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Tens of millions of lower-income Americans are still waiting for their stimulus checks, but there’s been some progress toward getting them paid.

People who receive benefits from Social Security, Supplemental Security Income, the Railroad Retirement Board and Veterans Affairs — while also not having to file tax returns because they don’t meet the income thresholds — have faced delays because the Internal Revenue Service didn’t have the proper payment files to process their stimulus checks.

Now the I.R.S. has all of the necessary files in hand, but it’s still not clear how long it will take for payments to be processed. The I.R.S. did not immediately comment on Friday.

Democratic leaders from the House Ways and Means Committee and other congressional subcommittees had sent a letter to the Social Security Administration and the I.R.S. on Monday, urging the quick transmission of the files. By Wednesday, the lawmakers’ request became an ultimatum: They demanded that the files for 30 million unpaid beneficiaries be sent by Thursday.

The Social Security Administration delivered its files to the I.R.S. on Thursday, according to a statement from the Ways and Means committee. (Veterans Affairs said it delivered its files on Tuesday; the Railroad Retirement Board delivered its files on Monday.)

The Social Security Administration notified congressional leaders that it had transmitted the necessary data to the I.R.S. at 8:48 a.m. Thursday.

Members of the committee blamed the delay on the Social Security Administration’s commissioner, Andrew Saul, who was appointed by President Trump. But the agency said it had been unable to act immediately because Congress hadn’t directly given it the money to do the work.

AARP also sent letters to both the Social Security Administration and I.R.S. on Thursday, urging them both to provide clear information on when beneficiaries could expect their payments.

Many federal beneficiaries who filed 2019 or 2020 returns — or who used the tool for non-filers on the I.R.S. website to update their information — have already received their payments.

So far, the I.R.S. has delivered roughly 127 million payments in two batches, totaling $325 billion.

Credit…Brendan Mcdermid/Reuters

Shares of ViacomCBS, the media goliath led by Shari Redstone, took a nosedive this week, with the company losing more than half of its market value in just four days.

Thes stock was as high as $100 on Monday. By the close of trading on Friday it had fallen to just over $48, a drop of more than 51 percent in less than a week.

There’s no better way to say it: The company’s stock tanked.

What happened? Several things all at once. First, it is worth noting that ViacomCBS had actually been on a bit of a tear up until this week’s meltdown, rising nearly tenfold in the past 12 months. About a year ago, it was trading at around $12 per share.

That rally came as the company, like the rest of the media industry, had made a move toward streaming. It recently launched Paramount+ to compete against the likes of Netflix, Disney+, HBO Max and others. The service tapped ViacomCBS’s vast archive of content from the CBS broadcast network, Paramount Film Studios and several cable channels, including Nickelodeon and MTV.

That shift matters because ViacomCBS has been hit hard by an overall decline in cable viewership. The company’s pretax profits have fallen nearly 17 percent from two years ago, and its debt has topped more than $21 billion.

But the stock rose so much that Robert M. Bakish, ViacomCBS’s chief executive, decided to take advantage of the boon by offering new shares to raise as much as $3 billion. The underwriters who managed the sale priced the offering at around $85 per share earlier this week, a discount to where it had been trading on Monday.

You could say it backfired. When a company issues new stock, it normally dilutes the value of current shareholders, so some drop in price is expected. But a few days after the offering, one of Wall Street’s most influential research firms, MoffettNathanson, published a report that questioned the company’s value and downgraded the stock to a “sell.” The stock should really only be worth $55, MoffettNathanson said. That started the nosedive.

“We never, ever thought we would see Viacom trading close to $100 per share,” read the report, which was written by Michael Nathanson, a co-founder of the firm. “Obviously, neither did ViacomCBS’s management,” it continued, citing the new stock offering.

Streaming is still a money-losing enterprise, and that means the old line media companies must still endure more losses over more years before they can return to profitability.

In the case of ViacomCBS, it seemed to hasten the cord-cutting when it signed a new licensing agreement with the NFL that will cost the company more than $2 billion a year through 2033. As part of the agreement, ViacomCBS also plans to stream the games on Paramount+, which is much cheaper than a cable bundle.

As the games, considered premium programming, shifts to streaming, “the industry runs the risk of both higher cord-cutting and greater viewer erosion,” Mr. Nathanson wrote.

On Friday, an analyst with Wells Fargo also downgraded the stock, slashing the bank’s price target to $59.

But the market decided it wasn’t even worth that much. It closed on Friday barely a quarter above 48 bucks.

Google’s offices in London.Credit…Ben Quinton for The New York Times

The Biden administration is keeping on the table the threat of tariffs on Austria, India, Italy, Spain, Turkey and the United Kingdom over their taxes on digital commerce as negotiations over a global tax agreement proceed.

The office of the United States Trade Representative said on Friday that those countries continue to be “subject to action” because they discriminated against American technology companies with their digital services taxes. Those taxes, which are levied against the digital services that tech companies like Amazon and Google provide — even if they have no physical presence in those nations — have become a huge global issue with which regulators are wrestling.

The United States has until June to decide whether to move forward or delay retaliatory tariffs under the terms of an investigation that began last year under the Trump administration.

“The United States is committed to working with its trading partners to resolve its concerns with digital services taxes and to addressing broader issues of international taxation,” said Katherine Tai, the newly confirmed United States Trade Representative. “The United States remains committed to reaching an international consensus through the O.E.C.D. process on international tax issues.”

U.S.T.R. will release a list of products from those countries that could face tariffs, and it will hold hearings in May about the investigations. Senior administration officials said on Friday that the step is procedural and not intended to provoke America’s trade partners. However, the administration wants to keep its options open to make sure that the negotiations continue to move forward productively.

In January, before President Biden took office, U.S.T.R. suspended tariffs that were about to be imposed on French imports while the other investigations proceeded.

U.S.T.R. said that the Biden administration is ending its investigations into Brazil, the Czech Republic, the European Union and Indonesia because the digital services taxes that they were considering have not been adopted. U.S.T.R. could still initiate new investigations if those countries decided to proceed.

The Biden administration has said it plans to take a much more deliberative approach to trade policy than the previous administration, and it is conducting a broad review of the tariffs that President Donald J. Trump levied on China and other countries. Administration officials have signaled a desire to adopt a more conciliatory approach to trade with American allies, like Europe.

Earlier this month, the United States and European Union agreed to temporarily suspend tariffs levied on billions of dollars of each others’ aircraft, wine, food and other products as both sides try to find a negotiated settlement to a long-running dispute over the two leading airplane manufacturers, Boeing and Airbus.

Last year, the Trump administration paused the international digital tax talks taking place through the O.E.C.D. so that countries could focus on the pandemic.

The Treasury Department will assume a leading role in the talks this year. In February, Treasury Secretary Janet L. Yellen signaled that the United States could be more flexible in the negotiations when she told the Group of 20 finance ministers that it was no longer calling for a contentious “safe harbor” plan that would have essentially given American companies the ability to opt out of some of the taxes.

Negotiations are expected to continue at international economic forums this summer, and officials have said that the United States’ new position has given the talks renewed momentum.

In the case of The New Yorker Union, negotiations with Condé Nast have dragged out for more than two years. Credit…Amy Lombard for The New York Times

Union workers at The New Yorker, Pitchfork and Ars Technica said Friday they had voted to authorize a strike as tensions over contract negotiations with Condé Nast, the owner of the publications, continued to escalate.

In a joint statement, the unions for the three publications said the vote, which received 98 percent support from members, meant workers would be ready to walk off the job if talks over collective bargaining agreements continued to devolve. At The New Yorker, the unionized staff includes fact checkers and web producers but not staff writers, while most editors and writers at Pitchfork and Ars Technica are members.

