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Politics

Biden administration sanctions Russia for cyberattacks, election interference

President Joe Biden (L) and President Vladimir Putin.

Getty Images

The Biden government on Thursday imposed a series of new sanctions on Moscow for alleged interference in the 2020 elections, a colossal cyberattack against US government and corporate networks, illegal annexation and occupation of Crimea, and human rights violations.

“Today the US Treasury Department (OFAC) took extensive action against 16 companies and 16 people who, on the orders of the leadership of the Russian government, tried to influence the US presidential election in 2020,” the Treasury Department said in a statement.

It also announced sanctions against five people and three organizations related to Russia’s annexation of the Ukrainian Crimean peninsula and human rights violations.

In addition to the extensive sanctions imposed by the Treasury Department, the State Department announced that it would expel ten officials from Russia’s diplomatic mission in the United States.

The sanctions come after President Joe Biden’s call this week with Russian leader Vladimir Putin and as a Russian force near the Ukrainian border.

Washington officially accused Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) – its top spy agency – of being behind the SolarWinds cyberattack published late last year, which Microsoft President Brad Smith called “the largest and most sophisticated attack the world has ever seen.” has been designated.

“The US intelligence community has great confidence in their assessment of the attribution,” the Treasury Department press release said. In the attack, hackers gained access to the software, which was used by thousands of government agencies and companies.

The penalties are also in response to a March report by the U.S. intelligence director that Putin completed authorized attempts to meddle in the 2020 election on behalf of former President Donald Trump.

The Russian government denies all allegations.

Biden also signed an executive order on Thursday that will allow Washington to sanction any sector of Moscow’s economy, greatly expanding the scope of sanctions authorities.

Under this new approval, U.S. financial institutions will be banned from conducting transactions in the primary market for new ruble or non-ruble bonds issued after June 14th.

“Removing US investors from the primary market creates a broader chill effect,” said a senior administrator, who spoke on condition of anonymity.

“What you see is that Russia’s borrowing costs are rising, you see that there is capital flight and you see that the currency is weakening at the same time. And you know that this is having an impact on Russia’s growth rate and an impact on Russia’s inflation rate Has.” Official added.

“The president has signed this sweeping new authority to counter the persistent and growing vicious behavior of Russia,” Finance Minister Janet Yellen said in a statement welcoming the move.

“The Treasury Department is using this new authority to impose costs on the Russian government for its unacceptable behavior, including restricting Russia’s ability to fund its activities and targeting Russia’s malicious and disruptive cyber capabilities,” she added.

One of the people named in the new actions is Konstantin Kilimnik, a Russian agent with ties to former Trump campaign leader Paul Manafort, who was convicted in the special investigation of Robert Mueller’s investigation into Russia’s interference in the 2016 election.

The FBI is offering $ 250,000 for information leading to the arrest of Kilimnik, who is believed to be in Russia. Moscow prohibits extradition of a Russian citizen to any country.

Another senior administration official who refused to be named said the White House still hopes for a “stable and predictable relationship” with Russia.

“We also want to make it clear that we do not wish to be in an escalation cycle with Russia. We intend that these responses be proportionate and tailored to the specific past activities, pathways and actions that Russia has taken,” he said Officer.

Administrative officials refused to speculate about possible retaliatory measures Moscow would take following the sweeping sanctions.

US-Russia relations deteriorating

Taking a tougher stance on Russia was one of Biden’s foreign policy election promises. The measures announced on Thursday join a number of past measures: the Obama administration’s debt financing restrictions on large Russian companies like Rosneft and the Trump administration’s ban on US companies buying foreign currency government bonds.

“Today’s US sanctions continue the general trend of deterioration in relations since the annexation of Crimea,” Maximilian Hess, head of political risk at London-based consultancy Hawthorn Advisors, told CNBC.

“The bulk” of these sanctions, he said, “is the Russian government’s blocking of US companies from the primary market in ruble-denominated debt.”

Hess noted, however, that this “will not have much of an impact, especially given Russia’s manageable debt burden”.

For Timothy Ash, Senior Emerging Markets Strategist at Bluebay Asset Management, the measures are anything but tough.

“It’s like boys, come on, you’ve got to do better,” Ash wrote in a note following the announcement.

“Sovereign Primary still allows US companies to hold this debt. So US institutions cannot buy Russian government bonds on the primary issue, but can get their Russian bank friends to buy them for them in the primary, give them a fee and them then in the secondary. “

The ruble reduced some of its losses against the greenback on Thursday shortly after the sanction news, trading at 76.3025 against the dollar at 4:00 p.m. local time, compared to 77.0718 just before the details of the sanctions were released.

Build up of Russian troops on the Ukrainian border

Ukrainian soldiers work with Russia-backed separatists near Lysychansk, Lugansk region, on their tank near the front line on April 7, 2021.

Photo by STR / AFP via Getty Images

Tuesday’s Biden-Putin call, at least the second between the two men since Biden took office in January, comes as the United States and other western countries tire of Russia’s growing military build-up on the border with Ukraine, where there are dozens has amassed thousands of troops and tanks.

