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Why the Vaccine Security Numbers Are Nonetheless Fuzzy

“I will often say that the risk of getting a blood clot with birth control pills is similar to having a serious reaction to penicillin,” said Dr. Raegan McDonald-Mosley, a gynecologist and the CEO of Power to Decide, a group dedicated to reducing unwanted pregnancies. She often discusses the risk of blood clots with her patients, explaining the increase in risk and the overall size of that risk. Most patients, she said, choose their birth control method based on other considerations.

What You Need To Know About The Johnson & Johnson Vaccine Break In The United States

    • On April 13, 2021, U.S. health officials called for an immediate halt to use of Johnson & Johnson’s single-dose Covid-19 vaccine after six recipients in the U.S. developed a rare blood clot disorder within one to three weeks of vaccination.
    • All 50 states, Washington, DC, and Puerto Rico have temporarily suspended use of the vaccine or suspended from recommended vendors. The U.S. military, government-run vaccination centers, and a variety of private companies, including CVS, Walgreens, Rite Aid, Walmart, and Publix, also paused the injections.
    • Fewer than one in a million Johnson & Johnson vaccinations are currently being studied. If there is indeed a risk of blood clots from the vaccine – which has yet to be determined – the risk is extremely small. The risk of contracting Covid-19 in the United States is much higher.
    • The hiatus could complicate the country’s vaccination efforts at a time when many states are facing spikes in new cases and are trying to address vaccine hesitation.
    • Johnson & Johnson has also decided to delay the launch of its vaccine in Europe amid concerns about rare blood clots, which is taking another blow to the vaccine surge in Europe. South Africa, devastated by a contagious variant of the virus found there, also stopped using the vaccine. Australia announced that it would not buy cans.

Penicillin, a widely used antibiotic, causes serious allergic reactions in 10,000 to 10,000 patients.

For vaccines, however The safety threshold is generally higher than with other types of medication. As many researchers have found, Covid-19 also carries the risk of serious blood clots – much more than any plausible estimate of the vaccine’s effectiveness. But not everyone who doesn’t get vaccinated gets sick.

“The disease you happen to get and the vaccine you choose to get and that makes it harder,” said Dr. Steven Black, Professor Emeritus of Pediatrics at Cincinnati Children’s Hospital studying vaccine safety.

Other vaccines are much less likely to have serious adverse events than birth control pills or penicillin – they generally affect less than 1 in 100,000 people who receive a given vaccine. That rate is “clearly much, much lower than what is tolerated for a drug,” said Dr. Nicola Klein, director of the Kaiser Permanente vaccine study center involved in the Vaccine Safety Datalink study.

Most other vaccines protect against diseases that are rather rare. In contrast, Covid-19 is still widespread in the United States and many parts of the world. Given the severity of the disease and how easily it spreads, the value of vaccination may now be greater than if such compromises are normally considered.

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Biden Takes On Sagging Security Web With Plan to Repair Lengthy-Time period Care

President Biden’s $ 400 billion proposal to improve long-term care for older adults and people with disabilities was received either as a long overdue addition to the social security net or as an example of a misguided government transgression.

Republicans ridiculed the inclusion of elderly care in an infrastructure program. Others ridiculed it as a gift to the Service Employees International Union, which aims to organize caregivers. It was also blamed for omitting childcare.

For Ai-jen Poo, co-director of Caring Across Generations, a coalition of stakeholders working to strengthen the long-term care system, this was an answer to years of hard work.

“Although I’ve been fighting for it for years,” she said, “if you’d told me 10 years ago that the President of the United States would give a speech in which $ 400 billion would be allocated to improve access to these services and to strengthen this work. ” Kraft, I didn’t think it would happen. “

What has failed the debate on the President’s proposal is that, despite the large number, its ambitions remain uniquely narrow compared to the enormous and growing demands of an aging population.

Mr Biden’s proposal, which is part of his US $ 2 trillion employment plan, is only aimed at empowering Medicaid, which pays just over half the cost of long-term care in the country. And it is aimed only at home care and outpatient care in facilities such as day care centers for adults – not at nursing homes, which make up just over 40 percent of the Medicaid care budget.

Even so, the money would be used up very quickly.

Consider an important goal: increasing caregiver wages. In 2019, the typical wage for the 3.5 million household and personal care workers was $ 12.15 an hour. They earn less as janitors and telemarketers, less as workers in food processing plants or on farms. Many – usually women of color, often immigrants – live in poverty.