The unions, which are affiliated with the NewsGuild of New York, which also represents employees at The New York Times, have been separately working toward first-time contracts with Condé Nast. In the case of The New Yorker Union, negotiations have dragged out for more than two years.

The core of their demands, the unions said, were fair contracts that included wage minimums in line with industry standards, clear paths for professional development, concrete commitments to diversity and inclusion, and work-life balance. They said in the statement that Condé Nast had “not negotiated in good faith.”

“Condé Nast has long profited off the exploitation of its workers, but that exploitation ends now,” the statement said.

A Condé Nast spokesman said management had already reached agreements on a range of issues with The New Yorker, Pitchfork and Ars Technica unions over the course of negotiations.

“On wages and economics, management has proposed giving raises to everyone in these bargaining units; increasing minimum salaries for entry-level employees by nearly 20 percent; and providing guaranteed annual raises for all members, among other enhancements,” the spokesman said in a statement.

He added: “All of this has been accomplished in just two rounds of bargaining, as we first received the unions’ economic proposals at the end of last year. We look forward to seeing this process through at the bargaining table.”

The labor disputes at Condé Nast have spilled into the public arena a number of times. In January, union members at The New Yorker, including fact checkers and web producers, stopped work for a day in protest over pay. Last year, two high-profile speakers at The New Yorker Festival — Senator Elizabeth Warren and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez — vowed not to cross a picket line in solidarity with unionized workers.

The NewsGuild of New York said it would hold a rally for fair contracts on Saturday at Condé Nast’s offices in downtown Manhattan.

A sign at facebook’s headquarters in Menlo Park, Ca.Credit…Jim Wilson/The New York Times

Facebook said on Friday that it would bring employees back into its California offices beginning in May, one of the first large tech companies to lay out a plan for workers to physically return to offices.

The social network said employees would begin working in its San Francisco Bay Area offices — including its headquarters in Menlo Park, as well as those in Fremont, Sunnyvale and downtown San Francisco — starting on May 10 and on a rolling basis thereafter. The offices would be at 10 percent capacity, the company said, as long as national health data continued to improve.

“The health and safety of our employees and neighbors in the community is our top priority and we’re taking a measured approach to reopening offices,” said Chloe Meyere, a Facebook spokeswoman. She said Facebook would require regular weekly testing for on-site workers, as well as physical distancing and mask wearing indoors.

The San Francisco Chronicle earlier reported on Facebook’s back-to-office plans.

Mark Zuckerberg, Facebook’s chief executive, has been a vocal proponent of remote work since the pandemic began. Last May, Mr. Zuckerberg said he would allow some employees to work from home permanently, though they would face salary reductions if they moved to different parts of the country.

For now, Facebook has given employees the option to work from home until July 2, after which any employee who was not hired as a full-time remote worker can continue to work from home until their office is operating at 50 percent capacity. The latest health data, Facebook said, suggested that it would be able to reopen its largest offices at 50 percent capacity after Sept. 7.

Those who were designated as full-time remote workers can continue to work remotely, the company said.

Other office reopenings will be on a case-by-case basis, as Facebook continues to study regional data provided by the World Health Organization, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and other health agencies.

“We will continue to work with experts to ensure our return to office plans prioritize everyone’s health and safety,” Ms. Meyere said.

Martin Winterkorn, left, answering questions at the 2011 Detroit auto show. Mr. Winterkorn is facing criminal charges tied to the Volkswagen emissions scandal.Credit…Fabrizio Costantini for The New York Times

Volkswagen said on Friday that it would seek financial compensation from its former chief executive and the former head of the Audi division, accusing them of failing to act after learning that diesel vehicles sold in the United States were fitted with illegal emissions-cheating software.

The decision by the German carmaker’s supervisory board marks a turnabout. Volkswagen had been reluctant to publicly accuse former top managers of complicity in the emissions fraud, which has cost Volkswagen tens of billions of euros in fines, settlements and legal fees.

At the same time, the supervisory board said it found “no breaches of duty” by other executives who were members of Volkswagen’s management board in September 2015, when the scandal came to light.

That group includes Herbert Diess, now the chief executive of Volkswagen, who had joined the company two months earlier from BMW. Hans Dieter Pötsch, now chairman of the supervisory board, was chief financial officer and a member of the Volkswagen management board at the time, a position he had held for more than a decade.

Volkswagen’s supervisory board said that in a statement on Friday that a law firm hired to review evidence in the case found that Martin Winterkorn, the former chief executive, failed “to comprehensively and promptly clarify the circumstances behind the use of unlawful software functions” after learning about the misconduct in July 2015.

Mr. Winterkorn, who resigned shortly after the emissions fraud became public, also failed to ensure that questions by U.S. authorities “were answered truthfully, completely and without delay,” the supervisory board said. Shareholders suffered damages as a result, the board said, although it did not say how much money the company will try to recover.

Mr. Winterkorn’s lawyers said in a statement Friday that he denied the accusations and had done everything possible “to avoid or minimize damage” to Volkswagen.

The Volkswagen board said it also concluded that Rupert Stadler, former chief executive of the Audi luxury car division, was negligent because he failed to investigate the use of illegal software in diesel vehicles sold in the European Union.

Mr. Winterkorn and Mr. Stadler face criminal charges in Germany that revolve around the same circumstances. Mr. Winterkorn’s trial was scheduled to begin in April, but judges in the case postponed it this week until September, citing the pandemic.

Mr. Stadler has been on trial in Munich since last year on charges that, even after the wrongdoing came to light, he allowed Audi to continue selling cars that were programmed to recognize when an official emissions test was underway and dial up emissions controls to make the car appear compliant. The cars were not capable of consistently meeting pollution standards.

Mr. Stadler’s lawyer did not immediately respond to a request for comment. In the past, Mr. Stadler has denied wrongdoing.

Personal spending declined in February, but a fresh round of federal relief payments is expected to produce a renewed surge this month.Credit…Laura Moss for The New York Times

Personal income and spending dipped last month as the effects of stimulus checks faded following a big jump in January, but both are expected to rebound as another round of federal payments arrived in March.

The government reported on Friday that personal income fell 7.1 percent in February from the previous month, while consumption dropped by 1 percent. Powered by $600 checks to most Americans from a December relief bill, income in January leapt by 10.1 percent, while consumption rose by 3.4 percent, a figure revised Friday from the originally reported 2.4 percent.

Despite the drop last month, a big pickup is expected in March with the arrival of $1,400 payments to most Americans from the $1.9 trillion relief package signed into law this month.

In the months ahead, most economists expect consumers to return in greater numbers to stores, restaurants and other gathering places as vaccination efforts gather speed and consumers put the stimulus money and lockdown-accumulated savings to work.

“In February, households were waiting for the bigger stimulus check coming in March and there will be a surge in consumer spending, particularly on services,” said Gus Faucher, chief economist at PNC Financial Services in Pittsburgh.

All of the drop in spending last month was for goods, Mr. Faucher noted, as consumers pulled back on buying big-ticket items like automobiles and appliances. Services should benefit in the coming months, he added, as people have more opportunities to go out and life increasingly returns to normal more than one year after the pandemic hit.

“Consumer spending will be very strong for the remainder of this year and into 2022,” Mr. Faucher added. “There’s a lot of money saved up.”

In another sign of optimism, the University of Michigan reported Friday that its index of consumer sentiment rose to the highest level since the pandemic began.

Economists have improved their forecasts for U.S. economic growth, with Bank of America foreseeing a 7 percent increase this year in gross domestic product.

By: Ella Koeze·Data delayed at least 15 minutes·Source: FactSet

Stocks rose on Friday, along with government bond yields, amid a bout of optimism about the economic recovery.

