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Health

CDC clears reformulated Covid pictures concentrating on omicron in time for varsity

Justin Sullivan | Getty Images

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention have released reformulated Covid shots targeting the latest Omicron subvariants for the fall, allowing many people to get an extra boost in days.

The agency’s independent committee on vaccines voted 13-1 in favor of the shots on Thursday after reviewing the available safety and efficacy data in a nearly seven-hour session. CDC Director Dr. Rochelle Walensky approved the injections a few hours later, clearing the way for pharmacies to administer the injections soon.

Pfizer’s Omicron boosters were approved for ages 12+, while Moderna’s updated shots were approved for ages 18+. The eligible age groups can receive the boosters no earlier than two months after the completion of their primary series or their last booster with the old vaccinations.

Walensky said her decision followed “a thorough scientific evaluation and sound scientific discussion.”

“If you are eligible, there is no bad time to get your Covid-19 booster and I strongly encourage you to get it,” she said in a statement.

Pfizer plans to ask the Food and Drug Administration to also approve the new boosters for children ages 5 to 11 in early October, company executives told the committee Thursday.

The original vaccines are no longer used as a booster dose in people aged 12 and over as the reformulated vaccines are now online.

Public health officials expect another wave of Covid infections this fall as immunity to the legacy vaccines wanes, more contagious omicron subvariants spread and people spend more time indoors as the weather turns colder and families close gather for the holidays.

The CDC and FDA hope the new boosters will provide more durable protection against infection, mild illness, and serious illness. The reformulated shots target omicron BA.5, the dominant variant of Covid, as well as the strain that emerged in China more than two years ago.

The US has so far secured 171 million doses of the new boosters from Pfizer and Moderna. More than 200 million people are entitled to the recordings, according to the CDC. dr Sara Oliver, a CDC official, told the committee Thursday there should be enough vaccine supplies to meet demand this fall.

No omicron BA.5 human data

There is no human trial data on the new BA.5 boosters, so it is unclear how they will perform in the real world. The CDC and FDA used human clinical trial data for vaccinations against the original version of Omicron, BA.1, which elicited a stronger immune response than the old vaccines.

Pfizer and Moderna originally developed Omicron boosters for BA.1, but the FDA told the companies to change gears in June and develop BA.5 shots instead after the subvariant became dominant. The decision to focus on BA.5 did not leave enough time to wait for data from human trials before a vaccine launch in the fall.

The lack of human data for the BA.5 vaccines has caused some controversy, but Dr. Peter Marks, a senior FDA official, said the agency has followed the same process it has used for years to change strains for flu vaccines. Marks said Wednesday flu vaccine strains are being changed even without human clinical data.

dr Pablo Sanchez, the only committee member who voted against the injections, called the recommendation premature and said the US should have waited for human data before proceeding with the boosters.

“There’s already a lot of hesitation with vaccines — we need the human data,” said Sanchez, a professor of pediatrics at Ohio State University. But Sanchez said he believes the new boosters are safe and he will likely receive one himself.

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Board member Dr. Oliver Brooks, chief medical officer at Watts HealthCare Corporation in Los Angeles, questioned why the FDA chose a BA.5 vaccine when clinical data is available for the BA.1 vaccine that vaccine manufacturers are initially developing had. Brooks eventually voted for the shots.

But dr Sarah Long, also a committee member, said there was no reason to believe the BA.5 boosters will be inferior to the old vaccines as they also contain the original Covid strain and have the potential to increase hospitalizations and deaths along the way in the future to reduce autumn and winter. Long also voted in favour.

mouse studies

FDA and CDC officials have said that the omicron BA.1 and omicron BA.5 boosters are similar enough that the immune response data of the BA.1 vaccine should give a good indication of how the BA.5 vaccine will work. Omicron BA.1 and BA.5 are according to Dr. Jacqueline Miller, who works on vaccine development at Moderna, are closely related and share a difference of four mutations.

Moderna completed enrollment in clinical trials on the BA.5 shots last week and should have results by the end of the year, Miller told the CDC committee on Thursday. Pfizer’s clinical trial is also ongoing, although the company hasn’t said when it expects results.

Health authorities also reviewed data on the BA.5 shots from mouse studies. Moderna presented data showing that the BA.5 shots increased antibodies in mice more than four-fold compared to the old shots. The mice express the same cellular protein as humans, to which the virus attaches. Pfizer’s BA.5 booster increased antibodies in mice by 2.6-fold compared to the original vaccine.

security

According to the FDA, the most common side effects from the human trials of BA.1 injections were pain, redness, swelling at the injection site, fatigue, headache, muscle pain, joint pain, chills, nausea, vomiting, and fever.