“We are now seeing the largest concentration of Russian armed forces on the borders of Ukraine since 2014,” said Foreign Minister Antony Blinken on Tuesday after visiting the NATO headquarters in Brussels. “This is a deep concern not only for Ukraine, but also for the US.”

Regional experts say this move could be an attempt to test Biden’s skills and intimidate Ukraine. The more pessimistic outlook suggests that the goal is to incite Ukraine into renewed conflict.

In a telephone conversation with Putin, Biden emphasized “the unwavering commitment of the United States to the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine,” according to a reading by the White House.

Biden suggested holding a summit somewhere outside the US and Russia “to discuss the full range of problems the countries are facing”.

The Kremlin said in a statement later Tuesday that Biden had “suggested considering the possibility of holding a face-to-face summit in the foreseeable future.”

– Natasha Turak from Dubai contributed to this story, and Amanda Macias from Washington, DC

Correction: This story has been updated to correct the description of the Hawthorn Advisors.

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Politics

White Home Warns Russia on Bounties, however Stops Wanting Sanctions

WASHINGTON – The Biden administration warned the Kremlin Thursday of the CIA’s conclusion that Russia had covertly offered militants payments to encourage more killings of American and coalition forces in Afghanistan, and issued the diplomatic admonition than Moscow over sanctions Hacking and electoral influence.

However, the government has stopped sanctioning Russian officials for the alleged bounties, clarifying that the available evidence of what happened – especially what Afghan detainees told the interrogators – still does not definitively prove that Russia paid for the reward of attacks paid.

The intelligence community, a senior government official told reporters, “rates with low to moderate confidence that Russian intelligence officers have attempted to encourage Taliban attacks against US and coalition personnel in Afghanistan in 2019 and possibly earlier, including through financial incentives and compensation. “

The New York Times first reported the existence of the CIA’s assessment last summer and that the National Security Council had been running an inter-agent process to develop a range of response options – but those months had passed and the Trump White House had not approved a response. not even a diplomatic protest.

The Times also reported that the available evidence for this assessment centered on what detainees believed to be part of a Taliban-affiliated criminal-militant network reported to the interrogators, along with suspicious travel patterns and financial transfers that the CIA medium placed confidence in his conclusion.

However, it was also reported that the National Security Agency, which focuses on electronic surveillance, placed less confidence in the assessment, citing the lack of electronic listening devices for smoke guns. Analysts from two other consulted agencies, the National Counterterrorism Center and the Defense Intelligence Agency, are also believed to have split, the former supporting the CIA and the latter supporting the National Security Agency.

Former intelligence officials, including in testimony on the subject before Congress, have stated that in the murky world of intelligence, it is rare to have evidence in the courtroom without a reasonable doubt about what an adversary is doing in secret.

President Biden’s administration re-examining the available evidence had uncovered nothing new and significant that could bring more clarity to this murky intelligence portrait, leaving disagreement over the level of confidence, an official familiar with internal reasoning said.

The Biden official’s statement to reporters was consistent with this report.

Intelligence agencies, said the official, “have little to moderate confidence in this verdict, also because of the reporting of detainees and the challenging operating environment in Afghanistan.”

“Our conclusion,” the official continued, “is based on information and evidence of links between criminal agents in Afghanistan and elements of the Russian government.”

The officer did not explain. One problem with the evidence available, however, The Times reported last year, was that the leader of the suspected criminal-militant network believed to have interacted directly with Russian intelligence officials, Rahmatullah Azizi, fled to Russia – possibly connected to a Russian spy agency using a passport.

The new Washington

Updated

April 15, 2021, 6:10 p.m. ET

As a result, the detainees who told the interrogators what they had been told about the alleged agreement were not in the room for talks with Russian intelligence officials themselves. Even without electronic interception, there was a sample of evidence that corresponded to the assessment of the CIA, but no explicit eyewitness account of the interactions.

The Russian government has denied having covertly offered or paid bounties to fuel attacks on American and coalition forces in Afghanistan.

The public disclosure of the CIA’s assessment – and months of inactivity by the White House in response – sparked bipartisan turmoil in Congress. President Donald J. Trump defended the inaction, calling the coverage a “joke”. His White House denied it had been reported and tried to dismiss the intelligence service rating as too weak to be taken seriously.

In fact, it was included in his written briefing at the end of February 2020 and was more widely disseminated to the intelligence community in early May.

However, it was also true that analysts from the CIA’s National Security Agency disagreed on how much confidence should be placed in the agency’s conclusion, based on the incomplete set of evidence available. The Trump administration has played this split.

Michael J. Morell, a former acting CIA director, denied a White House testimony before Congress, suggesting that such an assessment must be unanimously supported by intelligence agencies in order to be taken seriously.

In previous administrations, he said last July, officials would have immediately told both the president and the congressmen of this ruling and any disagreement if the intelligence services had evaluated such information at any level of confidence. If the confidence level were low, an administration would seek more information before acting, while a medium or high confidence rating would most likely result in a response.

“You never have certainty in intelligence,” added Mr. Morell.

Mr Trump never addressed the issue of bounty education in his talks with Russian President Vladimir V. Putin. But after the CIA’s assessment was made public, senior military and diplomatic officials, including then Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, warned their colleagues.