The gains came a day after President Biden said he wanted the United States to administer 200 million vaccines by his 100th day in office, on April 30, a target the country is already on track to meet. The Federal Reserve vice chair, Richard Clarida, pushed back on concerns that the government’s spending plans would fuel higher sustained inflation.

In a victory for financial institutions, the central bank said that pandemic-era rules that restricted share buybacks and dividend payouts by banks would end midway through 2021 for most firms. On the economic front, gross domestic product data for the fourth quarter was also revised slightly higher on Thursday.

  • The S&P 500 index rose 1.7 percent, ending the week with a 1.6 percent gain. Bank stocks fared better than the broad market, with the KBW Bank index up 2 percent.

  • The Stoxx 600 Europe rose 0.9 percent, logging a fourth consecutive week of gains.

  • The yield on 10-year Treasury notes rose to 1.67 percent.

  • Shares of ViacomCBS plunged 27 percent on Friday, bringing the stock’s losses for the week to 50 percent. The decline followed Viacom’s announcement that it plans to raise $3 billion by selling stock and put some of those funds toward building its streaming offering.

  • Personal income and spending in the United States dipped last month as the effects of stimulus checks faded following a big jump in January, but both are expected to rebound as another round of federal payments arrived in March.

  • Retail sales in Britain rose 2.1 percent in February, rebounding from a slump of 8.2 percent the month before, when the country entered a third national lockdown.

  • A survey of German business expectations rose to the highest level in nearly three years.

  • Oil prices rose with futures of Brent crude, the global benchmark, climbing 3.9 percent to $64.34 a barrel.

Garments stored at a ThredUp sorting facility in Phoenix. The thrift-store start-up priced its stock at $14 a share, raising $168 million.Credit…Matt York/Associated Press

The thrift-store start-up ThredUp on Friday will become the latest clothing resale website to become publicly traded, a move that seeks to take advantage of a growing interest in secondhand retailers among young shoppers.

The company sold 12 million shares for $14 each in its initial public offering, raising $168 million and valuing the business at $1.3 billion.

Founded in Oakland in 2009, ThredUp built its inventory by sending prepaid packages, or “clean out kits,” to sellers, who fill the bags with used clothes and accessories and mail them back.

The website joins Poshmark, which went public in January, and The RealReal, which went public in 2019, on the Nasdaq stock market.

The three companies are all leaders in secondhand shopping, but they take different approaches to resale. The RealReal consigns high-end brands exclusively. Poshmark allows sellers to directly list their items. ThredUp has formed partnerships with brands including Gap, Walmart and Macy’s, helping these large retailers incorporate resale into their stores and e-commerce platforms.

All three emphasize the environmental benefits of resale — but ThredUp more so than its competitors. The company refers to itself as a “force for good” and has criticized the fashion industry’s carbon footprint, including by writing open letters to luxury brands like Burberry that have burned their unsold inventory.

James Reinhart, the chief executive and a co-founder of ThredUp, said Thursday that the company was “ushering in a more circular future for fashion by helping new waves of consumers, brands and retailers take steps toward sustainability.”

With the retail analytics firm GlobalData, ThredUp also publishes a widely cited annual “Resale Report,” which tracks growth of the secondhand market. By the end of 2021, the market value of online resale is estimated to grow to $12 billion, up from $7 billion in 2019, according to the last year’s report.

Much of that growth has been attributed to Generation Z’s preference for online shopping and passion for sustainability. ThredUp’s revenue was $186 million in 2020 (up from $163.8 million in 2019). It posted a net loss of $47.9 million last year.

Still, the company was not immune to retail’s upheaval during the pandemic, as detailed in a March filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Average monthly orders have now returned to prepandemic levels, ThredUp said, but the company has not “seen sustained growth” in the time since.

VideoCinemagraphCreditCredit…By Ben Denzer

In today’s On Tech newsletter, Shira Ovide writes that people are buying digital items like a tweet and a meme for bonkers amounts of money. But we need to take a step back.

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World News

Shares are set to rebound with Dow futures up 100 factors, Intel shares acquire

U.S. stocks are likely to rebound on Wednesday as investors again bet on a strong economic recovery from the pandemic.

Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose 130 points, or 0.4%. S&P 500 futures rose 0.5% while Nasdaq futures rose 0.8%.

Intel’s shares drove market gains that rose nearly 5% after the chip giant announced plans for a comeback. He opened two new factories to manufacture his own chips and those for other companies.

The Dow lost more than 300 points on Tuesday, as Caterpillar stocks fell 3% late in the day as it worried about the surge in new coronavirus cases in the US and abroad. The S&P 500 fell 0.8%, with airlines and cruise lines taking significant losses. The small-cap benchmark Russell 2000 fell 3.58% on its worst day since June.

However, cruise lines and airlines rebounded on the Wednesday before entering the market, with Carnival and United Airlines shares soaring more than 2%. Energy stocks also rebounded as oil prices rebounded.

Fundstrat Global Advisors’ Tom Lee said his clients were concerned about the increasing cases of Covid in Europe, but he believes Tuesday’s sell-off had more to do with the portfolio realignment towards the end of the quarter and superstitious investors a year after took profits at the lows of the market. He is still betting on stocks that will benefit the most from an economic recovery compared to previous post-war periods.

“After the war, cyclical companies will become new growth stocks,” Lee told CNBC. “This is what happened. It happened in Iraq and the Middle East. It happened in Japan. It happened in Korea after the Korean War. It happened in the US after World War II and the Korean War. This is a post-war environment . “”

In many regions of the world there are actually increasing Covid-19 cases as highly contagious variants continue to spread, according to the World Health Organization. Germany and France are extending or enforcing new lockdown measures.

But the pace of vaccination in the US is picking up, with nearly one in five adults now fully vaccinated.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen will continue their testimony before the US House Committee on Financial Services on Wednesday. When they first appeared together on Tuesday, the pair acknowledged the highly valued asset prices in the markets but said they are not concerned about financial stability.

“I would say that while the valuation of assets is increased by historical metrics, there is also a belief that with rapid vaccinations the economy can get back on track,” Yellen said during the testimony. “I think in an environment with high asset prices, it is important that regulators make sure that the financial sector is resilient and that markets are functioning well.”

Powell said the economic recovery from the pandemic “has advanced faster than generally expected and appears to be strengthening”.

However, he said the economic sectors hardest hit by the pandemic “remain weak” and the unemployment rate “underestimates the deficit,” so the recovery still has a long way to go.

Government bond yields fell on Tuesday and continued to decline slightly on Wednesday.

General Mills, Tencent, KB Homes and RH are among the companies posting profits on Wednesday.

Categories
Business

Cramer says ‘Easter rally’ might imply upside in these retail shares

CNBC’s Jim Cramer on Tuesday broke down a seasonal trading pattern in retail stocks that he believes investors should be familiar with.

The “Mad Money” host checked out well-known tech Larry Williams’ stock analysis, which was taking previous trades into account to determine which direction Costco, Amazon, Walmart and Shopify stocks could head in the early spring days.

“If history is a guide, Williams is betting that a rising tide in April can lift all retail ships,” Cramer said.

Every stock is down year over year, with the exception of Shopify, which is trading 2% higher. Costco is down 10% so far this year after rising 28% in 2020.

These retail-focused stocks are capable of rising higher in the short term, Williams says. Cramer called it an “Easter rally” and named it after the holiday that was less than two weeks away.

“I think the move may have already started,” he said.

Analyzing Williams’ charts, Cramer noted how the retail group tends to rebound in the days before or after the Easter break. However, he paused and recommended how market participants could trade in the moment and make a profit.