Oliver, the CDC official, told the committee that health officials do not expect a difference in the safety profile of the BA.1 and BA.5 shots because the subvariants differ by only a few mutations.

However, Oliver noted that the risk of myocarditis following a BA.5 booster dose is unknown. Young men and adolescent boys are at increased risk of myocarditis after the second dose of Pfizer and Moderna, but the risk of myocarditis from Covid infection is higher, according to the CDC.

“We know that the risk of myocarditis is unknown, but expect a risk similar to that seen after the monovalent vaccines,” Oliver said. The monovalent vaccines are the old vaccines that have been given to millions of people in the US over the last two years.

Old vaccines are losing their effectiveness

The original vaccines, which were first approved in December 2020, no longer offer any meaningful protection against infection because the virus has mutated so much in the last two years. The shots were developed against the first strain to appear in China, so they are no longer tailored to attack the expanding Omicron subvariants.

Infections, hospitalizations and deaths have all fallen dramatically since last winter’s massive Omicron outbreak, but have leveled off at stubbornly high levels this summer. Omicron BA.5 is the most contagious and immune-avoidable variant to date, and breakthrough infections have become increasingly common as a result.

The effectiveness of the old vaccines against hospitalization also decreased after omicron BA.5 became dominant. A third dose was 77% effective at preventive hospitalization four months after receiving the shot, but protection dropped to as much as 34% at 120 days, according to CDC data. A fourth dose in people aged 50 and over was 56% effective in preventing hospitalization at four months.

Deaths and hospitalizations from Covid among people aged 65 and older have increased since April, according to Heather Scobie, a CDC epidemiologist who presented data during Thursday’s meeting. The number of deaths has increased, particularly among people aged 75 and over, Scobie said.

The CDC has shifted to a more focused public health response, with a focus on protecting the most vulnerable — the elderly, those with serious illnesses and those with weakened immune systems. Though there’s no data on the real-world effectiveness of the new boosters, the US is moving quickly to introduce them in hopes they’ll protect people this fall.

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World News

VW, Ford, Daimler concern chip scarcity may persist for a while

Technicians work in the assembly line of the ID electric car. 3 car in Dresden, Germany, 8 June 2021.

Matthias Rietschel | Reuters

Automakers like Ford, Volkswagen, and Daimler are still grappling with the impact of global chip scarcity, with executives warning each of the companies that a silicon shortage is likely to remain a problem.

Volkswagen CEO Herbert Diess, Daimler CEO Ola Kallenius and Ford Europe CEO Gunnar Herrmann told CNBC’s Annette Weisbach on Monday at the Munich Motor Show that it is difficult to say when the complex problem will be solved.

Germany’s Volkswagen, Europe’s largest car manufacturer, has lost market share in China due to the chip shortage, said Diess.

“We are relatively weak because of semiconductor shortages,” he said. “In China we are more affected than the rest of the world. That is why we are losing market share.”

Diess said his colleagues in China had pushed for more semiconductors and called the shortage of chips a “really big concern”.

The Wolfsburg-based company expected an improvement in the semiconductor situation after the summer vacation, but that was not the case. Malaysia, where many of Volkswagen’s suppliers are based, has been hit hard by the coronavirus in recent weeks, which has led to several plant closings.

Diess said he believes chip scarcity issues will gradually resolve as countries reduce Covid-19 transmission, but he anticipates there will be a generalized semiconductor shortage for some time. “We will face a general shortage of semiconductors because the Internet of Things is growing so fast that there will be constraints that we are trying to address,” he said.

Commodity crisis

Ford Europe’s Herrmann, meanwhile, estimates the chip shortage could last until 2024, adding that it’s difficult to say exactly when it will end.

The shortage is said to have been exacerbated by the switch to electric vehicles. For example, a Ford Focus typically uses around 300 chips, while one of Ford’s new electric vehicles can have up to 3,000 chips.

Aside from chips, there are now other bottlenecks to contend with. Ford is facing a “new raw material crisis,” said Herrmann.

“It’s not just semiconductors,” he said, adding that lithium, plastics, and steel are relatively scarce. “You find bottlenecks or restrictions everywhere.”

Car prices will rise with rising raw material prices, said Herrmann.

Despite the imbalances, Herrmann said the order intake from Ford Europe was “fantastic” and “the demand is indeed extremely strong”.

No longer functional

Kallenius from Daimler hopes that the third quarter will be the “low point” of the disruptions. “That seems to be the quarter that will be hardest hit,” he said.

“We hope to get promoted again in the fourth quarter,” said Kallenius. “But there is a certain uncertainty that we have to deal with in our production system. It has to remain flexible.”

The chip shortage has affected the automotive industry like no other. Assembly lines have been shut down and some cars are now shipped without functions based on semiconductors.

