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Business

The place Walmart, Amazon, Goal are spending billions in slowing financial system

A Walmart employee loads a robotic warehouse tool with an empty shopping cart to be filled with a customer’s online order at a Walmart micro-fulfillment center in Salem, Massachusetts January 8, 2020.

Boston Globe | Boston Globe | Getty Images

When the economy slows, the classic response for consumer companies is to cut back: slow hiring, potentially laying off employees, cutting back on marketing, or even slowing the pace of technology investment and postponing projects until business picks up again.

But that’s not at all what America’s struggling retail sector is doing this year.

With the S&P Retail Index down nearly 30% this year, most of the industry is increasing capital spending investments by double digits, including industry leaders Walmart and Amazon.com. Among the top performers, only struggling apparel maker Gap and hardware store chain Lowe’s fare well. At electronics retailer Best Buy, profit fell by more than half in the first half of the year – but investments rose by 37 percent.

“There’s definitely concern and awareness of costs, but prioritization is happening,” said Thomas O’Connor, vice president of supply chain-consumer retail research at consultancy Gartner. “A lesson has been learned from the aftermath of the financial crisis,” said O’Connor.

The selection? Investments from high-spending leaders like Walmart, Amazon and Home Depot are likely to cause customers to be drawn away from weaker peers over the next year, when cash flow from consumer discretionary is expected to recover from a year-long drought in 2022 and shopping for spending on goods revive is actually shrunk early this year.

After the 2007-2009 downturn, 60 companies classified by Gartner as “efficient growth companies” that invested during the crisis saw their earnings double between 2009 and 2015, while other companies’ earnings were little changed, according to a 2019 report 1,200 US and European companies.

Companies have taken this data to heart. A recent Gartner survey of finance leaders across all industries shows that investing in technology and human resources are the latest spending companies are looking to cut as the economy struggles to prevent recent inflation from triggering a new recession. Budgets for mergers, environmental sustainability plans, and even product innovation are taking a back seat, Gartner data shows.

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Today, some retailers are improving the way supply chains work between stores and their suppliers. That’s a focus at Home Depot, for example. Others, like Walmart, are striving to improve in-store operations so shelves are restocked faster and fewer lost sales.

The trend toward more investment has been developing for a decade but has been catalyzed by the Covid pandemic, said Progressive Policy Institute economist Michael Mandel.

“Even before the pandemic, retailers were moving from investing in structure to actively investing in equipment, technology and software,” Mandel said. “[Between 2010 and 2020]Software investment in the retail sector increased by 123%, compared to a 16% increase in manufacturing.”

At Walmart, money is pouring into initiatives like VizPick, an augmented reality system that connects to workers’ phones and allows employees to restock shelves faster. The company increased its capital expenditures by 50% to $7.5 billion in the first half of its fiscal year, which ends in January. The investment budget is expected to grow 26 percent to $16.5 billion this year, said Arun Sundaram, an analyst at CFRA Research.

“The pandemic has obviously changed the entire retail environment,” Sundaram said, forcing Walmart and others to be efficient in their back offices and make even more use of online channels and in-store pickup options. “As a result, Walmart and all other retailers have improved their supply chains. You see more automation, less manual picking [in warehouses] and more robots.”

Last week Amazon announced its latest acquisition of warehouse robots, Belgian company Cloostermans, which offers technology to move and stack heavy pallets and goods, as well as pack products together for delivery.

Home Depot’s campaign to overhaul its supply chain has been going on for several years, O’Connor said. According to the company’s financials, the One Supply Chain project is hurting profits for now, but it’s central to both operational efficiencies and a key strategic goal — creating deeper bonds with professional contractors who spend far more than they do Home improvement who were the bread and butter of Home Depot.

“To serve our professionals, it’s really about removing friction through a variety of enhanced product offerings and features,” executive vice president Hector Padilla told analysts on Home Depot’s second-quarter conference call. “These new assets in the supply chain allow us to do this at a different level.”

The store of the future for aging brands

Some retailers are more focused on refreshing an aging private label. At Kohl’s, the highlight of this year’s investment budget is an expansion of the company’s relationship with Sephora, which is adding convenience stores to Kohl’s 400 stores this year. The partnership helps the mid-tier retailer add some flair to its otherwise stodgy image, which contributed to its relatively weak sales growth in the first half of the year, said Landon Luxembourg, retail expert at consultancy Third Bridge. At Kohl’s, investments more than doubled in the first half of this year.

About $220 million of the increase in Kohl’s spending was related to investments in beauty inventory to support the 400 Sephora stores opening in 2022, CFO Jill Timm said. “We’re going to continue that next year. … We look forward to working with Sephora on this solution for all of our stores,” she told analysts at the company’s recent earnings announcement in mid-August.

Target is spending $5 billion this year to add 30 stores and modernize another 200, bringing the number of stores renovated since 2017 to more than half the chain. It’s also expanding on its own beauty partnership, first unveiled in 2020 with Ulta Beauty, adding 200 Ulta centers in stores en route to 800.

Telsey: There's a real divide between low-income and high-income consumers

And the biggest lender of all is Amazon.com, which had over $60 billion in capital expenditures in 2021. While Amazon’s reported capital expenditure numbers include its cloud-computing division, the company spent nearly $31 billion on property, plant and equipment in the first half — following an already record-breaking 2021 — though the investment made the company’s free cash flow negative .

That’s enough to make even Amazon hit the brakes a little, as CFO Brian Olsavsky tells investors that Amazon is shifting more of its investment money into cloud computing. This year, it is estimated that around 40% of spending will support warehouses and transport capacity, compared to last year’s combined 55%. It also plans to spend less on global deals — “to better align with customer demand,” Olsavksy told analysts after its recent gains — already a much smaller budget item percentage.

At Gap — whose shares are down nearly 50% this year — executives have defended their capex cuts, saying they need to defend earnings this year and hope for a rebound in 2023.

“We also believe there is an opportunity to more meaningfully slow the pace of our investments in technology and digital platforms to better optimize our operating profits,” Chief Financial Officer Katrina O’Connell told analysts following the latest results.

