Categories
Health

In search of Solutions on Covid, U.F.O.s and Sicknesses, Spy Businesses Flip to Scientists

But the recent challenges facing intelligence agencies have required a different range of scientific expertise, including some areas in which the authorities have invested fewer resources over the years.

“This is a really interesting moment where national security interests have shifted from some of the Cold War interests,” said Sue Gordon, a former top intelligence official. “The priorities are changing now.”

Given not only the immediate unresolved security issues, but also the longer-term challenge of improving the gathering of information on climate change, Avril D. Haines, director of the National Intelligence Service, has urged authorities to provide undergraduate and postgraduate students with extensive scientific knowledge.

“The DNI believes that the changing threat landscape requires intelligence agencies to develop and invest in a talented workforce, including those with scientific and technological backgrounds,” said Matt Lahr, a spokesman for Ms. Haines. “Without this know-how, we will not only not be competitive, but also not master the challenges we are facing today.”

Officials are also trying to make wider use of existing initiatives. For example, Ms. Haines’ office has been more aggressively questioning its Science and Technology Expert Group, a group of about 500 scientists who volunteer to help intelligence agencies answer scientific problems.

Officials have asked these scientists about coronavirus mutations, as well as climate change and the availability of natural resources. While the experts in the expert group do not conduct intelligence analysis, their answers can help such analysts within the agencies draw more precise conclusions, intelligence officials said.

In other cases, the efforts to bring in external expertise are new.

During the Trump administration, the State Department hired the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering and Medicine to investigate Havana Syndrome. The report concluded that a microwave weapon was a likely cause of many of the incidents but was hampered in part due to a lack of access to information; Not all material collected by the secret services was made available to scientists, officials said.

Categories
Politics

Spy Businesses Search New Afghan Allies as U.S. Withdraws

KABUL, Afghanistan – Western espionage agencies are evaluating and soliciting regional leaders outside the Afghan government who may be able to provide intelligence on terrorist threats long after US forces have withdrawn, according to current and former American, European and Afghan officials.

The effort marks a turning point in the war. Instead of one of the largest multinational military training missions of all time, informants and intelligence agencies are now being sought. Despite diplomats saying the Afghan government and its security forces will be able to hold their own, the move signals that Western intelligence agencies are focusing on the possible – or even probable – collapse of the central government and an inevitable return to civil war to prepare.

Court officials in Afghanistan recall the 1980s and 1990s when the country was controlled by the Soviets and then turned into a factional conflict between regional leaders. The West was often dependent on opposing warlords – and at times supported them financially through relationships that contradicted the Afghan people. As a result of these policies, the United States was often particularly indebted to brokers who had outrageously committed human rights abuses.

Candidates considered today for intelligence gathering include the son of Ahmad Shah Massoud, the famous Afghan fighter who led fighters against the Soviets in the 1980s and as head of the Northern Alliance against the Taliban for the following decade . The son – Ahmad Massoud, 32 – has tried in recent years to revive his father’s work by assembling a coalition of militias to defend northern Afghanistan.

Afghans, American and European officials say there is no formal cooperation between Mr Massoud and Western intelligence, although some have held preliminary meetings. While there is widespread agreement within the CIA and the French DGSE that it could provide information, opinions differ as to whether Mr Massoud, who has not been tested as a leader, would be able to command an effective resistance.

The appeal of developing relationships with Mr Massoud and other regional energy brokers is obvious: Western governments distrust the Taliban’s lukewarm commitments to keep terrorist groups out of the country in the years to come, and fear that if they don’t, the Afghan government could collapse Peace settlement is achieved. The Second Resistance, as Mr Massoud now calls his armed insurgent force, is a network that opposes the Taliban, Al-Qaeda or any extremist group that emerges from their shadow.

Senior CIA officials, including William J. Burns, the agency’s director, have confirmed that they will be looking for new ways to gather information in Afghanistan once American forces have withdrawn and that their ability to gather information about terrorist activity will increase collect is restricted.

But Mr Massoud’s organization is still in its infancy, desperate for support and legitimacy. It is supported by around a dozen militia commanders who have fought against the Taliban and the Soviets in the past, as well as several thousand fighters in the north. Mr Massoud says his ranks are occupied by those who have been insulted by the government and, like the Taliban, believes that Afghan President Ashraf Ghani has exceeded his greeting.