In the UK, auto production hit a new low in July, marking the worst July performance for the industry since 1956.

The German technology and mechanical engineering group Bosch, the world’s largest automotive supplier, considers semiconductor supply chains in the automotive industry to be out of date.

Harald Kroeger, member of the Bosch board of directors, told CNBC last month that supply chains collapsed last year as the demand for chips in cars, PlayStation 5s and electric toothbrushes increased worldwide.

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World News

‘I stay on $47 a day — right here’s how I spend my time’

Before Covid hit in March last year, I was making a decent income of about $4,000 per month as a freelance video producer. But as the pandemic intensified, those gig earnings quickly dwindled to $700.

Due to all the uncertainty about the future, I found myself sleeping on a futon at my sister’s house in New Jersey. I felt restless and missed all the traveling I used to do for work.

But a few months later, my prayers were answered: Croatia announced that it would start offering a one-year residence permit to digital nomads (anyone outside of the European Union working remotely) in January 2021.

I had visited Croatia before and was utterly captivated by the country, so I decided to apply.

Getting Croatia’s digital nomad residence permit

I did a lot of prep work between April and December before getting approved for the permit.

The application processing fee was $100, and to qualify, I needed to have a monthly income of at least $2,750. So throughout the following months, I aggressively built a recurring income stream from freelance gigs (video producing and copywriting) through Upwork.

By December, I was back to making around $4,000 per month. I was also an obsessive saver and rarely spent my earnings. So with the $76,000 I had in my savings account, I felt financially secure enough to live abroad.

Zoom In IconArrows pointing outwards

A beautiful street in the heart of downtown Split

Photo: Steve Tsentserensky

In addition to the income requirement, I needed to show proof of international health insurance (which I got through a U.S.-based travel insurance company called Seven Corners), obtain an FBI background check and provide an address I’d be staying at.

I spend much less in Croatia than in the U.S.

I currently live in Split, Croatia’s second-largest city, located on the eastern shore of the Adriatic Sea.

The views are gorgeous, and the cost of living is much cheaper compared to most major U.S. cities. The average rent for a one-bedroom in Jersey City, for example, is $2,779 (not including utilities), according to rental listing website RentCafe.

Zoom In IconArrows pointing outwards

Steve Tsentserensky’s average monthly spending

Gene Woo Kim | CNBC Make It

I live by myself in a 650-square-foot apartment, which I found through a Facebook group for expats in Croatia. I’m renting directly from the owner for $540 (including utilities) per month.

Marmontova Ulica, a busy street in Split filled with several shops and restaurants. Pictured in the distance is the island of Brač.

Photo: Steve Tsentserensky

I spend an average of $47 a day. Here’s a breakdown (as of June 2021):

  • Rent and utilities: $540
  • Health insurance: $65
  • Food (groceries, eating out and drinks): $608
  • Subscriptions: $14
  • Phone: $12
  • Recreational travel: $185

Total: $1,424

How I spend my days

As soon as my alarm goes off at 6:30 a.m., I’ll make some Turkish coffee and have a simple breakfast — usually some eggs, vegetables, cheese and toasted bread.

Then I dive straight into my freelance projects. I try to put in about eight hours of work on weekdays. Since most of my clients are based in the U.S., I’ll schedule work calls on Eastern or Pacific Standard Time.

If I feel like eating out for lunch ($10 to $14, including tip), there are several places within walking distance. I love trips to the bakery for a tasty burek, a savory pastry typically filled with meat or cheese ($2 to $3).

A cheese burek and a double espresso at a café in Split costs around $5.

Photo: Steve Tsentserensky

A nice dinner on the coast will include lots of seafood dishes like tuna, octopus and squid ink risotto ($18 to $30, including drinks and tip).

Squid ink risotto and a beer from Dujkin Dvorlocal, a local restaurant in Split, for just under $18.

Photo: Steve Tsentserensky

I’m a pretty social person, and I’ve met a lot of great people in Split — both locals and other expats. On weekends, I could spend hours having meaningful conversations with friends over $2 espressos.

From my apartment, I’m a three-minute walk to the famed ruins of Diocletian’s Palace. Built at the turn of the fourth century and considered the heart of the city, the streets of this UNESCO World Heritage Site have been worn smooth by pedestrians.

The famed ruins of Diocletian’s Palace

Photo: Steve Tsentserensky

I’m also six minutes from the Riva, a waterfront promenade filled with cafés, bars restaurants and shops.

At 35, traveling has always been an essential part of my life. Since arriving in Croatia, I’ve taken a number of trips to see more of this endlessly beautiful country.

A few places I’ve been to: Zagreb (where I lived for a few months), Rijeka, Zadar, and the islands of Hvar and Brač. Most recently, I took a two-hour bus ride ($28 for a round trip) to Zaton.