And Lowe’s deflected an analyst’s question about spending cuts, saying it could continue to take market share from smaller competitors. Lowe’s has been the better stock market performer compared to Home Depot over the past one-year and year-end periods, though both posted sizeable declines in 2022.

“Home improvement is a $900 billion marketplace,” said Lowe CEO Marvin Ellison, without mentioning Home Depot. “And I think it’s easy to just focus on the two biggest players and determine the overall market share gain just based on that, but this is a really fragmented market.”

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World News

The newest goal of China’s tech regulation blitz: algorithms

Computer code is seen on a screen above a Chinese flag in this July 12, 2017 illustration photo.

Thomas White | Reuters

BEIJING — Chinese authorities are planning to restrict how companies use algorithms to sell products to consumers, a move analysts said likely runs counter to business interests and sets a precedent for other countries.

China’s largest tech companies from e-commerce giant Alibaba to TikTok-owner ByteDance have built their multibillion dollar businesses on algorithms that serve up content a customer is more likely to spend money or time on, based on previous viewing records.

The increasingly powerful cybersecurity regulator on Friday released sweeping draft rules for regulating use of these so-called recommendation algorithms. The proposal is open for comment until Sept. 26, with no specified implementation date so far.

The groundbreaking rules could set up a clash between China’s technology giants — which have been subject to increasing regulation over the past 10 months — and Beijing, which has sought to rein in their power.

And China’s algorithm rules will be closely watched by other countries and technology firms around the world for how it might affect business models and innovation, analysts said.

“Companies are going to have a lot to say about this because this has the potential to restructure business models,” Kendra Schaefer, Beijing-based partner at Trivium China consultancy, told CNBC.

The rules have also thrown up questions about how enforcement will happen and how intrusive regulators might have to be to actually get companies to comply with these rules.

What the draft says

Here are some of the key points in the draft rules:

  • Companies must not set up algorithms that push users to become addicted or spend large amounts of money.
  • Service providers need to notify users in a clear way about the algorithmic recommendation services they provide.
  • Users need to have a way to switch off algorithmic recommendation services. Users should also have a way to choose, revise, or delete user tags used for the recommendation algorithm. 
  • When algorithms are used to market goods or provide services to consumers, the company behind it must not use the algorithm to carry out “unreasonable” differentiation in terms of prices or trading conditions.
  • Any violations of the rules could land companies with fines between 5,000 yuan and 30,000 yuan ($773 and $4,637).

These proposed rules come as the Chinese government has ramped up its regulation on homegrown technology giants in the last year, primarily in the name of cracking down on monopolistic practices and increasing data protection.

On Wednesday, a new data security law took effect. A personal data privacy law is set to take effect on Nov. 1.

What enforcement might look like

Recommendation algorithms are formed of code that is fed specific information about users to help provide more tailored results. If you’re on an e-commerce site, some of items you see on the homepage are likely there because of your browsing or shopping habits.

But the algorithm’s code is not something that is made public and that could make enforcement difficult. At the very least, it could require regulators to inspect companies’ code behind the algorithms.

“You can’t carry out algorithmic regulation without looking at the code,” Trivium China’s Schaefer said.

Authorities are to carry out algorithm “security assessments” and inspection of the recommendation services, according to the draft rules. Companies must cooperate and provide any necessary technical or data support.

That would give regulators in China enormous power.

But it also throws up some challenges.

“First of all you need the technical capacity to do this. … You also need the bureaucratic process to do it. All that has to be sorted and it has not been yet,” Schaefer said.

This intrusiveness could set up a clash between China’s technology giants and regulators.

“I’m sure there are issues with privacy rights with companies … that [the code] is proprietary information,” Schaefer added.

None of the Chinese tech companies contacted by CNBC had immediate comment on the draft rules, with two indicating it’s too early in the process to assess them. The cybersecurity regulator did not immediately respond to a CNBC request for comment on the extent of implementation or impact on innovation.

Business model changes?

Many of China’s technology giants aren’t making money off of their algorithms directly. Instead, they’re used to direct consumers to products. For example, you may be watching videos on an app and then get recommended similar content. A company would monetize that via advertising or even getting you to buy things.

The latest rules could have the potential to force companies to change their business models, but it’s unclear as to what extent.

“The jury is still out on the implications for operations and profits,” said Ziyang Fan, head of digital trade at the World Economic Forum.

“It depends on a number of factors, such as the level of enforcement, and market reactions — how many users would choose to ‘turn off’ [the] recommendation algorithm if that’ll lead to a suboptimal user experience, such as getting cat videos pushes when you are a dog person?” he said in an email.

“If we see a significant drop in indicators such as DAUs [daily active users] and retention rates, then the implications for profits could also be significant,” he said, noting that social media companies may see the impact more, while online shopping and ride-hailing “probably less so.”

Where the rest of the world stands

As the intersection between tech and daily life grows, countries and regions around the world are increasingly looking at ways to regulate technologies and the companies that sell them.

That’s resulted in different approaches, so far. In the area of algorithms, China is specifically focused on the technology’s recommendation feature, while the U.S. and European Union are discussing broader laws around artificial intelligence.

Earlier this year, the European Union issued a draft law called the Artificial Intelligence Act with the purpose of facilitating “the development of a single market for lawful, safe and trustworthy AI applications” and pushing innovation in the space.

The law has “specific requirements that aim to minimise the risk of algorithmic discrimination.”

But there are a number of differences with China’s algorithm rules.

WEF’s Fan said the EU follows a “risk-based approach” while China’s rules “do not differentiate risk levels and apply to all use of algorithm recommendation technology.” That can cover a broad range of industries from food delivery to education.

And China’s rules “target algorithms directly at the user and product level,” such as the ability for users to switch off the algorithm, as stated in the proposed rules, Fan added.

Read more about China from CNBC Pro

Once enacted, China’s law on algorithms will be closely watched around the world as authorities try to figure out how to regulate technology in the future.

“This is going to set a global example,” Schaefer said. “Tech companies overseas are going to see how Chinese tech companies do or do not profit given these restrictions on algorithms. If they change business models, if they can succeed despite regulation on algorithmic process, there is very little excuse for … foreign governments not to do the same.”

“If they fail and they are not as profitable and shareholders are disappointed, then that is bad, too,” she said. “That bolsters the argument you can’t implement algorithmic regulation without detrimental effects to innovation.”