The helpers are employed by care facilities that bill Medicaid for their hours worked in the beneficiaries’ homes. The agencies regularly report labor shortages, which may not be surprising given the low pay.

Increasing wages can be essential to meet booming demand. The Department of Labor estimates that these occupations will require 1.6 million additional workers over 10 years.

It won’t be cheap, however. An increase in the hourly wages of the aides to $ 20 – still below the average wage in the country – would more than consume the eight-year effort of $ 400 billion. That would leave little money for other priorities, such as meeting the demand for care – 820,000 people were on the states’ waiting lists in 2018 with an average waiting time of more than three years – or the provision of more comprehensive services.

The battle for resources is likely to strain the coalition of unions and groups that advance the interests of elderly and disabled Americans who have worked together to advocate Mr. Biden’s plan. Even before nursing homes complain that they are being left out.

The president “needs to strike the right balance between reducing the waiting list and increasing wages,” said Paul Osterman, professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s Sloan School of Management who has written about the country’s care structures. “There is tension.”

Care for the elderly has long been at the center of political struggles over social security. President Lyndon B. Johnson considered bringing the benefits of establishing Medicare in the 1960s, said Howard Gleckman, an expert in long-term care at the Urban Institute. However, House Ways and Means Committee chair Wilbur Mills cautioned how expensive this approach would be when baby boomers retired. Better, he argued, make it part of Medicaid and let states shoulder a lot of the burden.

That compromise resulted in a patchwork of services that has abandoned millions of seniors and their families and yet consumes around a third of Medicaid spending – about $ 197 billion in 2018, according to the Kaiser Family Foundation. According to Kaiser’s calculations, Medicaid pays about half of the long-term care services. Payouts and private insurance together make up just over a quarter of the tab. (Other sources, like veteran programs, cover the rest.)

Unlike institutional care, which requires government Medicaid programs, home and community care services are optional. That explains the waiting lists. This also means that the quality of the services and the rules for using the services are very different.

Although the federal government pays at least half of the state’s Medicaid budgets, the states have plenty of leeway in how the program runs. In Pennsylvania, Medicaid pays an average of $ 50,300 per year per recipient of home or outpatient care. In New York it pays $ 65,600. In contrast, Medicaid pays $ 15,500 per recipient in Mississippi and $ 21,300 in Iowa.

This regulation has also left the middle class in the lurch. The private insurance market is shrinking and can no longer handle the high cost of end-of-life care: it’s too expensive for most Americans and too risky for most insurers.

As a result, middle-class Americans in need of long-term care either resort to relatives – usually daughters who throw millions of women out of work – or use up their resources until they qualify for Medicaid.

Regardless of the boundaries of the Biden proposal, proponents of its main constituencies – those in need of care and those who provide it – stand firm behind it. After all, this would be the largest expansion in long-term care support since the 1960s.

“The two big issues of waiting lists and labor are related,” said Nicole Jorwic, senior director of public policy at Arc, which promotes the interests of people with disabilities. “We are confident that we can do this in such a way that we can overcome the conflicts that have stopped progress in the past.”

And yet the dispute over resources could reopen the conflicts of the past. For example, when President Barack Obama proposed extending the Fair Labor Standards Act of 1938 to include domestic carers, who would cover them with minimum wage and overtime rules, attorneys for beneficiaries and their families opposed fearing that states with budgetary pressure would cut off -Service around 40 hours a week.

“We have a long way to go to get this into law and get it done,” said Haeyoung Yoon, senior policy director of the National Domestic Workers Alliance, of the Biden proposal. On the way, she said, the supporters have to stick together.

Given the scale of the need, some wonder if there could be a better approach to supporting long-term care than spending more money on Medicaid. The program is constantly being asked for resources that are forced to compete with education and other priorities in state budgets. And Republicans have repeatedly tried to narrow their scope.

“It’s hard to imagine that Medicaid is the right funding tool,” said Robert Espinoza, vice president of policy at PHI, a nonprofit research group that monitors the home care sector.

Some experts have instead proposed the creation of a new line of social insurance, possibly financed by payroll taxes, to provide a minimum of services to all.

A few years ago, the Long-Term Care Financing Collaborative, a group that was formed to ponder how to pay for long-term care for the elderly, reported that half of adults typically have “high levels of personal support at some point “Would need for two years at an average cost of $ 140,000. Today around six million people require these types of services, a number the group expects to grow to 16 million in less than 50 years.

In 2019, the National Social Insurance Academy published a report proposing nationwide insurance programs paid by a special tax to cover a range of services from early childhood care to family vacations to long-term care and support for older adults and the disabled.

