Categories
World News

As Israel-Hamas Stop-Hearth Holds, Gazans Survey Wreckage

Here’s what you need to know:

Credit…Samar Abu Elouf for The New York Times

The cease-fire between Israel and Hamas held fast through its first day and into Saturday morning in the Middle East, while residents across Gaza began to assess for the first time the scale of the damage wrought by the latest round of conflict.

For tens of thousands, the first step was leaving the United Nations-run schools where at least 75,000 had sought shelter from Israeli airstrikes.

Some families emerged on Friday clutching bags and blankets, bound at last for the homes they hoped were still standing.

Others had none left to go back to.

Officials in Gaza said that about 1,000 residential units across the coastal strip had been destroyed and five residential towers brought to the ground, along with an as-yet-uncounted number of businesses.

The bombing also leveled three mosques in Gaza, damaged 17 hospitals and clinics and dozens of schools, wrecked its only Covid-19 testing laboratory, and cut off fresh water, electricity and sewer service to much of the enclave.

The Israeli aerial and artillery campaign killed more than 230 people in Gaza, many of them civilians, according to the Gaza health ministry. More than 4,000 rockets had been fired at Israel from Gaza since May 10, killing 12 people, mostly civilians.

The damage in Gaza is not only a personal disaster for thousands of people and a humanitarian concern for the territory’s two million residents, but also the fertile soil out of which the next military conflict could grow.

“It’s mind-boggling to me that anyone in Israel, or anywhere, thinks that having an impoverished, besieged, angry, young, traumatized, starved population in Gaza is somehow in anyone’s interest, or could in any way produce stability or safety for anyone,” said Khaled Elgindy, a senior fellow at the Middle East Institute. “It just means it’ll happen all over again.”

On Friday, rescue work was still underway hours after the cease-fire took effect at 2 a.m. Workers digging in what appeared to be a destroyed Hamas tunnel found five bodies and pulled about 10 survivors from the rubble.

Gaza is blockaded by its two neighbors, Israel and Egypt, with Israel saying that it must tightly control access to prevent Hamas from gaining military capabilities and Egypt acquiescing for its own complex political and security reasons.

That means Gazans’ ability to import and export from the territory, get access to medical care outside it or fish off its coast is limited. Unemployment tops 50 percent. Almost no one can leave.

After the last war, in 2014, Israel and Hamas were scheduled to discuss easing the blockade in exchange for disarming Hamas, but little progress was made. The damage then was far more extensive.

President Biden chose quiet diplomacy rather than public pressure on Israel to end the violence.Credit…Doug Mills/The New York Times

As violence raged between Israeli and Hamas for 10 days, President Biden spoke with Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, privately six times, conversations in which he pressed him to answer a simple question: “How does this end?”

Mr. Biden’s tactic was to avoid public condemnation of Israel’s bombing of Gaza — or even a public call for a cease-fire — in order to build up capital with Mr. Netanyahu and then exert pressure in private when the time came, according to two people familiar with the administration’s internal debates.

In private conversations, Mr. Biden and other American officials reiterated to the Israelis that they had achieved some significant military objectives against Hamas, the militant group that fired thousands of rockets at Israel from Gaza, including targeting its tunnel networks. Mr. Biden pressed Mr. Netanyahu on what his objective was, and what would allow him to say he had achieved it so that a shorter war was possible, rather than a drawn-out military conflict.

In response, according to the people familiar with the discussions, Mr. Netanyahu did not lay out specific objectives that he had to accomplish before agreeing to a cease-fire.

At the same time, Richard N. Haass, president of the Council on Foreign Relations, cautioned against exaggerating how much credit Mr. Biden deserved for setting the stage for a truce.

“About 90 percent of the reason for the cease-fire is that both Hamas and the government of Israel determined that prolonging the conflict didn’t serve their interests,” Mr. Haass said. “This was a cease-fire that essentially was ready to happen.”

In his public comments, Mr. Biden refused to join the growing calls from world leaders and many of his fellow Democrats for a cease-fire, or express anything short of support for Israel’s right to defend itself.

Dennis B. Ross, who has served as Middle East envoy to three presidents, said a public demand for a cease-fire could have backfired. Had Mr. Biden called for a cease-fire, Mr. Ross said, “Bibi’s political need to stand up to him would have been much greater.”

Mr. Biden’s approach, he added, also sent a message to Hamas. “The more they understood we were not going to be pressuring Israel that way, the more they understood they can’t count on us stopping Israel,” he said.

Mr. Biden’s strategy of quiet diplomacy was intended to build credibility with the Israelis, in order to privately push them toward an end to the violence in a final conversation with Mr. Netanyahu on Wednesday. And it took into account the need to tread carefully with Mr. Netanyahu.