A view of the Zagreb Cathedral, a Roman Catholic cathedral-church and the second tallest building in Croatia.

Photo: Steve Tsentserensky

The pace of life in Croatia is dramatically different — and much more my speed — than in New Jersey. When you combine that with the affordability, friendly people, fun activities and low crime rates, there isn’t much to complain about.

Continuing the nomadic life

One of the downsides of working and living abroad is missing and being far from my family and friends, so I’m hoping to take a trip back home at some point.

One of Split’s most iconic attractions is the Cathedral of St. Domnius — filled with murals, carved altars and a steep bell tower.

Photo: Steve Tsentserensky

While Croatia will forever hold a place in my heart, several other countries, including Georgia and Portugal, also offer digital nomad visas. Once my permit here expires in March 2022, I plan to take advantages of those opportunities and continue the nomadic life for as long as I can.

The freedom to work from anywhere and chart your own course is a bit addictive, and the spontaneity of it is a big part of what brings me joy.

Steve Tsentserensky is a video producer, photographer and writer. He currently lives in Croatia through a digital nomad residence permit. Follow him on Instagram.

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Politics

Decide provides Trump time to problem tax return disclosure to Congress

President Donald Trump arrives for a photocall with sheriffs from across the country on the South Lawn of the White House in Washington.

Erin Scott | Reuters

WASHINGTON – A federal judge is giving former President Donald Trump time to challenge a Justice Department order that the IRS must file its income tax returns to Congress.

U.S. District Court Justice for the District of Columbia, Trevor McFadden, said Trump and his attorneys had until Wednesday to respond.

Neither Trump nor his lawyers have said whether they will challenge Friday’s order.

On Friday, the Justice Department announced that the former president’s tax returns must be passed by the IRS to Congress, a reversal of his position during the Trump administration.

The DOJ’s Office of Legal Counsel said in a 39-page statement that the Democrat-led House Ways and Means Committee had made a legitimate legislative motion to see Trump’s tax returns, with the stated aim of assessing how the IRS did the President of Tax Refunds.

Trump’s lawyers did not immediately respond to CNBC’s request for comment.

Friday’s ruling came more than a year after the US Supreme Court ruled that Trump’s tax returns had to be turned over to Manhattan District Attorney Cyrus Vance Jr. by his longtime accountants on a criminal investigation subpoena.

In July, the Trump organization and its chief financial officer, Allen Weisselberg, were indicted by Vance on crimes related to a “comprehensive and bold” plan since 2005 to avoid paying compensation taxes.

Trump, who broke decades of precedent set by candidates and former presidents by refusing to publish his income tax returns, repeatedly said his filings would be scrutinized by the IRS.

However, taxpayers are allowed to publicly publish their tax returns during the audit.

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Health

Pfizer-BioNTech’s vaccine will get barely weaker over time, firm knowledge exhibits, however stays robust in stopping extreme illness.

The Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine’s effectiveness wanes slightly over time, according to newly released data from the companies, but remains strong in preventing severe disease. With coronavirus cases surging again in many states, the findings may influence the Biden administration’s deliberations about delivering a booster shot.

The vaccine had a sky-high efficacy rate of about 96 percent against symptomatic Covid-19 for the first two months, the study showed, but then declined about 6 percent every two months after that, falling to 83.7 percent after six months. Against severe disease, its efficacy held steady at about 97 percent. The data was posted online on Wednesday and has not been published in a scientific journal.

Despite the decline, the data confirm that the vaccine gives potent protection against Covid-19. Still, the study raises questions about how much protection two doses will provide in the months to come. Adding to these concerns is the rise of the Delta variant, which makes vaccines somewhat less effective against infection. The variant became dominant only after the study ended. But recent studies have also shown that vaccines remain strongly protective against the worst outcomes of Covid-19 caused by the Delta variant.

The findings come from 42,000 volunteers in six countries who participated in a clinical trial that Pfizer and BioNTech began last July. Half of the volunteers got the vaccine while the other half got a placebo. Both groups received two shots spaced three weeks apart. The researchers compared the number of people in each group who developed symptoms of Covid-19, which was then confirmed by a P.C.R. virus test.

When the companies announced their first batch of results, the vaccine showed an efficacy against symptomatic Covid-19 of 95 percent. In other words, the risk of getting sick was reduced by 95 percent in the group that got the vaccine compared to the group that got the placebo.

That result — the first for any Covid-19 vaccine — brought an exhilarating dose of hope to the world in December when it was riding what had been the biggest wave of the pandemic. Since then, the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine has made up the majority of shots that Americans have received, with more than 191 million doses given so far, according to the Centers for Disease Control.