“If you’re concerned about rotation, you might want to take advantage of the rally at major retailers to call the register,” Cramer said. “As much as I like these companies long-term and don’t want to trade them, I can’t blame anyone for taking profits.”

Disclosure: Cramer’s charitable foundation owns shares in Walmart, Costco, and Amazon.

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World News

Wall Road rally pauses after shares hit document highs

Stocks were flat on Monday, with the Dow and S&P 500 hovering near record highs on optimism about the economic reopening.

The Dow rose about 10 points after hitting a daily high in the Open. The S&P 500 was down 0.1% and the Nasdaq Composite was down 0.2%.

Stocks, which will benefit the most from a quick economic comeback from the pandemic, drove the gains. American Airlines and United Airlines stocks rose 7% and 8%, respectively.

As part of the $ 1.9 trillion stimulus package that went into law last week, the IRS began processing $ 1,400 in direct payments for millions of Americans, which is expected to add juice to the already recovering economy.

Air traffic over the weekend hit its highest level in more than a year when the Covid-19 vaccine was introduced and Americans went back on vacation.

Stocks hit their lows when Italy, along with France, Germany, Ireland and the Netherlands stopped using the coronavirus vaccine developed by AstraZeneca and Oxford University because of blood clot concerns.

The 10-year Treasury yield was trading at 1.616% on Monday after hitting its highest level in more than a year on Friday. The surge in bond yields has challenged growth stocks for the past few weeks, dragging investors into cyclical pockets of the market.

“Bond yields remain the main risk to the stock market,” said Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at Leuthold Group. “They are calm until this morning, however, and as the pace of their recent advance slows, investors can focus more on how low overall returns remain.”

“Investors will continually grapple with the fear of economic overheating and Fed tightening that have gripped markets over the past few weeks,” David Kostin, Goldman’s chief US equities strategist, wrote in a note. “We believe stock valuations should be able to digest 10-year returns of around 2% with little difficulty.”

Shares rose last week, the Dow rose 4% and the S&P 500 rose 2.6%. The S&P 500 and the Dow both closed at record highs on Friday. The Nasdaq Composite was up 3% last week despite a sell-off on Friday triggered by rising interest rates.

Investors will prepare for Wednesday when the Federal Reserve will make its rate decision. The central bank is expected to recognize much better economic growth. Bond professionals are also watching to see if Fed officials will tweak their interest rate outlook, which now doesn’t include rate hikes through 2023.

On the vaccine front last week, Biden announced that he would instruct states to question all adults for the vaccine by May 1. Biden also made a goal of allowing Americans to meet in person with friends and loved ones in small groups to celebrate the Fourth of July.

(Correction: In an earlier version of the story, Goldman’s Kostin title was incorrectly stated.)

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World News

Shares rally as tech shares mount comeback, Nasdaq jumps greater than 4%

US stocks rose Tuesday after a decline in bond yields led investors into the battered tech sector.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite rose 4.2%, hitting its best day since April 2020. Tesla stock rose 17% after a five-day streak of bad luck, heading for its biggest one-day pop since February 2020. Apple, Facebook and Amazon jumped 4% each, while Microsoft and Netflix both gained at least 3%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 250 points after hitting an intraday high at the start of the session. The S&P 500 gained 2%.

Technology stocks bounced back from heavy losses as bond yields stabilized. The 10-year government bond yield fell more than 4 basis points to 1.54%. The key interest rate stood at 1.62% on Monday.

“After lagging heavily over the past few weeks, growth / momentum stocks are exploding higher as investors get a little more comfortable with interest rates and buy what was once the most popular sector,” said Adam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge. in a note.

The Nasdaq lost 2.4% in the previous session, closing more than 10% below its February 12 high and falling into correction territory. Lately, high-growth names have come under pressure as rising interest rates make their future earnings less valuable today, making it difficult to justify the stocks’ high valuations.

Many popular technology stocks have fallen double digits over the past month on fear of interest rates. Apple is down 10% in the last month while Tesla is down more than 20%. Pandemic betting Zoom Video and Peloton fell more than 20% over the same period.

“Many of these technology stocks are oversold in the short term, so it’s no great surprise that they are seeing a good rebound,” said Matt Maley, chief marketing strategist at Miller Tabak. “The question will be whether this jump is a strong one … or a ‘dead cat blow’ that doesn’t last long at all.”

Widely pursued investor Cathie Wood of Ark Investment Management told CNBC on Monday that the recent tech sell-off opened “great opportunities” for her to buy the game-only names in her funds, which focus on disruptive tech stocks.

Wood’s flagship fund Ark Innovation (ARKK) rose 10% on Tuesday, marking the best day ever.

Meanwhile, the rally took a breather as games and cyclical stocks reopened on Tuesday. Energy was the only red sector to decline 0.7% after rising 9% this month alone. Financial stocks and industrial stocks also underperformed.

The Senate’s approval of the $ 1.9 trillion Economic Facilitation and Incentive Act had investors continue to turn to these areas of the market looking for an economic recovery. House Democrats want to pass the bill on Wednesday so President Joe Biden can sign it by the weekend.

Categories
Business

Analyst on outlook for High Glove, Malaysian glove shares

SINGAPORE – The recent fall in prices for Malaysian rubber glove manufacturers is “unjustified,” said an analyst who predicts further uptrend for stocks.

Top Glove, the world’s largest manufacturer of rubber gloves, was down 17.7% this year at the close of trading on Monday. The smaller colleagues Hartalega, Supermax and Kossan fell between 18% and 30%.

In comparison, the benchmark index FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI fell 0.9% over the same period.

Employees at Top Glove, the world’s largest glove manufacturer, will test latex glove production in a waterproof test room at one of the company’s factories in Selangor, Malaysia on February 18, 2020.

Samsul said | Bloomberg | Getty Images

“We are maintaining our overweight position in the sector as we believe the recent decline in share prices is not justified,” wrote Ng Chi Hoong, an analyst at Malaysian investment bank Affin Hwang, in a report on Monday.

The decline in Malaysian glove inventories followed a significant jump last year as the Covid-19 pandemic boosted demand for medical gloves.

Factors affecting investor confidence in the stocks include a potential decline in glove retail prices with lower demand as more people are vaccinated around the world, Ng said.

In addition, Top Glove’s plans to list in Hong Kong – the third public listing after Malaysia and Singapore – also sparked concerns that the company is raising funds in anticipation of a weaker outlook, he said.

But those concerns are likely to subside, Ng said. Here are its target prices for Malaysia’s glove inventory.

Affin Hwang’s target price for Malaysian glove stocks

Stocks Monday is over (Malaysian ringgit) Guide price (Malaysian ringgit) head
Top glove 5.04 10.10 100%
Hartalega 9.70 5 p.m. 75%
Super max 4.21 10.90 159%
Kossan 3.66 9.30 154%

Challenge to stay above pre-covid levels

The analyst said the increase in average glove retail prices was unsustainable and forecast a 30% to 35% price drop in 2022. Still, prices are likely to stay above pre-pandemic levels for at least the next two to three years. he said.

This is partly because the demand for gloves is expected to continue to grow in the coming years as the medical sector makes more personal protective equipment use, Ng said.

He added that he agreed with the report by consultants Frost and Sullivan, commissioned by Top Glove, which said demand for disposable gloves would grow an average of 15% annually for the next five years.

Such demand growth would be accompanied by a 20% annual supply increase over the next few years, Ng said.

Top Glove is planning a listing in Hong Kong

Another development that has fueled recent price moves in Malaysian glove stocks is Top Glove’s planned third listing in Hong Kong.

The company announced last month that it had applied for a “double primary listing” in Hong Kong that could raise up to 7.7 billion ringgit ($ 1.87 billion). It said it will keep its current primary listing in Malaysia and secondary listing in Singapore.