Aware of the mistakes made by the United States in trying to mediate the 2014 Israel-Gaza conflict, Mr. Biden and his team did not want the United States to become the focus of the story. Instead, Mr. Biden tried to create space for Mr. Netanyahu, whom he will need as a partner in the future in dealing with Iran, to achieve his objectives.

“Israel and the United States are going to have big things to work out, in particular Iran,” Mr. Haas said. “The president had to be careful in how he handled Bibi. Both needed to maintain a working relationship so that if and when the Iran situation moved to the front burner, they would be able to work together.”

Mr. Biden began his conversations with Mr. Netanyahu by making no demands. That helped to pave the way for a gently worded statement that came after their third phone call, in which Mr. Biden said he would support a cease-fire, but stopped short of demanding one.

In follow up conversations on Tuesday and Wednesday, Mr. Biden built up the pressure by demanding privately to Mr. Netanyahu the need for a cease-fire.

A Palestinian protester kicking a tear gas canister away amid clashes with Israeli security forces on Friday.Credit…Abbas Momani/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

RAMALLAH, West Bank — An Egyptian-brokered cease-fire between Hamas and Israel might have hit pause on the formal hostilities, but unrest flaring in Jerusalem and the West Bank on Friday made clear that Palestinians still felt they had plenty to fight for.

If anything, the combat between Israel and Hamas had only inflamed the Palestinian quest for greater rights and recognition, demonstrators said, with the truce doing next to nothing to address the broader inspiration for the rocket fire and stone-throwing.

Hours after the rockets and airstrikes stopped, tear gas veiled Jerusalem’s Al Aqsa Mosque and Israeli security forces stormed the holy compound, an echo of the police raids two weeks ago that preceded the deadliest fighting between Israelis and Palestinians in years.

In a Jerusalem neighborhood overlooking the mosque, the Israeli police tried to contain a crowd of hundreds of Palestinians carrying the flag of Hamas, the militant group that controls Gaza. The police used stun grenades to chase away protesters who had thrown stones and fireworks at them.

And in several places across the West Bank, Israeli soldiers used rubber bullets and live rounds to disperse Palestinians demonstrating after Friday prayers. In all, the Red Crescent said, 97 Palestinians were injured in the West Bank and Jerusalem on Friday.

“We, as Palestinians, will continue struggling to achieve our freedom,” said Emad Mohammed, 47, a trader from Ramallah, in the West Bank, “because the Israeli occupation of our land and people has not ended.”

At the Aqsa Mosque, where Palestinian witnesses said Israeli police officers had used stun grenades and rubber bullets to push demonstrators and worshipers out of the compound after Friday prayers, the Israeli authorities said they were responding to hundreds of young Palestinian men who threw rocks and firebombs at them.

To Palestinians, the clashes, like the fighting with Hamas, illustrated the disproportionate force used by Israel. It also demonstrated the larger asymmetry, they said, in which Israel holds most of the weapons, money and international backing, while blockading Gaza and denying Palestinians basic rights.

Though both sides claimed victory on Friday, the cease-fire was unconditional. It was back to the old normal, where tensions were never far from boiling over.

One of the immediate causes of Palestinian anger remained as explosive as ever: Sheikh Jarrah, the East Jerusalem neighborhood where several Palestinian families’ fight to stave off eviction has become a rallying cry.

“Just because there’s a cease-fire, doesn’t mean the death & destruction has ended, doesn’t mean the blockade is lifted, doesn’t mean those who lost their entires families will be rectified,” Mohammed el-Kurd, whose family lives in one of the Sheikh Jarrah homes, tweeted. “We must continue to our campaign to end the brutal siege and colonialism.”

The Israeli army at the Gaza border last week. It’s uncertain whether the war would prevent future battles.Credit…Dan Balilty for The New York Times

BEERSHEBA, Israel — Three times since Hamas took full control of Gaza in 2007, Israel has launched major offensives against it, and each time, Hamas rebuilt and the strategic balance was largely unchanged.

This time, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vowed, would be different. Armed with extensive war plans, Israel’s military leaders methodically went down a list of targets, trying to inflict maximum damage on Hamas’s military abilities and its commanders.

Yet even now, after a 10-day bombing campaign, the top echelons of the Israeli military acknowledge that their efforts may not prevent another round of fighting, perhaps even in the near future.

Many Israeli commanders expressed satisfaction with what was accomplished in degrading Hamas: scores of militants killed, 340 rocket launchers destroyed, 60 miles of underground tunnels collapsed. As they emerge after the cease-fire, Hamas’s leaders will be sorry that they started this round, said one high-ranking Israeli officer in Tel Aviv, who was involved in the planning and execution of the operation. Hamas, he added, did not know how much Israeli intelligence knew about it and how effectively Israel would thwart its attack plans.

But others were more tentative. Even if Israel had met its military objectives, a senior officer at a command post in Beersheba in southern Israel, where officers oversaw much of the campaign, said it remained uncertain whether the war would prevent future battles.