“We are ready, even if it takes my own life,” said Massoud in an interview.

Even the symbols at Mr. Massoud’s events are reminiscent of the time of the Civil War: old flags of the Northern Alliance and the old national anthem.

But despite all the excitement of Mr Massoud at the recent rallies and ceremonies, the idea that the Northern Alliance could be renamed and that its former leaders – some of whom have now become ambassadors, vice-presidents and senior military commanders in the Afghan government – would follow someone who is half his age and has little experience with war on the battlefield seems unrealistic right now, security analysts have said.

Supporting any kind of insurgency or building a resistance movement presents real challenges today, said Lisa Maddox, a former CIA analyst who has done extensive work on Afghanistan.

“The concern is what would the second resistance involve and what would our goals be?” She said. “I’m afraid people are proposing a new proxy war in Afghanistan. I think we learned that we can’t win. “

Even considering that an unproven militia leader for possible counter-terrorism assurances upon withdrawal of international forces is undermining the last two decades of state-building, security analysts say, practically turning the idea of ​​an impending civil war into an expected reality by further strengthening anti-government forces . Such divisions are widespread for exploitation by the Taliban.

The United States had a close relationship with the Northern Alliance, which made it difficult to gather information in the country. The French and British both supported high-ranking Massoud in the 1980s, while the Americans instead focused primarily on groups associated with Pakistani intelligence. CIA links with Mr. Massoud and his group were limited until 1996 when the agency began providing logistical assistance in exchange for information about al-Qaeda.

One of the reasons the CIA kept Massoud at bay was his track record of unreliability, drug trafficking, and war atrocities in the early 1990s, when Mr. Massoud’s forces shot at Kabul and massacred civilians as other warlords did.

Now different allied governments and officials have different views on Mr. Massoud and the viability of his movement. The French, who were devoted supporters of his father, see his efforts as promising to put up real resistance to the control of the Taliban.

David Martinon, the French ambassador in Kabul, said he had been watching Mr Massoud closely for the past three years and nominated him for a trip to Paris to meet with French leaders, including the president. “He’s smart, passionate, and a man of integrity who is dedicated to his country,” said Martinon.

Washington is more divided, and some government analysts do not believe Mr Massoud would be able to build an effective coalition.

Eighteen months ago, Lisa Curtis, then a National Security Council official, met with Mr. Massoud, along with Zalmay Khalilzad, the leading US diplomat who led peace efforts with the Taliban. She described him as charismatic and said he spoke convincingly about the importance of democratic values. “He’s very clear and talks about the importance of maintaining the progress made over the past 20 years,” she said.

In Afghanistan, some are more skeptical of Mr Massoud’s power to influence a resistance.

“Practical experience has shown that no one can be like his father,” said Lieutenant General Mirza Mohammad Yarmand, a former deputy minister in the Ministry of the Interior. “His son lives in a different time and does not have the experience that his father matured.”

Other members of the Afghan government see Mr. Massoud as a nuisance, someone who has the potential to create problems for his own interests in the future.

While opinions differ on his organizational skills, there is broad consensus that Mr Massoud can help act as eyes and ears for the West – as his father did 20 years ago.

Mr Massoud, who was trained at the Royal Military College, Sandhurst, UK, returned to Afghanistan in 2016. He spent the next three years quietly building support before becoming more public in 2019 through rallies and recruiting campaigns across the north.

In recent months, Mr Massoud’s rhetoric has grown tougher when he recently attacked Mr Ghani during a ceremony in Kabul and his efforts to secure international support became more aggressive. Not only has Mr. Massoud reached the US, UK and France, but also courted India, Iran and Russia, according to people familiar with his activities. Afghan intelligence documents show that Mr Massoud is buying weapons from Russia through an intermediary.

But Europe and the United States see him less as a bulwark against a rising Taliban than as a potentially important observer of al-Qaeda and the Islamic State. A generation ago, Mr. Massoud’s father was open about the burgeoning terrorist threats in the country. And even if the son cannot command the same armed forces as his father, he may be able to issue similar warnings.

As a young diplomat, Mr Martinon recalls Massoud’s late warning to the world during his visit to France in April 2001.

“What he said was caution, caution,” recalled Mr. Martinon. “The Taliban are hosting Al-Qaeda and preparing something.”