Categories
World News

UK’s Blue Prism turns into newest goal of U.S. non-public fairness

Employees walk past FTSE AIM share price information displayed on a lighted rotating cube in the atrium of the London Stock Exchange Group’s offices in London, UK

Simon Dawson | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Robotics firm Blue Prism is the latest in a series of UK firms to attract the attention of U.S. private equity firms, but a high profile shareholder has urged it not to sell.

Blue Prism’s shares rose Wednesday after confirming they had started talks with TPG Capital and Vista Equity Partners. However, she stressed: “There can be no certainty that an offer will be made, nor on the terms on which an offer would be made.”

It comes after supermarket chain Morrisons, infrastructure giant John Laing, and aerospace company Cobham have been exposed to transatlantic private equity approaches in recent months.

Blue Prism, one of the largest tech companies in the London Stock Exchange’s AIM market, uses robotic process automation (RPA) software to hire digital workers to perform back office tasks for businesses.

In a letter to Blue Prism’s management team on Tuesday seen by CNBC, shareholder Coast Capital, a notable activist investor who is reluctant to sell its U.S. operations by FirstGroup, expressed concerns about the company’s valuation.

Coast Capital currently considers Blue Prism to be undervalued and it would be a mistake to approve an acquisition at its share price.

“As you know, Blue Prism PLC’s business value is currently valued at about three times its appointment revenue – a 80-90% discount over the company’s competitors including UiPath, Appian, WorkFusion, Automation Anywhere, etc.,” the letter from Coast Capital said.

“If a buyer were to pay a premium of 100%, the share price would still be considerably lower than its intrinsic value and well below the value that the share was still trading in January 2021.”

James Rasteh, CEO of Coast Capital, said Blue Prism was facing a number of problems – such as product gaps in its portfolio, its position on the London Junior Stock Exchange, and its geographic distance from many key customers – but which could be overcome . He said Coast worked with industry experts to develop an operational improvement plan to drive sales growth and increase Blue Prism’s stock value.

“In addition, we note that the Blue Prism PLC team (including management and board) has developed and maintained the world’s leading unattended automation software product with an extremely valuable customer base of more than 2,000 large corporations,” said Rasteh.

“Even in the worst of times today, the company has an enviable reputation as a best-in-class performer, keeping it at the forefront of its fast-growing and highly profitable industry. Now is not the time to throw in the towel!”

Blue Prism declined to comment. TPG Capital and Vista Equity Partners were not immediately available for comment when contacted by CNBC.

“Reverse Activism”

Where coastal capital is public urged management change at FirstGroup, Rasteh told CNBC in an email Thursday that the company’s engagement with Blue Prism was “the opposite of activism” and claimed it plans to work with management to implement the operational changes needed .

Coast Capital has a stake of almost 3% in Blue Prism. According to data from Refinitiv Eikon, Jupiter Fund Management, which declined to comment, is the largest shareholder with 7.49%.

The company’s stock rose up to 39% on Wednesday but remains in the red around 30% for the year.

“The CEO, Jason Kingdon, is clearly a visionary in the UK’s high-tech industry and does not have long enough time to influence the workforce changes and operational improvements that can and will transform Blue Prism,” said Rasteh.

Kingdon was an early investor in Blue Prism and became Chairman and CEO in April 2020.

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World News

Israeli spy ware used to focus on telephones of journalists and activists, investigation finds

An Israeli woman uses her iPhone in front of the building of the Israeli NSO group in Herzliya near Tel Aviv on August 28, 2016.

Jack Guez | AFP | Getty Images

According to a comprehensive investigation by the Washington Post and 16 other news organizations, private Israeli spy software was used to hack dozens of smartphones belonging to reporters, human rights activists, business people and the fiancé of murdered Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi.

The military-grade spyware was reportedly licensed by Israeli spyware company NSO Group. The investigation found that the hacked phones were on a list of more than 50,000 numbers in countries known to monitor people.

The list of numbers was made available to the Post and other media organizations by the Paris-based nonprofit journalism organization Hidden Stories and the human rights group Amnesty International.

The NSO Group denied the results of the report in several statements, arguing that the investigation contained “unconfirmed theories” based on “misleading interpretation of leaked data from accessible and overt basic information”.

The NSO Group also said it would continue to investigate all credible allegations of abuse and take appropriate action.

NSO Group’s Pegasus spyware is licensed to governments around the world and can, according to the report, hack a cellphone’s data and activate the microphone. NSO said the spyware is only used to monitor terrorists and other criminals.

Read the full report here.

Categories
Health

Pfizer says it’s growing a Covid booster shot to focus on the extremely transmissible delta variant

Pfizer and BioNTech announced Thursday that they are developing a Covid-19 booster vaccine that will target the Delta variant amid concerns about the highly communicable strain that is already the predominant form of the disease in the United States.

The companies said that while they believe a third vaccination of their current two-dose vaccine has the potential to maintain the “highest level of protection” against all currently known variants, including Delta, they are “vigilant” and are developing an updated version of the Vaccine.

“As evidenced by real evidence from the Israeli Ministry of Health, the effectiveness of the vaccine has declined six months after vaccination, while at the same time the Delta variant is becoming the dominant variant in the country,” the companies said in a written statement.

“These results are consistent with an ongoing analysis of the companies’ Phase 3 study,” they said. “This is why we have said, and continue to believe, that all of the data we have, it is likely that a third dose may be required within 6 to 12 months of full vaccination.”

Clinical trials could begin as early as August, subject to regulatory approvals, the companies said.

The announcement comes on the same day the Olympic Games organizers said they would be banning all viewers from the Games this year after Japan declared a state of emergency designed to stem a wave of new Covid-19 infections that are partly due to the Delta variant is due.

Delta is estimated by the World Health Organization to be about 55% more transmissible than Alpha, the variant first found in the UK that once dominated the US, didn’t do as well at protecting against mild illnesses and the spread of the disease to others, scientists say.

On Monday, Israeli officials reported a decrease in the effectiveness of the Pfizer BioNTech vaccine in preventing infections and symptomatic diseases, but said it remained highly effective in preventing serious diseases.