“I just don’t know,” the officer said, speaking anonymously to give a candid assessment of the outcome. “We need more time to analyze whether it was a success.”

The officer said Hamas still has several hundred rocket launchers. Another senior Israeli officer said the group and its affiliates still have about 8,000 rockets, twice as many as they launched at Israel in this conflict.

Questions have been raised in Israel, the United States and elsewhere about whether the Israeli military’s response to Hamas’s rocket attacks was proportionate and in adherence to international law.

The issues that fueled the fighting remain unresolved, and it has exacted a diplomatic cost for Israel, heightening criticism from Democrats in the United States.

President Biden said Democratic support for Israel is unchanged.Credit…Stefani Reynolds for The New York Times

President Biden insisted Friday that the Democratic Party has not shifted away from its support for Israel, pledging that there has been “no shift in my commitment to the security of Israel, period, no shift. Not at all.”

But as the cease-fire between Hamas and Israel appeared to hold, Mr. Biden continued to walk a careful diplomatic line, saying that the United States had renewed economic and security commitments for Palestinians living in the West Bank and to help those living in the Gaza Strip.

“I’m going to attempt to put together a major package with other nations who share our view to rebuild the homes and, without re-engaging, without providing Hamas the opportunity to rebuild their weapon systems, rebuild the Gaza,” he said. “They need help, and I’m committed to get that done.”

Mr. Biden’s comments came during a news conference with the president of South Korea at the White House. Mr. Biden rejected the assertion that Democratic support for Israel had changed over the last two decades.

“I think that, you know, my party still supports Israel,” he said. “Let’s get something straight here: Until the region says unequivocally they acknowledge the right of Israel to exist as an independent Jewish state, there will be no peace.”

Part of the reasoning for the cease-fire, the president said, reflected his own discretion, adding that “I don’t talk about what I tell people in private. I don’t talk about what we negotiate in private.”

He praised Benjamin Netanyahu, the prime minister of Israel, for keeping his word and said the longtime leader had never “broken his word to me.”

“The commitment that was given was immediately kept,” Mr. Biden said. “From the very beginning, I told him what our objective was, that there needed to be a cease-fire, and he in fact kept his commitment in the time frame in which he said he would do it.”

He also praised his top foreign policy advisers, saying they had been in “constant contact” with their counterparts in Israel.

“This was not something that was just done with a casual conversation between myself and Bibi,” Mr. Biden said, using the common nickname for Mr. Netanyahu.

Al Jalaa Tower, which included the offices of The Associated Press, after an Israeli airstrike.Credit…Samar Abu Elouf for The New York Times

Before deciding to bomb a high-rise building in Gaza City, Israeli military officers knew that it housed offices of The Associated Press, Al Jazeera and other news media, and for that reason some of them argued against the strike, three Israeli officials with knowledge of the discussions said on Friday.

Israeli forces warned that the strike last Saturday was coming, giving people time to leave the building, which Israel says contained vital Hamas electronic equipment. The significance of that gear, and the knowledge that no one would be harmed, bolstered the argument in favor of the bombing, according to the officials, who requested anonymity because they were not authorized to discuss the matter.

But in light of the international furor over the airstrike, some high-ranking officials in government and the military now call it a mistake, arguing that Israel needs the media to be open to hearing its version of events, and the bombing made that harder. Video shot by Associated Press workers as they hustled out of the building, trying to rescue a few cameras and computers, was shared widely on news sites and social media around the world.

One official said that while the airstrike was justified militarily, the doubters had been right, and the harm done to Israel’s international standing outweighed any benefit from destroying the Hamas equipment.

Shortly after the bombing, a top military official said that he had no regrets and that if Israel had not taken action, Hamas would have realized that it could shield its resources from attack by placing them near media facilities.

A senior Israeli military official said Hamas maintained a military intelligence facility in the building, and used it as a base for equipment used to try to jam Israeli communications and satellite navigation systems. Hamas has denied having any operations in the building.

Israeli officials said they had conveyed to U.S. officials intelligence that they said justified the strike but have not made that information public.

Earlier this week, Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken expressed concern about the bombing and said he had not yet seen the intelligence.

In Gaza City on Friday.Credit…Samar Abu Elouf for The New York Times

For the duration of the latest conflict between Israel and Gaza, entry into the coastal enclave from Israel and Egypt was closed. As a cease-fire took hold on Friday, the roads were reopened, and desperately needed humanitarian aid began to flow into the region. The New York Times’s Jerusalem bureau chief, Patrick Kingsley, sent this dispatch from the road.

Signs of the conflict still lined the approach to northern Gaza. Israeli tanks were stationed close to a crossing point. Debris was strewn along a small nearby road, possibly the result of several mortar attacks by Palestinian militants earlier in the week.