This can be structured in a number of ways. One option for seniors, a disaster insurance plan that covers expenses up to $ 110 per day (in 2014, after a waiting period determined by the beneficiary’s income) could be funded by a one percentage point increase in Medicare tax.

Mr. Biden’s plan is not very detailed. Mr Gleckman of the Urban Institute notes that it has become vague since Mr Biden suggested it on the campaign – perhaps because he realized the tensions that would arise from it. In either case, a major overhaul of the system may be required.

“This is a significant historic investment,” said Espinoza. “But when you consider the extent of the crisis ahead of us, it is clear that this is only a first step.”

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As Hundreds of thousands Get Covid Vaccine Pictures, F.D.A. Struggles With Security Monitoring

“It’s great for routine activities, but when it comes to security surveillance, size is all,” said Dr. Daniel Salmon, director of the Institute for Vaccine Safety at Johns Hopkins University and former federal vaccine officer. “The bigger it is, the faster you get an answer. At some point the VSD is going to get a really good answer – probably one of the best answers out there because they are so good at it. But in a pandemic, time is not on our side. “

Few serious problems have been reported through these channels to date and no deaths have been clearly linked to the vaccines. The 30-year initiative, known as the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS), relies on self-reported cases from patients and health care providers.

Health officials say the two vaccines already approved for use appear to be reasonably safe so far. There have been some serious allergic reactions, including anaphylaxis, but they are treatable and are considered rare. The rate at which anaphylaxis has occurred to date – 4.7 cases per million doses for the vaccine from Pfizer and BioNTech and 2.5 cases per million for the vaccine from Moderna – is in line with other widely used vaccines.

Bruising and bleeding caused by decreased platelet counts have also been reported, although it is not known whether they are vaccine-related or accidental. A total of 9,000 adverse events were reported, of which 979 were classified as serious and the remainder classified as non-serious according to the latest available CDC report.

In interviews, public health experts, including current and former FDA and CDC officials, expressed the need to improve on the old “passive” surveillance that relies on self-reporting. They said funding shortages, turf wars and bureaucratic hurdles had slowed BEST, officially known as the Biologics Evaluation Safety Initiative, in preparation for monitoring Covid vaccines.

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NFL makes Covid security plans for followers

National Football League fans gather in downtown Tampa prior to Super Bowl LV during the COVID-19 pandemic on January 30, 2021 in Tampa, Florida.

Octavio Jones | Getty Images

The National Football League is preparing for the final competition of the season with Super Bowl LV in Tampa Bay, and the league promises the event will not become a Covid-19 superspreader.

The NFL said it would be handing out kits of hand sanitizer and KN95 masks to fans during Sunday’s game between the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers to limit the spread.

NFL manager Jeff Miller said the wearing of masks will be mandatory for fans, players and team staff and the league will enforce social distancing measures. The NFL said attendance at the 65,000-seat Raymond James Stadium will be limited to 25,000, including 7,500 vaccinated health workers.

“It has been a lot of work by a lot of people and a lot of commitment with local, state, and national health officials to do this as safely as possible,” said Miller, who oversees the NFL public and political affairs.

Health and safety experts speaking to CNBC agreed with the way the NFL is coordinating their event, but still raised issues.

“My biggest concern about when Covid-19 could spread in the stadium isn’t necessarily with people sitting in their seats,” said Stephen Kissler, an epidemiologist at Harvard University. “It is actually when they mingle in other parts of the stadium.”

The San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs fans watch during the Super Bowl LIV game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL on February 2, 2020.

Robin Alam | Icon Sportswire | Getty Images

What is the plan?

Kissler, a researcher in the Department of Immunology and Infectious Diseases, said people who gather in lines to enter the stadium or wait for concessions are more likely to spread droplets containing the virus.

To counteract this, the NFL has its own entry points, which are larger for the fans present, although they don’t offer temperature tests at the gates.

The NFL also sells Super Bowl tickets in groups of two to six so that they can sit in “pods” together. Jonathan Barker, the NFL’s head of live event production, said the pods were not placed too close together and a maximum of 10 people per pod.

“There will never be anyone in front of or behind another person,” said Barker, counting on 30,000 clippings of fans to fill the empty spaces.

Barker, who has been in Tampa Bay since Jan. 4, said the stadium had undergone rigorous daily cleaning. “And when we have three days off, we will step up that effort to clean, disinfect and disinfect everything,” he said.