In the US, health officials are urging all eligible Americans to get vaccinated as soon as possible, especially before the fall season when Delta is expected to lead to a further surge in new coronavirus cases, especially in places with the lowest vaccination rates.

There are about 1,000 counties in the U.S. with a Covid vaccination rate of less than 30%, mostly located in the Southeast and Midwest, said CDC Director Dr. Rochelle Walensky recently. In these areas, the authority already sees increasing infection rates due to the further spread of the delta variant.

Pfizer and BioNtech executives have repeatedly said that people will likely need a booster vaccination or a third dose within 12 months of full vaccination, as they expect vaccine-induced immunity to wear off over time. They also said that people are likely to have to take extra shots every year.

Pfizer and BioNTech are developing booster vaccines and are expected to apply for US approval for a third dose of their vaccine shortly.

Categories
Politics

With automotive costs surging, yours is a chief goal for thieves

RubberBall Productions | Brand X Pictures | Getty Images

You can blame the Covid pandemic for another thing: an increase in car thefts.

Vehicle thefts in the United States rose 9% year over year to 873,000, the highest number in more than a decade, according to National Insurance Crime Bureau statistics provided by CNBC’s American Greed.

The pandemic created a “perfect storm” of conditions for the increase in car thefts, said NICB President and CEO David Glawe.

“We have a lot of disenfranchised youth who are unemployed and outreach programs are being closed or restricted because of Covid,” he said. “There is frustration and anger in society. We are also seeing restrictions on public safety and the withdrawal of proactive police forces due to budget constraints.”

Vehicles are also particularly valuable these days. Due to the tight supply and strong demand after the pandemic, used car prices have increased by almost 30% compared to the previous year.

The rise in thefts started slowly and coincided with the start of the pandemic in March 2020. They accelerated until last June when the first wave of Covid lockdowns subsided and a second wave loomed. In November, monthly thefts were 18% ahead of 2019.

The biggest jump was in Chicago, where vehicle thefts rose by 134% last year, the NICB said. The Chicago police said the number of carjackings had doubled.

“This has been a year that has presented law enforcement with numerous challenges,” Chicago Police Commissioner David Brown said in a January statement announcing the numbers.

The numbers have leveled off a bit as pandemic restrictions have eased, but Chicago police data released earlier this month shows thefts are still 9% higher than a year ago.

Elsewhere, thefts rose 68% in New York City and 50% in Washington, DC, the NICB said.

Hot goods

Criminals have long understood how lucrative trading in vehicles can be. An extreme example of another type of vehicle crime in 2014 was serial fraudster and internet influencer TR Wright III, who portrayed himself as an arms dealer and an internationally mysterious man.

“All of the Instagram photos showed this person with fancy cars, guns, high-end clothing, high-end vehicles, yachts, jets traveling around the world,” said James Reed, agent for the US Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms, opposite “American Greed.”

Wright, 36, admitted to being part of a conspiracy in which he bought a 2008 Lamborghini Gallardo with a salvage title at a bargain price of $ 76,000, deliberately ditched it, and raised nearly $ 170,000 in insurance revenue.

Wright pleaded guilty to two counts of conspiracy in 2018, in a far-reaching scheme that affected not only vehicles but boats and planes as well. Wright, who is serving a five-year prison sentence, told American Greed that he made even more money than prosecutors claim.

“It depends how you do the math, but if you took a total loss, let’s say somewhere between $ 30 million and $ 40 million,” Wright said.

But also much smaller crooks can kill in other ways on the vehicle market, especially with today’s high prices. There is a free market for most cars and trucks and their parts.

While Wright bought his Lamborghini through a company he controlled, it was remarkably easy for criminals to simply steal vehicles. According to the NICB, more than 10% of the stolen vehicles in 2019 – the last year for which full figures are available – had the keys left inside.

How to thwart the thieves

Since almost all cases lead to an insured event, every policyholder suffers in the form of higher premiums. This is why the NICB urges vehicle owners to protect themselves, especially when the crooks are so active.

Here are some tips, some of which are common sense:

  • Take your keys out of the ignition lock when you park the vehicle, or if your vehicle has a remote control key, keep it with you even if you only get out of the vehicle for a short time.
  • Close your doors and windows and park in a well-lit area.
  • Do not leave valuables or other items that might attract the attention of thieves in your car. This also includes your garage door opener.
  • Consider keeping a picture of your vehicle registration on your phone instead of leaving the actual document in the glove box.
  • Think of installing a car alarm, as well as a kill switch that can immobilize a stolen vehicle.
  • Consider buying a GPS tracker that can help authorities find your vehicle.

You may not own a six-digit Italian sports car, but almost anything you drive is a hot commodity these days.

See social media star TR Wright III lead a brazen plot to fame and fortune fraud and hear his own words from prison. Catch a BRAND NEW episode of “American Greed” on CNBC only on Monday, June 21st at 10pm ET / PT.

Categories
Health

Authorities assured of reaching vaccine goal

The Indian government is confident that the country will be able to meet an ambitious target of having more than 2 billion coronavirus vaccine doses by the end of the year, Civil Aviation Minister Hardeep Singh Puri said.

Last month, Health Minister Harsh Vardhan said in a statement that India will have 516 million vaccine doses by July, including shots already administered, and that the number will rise to 2.16 billion doses between August and December.

“We have paid the two existing domestic manufacturers, Serum Institute (of India) and Bharat Biotech, advance money to produce vaccines for the whole of May, June, and July. We are only past May,” Puri told CNBC’s Tanvir Gill in an interview. He explained that the government is also in advanced stages of talks with other vaccine manufacturers.

The government is “absolutely confident of being able to meet this target by December,” Puri added.

In its forecast, the Indian government expects about 750 million doses of the AstraZeneca vaccine that is being locally produced by the Serum Institute of India and is known as Covishield. Another 550 million doses of Covaxin, which is developed and produced by Indian company Bharat Biotech, are also expected.

People walking past a wall mural depicting medical staff hitting the coronavirus with vaccine needle at Santacruz on March 29, 2021 in Mumbai, India.

Pratik Chorge | Hindustan Times | Getty Images

Both vaccines are being currently used in India’s inoculation campaign where more than 222 million doses have been administered as of Thursday — but a majority of them are first of the two doses required for immunity.