The tanks later moved off, leaving plumes of dust in their wake. A crowd of journalists waiting at the crossing point were allowed to cross shortly after midday. Israel had barred their transit for the duration of the war because of frequent rocket and mortar fire and airstrikes in the area.

To enter Gaza, we crossed through Israeli passport control, which is contained within a large terminal. Then we passed several narrow turnstiles and walked through the tall gray wall dividing Israel from Gaza — some of the first visitors to the enclave since the start of the fighting.

The scene immediately after the checkpoint, in the fields of northern Gaza, was as it was before the war — sandy farmland, overlooked by Israeli guard towers that punctuate the wall at Gaza’s perimeter.

Credit…Amir Cohen/Reuters

The first signs of chaos came at the first Palestinian checkpoint on the other side, about half a mile inside Gaza. Gone were the shopkeepers and most of the officials who usually work there. This time there was just a skeleton security staff, who rifled through our bags in a perfunctory way on a table, scarcely bothering to look inside them. Unlike before the war, no one asked for our Covid-19 vaccination status.

The first marks of devastation came on the road south to Gaza City. Beside the road were several bomb craters.

The streets became more dystopian as we entered the center of the city. Rubble was lightly strewn across many streets there, causing the cars to slowly zigzag their way through the city.

One airstrike had ripped off the roof of an office block. A second had shattered the glass facade of another. But the worst damage was on al-Wahda Street, the busy shopping area where 42 residents died over the weekend.

There were so many piles of rubble that they had narrowed the street by half, creating a traffic jam.

A pair of birds hopped their way across the broken stone, and a pair of children stood smiling on a mound of debris, their index and middle fingers extended in a sign of victory.

Israelis leaving a public bomb shelter in Ashkelon on Friday.Credit…Ronen Zvulun/Reuters

ASHKELON, Israel — As Israelis emerged from their basements and bomb shelters on Friday, their relief at the cease-fire mixed with frustration that, as in previous rounds of battling with Hamas, nothing had been resolved.

Many people voiced disappointment with yet another hastily arranged truce that they saw as fragile, temporary and even premature. Some said that the military should have carried on pounding Hamas in Gaza for another week or two.

“The mission wasn’t completed,” said Michal Kutzuker, 46, a mother of four who was sitting out eating ice-cream at Captain Crepe in Ashkelon Marina, an open-air leisure complex in this seaside city, with her extended family. “Nothing has changed.”

Speaking like a frustrated general, as many do here, she added: “Israel looks beaten, not determined. A psychological victory is as important as a physical one.”

After four major conflicts in the past 12 years and many shorter cross-border conflagrations in between, the threat of rocket fire has become a familiar, if terrifying, part of life here.

But this time was different, with far more of the unguided rockets fired at Israel’s civilian population, sending people sprinting for shelter. Dozens slipped through Israel’s vaunted Iron Dome antimissile system and crashed into Ahskelon, with two women killed.

Hamas militants and other groups launched more than 4,300 rockets at Israel in 10 days, far more than in any similar time period in past conflicts, and Israeli warplanes bombarded 1,000 targets in Gaza. At least 248 people in Gaza were killed, including 66 children, according to health officials there, and thousands were displaced. In Israel, 12 people were killed, including two children.

Ashkelon’s marina, whose ice cream parlors and fish restaurants are usually packed with people at the start of the weekend, was almost empty on Friday, in a measure of wariness about the truce.

A poll published on Israel’s Channel 12 on Thursday indicated that 72 percent of Israelis thought the air campaign in Gaza should continue, whereas 24 percent said Israel should agree to a cease-fire.

“We’ve been experiencing an operation after an operation after an operation,” said Tamar Hermann, a public opinion expert and a senior fellow at the Israel Democracy Institute, an independent research group in Jerusalem.

“Israelis are looking for a final conclusion to these operations. People are saying enough is enough is enough,” she said. “Sometimes, one is willing to suffer in order to bring a very unpleasant situation to a close.”

Children leaving a shelter in Ashkelon, Israel, on Friday.Credit…Ronen Zvulun/Reuters

Cease-fire agreements are precarious things, diplomats and Middle East experts cautioned, even as the deal between Hamas and Israel held in place on Friday.

After announcing the agreement on Thursday, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s office warned that “the reality on the ground will determine the continuation of the campaign.”

Similarly, a Hamas spokesman, Taher al-Nono, said on Thursday, “the Palestinian resistance will abide by this agreement as long as the occupation abides by it.”

No immediate violations were reported after the cease-fire began officially at 2 a.m. local time Friday. Past deals between Israel and Hamas, which has ruled Gaza since 2007, have often fallen apart. But the agreements can offer periods of calm to allow time for negotiating a longer-term deal. They also give civilians a chance to regroup and allow displaced people to return to their homes.

Previous cease-fires have usually gone in stages, beginning with an agreement that Israel and Hamas will stop attacking each other, a dynamic that Israelis call “quiet for quiet.”