Investors reacted negatively to news that the additional listing would dilute Top Glove’s earnings per share.

Nonetheless, Ng has kept his buy recommendation for Top Glove and his Malaysian colleagues. He said the decline in stock prices had lowered valuations to levels “too cheap to ignore”.

The analyst added that Malaysian glove makers have a higher dividend yield and better return on equity compared to their international counterparts – a measure of financial performance.

Top Glove on Tuesday reported an increase in quarterly earnings to 2.87 billion ringgit ($ 695 million) for the three months ended February from 115.68 million ringgit ($ 28.03 million) a year ago.

The company said global demand for gloves continues to be “strong” as the Covid pandemic has led to an increase in glove use and hygiene awareness.

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Shares are buying and selling on reopening optimism, however dangers stay

The stock market is betting on reopening optimism, which will cause technology stocks to fall and cyclical stocks to rise in Tuesday’s session, CNBC’s Jim Cramer said.

While key averages were all down at close of trading, Cramer said the action was defined by a decline in consistent operators and an increase in sporadic boom-and-bust stocks.

“It’s all about optimism, people. Investors vote with their feet,” said the host of “Mad Money”. “They’re leaving those secular growth stories, the stocks of companies that do well regardless of whether the economy is hot or cold. Instead, they find their way into stocks of companies that only make big bucks when business is booming.” “

The comments come after the overall market pulled back on Monday’s gains that followed a tough sell-off last week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 144 points Tuesday to 31,391.52, down 0.46%. The S&P 500 retreated 0.81% to 3,870.29. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite fell 1.7% to 13,358.79.

The S&P sector indices, with the exception of materials, also traded lower during the session. The market was toughest in tech and consumer staples, with both indices dropping more than 1% along with the Nasdaq.

Cramer said the market activity reflects investors betting on the chances that citizens will soon be able to drop their Covid-19 protective masks and that states will soon be dropping coronavirus restrictions thanks to the country’s advances in vaccines The economy can return to normal. Still, a tug-of-war remains between those who are optimistic and those who are cautious, he added.

The governors of Texas and Mississippi on Tuesday announced plans to lift mandates to wear masks and all restrictions on doing business in their states.

“You bet we’ll soon be able to rip our masks off and get back to normal, and that’s the core of this market right now,” Cramer said. “Right now, it’s the people who believe our long national nightmares are over. They are the ones who win.”

However, he warned that the moment in the market is still prone to risk. Cramer said the country could reopen too quickly and that variants of the virus, such as the strain first spotted in South Africa, could lead to further spikes if the country drops its guard.

While President Joe Biden expects to sign a $ 1.9 trillion stimulus package that will be on its way through Congress later this month, any hiccups in Senate enforcement could hit the market impact.

“There’s still a lot that could go wrong,” said Cramer.

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Shares Rally After Rout in Bonds Subsides: Stay Updates

Here’s what you need to know:

Stocks on Wall Street rallied in early trading on Monday, following global markets higher as a rout in government bonds subsided.

The S&P 500 rose 1.5 percent while the Stoxx Europe 600 index was up by about the same amount. Over the weekend, U.S. federal regulators authorized the one-shot Johnson & Johnson Covid-19 vaccine, adding to the positive market sentiment.

The Senate this week will begin work on a $1.9 trillion relief package passed by the House on Saturday. Democrats in the Senate, which is evenly split, face political and procedural challenges. Lawmakers are aiming to send the bill to President Biden for enactment by March 14, when unemployment benefits will begin to expire for some jobless workers.

The 10-year yield on U.S. Treasury notes was at 1.43 percent, down from as high as 1.61 percent on Thursday. Globally, long-dated bond yields fell from Australia to Britain on Monday. Last week, rising yields and higher inflation expectations led some traders to question when central banks would have to pull back on their easy-money policies. And the Bank of England’s chief economist said central bankers needed to avoid being complacent about how difficult it might be to tame inflation.

The prospect of tighter monetary policy knocked stock indexes down from their recent highs. Last week, the S&P 500 fell nearly 2.5 percent while the Nasdaq fell nearly 5 percent as technology stocks lost value.

On Monday, the Nasdaq rose about 1.7 percent. “We do not expect the tech sell-off to extend much further, and continue to see value in the sector for longer-term investors,” strategists at UBS wrote in a note.

  • Homebuilders such as Persimmon, Barratt Developments and Taylor Wimpey were the biggest gainers in the FTSE 100 index ahead of the British government’s budget presentation on Wednesday, when the chancellor is expected to announce a new mortgage guarantee program to help people buy houses with small deposits.

  • Johnson & Johnson climbed about 1.5 percent. Over the weekend, regulators in the U.S. approved the company’s coronavirus vaccine for emergency use, making it the third vaccine to be authorized in the country.

  • Boeing rose 4 percent after United Airlines said it was adding 25 planes to its order for the 737 Max jet, bringing its total to 180 in the coming years, and that it had sped up the delivery timeline as it seeks to position itself for the expected recovery in travel. United also rose 4 percent.

Credit…Anna Moneymaker for The New York Times

Senator Elizabeth Warren, Democrat of Massachusetts, plans to introduce legislation on Monday that would tax the net worth of the wealthiest people in America, a proposal aimed at persuading President Biden and other Democrats to fund sweeping new federal spending programs by taxing the richest Americans.

Ms. Warren’s wealth tax would apply a 2 percent tax to individual net worth — including the value of stocks, houses, boats and anything else a person owns, after subtracting out any debts — above $50 million. It would add an additional 1 percent surcharge for net worth above $1 billion.

The proposal, which mirrors the plan Ms. Warren unveiled while seeking the 2020 presidential nomination, is not among the top revenue-raisers that Democratic leaders are considering to help offset Mr. Biden’s campaign proposals to spend trillions of dollars on infrastructure, education, child care, clean energy deployment, health care and other domestic initiatives. Unlike Ms. Warren, Mr. Biden pointedly did not endorse a wealth tax in the 2020 Democratic presidential primaries.

But Ms. Warren is pushing colleagues to pursue such a plan, which has gained popularity with the public as the richest Americans reap huge gains while 10 million Americans remain out of work as a result of the pandemic.

Polls have consistently shown Ms. Warren’s proposal winning the support of more than three in five Americans, including a majority of Republican voters.

“A wealth tax is popular among voters on both sides for good reason: because they understand the system is rigged to benefit the wealthy and large corporations,” Ms. Warren said. “As Congress develops additional plans to help our economy, the wealth tax should be at the top of the list to help pay for these plans because of the huge amounts of revenue it would generate.”

She said she was confident that “lawmakers will catch up to the overwhelming majority of Americans who are demanding more fairness, more change, and who believe it’s time for a wealth tax.”

Mr. Biden did not propose any tax increases to offset the $1.9 trillion economic aid package that he hopes to sign later this month. Mr. Biden has said he will pay for long-term spending — as opposed to a temporary economic jolt — with tax increases on high earners and corporations.

Business groups and Republicans have already begun to raise concerns about Mr. Biden’s tax plans. Those same groups are not fans of Ms. Warren’s plan, which was a centerpiece of her 2020 Democratic presidential campaign.

Critics say the tax would be difficult for the federal government to calculate and enforce, that it would discourage investment and that it could be ruled unconstitutional by courts. Ms. Warren has amassed letters of support from constitutional scholars who say the plan would pass muster.

Berkshire Hathaway released its latest annual results on Saturday, and the accompanying letter to investors from Warren Buffett, the conglomerate’s chairman and chief executive, revealed a clear theme: The investor known as the Oracle of Omaha isn’t taking as many risks — or big swings at deal-making — as he used to, according to the DealBook newsletter.