After the first analysis, the Pfizer and BioNTech researchers continued to follow the volunteers. The research became more challenging as time passed, because volunteers who got the placebo could ask to get the vaccine once it was authorized in their country.

Understand the State of Vaccine Mandates in the U.S.

For the new study, the researchers followed the volunteers for six months after vaccination, up to a cutoff date of March 13. Looking over that entire period, the researchers estimated the vaccine’s efficacy at 91.5 percent against symptomatic Covid-19. (The study did not measure the rate of asymptomatic virus infections.)

But within that period, the efficacy did gradually drop. Between one week and two months after the second dose, the efficacy was 96.2 percent. In the period between two and four months, the efficacy fell to 90.1 percent. And between four months and six months, the efficacy hit 83.7 percent.

Each estimate came with a margin of uncertainty. But over the six months of the trial, there was a clear decline in efficacy.

The new study comes on the heels of data from Israel suggesting that the Pfizer-BioNTech’s protection may be waning there. But experts have pushed back against a rush to approving a booster there. The data have too many sources of uncertainty, they say, to make a precise estimate of how much effectiveness has waned. For example, the Delta-driven outbreak hit parts of the country with high vaccination rates first and has been hitting other regions later. “Such an analysis is still highly uncertain,” said Doron Gazit, a physicist at Hebrew University who analyzes Covid-19 trends for the Israeli government.

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World News

JPMorgan strategist on one of the best time to purchase Asia shares

SINGAPORE – The best time to buy Asian stocks could be now, a JPMorgan strategist said Wednesday.

Mixo Das, Asian equity strategist at the bank, said US markets had hit record highs while Europe and Japan were nearing all-time highs. However, the Asian markets have not seen the same trend.

“We’ve been down quite a bit in Asian stocks since the highs in February and the way we look at it, our framework tells us that now is probably the best time to take risk in Asia,” he told CNBC. Squawk Box Asia. “

That said, investor positioning in Asia is “extreme, extremely low” right now, while valuations have fallen to more normal levels. If macro dynamics in the region begin to stabilize, Asian stocks could rise significantly, he added.

The strategist said Asian corporate earnings could increase 60% to 70% year over year in the second quarter – largely in line with estimates.

Covid and vaccination effects

Parts of Asia like South Korea, Indonesia and Malaysia are grappling with spikes in Covid-19 infections at a time when vaccination advances are lagging behind countries like the US and UK

That said investors have become used to seeing new waves of Covid cases. He cited the example of India, where a “catastrophic wave of infections” earlier this year did not rock the stock market because investors understood that the country’s long-term fundamentals were likely to remain intact.

CNBC Pro Stock Pick and Investment Trends:

But the spread of a more transmissible Delta variant and relatively low vaccination rates across Asia could weigh on stocks that would benefit from an economic reopening, Das said. Those stocks include those in the hospitality, leisure and travel sectors, he said.

The strategist added that JPMorgan favors stocks that respond to changes in interest rates, such as banks. His comments come as the US Federal Reserve raised its inflation expectations and brought forward the timeframe for a rate hike.

Chinese technology stocks

Speaking of opportunities in China, Das said technology stocks are still a “buy” for investors with a long-term horizon. He said that Chinese tech companies still have growth prospects, even if the pace of growth may slow due to tighter regulatory scrutiny from Beijing.

Shares in major Chinese internet companies like Tencent and Alibaba were hit when Beijing curbed monopolized business practices and regulated the collection and use of data.

“If you look at the valuation of these names against benchmarks around the world, it’s ridiculously cheap right now,” Das said, without naming any specific Chinese technology stocks.

“We see incoming inquiries from long-term, patient investors looking at these names and thinking about whether this story will be played out in five, 10, 15 years. And most of the time the answer is yes.”

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Health

Time Is Operating Out to Get U.S. College students Vaccinated by Fall

In the middle of summer, the school may seem blissfully distant to American students. But for many eligible, time may be running out to return to school: a full vaccination against the coronavirus before classes resume.

Many of the country’s 13,000+ counties, particularly in the south and southwest, plan to start the 2021-22 school year well before Labor Day. Completing a regimen of Pfizer-BioNTech’s vaccine, the only vaccine now approved for 12 to 17 year olds, takes a minimum of five weeks for the two vaccinations to be given and for full protection to be achieved. In many of these early-starting districts, students would need to get their first dose in the next few days to be fully immune in time.

In the Hamilton County School District, Tennessee, the first day of school is scheduled for August 12th. From then on, the students would have to get their first shot no later than Thursday in order to be fully protected by the opening day.

Cody Patterson, a spokesman for the district, which includes Chattanooga and serves 45,000 students, recently said that while vaccinations are not mandatory for the new school year, the district made it clear to parents “that we believe vaccination is a key strategy to get around to keep the school ”. to open.”