That means Hamas halting rocket attacks into Israel and Israel ceasing bombardment of Gaza.

Pauses in the fighting are usually followed by other steps: Israel easing its blockade of Gaza to allow humanitarian relief, fuel and other goods to enter; Hamas reining in protesters and allied militant groups that attack Israel; and both sides exchanging prisoners or those killed in action.

But bigger challenges — such as a more thorough rehabilitation of Gaza and improving relations between Israel, Hamas and Fatah, the Palestinian party that controls the West Bank — have remained elusive over the past several rounds of violence.

There is rebuilding after every cycle of violence, usually with aid from the United Nations, the European Union and Qatar, but without a permanent peace, reconstruction is always risky.

Despite the devastating toll on Palestinian civilians and the extensive damage to homes, schools and medical facilities in Gaza, the current conflict has been more limited than the wars Israel and Hamas waged in 2008 and 2014, when Israeli troops entered Gaza.

In July 2014, six days after the Israeli Army began bombarding Gaza, Egypt proposed a cease-fire that Israel agreed to. But Hamas said that it addressed none of its demands, and the cycle of rocket attacks and Israeli airstrikes resumed after less than 24 hours.

Egypt announced another cease-fire two days later, but Israel then sent in tanks and ground troops and began firing into Gaza from the sea, saying that its aim was to destroy tunnels that Hamas uses to carry out attacks. Over the next several weeks, Israeli forces periodically halted their attacks to allow humanitarian aid, but the fighting continued.

In all, nine pauses in fighting came and went before the 2014 conflict ended, after 51 days, with more than 2,000 Palestinians and more than 70 Israelis killed.

Gaza residents surveying the damage to their homes on Friday.Credit…Hosam Salem for The New York Times

The United States plans to be at the forefront of an international effort to help rebuild Gaza, an undertaking that is likely to cost billions of dollars and include restoring health and education services and other reconstruction, a senior Biden administration official said on Thursday.

The official said that rebuilding Gaza — likely to be coordinated through the United Nations — was at the top of a list of diplomatic considerations in the region now that a cease-fire between Israel and Palestinian militants was underway.

The administration is also considering how to foster relations and coordination among Palestinian political factions in Gaza and the West Bank. The rivalry between the Palestinian Authority, which exerts partial control in parts of the occupied territories, and Hamas, which governs Gaza and which the United States, Israel and others consider a terrorist group, has been a major obstacle in international efforts to aid Palestinians.

Rebuilding Gaza is a necessary part of the diplomacy — not only to help residents, but also because officials and experts said it could help create leverage with Hamas, which has lost popularity among residents who criticize its authoritarian approach and poor administration.

But Dennis B. Ross, a veteran American negotiator of peace efforts between Israel and the Palestinians, said that international donors would be wary of financing a costly reconstruction effort without assurances that any investments would not go to waste — as they all but certainly would if Hamas reignited hostilities.

Similar warnings were posed in 2014 after an eight-week war between Israel and Hamas damaged more than 170,000 homes in Gaza, displacing over a quarter of its population. The international community created a monitoring system to oversee the rebuilding efforts and block any attempts by Hamas to import supplies that could be used as weapons.

Mr. Ross said that any future monitoring system would need to be an effective, round-the-clock endeavor that would halt reconstruction if Hamas were found to be storing, building or preparing to launch rockets.

“The issue is massive reconstruction for no rockets,” Mr. Ross said. “There has to be enough oversight of this process to know that it’s working the way it’s intended. And the minute you see irregularities, everything stops.”

Categories
Health

Many Unvaccinated Latinos within the U.S. Need the Shot, New Survey Finds

About 18 percent of Latino respondents said they did not yet have permanent residential status in the US. Although the Biden administration and local health authorities have reiterated that the recordings are available to everyone regardless of immigration status, more than half of this group said they were unsure whether they would be eligible for the recordings.

Updated

May 16, 2021, 9:09 p.m. ET

Nearly 40 percent of all unvaccinated Latinos who responded to the survey feared they would need to show government-issued ID in order to qualify. And about a third said they feared the shot would endanger either their immigrant status or that of a family member.

Many health departments have been taking increasingly inventive steps to attract Spanish speakers and reassure them that their immigration status will not be jeopardized, said Erin Mann, program manager for the National Resource Center for Refugees, Immigrants, and Migrants at the University of Minnesota, which guides communities on best practices advises to reach underserved people. This includes language-specific drive-on lanes for tests and vaccinations, running events in the evening, and telephoning health care workers to sign them up.

The survey results come from a nationally representative telephone poll conducted April 15-29 of 2,097 adults, including 778 English- and Spanish-speaking Latinos.