The NFL estimates that by kick-off there will be around 200,000 health screenings for people working on the event, including staff. BioReference Laboratories, a diagnostics company, supports the NFL’s health and safety efforts at Super Bowl LV. The company is expected to distribute 35,000 PCR tests to employees and salespeople at the stadium.

In order to limit contact, the NFL has partnered with Visa to offer cashless ATM transactions. These corporations will go in two different directions.

In Tampa Bay, Mayor Jane Castor mandated outdoor masks near targets near the Super Bowl. Epidemiologist Kissler said the limited capacity and atmosphere outdoors, as well as the vaccinated fans should help, but warned, “We still don’t know exactly how much the vaccine prevents the spread of Covid-19.”

“We have to remain vigilant, keep our distance, wear masks and keep up with sensible measures that we have become so familiar with over the course of the year,” said Kissler.

Dr. Allen Sills, the NFL’s chief medical officer, said the tracing plans were shared with federal health officials, including President Joe Biden’s Covid Task Force. He said the “detailed plan” provided guidelines for getting on and off.

“We take our responsibility very seriously to model the best behavior and show how we believe an event of this magnitude can be safely conducted,” said Sills.

A view of Raymond James Stadium, home of Super Bowl LV, during the COVID-19 pandemic on January 30, 2021 in Tampa, Florida.

Octavio Jones | Getty Images

No signs of anger

Although the league had its own problems with outbreaks among players and staff during the regular season, Sills said no persistent cases had occurred over NFL games. Miller said over 1 million people played 116 NFL games during his pandemic season.

“We haven’t traced an outbreak or cluster of cases to any of the places we’ve hosted fans,” said Sills. “It’s an important benchmark for us and something we’re really focusing on in this game.”

The league released the latest Covid test results on Tuesday, reporting zero new positive results from the players and one from the staff. To date, the NFL said 262 players and 463 staff have tested positive.

It is unknown if the NFL is insured for the Super Bowl. While discussing the NBA bubble in July, Attorney Alan Taylor suggested that the leagues need to seek new event guidelines as most had no insurance for a pandemic. Until the federal government supports such measures, they are likely to remain expensive.

“The guidelines that the professional leagues must receive must be new guidelines based on the new situation we are in,” said Taylor, co-chair of the professional liability division of Segal McCambridge Singer & Mahoney law firm.

Gil Fried, a stadium safety and risk management expert at the University of New Haven, said the NFL has a safe way out of legal troubles when outbreaks occur.

Fans participating in the game consent to the “taking of risks” associated with attending such an event, with Covid still very active. According to the Buccaneers website, fans must “leave, and not enter, the stadium grounds” if they do not consent to the risks associated with visiting Raymond James Stadium.

“This is a very big shield that the NFL will have,” Fried said. “I think the NFL will do a good job of enforcing the rules, but I think it’s a bigger problem with the fans and what they do,” he added. “You can have any rules you want, but if the fans don’t follow or do what they’re supposed to, you’re going to get into serious trouble.”

Fried suggested that the NFL use frequent announcements and other behavioral triggers to help fans adhere to protocols.

“They need signs,” said Fried. “They need announcements on their tapes in the stadium that all say, ‘This is what you have to do.’ They need to be constantly reminded. And make sure your security enforces it and dump them if they don’t meet the requirements. “

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California governor cancels Covid briefing over security considerations

Gavin Newsom, California Governor, speaks during a press conference in Sacramento, California

Rich Pedroncelli | Bloomberg | Getty Images

California Governor Gavin Newsom canceled his planned coronavirus update on Wednesday out of “caution” after a crowd of protesters who supported President Donald Trump stormed the US Capitol.

“We are concerned for the safety of the California Congress delegation and US Capitol staff and we endeavor to provide assistance in any way we can,” the Democratic governor said in a statement, adding that he was concerned about the safety of his own office staff California too.

“Peaceful protest is an important mechanism of our democracy, but what we are seeing in our nation’s Capitol is reprehensible and an outright attack on our democracy and democratic institutions,” Newsom said.

The news comes as California faces the deadliest days of the Covid-19 pandemic. According to a CNBC analysis of data compiled by Johns Hopkins University, the state reports around 354 Covid deaths daily, a record average per week and an increase of nearly 49% compared to a week ago.

A governor’s spokesman told CNBC that the capital’s staff had been asked to work from home for the rest of the day. People who gathered to protest on the Capitol grounds have since left and there have been no major incidents, the spokesman said.

The Sacramento Police Department said in a tweet that 11 people were arrested for illegally possessing pepper spray and that there were some physical fights. However, the protesters have broken up and a large police presence will remain in the area all night.