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Banks Face Billions in Losses as a Guess on ViacomCBS and Different Shares Goes Awry

Mr. Hwang had worked under billionaire hedge fund titan Julian Robertson at Tiger Management and made him one of the company’s famous alumni, or “cubs,” when he started his own fund, Tiger Asia. However, in 2012 he faced an inside investigation. Securities regulators said Tiger Asia used confidential information to bet against shares in Chinese stocks and manipulated other stocks.

Mr. Hwang pleaded guilty to remittance fraud on behalf of Tiger Asia, paid millions in fines, while accepting a five-year public money management ban following the settlement with the SEC. He reorganized the company as a family office, meaning it no longer manages external money and has renamed it Archegos Capital Management; Archegos is a Greek word for leader or founding father and is used in the Bible to refer to Jesus.

“It’s not just about money, it’s about the long term,” Hwang said in a 2018 video in which he talked about his beliefs and work. “God certainly has a long-term perspective.”

According to four people familiar with the matter, Mr. Hwang had recently built large holdings in a small number of stocks, including ViacomCBS and Discovery, which also operate the TLC cable channels and the Food Network, as well as Chinese companies RLX Technology and GSX Techedu. Those bets resolved spectacularly in just a few days last week.

Last Monday, shares of RLX Technology, an e-cigarette company, fell sharply after Chinese regulators tabled potential new regulations for the industry. In the US listed RLX securities, so-called American Depositary Receipts, fell 48 percent. The next day, GSX Techedu, a tutoring company that has been a target for short sellers in recent years who claimed the company’s sales were overvalued, fell 12.4 percent.

On Wednesday, ViacomCBS sold a number of shares in the open market to raise money to fund its new streaming business, exacerbating Mr Hwang’s situation. His company began responding to inquiries from concerned banks. Goldman Sachs lenders urged Archegos to cut back on its disclosure, said two people familiar with those conversations. But Archegos pushed back, saying the troubled stocks would rebound, one of the people said.

By Friday morning, when Archegos failed to post an additional “margin”, Morgan Stanley and Credit Suisse, two of Archegos’ main lenders, had declared the fund defaulted, four people said. Your action paved the way for Goldman Sachs and others to do the same. Huge blocks of shares were soon offered.

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Business

ViacomCBS inventory tanks, dropping greater than half its worth in lower than per week.

ViacomCBS, the media goliath led by Shari Redstone, took a nosedive this week, with the company losing more than half of its market value in just four days.

The stock was trading at $ 100 on Monday. By Friday close of trading, it had fallen to just over $ 48, a decline of more than 51 percent in less than a week.

There’s no better way to put it: The company’s stock was fueling.

What happened? Several things at the same time. First off, it’s worth noting that ViacomCBS was actually on its knees a bit by the time it crashed this week and has grown almost tenfold in the past 12 months. It was trading at around $ 12 per share about a year ago.

That rally came when the company, like the rest of the media industry, took a step towards streaming. Recently, Paramount + was launched to compete against Netflix, Disney +, HBO Max, and others. The service leveraged ViacomCBS’s extensive archive of content from the CBS broadcast network, Paramount Film Studios, and several cable channels including Nickelodeon and MTV.

This shift is important as ViacomCBS has been hit hard by an overall decline in cable viewers. The company’s pre-tax profits are down nearly 17 percent in the last two years, and debt has exceeded $ 21 billion.

However, the stock rose so much that Robert M. Bakish, CEO of ViacomCBS, decided to take advantage of the blessing by offering new shares to raise up to $ 3 billion. The underwriters who managed the sale valued the offering earlier this week at around $ 85 per share, a discount from Monday’s trading booth.

You could say it backfired. When a company issues new shares, it usually dilutes the value of current shareholders, so expect some price decline. A few days after the offer, one of Wall Street’s most influential research firms, MoffettNathanson, released a report questioning the company’s value and downgrading the stock to a “sale.” The stock should only be worth $ 55, MoffettNathanson said. With that the nosedive began.

“We never thought Viacom would trade near $ 100 a share,” said the report, written by Michael Nathanson, a co-founder of the company. “Obviously, ViacomCBS’s management didn’t either,” it continued, citing the new stock offering.

Streaming is still a money-losing company, and that means the legacy media companies will have to suffer even more losses for several years before they can return to profitability.

In the case of ViacomCBS, it seemed to accelerate cable cutting when it signed a new licensing agreement with the NFL that will cost the company more than $ 2 billion a year by 2033. As part of the agreement, ViacomCBS also plans to cable stream the games on Paramount +, which is much cheaper than a bundle of cables.

As the premium program games move to streaming, “the industry is at risk of both cable cutting and more eroding viewers,” wrote Nathanson.

On Friday, an analyst at Wells Fargo also downgraded the stock, lowering the bank’s price target to $ 59.

But the market decided it wasn’t even worth that much. It barely closed a quarter above $ 48 on Friday.