Berkshire is spending more of its $138 billion in cash on smaller investments, rather than deploying it on the huge acquisitions that he famously made in the past. Berkshire bought back nearly $25 billion of its own shares last year, a record for a company that until recently was reluctant to spend its cash this way.

In his letter to investors, Mr. Buffett sang the praises of buybacks — at Berkshire and at the companies it invests in — writing, “As a sultry Mae West assured us: ‘Too much of a good thing can be … wonderful.’”

When it came to deal-making, Mr. Buffett admitted a big mistake in his last major corporate takeover. He wrote that the $37 billion he paid for Precision Castparts, a maker of airplane parts, was too much. (The 2016 transaction resulted in a $10 billion write-down last year.) “No one misled me in any way,” he wrote. “I was simply too optimistic.”

Berkshire’s biggest bets today include a $120 billion stake in Apple and majority stakes in Burlington Northern railroad and Berkshire Hathaway Energy. That relative conservatism comes as Berkshire’s stock has underperformed the S&P 500 in recent years.

Fed Board Governor Lael Brainard during a 2017 speech.Credit…Brian Snyder/Reuters

Lael Brainard, a governor on the Federal Reserve’s Washington-based board, said that the coronavirus pandemic made clear that the global financial system has some weak spots, and offered suggestions for fixing some of the top problems.

Ms. Brainard pointed out that when spooked investors dashed for cash last March, it caused strains in both short-term markets and the market for government debt, and it took big interventions from the Fed to stem the meltdown.

“A number of common-sense reforms are needed to address the unresolved structural vulnerabilities” in key markets, Ms. Brainard said, speaking from prepared remarks at a webcast event.

Some money market mutual funds, which companies and ordinary investors use to earn more interest than they would if they kept their cash in a savings account, saw massive outflows last year and required a Fed rescue — the second time money funds have needed an emergency intervention in a dozen years. Ms. Brainard suggested that solutions like swing pricing, which penalizes people who pull their cash out during times of trouble, are worth considering.

While banks held up pretty well amid the pandemic meltdown, Ms. Brainard said that strength was owed to post-financial crisis reforms that required big banks to hold shock-absorbing buffers. The Fed’s rescues also helped, she noted.

“Bank resilience benefited from the emergency interventions that calmed short-term funding markets, and from the range of emergency facilities that helped support credit flows to businesses and households,” she said, noting that bank capital fell at the onset of the crisis before rebounding later in the year.

Ms. Brainard’s tone seemed to contrast with that of her colleague, Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Randal K. Quarles. Mr. Quarles suggested during a webinar last week that banks’ strong performance signals that efforts to limit their payouts to conserve capital during times of stress — such as the ones the Fed employed last year — should be rare.

But when it comes to the need for a re-examination of what happened in money market mutual funds, the two are more aligned.

“The March 2020 market turmoil highlighted some structural vulnerabilities” in the funds, Mr. Quarles said in a letter last week, written in his capacity as chair of the global Financial Stability Board. Mr. Quarles said the board will provide reform recommendations in July and a final report in October.

Heidelberg residents who give up their cars can ride public transportation free for a year.Credit…Felix Schmitt for The New York Times

Heidelberg, Germany, is at the forefront of a movement: the push to get rid of cars entirely.

Heidelberg, a city of 160,000 people on the Neckar River, is one of only six cities in Europe considered “innovators” by C40 Cities, an organization that promotes climate-friendly urban policies and whose chairman is Michael Bloomberg, the former mayor of New York. (The others are Oslo, Copenhagen, Venice, and Amsterdam and Rotterdam in the Netherlands.)

Eckart Würzner, Heidelberg’s mayor, is on a mission to make his city emission free, Jack Ewing reports for The New York Times. And he’s not a fan of electric vehicles — he wants to reduce dependence on cars, no matter where they get their juice.

Heidelberg is buying a fleet of hydrogen-powered buses and designing neighborhoods to discourage all vehicles and encourage walking. It is building a network of bicycle “superhighways” to the suburbs and bridges that would allow cyclists to bypass congested areas or cross the Neckar without having to compete for road space with motor vehicles. Residents who give up their cars get to ride public transportation free for a year.

“If you need a car, use car sharing,” Mr. Würzner said in an interview.

Battery-powered vehicles don’t pollute the air, but they take up just as much space as gasoline models. Eckart Würzner, Heidelberg’s mayor, complains that Heidelberg still suffers rush-hour traffic jams, even though only about 20 percent of residents get around by car.

“Commuters are the main problem we haven’t solved yet,” Mr. Würzner said. Traffic was heavy on a recent weekday, pandemic notwithstanding.

Some critics, including some ACLU chapters, say facial recognition is uniquely harmful and must be banned.Credit…Ting Shen for The New York Times

A police reform bill in Massachusetts has managed to strike a balance on regulating facial recognition, allowing law enforcement to harness the benefits of the tool while building in protections that might prevent the false arrests that have happened before, Kashmir Hill reports for The New York Times.

The bill, which goes into effect in July, creates new guardrails: Police first must get a judge’s permission before running a face recognition search, and then have someone from the state police, the F.B.I. or the Registry of Motor Vehicles perform the search. A local officer can’t just download a facial recognition app and do a search.

The law also creates a commission to study facial recognition policies and make recommendations, such as whether a criminal defendant should be told that they were identified using the technology.

Lawmakers, civil liberties advocates and police chiefs have debated whether and how to use the technology because of concerns about both privacy and accuracy. But figuring out how to regulate it is tricky. So far, that has generally meant an all-or-nothing approach.

City councils in Oakland, Calif., Portland, Ore., San Francisco, Minneapolis and elsewhere have banned police use of the technology, largely because of bias in how it works. Studies in recent years by MIT researchers and the federal government found that many facial recognition algorithms are most accurate for white men, but less so for everyone else.

WeWork could soon go public following a $1.5 billion settlement with co-founder Adam Neumann.Credit…Simon Newman/Reuters

SoftBank said on Friday that it had settled its legal dispute with Adam Neumann, a WeWork co-founder, opening the way for the co-working company to go public just 16 months after SoftBank rescued it from collapse.

SoftBank had offered to buy $3 billion of stock from WeWork shareholders, including Mr. Neumann, who stepped down as C.E.O. during the company’s disastrous attempt at listing in 2019. In April, as the coronavirus was emptying WeWork offices, SoftBank said that it wouldn’t go ahead with the purchase, prompting Mr. Neumann to sue.

As part of the agreement, SoftBank is now spending only $1.5 billion on the stock, according to two people with knowledge of the settlement. But the lower bill is because SoftBank is cutting the number of shares it will buy in half; that means Mr. Neumann will get $480 million instead of up to $960 million. (SoftBank has invested well over $10 billion in WeWork, making it the company’s largest shareholder and allowing it to operate despite losses.)

According to these people, SoftBank also pledged to pay $50 million for Mr. Neumann’s legal fees, to extend a $430 million loan it made to him by five years and to pay the last $50 million of a $185 million consulting fee it owed him.

Settling the dispute removes a big obstacle to taking WeWork public. SoftBank has been in talks to merge with BowX Acquisition, a special purpose acquisition company, or SPAC, run by Vivek Ranadivé, the founder of Tibco Software and owner of the N.B.A.’s Sacramento Kings.

Such a deal, which would give WeWork a public listing, raises some crucial questions.

SoftBank owns 70 percent of WeWork’s shares but has direct control of just under half of shareholder votes. Would those numbers change after an offering? Who does control WeWork?

Would investors balk at WeWork’s financial performance, again? It’s not clear how the company has performed recently; it last publicly disclosed a full set of financials some 18 months ago. A glut of office space is coming onto the market, which might be more attractive to companies than taking WeWork space. And individuals may be less likely to use a co-working space now that they’ve gotten used to working from home.