Russia’s Sputnik vaccine — the third shot to get approved — will contribute about 156 million to the predicted tally. Reuters reported that six Indian companies have already signed deals to produce around 1 billion doses of the vaccine annually and that Serum Institute is also seeking approval to make it.

The government also expects:

In addition, India has also authorized foreign-made vaccines that have been granted emergency approval by the U.S., U.K., European Union, Japan and World Health Organization-listed agencies.

Vaccines, the way forward

Experts agree that vaccination is the way forward for India — both to bring the economy out of the Covid crisis and to mitigate the effects of a third wave. But vaccine hesitancy, in part due to misinformation being spread about the shots, has been an issue both in India and globally.

Vaccines are also in short supply and that has slowed down domestic inoculation efforts and forced India to halt exports to other countries.

For his part, Puri said that proper dissemination of information and education around vaccination is needed and that the government is doing its part.

India is battling a devastating second wave of outbreak that started in February and accelerated in April and early May, which overwhelmed the country’s health-care infrastructure. The sector has struggled with shortages of beds, oxygen and medication as many doctors and other health-care workers succumbed to Covid-19.

A doctor walks past the banner announcing a Covid-19 vaccination drive in Hyderabad, India on May 28, 2021.

Noah Seelam | AFP | Getty Images

Some of that pressure eased once the central government and states stepped up their efforts to manage the outbreak while international aid poured in, providing some of the much-needed medical supplies.

Daily reported cases in India have declined from a peak of more than 414,000 in early May. So far, the South Asian nation reported more than 28.5 million cases and over 340,000 deaths.

Puri said the government has now mapped out ways to deal with challenges like oxygen shortages, where hard-hit areas ran out of stock and logistical difficulties made it harder for new supplies to reach them.

Initially, the government diverted oxygen meant for industrial use to medical facilities. Last month, it stepped up efforts to streamline the supply by allocating funds to install 500 medical oxygen plants across India within three months.

“If a third wave comes, and when it comes, depending on the requirements, our capacity to again repurpose and again to convert back to dealing with it, I think that infrastructure capacity is there,” Puri said.

Categories
Business

Goal (TGT) Q1 2021 earnings beat estimates, gross sales bounce 23%

According to Target, fiscal first quarter revenue rose 23% on Wednesday as investments in exclusive brands and services like roadside pickup fueled customer loyalty and kept bringing them back.

The retailer also said it was benefiting from rising vaccination rates, a reopening economy and busier social calendars: shoppers were excited about new goods, especially clothing. Some rummaged in the shops again.

“We’re seeing a much more optimistic consumer who is excited to get back to the life they didn’t live last year,” said CEO Brian Cornell in an interview on CNBC’s Squawk Box.

Carried by that confidence, Target offered a second-quarter forecast that was well above Wall Street’s expectations, despite difficult comparisons to be made from last year.

Other retailers, including Walmart, Home Depot, and Macy’s, also had surprisingly strong results in the first quarter. Companies have partially attributed growth in sales to customers having more money in their pockets from stimulus checks. Walmart and Macy’s said customers buy items like luggage and teeth whiteners when they travel and go back to parties. But they haven’t stopped investing in their homes yet, which was a trend that started last year.

However, Target had unique benefits prior to the pandemic that kept its business going during the health crisis. It fulfills almost all of its in-store online orders, which improved the company’s profits. Numerous private labels have been introduced and expanded that set it apart from its competitors. And it has been ahead of other retailers when it comes to raising employee wages, which has held off a labor crisis and cleaned up stores.

Shares rose around 2% in premarket trading on Wednesday.

The following was what Target reported for the fiscal first quarter ended May 1 compared to its refinitive consensus estimates:

  • Earnings per share: $ 3.69 adjusted versus $ 2.25 expected
  • Revenue: $ 24.20 billion versus $ 21.81 billion expected

Net income rose to $ 2.1 billion, or $ 4.17 per share, from $ 284 million, or 56 cents per share last year. Excluding items, the retailer made $ 3.69 per share, more than analysts surveyed by Refinitiv expected $ 2.25 per share.

The more than sevenfold increase in net income compared to the previous year was due to several factors. In the early days of the pandemic, Target saw profits slump and labor costs spike as customers skipped high-margin merchandise like apparel and accessories and employees took on new responsibilities from extra cleaning the store to picking online orders.

Buyers are again spending more on apparel and housewares, and Target has increased sales of its own private label products.

Total revenue increased 23% year over year to $ 24.2 billion, beating analysts’ expectations of $ 21.81 billion.

Gain market share

The retailer said it continued to attract new customers and encourage them to spend more. It said it increased Market share of $ 1 billion over the three months, in addition to the market share of $ 9 billion in the last fiscal year. It cited internal and external research.

In the stores and on Target’s website, traffic over the three-month period increased 17% year-over-year and the shopping cart size increased 5%.

Like-for-like sales, a key metric that measures sales in stores that are open for at least 13 months and online, increased 22.9% year over year. This was significantly more than the 10.7% that analysts had expected in a StreetAccount survey. Sales from comparable stores increased 18% while sales from comparable digital stores increased 50%.

Roadside and in-store pickup and home delivery were popular options during the pandemic for safety reasons, but remain in demand for their convenience. Same-day service revenue grew more than 90% over the three-month period, led by Drive Up revenue growth of 123%. In-store pickup sales increased 52% while shipments increased 86%.

Apparel was Target’s strongest merchandise group for the quarter. Sales increased by more than 60% compared to the same period in the previous year. Hardlines, a category that includes items such as consumer electronics and exercise equipment, grew in the high range of 30% and home sales grew in the mid-range of 30%. Beauty product sales increased by a large percentage to teenagers. Food and beverage and the essentials – two categories that were particularly strong at the height of the pandemic – saw low to mid-single-digit growth.

The strength of the apparel was partly due to its weakness the year before when customers focused on stocking up on groceries and detergents rather than buying a new outfit.

A key part of Target’s strategy was to offer products that were only available in stores. In February, Target announced that its activewear brand All in Motion was the latest private label to reach $ 1 billion in sales. In the first quarter, sales of own brands increased by 36% compared to the same period of the previous year – the strongest jump in the company’s history.