Mr Patterson said individual schools in the district would likely accept students on a case-by-case basis if they were concerned about completing their vaccinations.

Schools across the country were closed and switched to online classes when the pandemic broke out last year. But as the pandemic progressed, research showed that elementary and secondary schools weren’t the main drivers of infection.

Colleges are a different matter, with a number of breakouts on campus. Many colleges (along with some private secondary schools) require vaccinations to allow students to attend in person this fall. This is more difficult for public middle and high schools for legal and other reasons, and a spokesman for the American Federation of Teachers recently said the union was not aware of any U.S. school district that required vaccinations.

Updated

July 7, 2021 at 11:27 p.m. ET

A vaccine for 12 to 15 year olds has only been available in the US since May. In many states, teenagers require parental consent to be vaccinated. No vaccine is yet approved for children under 12 years of age.

Michael Poore, the superintendent of the Little Rock School District in Arkansas, recently said the district contacted parents, worked with local health officials, and did extensive publicity work on local and social media to convince students and their parents to get a vaccine to get.

The district also hosted vaccination events at its 11 middle and high schools, he said, but only 300 to 400 of the district’s approximately 11,000 eligible students received vaccinations at the events.

School in Little Rock begins August 16th. In order to be fully protected by then, students would have to receive their first dose by Monday.

“We’re really going to be pushing the vaccines in August,” said Mr Poore, “because if you haven’t received the vaccination and are in close proximity to someone who has the virus, you must be quarantined.”

In some places, it’s too late for unvaccinated students to fully protect themselves before school, such as the Chandler Unified School District in Arizona, which will reopen on July 21.

Kimberly Guevara, a district spokeswoman, said the district recently informed parents when the vaccine was approved for teenagers and told them how to get a vaccination, but “we will not force vaccinations on students.”

Ms. Guevara said that she and the eligible members of her family were vaccinated as soon as possible.

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Health

Questioning if the Covid Vaccine Labored? Get the Proper Check, on the Proper Time

Now that tens of millions of Americans are vaccinated against the coronavirus, many are wondering: Do I have enough antibodies to keep me safe?

For a vast majority of people, the answer is yes. That hasn’t stopped hordes from stampeding to the local doc-in-a-box for antibody testing. But to get a reliable answer from testing, vaccinated people have to get a specific kind of test, and at the right time.

Take the test too soon, or rely on one that looks for the wrong antibodies — all too easy to do, given the befuddling array of tests now available — and you may believe yourself to still be vulnerable when you are not.

Actually, scientists would prefer that the average vaccinated person not get antibody testing at all, on the grounds that it’s unnecessary. In clinical trials, the vaccines authorized in the United States provoked a strong antibody response in virtually all of the participants.

“Most people shouldn’t even be worrying about this,” said Akiko Iwasaki, an immunologist at Yale University.

But antibody tests can be crucial for people with weak immune systems or those who take certain medications — a broad category encompassing millions of people who are recipients of organ donations, have certain blood cancers, or who take steroids or other drugs that suppress the immune system. Mounting evidence suggests that a significant proportion of these people do not produce a sufficient antibody response after vaccination.

If you must get tested, or just want to, it’s essential to get the right kind of test, Dr. Iwasaki said: “I feel a little bit hesitant to recommend everybody getting tested, because unless they really understood what the test is doing, people might get this wrong sense of not having developed any antibodies.”

Early in the pandemic, many commercial tests were designed to look for antibodies to a coronavirus protein called the nucleocapsid, or just N, because after infection, those antibodies were plentiful in the blood.

But these antibodies are not as powerful as those required to prevent virus infection, nor do they last as long. More important, antibodies to the N protein are not produced by the vaccines authorized in the United States; instead, those vaccines provoke antibodies to another protein sitting on the surface of the virus, called the spike.

If people who were never infected are vaccinated and then are tested for antibodies to the N protein instead of to the spike, they may be in for a rude shock.

Credit…David Lat

David Lat, a 46-year-old legal writer in Manhattan, was hospitalized for Covid-19 for three weeks in March 2020, and he chronicled most of his illness and recovery on Twitter.

Over the following year, Mr. Lat was tested for antibodies numerous times — when he went to his pulmonologist or cardiologist for follow-ups, for example, or to donate plasma. His antibody levels were high in June 2020 but steadily fell over the following months.

Updated 

June 20, 2021, 9:45 p.m. ET

The decline “didn’t worry me,” Mr. Lat recalled recently. “I had been told to expect that they would naturally wane, but I was just happy that I was still positive.”