Julian E. Barnes reported from Washington. Najim Rahim and Fatima Faizi reported from Kabul.

Categories
World News

Village Caught in Czech-Russia Spy Case Simply Needs Issues to Cease Blowing Up

VLACHOVICE-VRBETICE, Czech Republic – For almost a century, residents have been amazed at the strange comings and goings in a closed-off camp surrounded by barbed wire and dotted with signs on the edge of their village.

The armies of Czechoslovakia, National Socialist Germany, the Soviet Union and the Czech Republic used the 840 hectare property over the decades and deterred intruders with watch dogs and armed patrols.

When the professional soldiers withdrew in 2006, the secret activities became even more shady. Dozens of arms depots hidden among the trees have been taken over by arms dealers, a rocket fuel company, and other private companies.

Then, in October 2014, came the biggest mystery of all.

A huge explosion ripped through Depot No. 16, knocking farmers in nearby fields to the ground and raining dangerous debris on the area.

The explosion set the stage for an international espionage thriller that further upsets Russia’s relations with the West: Who was behind the explosion that killed two Czech workers, and what was the motive?

This astonishing claim sparked a diplomatic turmoil which in recent weeks has resulted in the displacement of nearly 100 Russian and Czech diplomats from Prague and Moscow and brought relations between the two countries to the lowest level since the end of the Cold War.

The villagers, who are more focused on local property values ​​than geopolitics, just want things to stop blowing up.

Vojtech Simonik, holding a piece of splinter that landed in his garden in 2014, said he felt “no relief, just shock and astonishment” when he saw the Czech Prime Minister talk about Russia’s role on television.

The announcement “caused a stir here,” said Simonik, who worked in the camp for a while and dismantled artillery shells. “After seven years of silence, all arguments start again.”

The fenced-in property where the explosions took place winds around the edge of two small neighboring villages with around 1,500 inhabitants – Vlachovice (pronounced VLAKH-o-vee-tseh), the larger settlement, and Vrbetice (pronounced VR-byet-tee) – tseh), just a few houses and a side street that leads to the main entrance of the former military camp.

Vlachovice Mayor Zdenek Hovezak said he had long wanted to know what was going on in the camp but got stuck because everyone there, including the villagers hired for cleaning and other tasks, had to sign agreements in which they were bound to secrecy.

“Little did I know there were so many explosives near our village,” said Hovezak, who had just been elected and was about to take office when the explosion occurred in October.

The Military Technical Institute, a government agency that has managed the site since the Czech Army withdrew, is currently examining what to do with the property, but insists that it will not be re-used to store explosives for military or private purposes becomes company.

Rostislav Kassa, a local contractor, said he didn’t care if Russia was responsible for the demolition of the site – although he firmly believes it – but he was angry that the Czech authorities were making efforts to raise the alarm years before beat, ignored explosions.

Troubled by reports that a rocket fuel company had rented space in the warehouse, he launched a petition in 2009 warning of a possible environmental disaster. Most residents signed, he said, but his complaints to the Department of Defense went unheeded.

“It doesn’t really matter who blew it up,” he said. “The main problem is that our government is allowing this.” His own theory is that Russia wanted to cut off the supply of rocket fuel to NATO forces and not, as is commonly believed, wanted to blow up weapons for Ukraine.

Ales Lysacek, head of the village’s volunteer fire department, recalled being called to the camp that day in October 2014 after a fire broke out there. He was ordered to come back by the police guarding the entrance and a few minutes later, after a series of small explosions, a gigantic explosion sent a shock wave that knocked him and his men off their feet.

“We had no idea what was in all the depots,” said Mr Lysacek. No one had ever thought of telling the local firefighters about the potential danger. Officials later assured villagers that the explosions were an accident, but Mr. Lysacek said, “Nobody here really believed them.”

After the 2014 explosions, it took pyrotechnic experts six years to search the warehouse and surrounding village land for unexploded ammunition and other hazardous waste.

The arduous clean-up operation, during which roads were often blocked and villagers repeatedly evacuated from their homes for safety reasons, only ended last October.

Mr Hovezak, the mayor, was amazed, like most of the villagers, when he told Prime Minister Andrei Babis at a press conference last month that the big 2014 explosion on their doorstep was the work of the Russian Military Intelligence, known as the GRU

“I was completely shocked,” said the mayor. “Nobody here ever imagined that Russian agents could be involved.”