The report of the results also examined the disproportionate impact of the pandemic on Latino families, which explained their willingness to be vaccinated. About 38 percent of Latino adults said a relative or close friend had died from Covid-19, compared with 18 percent of white adults who said they had similar experiences. Two-thirds of adults in Latino said they feared either they or a relative could contract the coronavirus. Financial fears related to the pandemic have also plagued Latino families. Almost half said they had been economically affected, compared with about a third of white respondents who said so.

While about a third of non-vaccinated Latino adults wanted to get a shot as soon as possible, two-thirds hesitated and described themselves as waiting and seeing (35 percent) only when it was necessary for work (13 percent) or definitely not (17 percent). However, this group appeared to be accessible to incentive strategies, the report said. Better access would be helpful for them.

More than half of this group, overall hesitant and also busy, said they would get the chance if their employers gave them paid time off to recover from side effects, a rate almost three times as high like those of the white workers. (The Biden government has urged companies to take the action.) And 38 percent of that group would like to be vaccinated if their employer arranges for the shots to be distributed on site. Almost four in ten respondents said they would be more likely to get the shot if their employer offered a $ 200 incentive to do so.

Categories
Business

Confidence within the security of the J&J vaccine is low following U.S. pause, Kaiser survey reveals

An Army nurse holds a vial of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine at the FEMA-sponsored COVID-19 vaccination site at Valencia State College on the first day the site provided the Johnson & Johnson vaccine after the FDA repealed The CDC has offered a break again due to blood clot concerns.

Paul Hennessy | LightRocket | Getty Images

According to a new survey by the Kaiser Family Foundation, less than half of Americans believe the Johnson & Johnson Covid-19 vaccine is safe after it was temporarily suspended in the US after reports of rare blood clotting problems in some recipients.

While most people believe in Covid vaccines, in general, only 46% of respondents said they were at least somewhat confident about the J&J inclusion, compared to 69% who were for both Pfizer and the Moderna vaccines said. Kaiser surveyed 2,097 randomly selected adults aged 18 and over from April 15 to 29 for the study published on Wednesday.

The Food and Drug Administration and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention urged states on April 13 to temporarily stop using J & J’s vaccine “out of caution” after six women reported rare blood clots. A CDC panel recommended the US resume the vaccine ten days later, saying the benefits outweigh the risks.

The J&J news seems to have changed some opinions about a shot.

One in five non-vaccinated respondents said the news changed their minds about receiving the vaccine, even though the specific responses were different. 7% said they were less likely to want any of the three Covid vaccines, Kaiser noted. Another 9% said they were less likely to want the J&J vaccine, but that it didn’t change their mind about the Pfizer or Moderna shots.

Nevertheless, the proportion of respondents who said they had received a shot rose significantly from 32% to 56% in the survey last month. That number reflects data from the CDC, which reports that roughly the same proportion of adults in the United States have received one or more doses.

“The news was widespread and it certainly hurt confidence in J&J, but it’s not clear that it had much of an impact on whether or not people were actually vaccinated,” said Dr. Mollyann Brodie, General Manager of Public Opinion and Survey Research at the Foundation Program. “It confirmed for people who were concerned about side effects that there were side effects, but we know that the immediate effect – at least in terms of what people told us – is very small in terms of demand.”

Women were more likely than men to say the J&J news had changed their minds about vaccination. The Kaiser survey found that Hispanic women in particular, 18% of whom said they were less likely to want a vaccine at all.

The timing of the Johnson & Johnson hiatus coincides with a general slowdown in US vaccinations. The country reported an average of 2.1 million vaccinations per day for the past week, CDC data shows, up from a high of 3.4 million on April 13.

The fact that the nationwide drop in daily shots occurred during the stop is more a coincidence than a direct effect, said Dr. Rupali Limaye, faculty member at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. Limaye is researching vaccine decision-making and has worked with state health departments during the vaccine launch.

While the hiatus at J&J, and the reluctance it caused, contributed somewhat to the decline, the bigger factor, according to Limaye, is that the country has reached the point where most Americans who want a vaccine have got one.

“I hear from states that not only are things slowing down generally because of J&J, but also slowing down because we have essentially been able to meet the demand,” she said.

The survey data from the Kaiser Foundation confirm this. Respondents who said they were most anxious to get a shot – those who have already been vaccinated or want it as soon as possible – rose only marginally from 61% to 64% in the previous survey in March. The proportion who wanted to “wait and see” before vaccination, who had lost in size, remained roughly the same.

“We are at a stage in the vaccination effort where all the eager people are vaccinated or are about to be vaccinated,” said Brodie. “We are now turning to the reluctant people, with strategies that are required to reach many different people.”

This equates to an 87% decline, which is steeper than the declines Pfizer and Moderna saw from their respective peaks.

Categories
Health

Most U.S. corporations would require proof of Covid vaccination from workers: survey

A healthcare worker fills out a Covid-19 vaccination card in the Bronx, New York.

Angus Mordant | Bloomberg | Getty Images

According to a new survey by Arizona State University with the support of the Rockefeller Foundation, more than 60% of businesses in the US require proof of vaccination from their employees.