Ready to party

Cornell produced other bright spots: he said Mother’s Day inspired shopping and was one of the strongest in years. He said he expects similar excitement from customers as they prepare for summer vacation like Memorial Day and prepare to return to the classroom or college campus.

The discounter shared a forecast of modest year-over-year growth, despite facing tough year-on-year comparisons due to unusually high sales during the pandemic. Comparable sales are expected to grow mid to high single digits in the second quarter and single digits in the last two quarters of the year.

Michael Fiddelke, Chief Financial Officer of Target, said the retailer is on track to invest around $ 4 billion this year to improve the customer experience and increase in-store presence. Among those investments, he said it would increase working hours to ensure store shelves are well stocked, open 30 to 40 new stores, remodel around 150 stores, and allow customers to pick up wine or beer in by roadside pickup most of its businesses.

Read the company’s press release here.

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Business

Find out how to win offers with large retailers Goal, Complete Meals, Ulta

Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images

April Harris of dessert company Keeping You Sweet, Melissa Butler of The Lip Bar, and Gwen Jimmere of Naturalicious share several things in common: they are Black female entrepreneurs who have succeeded building businesses on their own, and they have succeeded in winning deals with national retail partners including Target, Ulta Beauty, Sally Beauty and Whole Foods.

In recent decades, Black women have created new businesses at an unprecedented rate. There has also been more focus in recent years from the national retailers to diversify their supply chains and partner with more female and minority founders. They have as much experience, if not more, navigating the changing retail industry and dominance of the big chains as any successful entrepreneurs. Even with unique product ideas and passionate consumer bases, getting into the big retail stores wasn’t easy, and they have all learned valuable lessons, from pre-pitch research to post-pitch operations, on how to build a retail partnership that makes sense for a growing small business. They recently shared some of their early wins and misses, mistakes and hard-earned business wisdom, with CNBC.

Here are 9 lessons they want to share with entrepreneurs hoping to win a pitch with their dream retail partner.

1. If you aren’t a celebrity, bring proof of social media

Gwen Jimmere, founder and CEO of hair care brand Naturalicious, has been on the other side of the table: she worked at Ford in global communications and in the advertising industry before starting her own company. Ford was among the first companies to build its brand on Facebook and Jimmere says it is critical for entrepreneurs to build an online “tribe” that rallies behind their brand and can be used as part of a pitch. It demonstrates the community of consumers you can bring in for a retail partner.

This is especially important for brands competing with the increasing entrance of celebrities into the consumer market, who are more likely to be immediate sales successes in stores. Retail partners will look at sales and social media presence, and Jimmere says national retailers like to see proof of the popularity of a brand on social media, at least 10,000 followers on Instagram, as an example.

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April Harris, founder of New Jersey-based Keeping You Sweet, which makes gluten-free and vegan cheesecakes, says you need to do the research on your existing online presence if you have not already because for these partners it can be the major point of attraction. She started in local delivery and local Whole Foods and through the latter relationship was introduced to Amazon (Whole Foods’ parent company) representatives. Amazon mentors that were brought in to work with Whole Foods supply partners showed her search results related to her that she did not even know existed, thousands of searches for her name that piqued Amazon’s interest in a potential partnership.

2. Track social media by geography

From a retail partner’s perspective, it’s the best payout for the least work if you can bring in a community they know already follow you and buy everything you say to buy. “You have to keep those screenshots to prove it,” Jimmere says.

But it is not just about the total number of follows or searches. The geography of your social footprint is key for in-store deals. Jimmere says that when she started to pitch Sally Beauty the company was impressed with her sales growth but less sure that buyers across multiple markets would come into stores to buy.

“That got us into Sally Beauty because we could prove — even though they had never heard of us and were only in a few Whole Foods at that point — the geography of my tribe and how it overlapped with their stores,” she recalls. “Start saving all that social media stuff geographically,” Jimerre adds, and not only for an initial pitch, but if you want to expand your retail footprint with a partner after an initial deal.

Social media approval isn’t enough to win a pitch, she says, because you need to be able to make the connection between the social media presence and how it will drive people to specific stores and move product off shelves.

3. Don’t go for it all, all at once

“If a small brand doesn’t have lots of money to spend on retail marketing, which is a lot of money, it may be more advantageous to get into a handful of local stores, at most, that you can easily get around to or have family or friends help you get around to, to prove you can go regional and then national,” says Jimmere, who started in her kitchen and basement as a single mom entrepreneur and is now in 1,500 stores, primarily Ulta Beauty and Sally Beauty, but also a handful of Whole Foods.

Even though the grocery chain remains her smallest partnership, “Whole Foods gave me the first shot when no one knew who we were,”Jimerre says.

Now with a larger staff, an operations manager and a fulfillment partner, Naturalicious can turn around a retail order in a few days when it would have taken weeks before. “If I knew then what I know now I would make sure the supply chain is running like a well-oiled machine before getting into retail,” Jimerre says. “You don’t want to be too fast to do it.”

4. Be prepared to foot the bill for a while

Jimmere says that in retail payout to the entrepreneur can be on a schedule of anywhere from 30 to 90 days, even 120 days, after the sale, and that means entrepreneurs need to be prepared to carry that financial burden, especially with a new deal that is taking a small business to a new scale. The first few large retail orders will be a major expense and entrepreneurs need to know they may be waiting a while for that payback check.

“You really need to know your numbers,” The Lip Bar founder and CEO Butler says. “Sure you want to see the products on shelves, but as a business owner, it doesn’t make sense if it doesn’t make money. When I started pitching to go into retail I didn’t realize how much it cost.”

“I think the biggest mistake people make is thinking they don’t have leverage,” says The Lip Bar CEO Melissa Butler of deals with retail partners. “It’s not just about you doing everything they want you to do. … They took the meeting because you can potentially do something shape-shifting for them.”

Bre’Ann White

Butler says those long wait times before getting a payout for sales through a partner are a reason to stress knowing how much it costs to be in business with a larger retail entity rather than thinking about how much you will make. Retail opportunities by their nature mean you are losing margin, and losing direct access to the customer, so it is important to know the opportunity costs. 