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Shares Rise because the Bond Market Steadies: Stay Updates

Here’s what you need to know:

Credit…Doug Mills/The New York Times

President Biden has compared the fight against the coronavirus to wartime mobilization, but with the exception of pharmaceutical companies, the private sector has done relatively little in the effort. It has not made a major push to persuade Americans to remain socially distant, wear masks or get vaccinated as soon as possible.

Biden administration officials and business leaders will announce a plan on Friday to change that, David Leonhardt of The New York Times reports in The Morning newsletter.

The plan includes some of the country’s largest corporate lobbying groups — like the Chamber of Commerce, the Business Roundtable, the National Association of Manufacturers and groups representing Asian, Black and Latino executives — as well as some big-name companies.

Ford and Gap Inc. will donate more than 100 million masks for free distribution. Pro sports leagues will set aside more than 100 stadiums and arenas to be used as mass vaccination sites. Uber, PayPal and Walgreens will provide free rides for people to get to vaccination sites. Best Buy, Dollar General and Target will give their workers paid time off to get a shot. And the White House will urge many more companies to do likewise.

Many of the steps are fairly straightforward. That they have not happened already is a reflection of the Trump administration’s disorganized pandemic response. Trump officials oversaw a highly successful program to develop vaccines, but otherwise often failed to take basic measures that other countries did take.

“We’ve been overwhelmed with outreach from companies saying, ‘We want to help, we want to help, we want to help,’” said Andy Slavitt, a White House pandemic adviser. “What a missed opportunity the first year of this virus was.”

A Sumatran tiger at feeding time at the London Zoo earlier this month. The Bank of England’s chief economist described inflation as a tiger that could prove difficult to tame.Credit…Hannah Mckay/Reuters

The Bank of England’s chief economist warned on Friday that inflation could overshoot the central bank’s target and cause policymakers to act more aggressively, adding his voice to a debate that has roiled financial markets in recent days.

Andy Haldane described inflation as a sleeping tiger that had been “stirred from its slumber” by the large amounts of monetary and fiscal support used to protect the economy from the pandemic, according to a speech published on the bank’s site.

Central bankers and economists on both sides of the Atlantic are debating the path of inflation and whether easy-money policies will need to be halted sooner than expected to contain it. In some circles, there are concerns that more fiscal stimulus, including President Biden’s $1.9 trillion economic relief package, will causes prices to rise as the vaccine rollout supports an economic recovery. Others, such as Jerome H. Powell, chair of the Federal Reserve, say there will be only a short-term increase in inflation but that over a longer period, disinflationary pressures might to prevail.

Still, markets have been unnerved by an increase in inflation expectations. Ten-year U.S. Treasury bond yields have jumped more than 40 basis points this month, the most since 2016. In Britain, the yield on 10-year government bonds has climbed nearly 50 basis point this month to the highest level in more than a year.

“My judgment is that we might see a sharper and more sustained rise in U.K. inflation than expected, potentially overshooting its target for a more sustained period,” Mr. Haldane said. The Bank of England has a target annual inflation rate of 2 percent. It was at 0.7 percent in January, but the central forecasts it rising to the target by the middle of the year.

“There is a tangible risk inflation proves more difficult to tame, requiring monetary policymakers to act more assertively than is currently priced into financial markets,” he said. He added that it was right for people to caution against tightening policy prematurely but that the bigger risk was complacency by central banks.

Mr. Haldane has been one of the most bullish central bank policymakers. A few weeks ago, he wrote that in the British economy, there was an “enormous amounts of pent-up financial energy waiting to be released, like a coiled spring.”

As of

Data delayed at least 15 minutes

Source: Factset

Stocks on Wall Street rose on Friday, trying to find a footing after a steep decline on Thursday as a sell-off in the bond market eased up.

Trading was unsteady, however, with the S&P 500 swinging from gains to losses and back again.

Bond prices rose and the yield on 10-year Treasury notes dropped slightly to 1.47 percent. On Thursday, the yield on those government bonds rose above 1.5 percent, setting off a slide in U.S. stocks that rippled across the globe.

The S&P 500 fell close to 2.5 percent on Thursday, and stock indexes in Asia and Europe followed suit. The performance in Asia — the Hang Seng index in Hong Kong lost 3.6 percent and the Nikkei 225 in Tokyo fell 4 percent — was its worst since March, by one measure, though it followed months of significant gains as investors bet on the prospect of global economic recovery from the pandemic.

Major European markets were also lower on Friday. The Stoxx Europe 600 lost 1.6 percent, and London’s FTSE 100 fell 2.5 percent.

Investors have recently been rattled by the sharp rise in government bond yields, which are the basis for a wide range of lending, from mortgage rates to corporate borrowing, have risen sharply this month as investors anticipate a quick pickup in growth this year.
This month, yields on 10-year Treasury notes have risen by the most since late 2016, as inflation expectations have climbed to multiyear highs and traders worried that inflation would force the Federal Reserve to pull back on their easy-money policies sooner than expected.

The rising yields have dampened enthusiasm for risky investments, like stocks, with once high-flying shares of technology companies leading the retreat. Through Thursday, the S&P 500 had dropped about 2 percent for the week, but the technology-heavy Nasdaq composite had tumbled more than 5 percent — on track for its sharpest weekly decline since late October.

There has been a debate about how much central banks will be able to tolerate higher levels of inflation before they begin easing their efforts to support economies hit by the pandemic. Policymakers have tried to reassure investors that they will look past a short-term rise in inflation and are only focused on whether there will be a sustained increase in prices.

But traders have been testing this message, pushing bond yields higher.

“Central banks are watching,” Holger Schmieding, an economist at Berenberg Bank wrote in a note. “But financial markets are not their prime concern.” Yet, if market moves led to the kind of tightening of financing costs or excess volatility that could derail the economic recovery, “they would try to do something about it,” he added.

The recent rise in bond yields could make borrowing more expensive, slowing progress toward the Federal Reserve’s economic goals.Credit…Leah Millis/Reuters

A tumultuous day in financial markets left onlookers questioning whether the Federal Reserve had showed too little concern as longer-term interest rates crept higher — and spurred speculation that the central bank’s leadership may need to speak out against the rise.

Yields on all but very short-term government debt moved sharply higher on Thursday, driven in part by expectations that economic growth will snap back after the pandemic. Fed officials had been sanguine as rates moved up in recent weeks, pointing to the increase as a sign of growing economic confidence and playing down the risk of a sudden increase in borrowing costs.

Still, the sudden jump Thursday rippled through financial markets, and analysts at Evercore ISI said the Fed’s message might change as a result. The jump in yields could make borrowing by the government, consumers and businesses more expensive, slowing progress toward the Fed’s economic goals.

“The Fed leadership holds some responsibility for this, as the absence of any indication of concern or — more appropriately in our view — central bankerly carefulness” in recent days “has been read in markets as a green light to ramp real yields higher,” Krishna Guha and Ernie Tedeschi wrote in a reaction note, capturing a narrative fast developing among financial analysts.

On Thursday, yields on the 10-year Treasury note surged as high as 1.6 percent. That rate was below 1 percent for much of 2020 and had been steadily increasing this year in part as investors expect that a flood of new government spending and the rollout of the coronavirus vaccine would lead to fast economic growth later this year.

Despite several public appearances in recent days, central bank officials including the Fed chair, Jerome H. Powell, and John C. Williams, the New York Fed chief, have not voiced concerns over the shift in yields. Raphael Bostic, the Atlanta Fed president, said Thursday afternoon that he did not yet see the increases as cause for concern.