A large majority of US employers, 65%, plan to incentivize employees to get vaccinated, and 63% need proof of vaccination, according to the survey. Overall, 44% require all employees to be vaccinated, 31% only encourage vaccinations, and 14% require some employees to be vaccinated.

Regarding the consequences of not complying with the company’s vaccination policy, 42% of companies said the employee was not allowed to return to the physical work environment, and 35% said disciplinary action, including possible termination, was on the table.

The poll, released Thursday, represents the responses from 957 facilities in 24 industries in the United States. Most of the respondents were companies with 250 or more employees.

Tests are still crucial for employers. 70% of respondents are currently doing Covid tests, most of which are mandatory.

When it comes to employee wellbeing, company respondents said burnout increased by 54% and overall mental health concerns increased by 59%. However, morale and productivity also increase by almost 50%.

Looking ahead, 66% of employers plan to allow workers to work from home full-time by 2021 and 73% plan to offer flexible working arrangements when the pandemic is over. However, 73% of companies want employees to work from the office for at least 20 hours a week.

“This is not just a bubble going ‘back to normal’. There will be some positive flexibility after the pandemic ends, and we will be back to work personally,” said Mara G. Aspinall, a professor at the College of Arizona State University Health Solutions and one of the authors of the survey.

According to the survey, employees are primarily concerned about their personal health, the risk of infection, and workplace safety. 38 percent of employees want to return at some point, but not immediately, and about a quarter said they don’t want to return at all, according to the companies that responded to the survey.

“The pandemic has changed the traditional office environment in many ways, possibly forever, but the majority of employers say they see real value in having employees continue to interact face-to-face,” said Nathaniel L. Wade, Co-author of the study, which is also affiliated with ASU’s College of Health Solutions. “We really wanted to make sure we were giving public information so people could make good decisions.”

Most employees, around 51%, would prefer to wait until the government or health authorities allow them to return to work, and around 47% said they would return to personal work once the entire workforce is vaccinated.

“Employers have been relatively calm during the pandemic. We are now entering the next phase where employers will create their own guidelines so that employees can return to work safely and sustainably,” said Aspinall. “People want to get back to normal, but they want to do it safely.”

Categories
Health

Mutations may make present Covid vaccines ineffective quickly: Survey

Bethany Smith administered a COVID-19 vaccination to a member of the public at a mass vaccination center for the Aneurin Bevan Health Trust on March 14, 2021 in Newbridge, Wales.

Huw Fairclough | Getty Images

According to a majority of epidemiologists, virologists and infectious disease specialists surveyed by the People’s Vaccine Alliance, mutations in the coronavirus could render current vaccines ineffective within a year.

The survey of 77 experts from some of the world’s leading academic institutions in 28 countries found that almost a third found a time frame of nine months or less. Less than one in eight respondents believed that mutations would never render current vaccines ineffective.

Two-thirds felt that we “had a year or less before the virus mutated to such an extent that the majority of first-generation vaccines became ineffective and new or modified vaccines were required”.

The poll, published on Tuesday, was conducted by the People’s Vaccine Alliance – a coalition of over 50 organizations including the African Alliance, Oxfam and UNAIDS – which advocate equal global access to Covid vaccines.

The vast majority of experts – 88% – said that persistent low vaccine coverage would make resistant mutations more likely in many countries. The People’s Vaccine Alliance warned that at the current rate of global vaccination programs, likely only 10% of people in most poor countries will be vaccinated in the next year.

Shots and boosters

In the past year, a number of emergency Covid vaccines were developed, tested and approved. The three vaccines currently used in the West – by Moderna, Pfizer and BioNTech, as well as AstraZeneca and Oxford University – are mostly made in the US, UK or the EU, while China and Russia have developed their own vaccines.

Time is of the essence when it comes to life saving immunization. The coronavirus pandemic has resulted in over 127 million Covid infections and over 2.7 million deaths worldwide. The US, Brazil, India, France, Russia and the UK were hardest hit, according to Johns Hopkins University.

The spread of more infectious (and in some cases potentially deadly) variants of the virus in the second half of 2020 has made the race to vaccinate as many people as possible a highly charged event. Vaccine developers have already announced that they will be developing booster shots for variants of Covid that have become more dominant, especially those first discovered in the UK, South Africa and Brazil.

Where do vaccines go

The countries where the shots were designed or manufactured have given vaccination of their own populations varying degrees of priority over exporting cans to other locations.

The distribution of vaccines has already become a source of heightened tension, even among those who already have access to millions of doses, such as the EU and the UK, although both sides have now announced a “win-win” solution for supplies work towards it.

The World Health Organization has made appeals to wealthier nations accused of “stockpiling” vaccines to donate doses to their COVAX initiative, which aims to distribute vaccines fairly among poorer nations racing to protect their populations to be left behind quickly. The WHO said in January that the world was on the verge of “catastrophic moral failure” because of the unfair vaccine introductions.