Mr. Lat was fully vaccinated by March 22 of this year. But an antibody test on April 21, ordered by his cardiologist, was barely positive. Mr. Lat was stunned: “I would have thought a month after being immunized, I would have antibodies through the roof.”

Mr. Lat turned to Twitter for an explanation. Florian Krammer, an immunologist at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai in New York, responded, asking Mr. Lat which test had been used. “That’s when I looked at the fine print on the test,” Mr. Lat said. He realized it was a test for antibodies to the N protein, not to the spike.

“It seems that by default, they just give you the nucleocapsid one,” Mr. Lat said. “I never thought to ask for a different one.”

In May, the Food and Drug Administration recommended against the use of antibody tests for assessing immunity — a decision that has drawn criticism from some scientists — and provided only bare-bones information about testing to health care providers. Many doctors are still unaware of the differences between antibody tests, or the fact that the tests measure just one form of immunity to the virus.

Rapid tests that are commonly available deliver a yes-no result and may miss low levels of antibodies. A certain type of lab test, called an Elisa test, may offer a semi-quantitative estimate of antibodies to the spike protein.

It’s also important to wait to be tested at least two weeks after the second shot of the Pfizer-BioNTech or Moderna vaccines, when antibody levels will have risen enough to be detectable. For some people receiving the Johnson and Johnson vaccine, that period may be as long as four weeks.

“It’s the timing and the antigen and the sensitivity of the assay — these are going to be very important,” Dr. Iwasaki said.

In November, the World Health Organization set standards for antibody testing, allowing for comparison of different tests. “There’s a lot of good tests out there now,” Dr. Krammer said. “Little by little, all these manufacturers, all these places that run them are adapting to international units.”

Antibodies are just one aspect of immunity, noted Dr. Dorry Segev, a transplant surgeon and researcher at Johns Hopkins University: “There’s a lot happening under the surface that antibody tests are not directly measuring.” The body also maintains so-called cellular immunity, a complex network of defenders that also responds to invaders.

Still, for someone who is vaccinated but immunocompromised, it may be very helpful to know that protection against the virus isn’t what it should be, he said. For example, a transplant patient with poor antibody levels might be able to use test results to convince an employer that he or she should continue to work remotely.

Mr. Lat has not sought another test. Just learning that the vaccine most likely has given him a fresh increase of antibodies, despite his test results, was reassurance enough: “I trust that the vaccines work.”

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China’s Guangzhou studies zero new circumstances for first time in new cluster

A citizen reacts to a throat swab sampling during a mass covid test in Guangzhou in south China’s Guangdong province Monday, May 31, 2021.

Barcroft Media | Barcroft Media | Getty Images

GUANGZHOU, China — The southern Chinese city of Guangzhou has reported zero new locally transmitted coronavirus cases for the first time since a new cluster of cases cropped up in May.

The recent uptick in cases prompted mass testing and lockdowns, and also threatened global trade.

On Tuesday, health authorities found no new confirmed cases in Guangzhou, a city of over 15 million people which became China’s new Covid hotspot.

The first new case, a 75-year-old woman, was detected on May 21. It was the first time the delta variant of the virus, first identified in India, was detected in China.

Authorities were concerned because of the highly transmissible nature of the variant and took action swiftly.

Liwan, in the west of Guangzhou, had parts of the district locked down. People were not allowed in or out of these areas except under special circumstances. Some restaurants had to close, while others operated take-out only or at a reduced capacity.

Health workers lined the streets of Guangzhou to carry out mass coronavirus testing on the population. Tens of millions of people have been tested in the last two weeks.

Meanwhile, police in Guangzhou fined and detained individuals who allegedly broke laws such as not wearing masks in public, or not cooperating when asked to take a coronavirus test.

Guangzhou’s outbreak, which threatened to spread more broadly across the Guangdong province, an economic and trading powerhouse, has also impacted shipping. Increased checks and virus prevention measures have caused delays at Guangdong’s key shipping ports with experts warning it could lead to disruptions to the global supply chain.

Authorities have also urged people to get vaccinated in Guangdong province and across China. Over 900 million doses of vaccine have been administered in the country.

While one day of zero new cases is a positive development, authorities will be hoping it can be sustained so they can eventually fully reopen the local economy and take areas out of lockdown.

On Wednesday, Chen Bin, deputy director of the Guangzhou Municipal Health Commission, said zero cases “does not mean zero risk,” according to comments reported by local media. Authorities have continuously urged citizens to remain cautious and continue to wear masks and reduce unnecessary social contact.

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Arthur Staats Dies at 97; Referred to as ‘Time Out’ for Unruly Youngsters

Literary references to the grounding of unruly children have resounded at least since the early 19th century.