“The single most-important thing is to be aware of the numbers.Your business might not get paid for six months, are you capable of footing the bill?” Butler cautions.

5. Understand that a coveted deal can be a costly one

Entrepreneurs may bite off more than they can chew in attempting to scale for a big retail partner, but many don’t realize those national chains often charge entrepreneurs in several costly ways that can make or break a business.

In-store displays, for example, can cost from $30,000 for the “cardboard” fixtures to as much as $300,000 for the permanent, prominent branded shelfs, and it is the brands not the retail partners who pay.

“It’s not cheap and you pay per store,” Jimmere says. Any time there is a promotion, you are paying for those discounts as well. You do want to have the premium placement in stores because those are the prime areas where people are spending the money, but you will be paying for it, she says.

Retail partners can also charge a late delivery fee if the product doesn’t arrive on the agreed upon schedule.

Butler and Jimmere said entrepreneurs need to remember that the national retailer is taking, on average, anywhere from 40% to 60% of the sales, and there can be those display charges and late charges which, if not effectively negotiated ahead of time or managed through efficient production, can reduce your cut of sales before you ever get the check.

6. Don’t be intimidated, negotiate everything

In one of Jimmere’s early attempts to win a deal with a large retail partner she was told that negotiating was not allowed. “It’s not true,” she says, and she warns small brands to not get so overly excited about the scale of a potential partner that they accept terms which may weigh on their business.

“I think the biggest mistake people make is thinking they don’t have leverage,” Butler says. You have to pitch to a retail partner’s needs and their customer needs, and show how your brand will stand out in a saturated market, but “it’s not just about you doing everything they want you to do. … They took the meeting because you can potentially do something shape-shifting for them,” she says.

“Depending on the terms, you may not even make money on every sale, and I didn’t even know that in the beginning,” Jimmere says. “Do not let anyone tell you nothing is negotiable or get so excited about having your brand in a store that you forego profit in lieu of being able to have bragging rights. At the end of the day, what matters is that you can sustain the business,” she says.

There are many consumers who would never have heard of Naturalicious if partners like Ulta weren’t good about promoting brands in stores, and that can ultimately lead consumers to come back to your direct sales channel in the future. But Jimmere, whose company is now doing $2.4 million in sales, says getting into a big retail network is not necessarily going to result in a doubling or tripling of revenue immediately. Sometimes, a big advantage is the discovery your brand is able to add from the in-store customer experience, though that comes at a cost too: you don’t get the customer data that do through your direct channel.

7. Accept that the hardest part may be getting a meeting

For all the persistence in making calls and getting lucky with unexpected connections at industry events, several entrepreneurs said they have needed to work with a brokerage partner to break through with big retailers. Jimerre and Butler both worked with brokers who knew the big firms like Ulta and Target well and knew how and why their products could be sold into these channels.

Jimmere says persistence and networking can pay off. She made the calls herself to Whole Foods in her area and she met a key Ulta emerging brands division contact at an industry conference, but getting into Sally Beauty wasn’t working by just submitting to the company online. “Imagine how many pitches they get. The stuff goes into a black hole most of the time.”

When Butler first made the decision to pursue retail partners she directly reached out to a lot of buyers, but says now it was not necessarily the best way to go. “Things do get lost and they get lots of pitches,” she says. Butler found that working with an external sales group was the most effective way of breaking through with a retailer like Target because of the trust already established as an agent placing brands with the company. Even though there is a cost to that middle-man relationship, “They will get you in front faster, and they should get paid for their work,” she says.

Those brokerage deals can be based on a percentage of sales or a retainer, but both Jimmere and Butler said working with brokers who understand these retail partners and are passionate about how their products fit into these companies plans, has been a key part of growing partnerships.

8. Walk the aisles, know the partner before pitching

Harris says it took Keeping You Sweet about three months to break through on her own with Whole Foods, and she started with one store in Newark, New Jersey. She said walking the aisles and learning the web site of a Whole Foods, or whatever dream retailer you want to be in, is critical before a first pitch if you are going it alone.

Her products are designed for gluten intolerance, which is a huge market linked to many medical conditions, as well as for people that need to avoid refined sugar, like diabetics, and those allergic to egg or dairy or choosing vegan as a lifestyle, in the case of her vegan cakes. But none of those consumer and health advantages would have been an advantage at Whole Foods if they already had a competitor offering the exact same products.

“Go into the store before you pitch them. The first thing is to make sure it is something they need or don’t already have in store, or are not even thinking about,” Harris says.

Businesses need to tailor the pitch to the nuances and goals of the retail partner. Whole Foods and Ulta Beauty, both of which Jimerre sells through, have completely different consumer goals in mind. Ulta is looking for “prestige, if not luxury,” she says, which ends up in details like Naturalicious packaging having shiny gold caps. Whole Foods is very big on supporting local businesses, and the best ways into its supply chain are at first to think small, before ever contemplating regional or national deals with it or its parent company Amazon.

9. Save even more than you think you will need

Jimerre was able to save money for her business dream while working for Ford and in the advertising industry, but looking back she says that she wished she had saved even more.

“I always tell people to stack money up when working in corporate, in a 9-5 job. That is your initial investor,” she says. She thinks that would have helped her lean less on family and friends and business credit cards in the early days of her business, which is a common route of funding, according the the Kansas City Fed, for Black female entrepreneurs who struggle to be approved for traditional capital from banks and investors.  

Harris has opportunities to expand with more grocery chains and with Amazon as well, but she is holding off for now due to challenges in scaling, and the need to secure additional financing to purchase more equipment and hire more staff. Without that funding in place, she remains concerned about taking on any new relationships, though she remains determined to secure the financing at some point and expand her partnerships.

Harris says that after her initial sales success as a local business she submitted many applications for financing but has received as many as two dozen rejections. “I wasn’t expecting to be rejected,” she says. Her credit was good and her orders were “through the roof” by the time she was seeking additional funding in 2019 to buy more equipment, but she has had to max out credit cards and borrow from family and friends. “Totally bootstrapping,” she says. 

Categories
Business

Biden taxes goal massive corporations, so why is small enterprise nervous?