The People’s Vaccine Alliance poll found that nearly three-quarters of respondents – including experts from Johns Hopkins University, Yale College, Imperial College, the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Cambridge University and the University of Cape Town – said that the open sharing of technology and intellectual property could increase vaccine coverage worldwide.

The alliance called for “the lifting of pharmaceutical monopolies and the exchange of technology in order to urgently improve vaccine supply”.

Categories
Politics

A big share of Republicans need Trump to stay head of the get together, CNBC survey reveals

US President Donald Trump looks on after presenting the Presidential Medal of Freedom to Celtics basketball legend Bob Cousy in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, DC on August 22, 2019.

Almond Ngan | AFP | Getty Images

A CNBC poll conducted in the days leading up to the impeachment trial of former President Donald Trump found that a large segment of Republicans want him to remain party leader, but the majority of Americans want him out of politics.

The CNBC All-America Economic Survey shows that 54% of Americans want Trump “completely removed from politics”. That was the opinion of 81% of Democrats and 47% of Independents, but only 26% of Republicans.

When it comes to Republicans, 74% want him to stay active in some way, including 48% who want him to stay head of the Republican Party, 11% who want him to start a third party, and 12% who who say he should remain active in politics, but not as party leader.

“When we talk about Donald Trump’s future, the poll right now shows that he still has that strong core support in his own party that really wants him to continue to be its leader,” said Jay Campbell, an associate at Hart Research and the democratic pollster for the poll.

But Micah Roberts, the poll’s Republican pollster and partner with Public Opinion Strategies, emphasized the change from Trump as president. Pre-election polls regularly showed that Trump has a GOP approval rating of around 90%, which means that at least some Republicans have deviated from Trump.

The online poll of 1,000 Americans across the country has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5%. It was conducted February 2-7 ahead of Trump’s Senate riot and sparking the January 6th riot in the Capitol. In the unlikely event of a conviction, the Senate could prevent Trump from ever holding public office again.

The poll shows that Trump continues to enjoy strong support among non-college Americans, a key population group for the GOP: 89% of the group want him to stay in politics, including 52% who want him to stay head of the Republican Party . That’s the highest percentage of any group and a potential red flag for Republican Party leaders if they vote to condemn Trump.

Categories
Business

Survey Says: By no means Tweet – The New York Instances

This often feels like a moral or ethical debate, sometimes played out in a cartoon on Twitter itself. But the question of how to get your readers to trust you is not really moral, in my opinion. It’s tactical and empirical. One reason reporters use social media is because of sources. Some reporters take information from sources by keeping their cards close to their chests. Others develop sources on social media by spreading their views and finding allies. But news talk about bias and trust strangely tends to leave the audience out. Last week, I persuaded an election bureau, Morning Consult, to ask Americans more or less about whether we should all shut up on social media.

The results were mixed. When asked directly whether “journalists have a responsibility to keep their opinion private on their personal social media as well”, a majority of respondents agreed with a margin of almost 2: 1.

However, the details of the survey of 3,423 people with an error rate of 2 percent reveal a deeper divide. Given the choice between two alternatives, 41 percent agreed: “I trust journalists more when they keep their political and social views a secret”, while 36 percent agreed to the contrary: “I trust journalists more when they are open and honest about their political and social views. “

The answers were not uniform across the groups. More of those who identified as blacks than those in other groups said they would trust journalists more if they knew what the journalists were thinking, while conservatives were more likely than liberals to trust journalists who keep their views private.

Other poll responses suggested that journalists might, just maybe, live on a Twitter-obsessed planet than ordinary people. When respondents showed a version of a tweet from Ms. Wolfe that was causing her Twitter trouble, the jumbled response made it clear that ordinary Americans had no idea what it was about.

Newsrooms could benefit from recognizing that some of the debates on Twitter have more to do with their own corporate identity and choices. Ms. Wolfe told me that while she thought the Times was unfair about her dismissal, she had no objection to the newspaper’s decision to have a social media policy. “The solution for me is not to work in a place where I have to pretend I don’t have an opinion,” she said.

The other, and perhaps more threatening, tension for the big newsrooms is that Mr. Carr discovered in 2012. Social media has shifted the balance of power in the same direction it has long moved in everything from entertainment to sports: away from management and big brands and towards the people who were once referred to as reporters but now sometimes as “Talent” are called. Reporters have every incentive to build great social media followers. It’s a route to television deals, book deals, job offers, and raises. And that can be in conflict with the wishes of your employer. (In case you’re interested, here are the Times reporters with over 500,000 Twitter followers: Maggie Haberman, Marc Stein, Andrew Ross Sorkin, Jenna Wortham, Peter Baker, and Nikole Hannah-Jones.)