That it was them, at least after years of investigation by the Czech police and the Czech security service, only raised questions about what was really going on in the camp and the suspicion among locals that they were only being told half the truth.

Mr Simonik, who found the splinter in his garden, said he wasn’t entirely convinced that Russia was to blame, but he never believed the explosion was just an accident. “I definitely think it didn’t explode on its own,” he said. “It was triggered by someone.”

Who that could be is a question that in the past and present of Russia, whose troops invaded Czechoslovakia in 1968 to overthrow their reformist communist leadership, has reopened old cracks across the country, but still for defeat by some Czechs is held responsible against Nazi Germany.

“The older generation remembers how the Russians freed us from Hitler, while others remember the year 1968 when they invaded us,” said Ladislav Obadal, the deputy mayor of Vlachovice. “But hardly anyone has a good word for the Russians now.”

Except for President Milos Zeman, a frequent visitor to Moscow who was recently on TV to contradict the government’s report on the explosions. The explosions may have been an accident – sabotage by Russian spies was just one of two plausible theories.

Mr. Zeman’s testimony sparked protests among Czechs in Prague who for a long time considered him far too friendly to Russia. It was also received with anger by the residents of Vlachovice-Vrbetice, who believe Moscow should compensate the villages for any physical and psychological damage, a demand the mayor backed if Russia’s role is proven.

Jaroslav Kassa, 70, the father of the local contractor, who said his disaster warnings were ignored, is undoubtedly to blame for the Kremlin.

“Of course the Russians did,” said Kassa, noting that the Russian military would have detailed plans for the sprawling facility from the time the Soviet Army used it after the 1968 invasion.

His views have led to disputes with his neighbor Jozef Svehlak, 74. Recalling how he knew and liked a former Soviet commander at the camp, Mr Svehlak said he had never heard of Russian spies in the region in the 1970s, only western ones during the Cold War.

Half a century later, the fact that spies are supposed to be running around again is a measure of how suspicions of the Cold War are rising in this remote eastern corner of the Czech Republic.

“It’s fun to see James Bond in films,” said another of Mr Kassa’s son Jaroslav. “But we don’t want him to hide behind our hill.”

Categories
Politics

George Blake, British Spy Who Betrayed the West, Dies at 98

He was born as George Behar on November 11, 1922 in Rotterdam. His mother was a Dutch Protestant; His father Albert was a Turkish born Spanish Jew who fought against the Ottoman Empire in World War I. He was wounded, charged with gallantry, and received British citizenship. He settled in the Netherlands as a businessman.

When his father died in 1934, George went to Cairo to live with relatives, including a cousin, Henri Curiel, who became an Egyptian communist leader. He was visiting the Netherlands when World War II broke out in 1939. His mother and two sisters fled to England, but he joined the Dutch resistance, spreading news and collecting information for two years.

He retired to Britain, changed his last name to Blake, joined the Royal Navy, trained in submarines and was hired as a freshman by British intelligence during the war. He spoke fluent Dutch, German, Arabic and Hebrew as well as English, translated German documents and interrogated German prisoners.

After the war, he studied Russian at Cambridge – by then Philby, Burgess and Maclean had completed their espionage trade – and his teacher, who came from pre-revolutionary St. Petersburg, inspired him to love the Russian language and culture, a step in his conversion . He was then sent to Germany to build a network of British spies in Berlin and Hamburg. With the envelope of a naval attaché he recruited numerous agents.

Shortly before the start of the Korean War in 1950, Mr Blake was sent to Seoul, South Korea’s capital, under diplomatic cover to organize another espionage network. But he was captured by invading North Korean forces. He was detained in North Korea for three years and subjected to communist indoctrination.

He later denied that this affected his conversion, insisting that the American bombing of North Korea was the main factor. “The relentless bombing of small Korean villages by giant American flying forts,” killing “women, children and the elderly” appalled him, he said. “I was ashamed,” he added. “I felt obliged to the wrong side.”

Mr Blake said he met with a KGB officer in North Korea, agreed to become a Soviet agent, and immediately started disclosing secrets. He did not want payment and, to avoid suspicion, insisted on not being granted privileges and being released with other captured diplomats. When the Korean War ended in 1953, he was returned to Great Britain and received as a national hero.