“The Fed has thus far not been willing to soothe markets” and that has helped fuel the move in yields, analysts at TD Securities wrote on Thursday.

Some economists are speculating that the Fed might shift the size or style of its bond buying to focus on holding down longer-term interest rates.

“A change of tone at least seems warranted in our view and possibly more,” Mr. Guha and Mr. Tedeschi wrote. “This could well come in the next 24 hours.”

DirecTV has been bleeding customers faster than most pay-TV services.Credit…Christopher Gregory/The New York Times

AT&T is selling part of its TV business, which consists of the DirecTV, AT&T TV and U-verse brands, to the private equity firm TPG in a spinoff deal as it looks to shed assets to deal with a burdensome debt load and focus on its mobile telephone and streaming businesses.

The deal, which will give TPG a minority stake, values the TV business at $16.25 billion — about a third of the $48.5 billion AT&T paid just for DirecTV in 2015.

AT&T carries $157 billion of debt, as of December, the result of megadeals including its purchases of DirecTV and Time Warner, which it paid $85.4 billion for in 2018. The entertainment industry has been disrupted by Netflix and an array of competitors fighting for viewers’ attention, complicating plans for DirecTV, which lost more than 3.2 million subscribers in 2020, and for HBO, considered the crown jewel of Time Warner’s business.

Investors have worried that AT&T will not be able to become profitable enough to manage the debt load. The company made about $53.8 billion in pretax profit last year, meaning it carries a little more than $3 of total debt for every dollar of pretax profit. Traditionally, AT&T prefers that ratio to be closer to 2.5 to 1.

Under the terms of the deal with TPG, AT&T will own 70 percent of the new stand-alone company, which will go by DirecTV, and TPG will own 30 percent. The board of the new entity will include two representatives from each company and the chief executive of AT&T’s video unit, Bill Morrow.

The companies hope to fix challenges facing DirecTV — namely a subscriber base that has been bleeding customers faster than most pay-TV services. Annual sales at the DirecTV group fell 11 percent last year to $28.6 billion, and operating profit decreased 16.2 percent to $1.7 billion. The company is also counting on growth of AT&T TV, the company’s new service that streams TV over the internet to a set-top box.

“We certainly didn’t expect this outcome when we closed the DirecTV transaction in 2015, but it’s the right decision to move the business forward,” said John Stankey, AT&T’s chief executive, who as an executive at WarnerMedia led both the DirecTV and Time Warner deals.

TPG has ample experience with corporate partnerships, including taking a joint stake in Intel’s McAfee computer security unit and teaming up with Humana in its deal for the hospice provider Kindred. It has owned parts of Spotify, Creative Artists Agency, the cable provider Astound Broadband, and Entertainment Partners, which provides software to the entertainment and video industry.

AT&T has not ruled out more divestitures.

Gary Gensler, President Biden’s pick to lead the Securities and Exchange Commission. The regulator has said that it would focus on climate change.Credit…Kayana Szymczak for The New York Times

The Securities and Exchange Commission announced this week that it would “enhance its focus on climate-related disclosure in public company filings” and eventually update guidelines issued in 2010.

The timing of the announcement comes just days before the Senate confirmation hearings for Gary Gensler, President Biden’s pick to lead the commission, puts the issue “front and center,” the securities law partner Joseph Hall of Davis Polk told the DealBook newsletter.

The regulator “is setting the stage, sending a signal that we are no longer in an administration where ‘climate change’ is a forbidden term,” Mr. Hall said. “It’s a warning flare to let people know new disclosure rules are coming down the pike.” He predicted that “senators will be all over this” issue during next week’s hearings, and “battle lines will be drawn.”

Democrats will probably push Mr. Gensler on adopting specific disclosure requirements, tied to metrics, which are more burdensome for companies but make cross-industry comparisons easier, Mr. Hall said. Republicans will probably lobby for a principles-based system that gives companies extra leeway but critics say is too vague. The S.E.C. is likely to try to strike a balance, Mr. Hall believes, but whatever happens, any move on climate-related disclosures will be “hugely consequential.”

“It’s a significant statement and one companies can see as an opportunity,” said Wes Bricker a vice chair of PricewaterhouseCoopers and a former chief accountant at the S.E.C.

Mr. Bricker said he thought that many companies had already moved beyond requirements under the old framework, responding to the market’s increasing demands for transparency on their environmental impact. For companies that are not there yet, the S.E.C.’s announcement is a reminder of the direction things are heading.

Surveying the climate-related disclosure scene across companies and grappling with an understanding of what matters to investors now is “very constructive,” Mr. Bricker said.

It may be some time before any changes are mandated, but he said that there was likely to be an immediate effect anyway. He believes that the S.E.C.’s message will begin to subtly nudge any company that is on the fence about a disclosure toward more transparency.

  • Volkswagen, Europe’s largest carmaker, reported a steep drop in profit and sales for 2020 caused by the pandemic as well as the continuing cost of its diesel emissions scandal. Net profit fell 37 percent from the previous year to 8.8 billion euros, or $10.7 billion. That was after Volkswagen subtracted 9.7 billion euros from operating profit to cover expenses stemming from revelations in 2015 that the company deceived regulators about emissions from its diesel vehicles. Volkswagen said it expected sales in 2021 to be significantly higher than in 2020.

  • In its first earnings report as a public company, DoorDash showed how it has benefited from the pandemic even as it hinted that difficulties might lie ahead. The delivery company on Thursday posted revenue of $970 million for the fourth quarter, up 226 percent from a year earlier, as total orders jumped 233 percent. Yet it also reported a loss of $312 million, compared with a loss of $134 million a year earlier.

  • Airbnb posted declining revenue and a whopping $3.9 billion loss on Thursday in its first earnings report as a publicly traded company. The company brought in $859 million in revenue in the last three months of the year, down 22 percent from a year earlier. Its loss was driven by $2.8 billion in costs associated with stock-based compensation related to its I.P.O., as well as an $827 million accounting adjustment for an emergency loan it took out last year to weather the pandemic.

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These fractional shares, not GameStop, can outdo hedge funds

GameStop and AMC stocks took another hike on Wednesday, recording their strongest trading day since an internet-triggered short squeeze that sent their share prices into the stratosphere last month.

AMC stocks closed 18% higher at $ 9.09 and GameStop more than doubled, doubling to $ 91.70 weeks after a “meme stock” frenzy cooled off. Retail investors lined up behind a basket of recommendations on the Wall Street Bets Reddit forum, hoping to uncover unusually high short interest from hedge funds in a number of stocks.

While the rally was short-lived, CNBC’s Jim Cramer advised on Wednesday that young traders using commission-free transactions with brokerage apps like Robinhood should rely less on speculative trades and get back to basics of investing.

“If you really want to beat the big institutions at their own game, you don’t do it with GameStop and AMC. You do it with fractions of stocks and you do it right,” said the Mad Money host. “With the $ 500 club … you make real wealth.”

The comments come after major US averages also compiled their best trading day in weeks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 424 points to hit a new closing high of 31,961.86, up 1.35% from Tuesday. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both closed about 1% higher.

As individual investors continue to look to Reddit to delve into stocks like GameStop, Cramer warned of the dangers of groupthink in the market.

“Ultimately, this is not a team sport,” said Cramer. “Instead of chasing those risky meme games instead of embarking on a squeeze that goes wrong, why not try investing long-term?”

After the market closed, the Cramer name dropped 12 proven stocks trading above $ 500. This price is usually unattainable for investors who are short of capital. Thanks to broken stocks where part of a stock can be bought, high-dollar stocks like Amazon or Chipotle might not be too far out of reach, he added.

“Some [these stocks] are still in full swing today, “said the host.” I want you to choose three and start buying. “