President Joe Biden speaks while visiting Smith Flooring, a minority-owned small business, to promote its American bailout plan in Chester, Pennsylvania on March 16, 2021.

Andrew Caballero-Reynolds | AFP | Getty Images

Several key policy priorities on President Biden’s agenda are aimed at curbing the wealth and power of the largest corporations. However, as the debate has shifted to Capitol Hill and the president’s spending ambitions have taken by surprise in large measure, small business policy experts are increasingly feeling that it might be too early, and Main Street might be on several key issues at a time becoming a financial victim Many operations are just getting back on their feet after the pandemic.

The new business creation data is moving in the right direction and it is a signal of confidence in the economic recovery.

“The foundation is in place for great economic recovery and a return to pre-pandemic levels, but playing with tax rates at a time like this has a dampening effect,” said Karen Kerrigan, president of the Small Business & Entrepreneurship Council.

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Some of the best-known proposals include increasing corporate tax to 28% at a time when companies like Amazon have been paying an effective tax rate of zero in recent years. Many independent contractors are also concerned about health and safety in the PRO Act, which could lead gig economy players like Uber and DoorDash to treat independent contractors as employees. The government is more explicit about its focus on the gig economy.

No big political surprises in Biden, just questions

These proposals should come as no surprise – they were part of Biden’s platform when they ran for the presidency. Ambitious spending initiatives for infrastructure and American workers can lead to benefits in the form of economic growth and assistance to the government in funding future employee benefits.

“Proponents of the president’s proposals will show the broad economic benefits,” said Kevin Kuhlman, vice president of federal government relations for the National Federation of Independent Business, and there are small business sectors where spending could lead to growth such as broadband and infrastructure Projects. But even if these projects last a few years, they are only temporary, while the effects of tax changes could be permanent.

“They are definitely very positive about infrastructure spending, but timing is everything, and when they have a year of devastation and are digging out a huge economic hole, they just fear what further impact tax increases will have,” Kerrigan said. “Is it just the opening salvo? We are spending a lot of money. There will be more tax increases to pay the whistler than we know today, and that’s a big problem,” she added.

Corporate tax hike and small business

Anthony Nitti, national tax partner at RubinBrown, said business owners who have paid attention shouldn’t wake up in shock after Biden’s latest tax policy was revealed this week. There were no big surprises in the recent tax proposals, but there were some notable additions and omissions.

For many small businesses, it is good news that the president did not highlight an increase in social security wage tax contributions, which were considered to double from current levels at higher income levels. “We didn’t see that in the last proposal,” said Nitti. “Entrepreneurs will be relieved.”

There was also no new discussion of changes to the pass-through deduction for companies established as S-companies and partnerships that could expire at higher income levels. However, if the pass-through treatment, which allows for a 20% business income deduction, is not revised and C companies are subject to a higher corporate tax rate, the way small businesses are included in the future could be reversed, says Nitti.

S-corps and partnerships could end up in a favorable tax position compared to a C-corpus if the corporate tax rate rises to 28% – if Congress levels off at 25%, the math would change. But with the 20% income deduction available to pass-through businesses, even at a top tax rate of nearly 40%, the structure could be more attractive. Lowering the corporate tax rate to 21% under Trump eliminated the benefits of the pass-through structure, but that could “change dramatically,” Nitti said.

Kuhlman said there was major concern about the C-corp problem for the smallest businesses, as the corporate income tax hike was not discussed in terms that would be graduated for smaller, lower-income businesses. “The target here is the largest companies, many of which do not pay corporation tax. The problem, however, is that two-thirds or more than the companies are small businesses,” Kuhlman said, noting that the majority of the C-Corps are has done income less than $ 1 million.

Capital Gains Taxes and Corporate Ownership

Eliminating the current long-term capital gains rate for those with taxable income greater than $ 1 million would mean it would drop to the highest ordinary income level of 39.6%, which is nearly double the highest rate of 23.8% below is the law and would have a major impact on selling a business to an owner above the taxable income threshold.

In a recent analysis written for Forbes, he concluded that for companies currently set up as C companies – and more moved into that structure after the 2017 tax law changes – coupled with the proposed increase in the corporate rate of 21% to 28%. the combined maximum rate for shareholders would increase from around 40% to almost 60%.

“When I’m a business owner, I walk away from this week with two thoughts: I don’t know if my business will be in the right structure and if I plan to keep it going. In the long term, I’d better accelerate my exit strategy, if capital gains really double in the future, “said Nitti.

The Biden government said there will be protection for farms and family businesses that pass between generations, but experts say it is unclear what specific policy details will protect these units.

“Tax policy is the biggest disadvantage in my opinion. Small to medium-sized companies want to operate in a stable political environment,” said Kerrigan. “The back and forth about tax rates makes it difficult to plan.”

The PRO Act and Employee Benefits

Some of the tax proposals that focus on high net worth individuals will be negative for the minority of small business owners in the highest income brackets, and many independent contractors may not have this as a primary concern, but it is the PRO law that seeks to rank more freelancers than White-collar workers is the priority of Biden’s policy that this segment of the small business community has largely rejected. A recent survey by Alignable found that 45% of small businesses said this would destroy their business.

“It seems that these guidelines are aimed at large companies, but the problem is that it weighs on smaller companies,” Kuhlman said. He said the “ABC test” used to qualify employees under the PRO Act would hurt independent contractors and franchisees, as well as any company that requires the flexibility of using independent contractors.

There is also a push and pull of other progressive political initiatives. President Biden’s support for the Earned Income Tax Credit and Child Tax Credit can benefit small businesses by easing wage pressures. However, these benefits can be reduced when offered in exchange for the President’s support to raise the federal minimum wage to $ 15, as well as sickness and family leave benefits that may impose higher funding needs on employers.

While the latest proposals provide a more complete picture of what the administration is seeking, these multiple elements of employee benefits that can be passed on to employers in the form of increased labor costs leave the small business sector “with more” questions than answers “, at least for the time being. “said Kuhlman. While general public support for Biden’s policies may have been more focused on the benefits of spending on infrastructure, small business owners are more used to being sensitive to the cost side.” There are some concerns about the bottom line is not well aligned and the government has to come back to do more, “he said.