearly or solely with individuals you already stay with

Dr. Rochelle Walensky, Joe Biden’s chief executive officer for the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), listens as Biden announces candidates and officers for his health and coronavirus response teams during a press conference at his transitional headquarters Wilmington, Delaware, December 8, 2020.

Kevin Lamarque | Reuters

Americans shouldn’t gather indoors with people outside their households to watch the Super Bowl this weekend to keep the coronavirus from spreading, the director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said Wednesday.

“Whichever team you choose and which commercial is your favorite, be sure to watch the Super Bowl and only meet virtually or with the people you live with,” said CDC Director Dr. Rochelle Walensky on Wednesday at a Covid-19 briefing in the White House. “We have to take prevention and intervention seriously.”

Walensky noted that the number of new Covid-19 cases and hospitalizations continues to decline and that the daily death toll is likely to follow. But she added, “This is not the time to let go of our watch.” She said new, more contagious variants of the coronavirus are threatening to reverse the country’s progress in fighting the outbreak.

The CDC has issued guidelines on how to safely watch the Super Bowl, urging people not to travel to parties. It has been said, “Meeting virtually or with people you live with is the safest choice.”

According to CDC instructions, if people choose to gather, they should wear a mask, practice physical distance, wash their hands frequently, and watch the big game in a well-ventilated room or outdoors.

Epidemiologists say the country is just recovering from a spate of cases, hospitalizations, and deaths, largely caused by gatherings over Christmas, New Year, and other holidays in recent years. Infection levels remain worryingly high in much of the country, and inter-household gatherings for Sunday’s Super Bowl could lead to renewed spikes in some cases.

This is particularly worrying given that three other contagious variants of the virus have been discovered in the US that are of concern to federal health officials. The strain B.1.1.7 was discovered in the United Kingdom in autumn and is the dominant variant there. The B.1.351 was recently found in South Africa and has established itself in that country. The P.1 variant in Brazil has become the dominant Covid-19 strain there.

The US doesn’t do nearly as many genetic sequences as, say, the UK, which means it’s difficult to know exactly how widespread the variants are in the US. The CDC has confirmed more than 500 B.1.1.7 cases, three cases from B.1.351 and two cases from P.1 to date.

Dr. Leana Wen, former Baltimore health commissioner, said in a telephone interview that the spread of the new variants could lead to an “exponential explosive spread” of the virus. She added that the nation is in a race to vaccinate people before the new strains take root in the United States

Jeff Zients, coordinator of President Joe Biden’s Covid-19 task force, said Wednesday that the new administration had increased the pace of vaccine distribution by 20% since the president took office. As vaccinations rise, some public health specialists say the government could do more to increase the number of Americans who are vaccinated each day.

According to the CDC, more than 52.6 million doses of the vaccines have been distributed to states, but fewer than 32.8 million doses have actually been given.

“We have triggered a response from the entire government. We have increased the vaccine supply. And we are making sure that all Americans in every community have more vaccination sites,” Zients said on Wednesday.