Such banishes were later embodied in the 1894 watercolor “The Naughty Corner” by Swedish artist Carl Larsson, a picture of a sullen little boy banished to a chair in the living room.

In the late 1950s, not long after the birth of his daughter Jennifer, Arthur W. Staats turned more or less arbitrary parental punishment into a cornerstone of behavioral psychology and a household phrase. He called it a “time out”.

Extensive experiments by Dr. Staats (rhymes with “stains”) and co-workers found that removing a child from the scene of inappropriate behavior and whatever provoked an emotional bond with restraint was more ingrained than punishment. As a bonus, frustrated parents were given a short break.

Dr. Staats emphasized that children must be warned in advance of the consequences of their behavior and that the “time-out” tactic must be used consistently and within the framework of a positive parent-child relationship. He advised that time off (usually five to 15 minutes) should end when the child stopped misbehaving (e.g., having a tantrum).

Dr. Staats died on April 26, aged 97, at his home in Oahu, Hawaii. His son, Dr. Peter S. Staats said the cause was heart failure.

Arthur Staats had experimented with taking time off with his two children at an early age. “My sister and I were trained using the time-out method that my father invented in the late 1950s,” wrote Dr. Peter Staats in Johns Hopkins Magazine last year.

His sister, Dr. Jennifer Kelley, gave her own touch to the development of the process. “A few years ago,” she said in an email, “my brother made the joke that I was so bad my father had to make up some time out.”

In 1962, when Jennifer was 2 years old, Dr. State of Child magazine: “I put her in her crib and told her to stay there until she stopped crying. If we were in a public place, I would pick them up and go outside. “

He also experimented with preschool classes, teaching his daughter to read before she was three, and invented a “token reinforcement system”: a device he developed distributed tiny markings that could be saved and later exchanged for toys and other prizes .

That Peter founded the Pain Medicine Department at Johns Hopkins University and Jennifer became a child and adolescent psychiatrist may be a measure of her father’s success.

The older Dr. Staats described his approach as psychological behaviorism and cognitive behavioral psychology. His perspectives on emotional development and learning were so diverse that in 2006 Child magazine named him one of the “20 People Who Changed Childhood”.

American Pediatrics magazine reported in 2017 that a recent survey found that 77 percent of parents of children aged 15 months to 10 years needed time off to moderate their behavior.

Montrose M. Wolf, one of Dr. Staats, mentioned the procedure in a 1964 study, and Dr. Staats explained it in the book “Learning, Language and Cognition” published in 1968.

He was considered one of the few pioneers in behavior modification. As he wrote in his book “Marvelous Learning Animal” (2012): “Our small group provided the basis for the areas of behavior therapy and behavior analysis.”

While much research has focused on how differences in brain chemistry and physiology affect behavior and literacy, Dr. Staats that more research is needed on how a child’s learning and environment influenced these differences.

His experiments, he wrote, showed that “children have a variety of explicit problem behaviors that can be addressed through explicit training” – that dyslexic children can be trained to read and that a child’s IQ can be improved. The research, he claimed, provided “irrefutable evidence of the tremendous power of learning to determine human behavior.”

Arthur Wilbur Staats was born on January 17, 1924 in Greenburgh, NY, in Westchester County, to Frank Staats, a carpenter, and Jennifer (Yollis) Staats, a Jewish immigrant from Russia. His father died when he was 3 months old just days after the family disembarked in Los Angeles after traveling from the east coast to the west via the Panama Canal. His mother supported the couple’s four children by doing laundry for neighbors.

Arthur was an indifferent student mainly devoted to sports and reading for pleasure. At 17, he dropped out of high school to join the Navy and served on the battleship Nevada during the D-Day invasion. After the war, he enrolled at the University of California at Los Angeles under the GI Bill.

He earned a bachelor’s degree in psychology in 1949, a master’s degree in psychology in 1953 and a doctorate in general experimental and clinical psychology in 1956.

After teaching as a professor of psychology at Arizona State University and as visiting professor at the University of California, Berkeley and the University of Wisconsin, he was hired by the University of Hawaii at Manoa in 1966. There he was professor of psychology until his retirement in 1997 and became professor emeritus.

Dr. Staats married Carolyn Kaiden, a fellow PhD student at UCLA. You worked on the book Complex Human Behavior: A Systematic Extension of Learning Principles (2011). In addition to his son and daughter, she survived him along with five grandchildren and three great-grandchildren.

The legacy of Dr. Staats was reflected in the license plate of his silver BMW – TYM-OUT – and in the behavior of his great-grandchildren.

“We have two, ages 6 and 3, and they are really wonderful little girls,” said Dr. Kelley about her grandchildren. “The little one is very funny. If she does something wrong, she takes a break for herself. I guess she saw her sister take a break so she figured out how it works. “