“If the Russians offer money to kill Americans or other Westerners, there will be an enormous price. I shared that with Foreign Minister Lavrov, ”said Pompeo during a trip to the Czech Republic in August. “I know our military has also spoken to their senior leaders. We won’t bear that. We will not tolerate that. “

In testimony to Congress and in other statements, senior Pentagon officials said being trapped between a desire not to tighten the White House and a desire not to be indifferent to the safety of the troops, would be indignant when the CIA assessment would be correct, but also hadn’t seen definitive evidence.

“It is not closed because we never complete investigations that involve threats or potential threats to US forces,” said General Kenneth F. McKenzie Jr., head of Pentagon Central Command late last year when he asked about the status of the Investigation was asked. “We’re looking at it very carefully.”

Meanwhile, as a presidential candidate, Mr Biden attacked Mr Trump for failing to counter the CIA assessment, portraying it as part of a strange pattern of respect that Mr Trump had shown towards Russia. Mr Biden mentioned the matter in his speech accepting the Democratic nomination and brought it up in his first call as President to Mr Putin.

While the sanctions imposed on Thursday were based on suspected Russian misdeeds other than suspected bounties, the senior administration official said that diplomatic action on the information available “is a burden on the Russian government to explain its actions and take action to address this disruption address patterns of behavior. “

The official added: “We cannot and will not accept our staff’s orientation in this way.”

Julian E. Barnes and Eric Schmitt contributed to the coverage.

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Politics

Trump marketing campaign chief Paul Manafort worker Kilimnik gave Russia election knowledge

Konstantin Kilimnik as he appears on an FBI poster.

Source: FBI

A long-time employee of former President Donald Trump’s 2016 campaign manager, Paul Manafort, gave Russian intelligence services “sensitive information about election and campaign strategy” during this year’s elections, the US Treasury said on Thursday.

Manafort staffer Konstantin Kilimnik “also tried to further the narrative that Ukraine, not Russia, interfered in the 2016 US presidential election,” the Treasury Department said as the Biden government launched new sanctions against Russia, Kilimnik and others announced.

These sanctions relate in part to alleged efforts by Russia to influence the outcome of the 2020 US presidential election.

Former Trump campaign manager Paul Manafort arrives in the U.S. District Court in Washington on June 15, 2018 to be indicted on a third superseded indictment against him by special adviser Robert Mueller for witness manipulation.

Jonathan Ernst | Reuters

CNBC policy

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Politics

Biden Clashes With China and Russia in First 60 Days

The path to power is to build new networks instead of disrupting old ones. Economists are debating when the Chinese will have the world’s largest gross domestic product – perhaps by the end of this decade – and whether they can achieve their other two major national goals: building the most powerful military in the world and dominating the race for key technologies by 2049. Anniversary of Mao’s Revolution.

Their power does not stem from their relatively small nuclear arsenal or their growing supply of conventional weapons. Instead, it stems from their growing economic power and the way they use their government-subsidized technology to connect nations like Latin America or the Middle East, Africa or Eastern Europe with 5G wireless networks that keep them ever closer to Beijing should. It comes from the undersea cables that they wind up around the world to make these networks run on Chinese circuitry.

Ultimately, it will come from how they use these networks to make other nations dependent on Chinese technology. Once that happens, the Chinese could export some of their authoritarianism, for example by selling facial recognition software from other nations that would enable them to contain dissent at home.

Because of this, Jake Sullivan, Mr Biden’s National Security Advisor, who was with Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken while meeting his Chinese counterparts in Anchorage, warned in a number of writings over the past few years that it could be a mistake to say so assume that China wants to prevail by directly taking over the US military in the Pacific.

“The central premises of this alternative approach would be that economic and technological power is more fundamental than traditional military power in building global leadership,” he wrote, “and that physical influence in East Asia is not a necessary condition for sustaining it.” such a guide. “

The Trump administration came to similar conclusions, but only released a real strategy for dealing with China weeks before leaving office. Attempts to strangle Huawei, China’s national telecom champion, and take control of social media apps like TikTok ended as a disorganized effort in which allies who thought of buying Chinese technology were often threatened and angry .

Part of the goal of the Alaska meeting was to convince the Chinese that the Biden government is determined to compete with Beijing across the board to offer competitive technologies like semiconductor manufacturing and artificial intelligence, albeit billions in spending on government-led research means development projects and new industrial partnerships with Europe, India, Japan and Australia.

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Politics

Russia and Iran tried to intervene with 2020 election, US intel businesses say

Russia and Iran were conducting operations to try to meddle in the 2020 presidential election between Joe Biden and Donald Trump, according to a U.S. intelligence report released Tuesday.

U.S. intelligence also noted that China made no attempt to change the 2020 race outcome, and there is no evidence that foreign actors tried to change the U.S. ballot or voting tables, the report said .

The assessment was released as the Biden administration works to strengthen ties with key US allies to put pressure on Russia and Iran.

“On his first phone call with President Putin, President Biden knew the United States would respond to a series of destabilizing Russian actions,” a White House official said in a statement to NBC News late Tuesday.

These actions include the SolarWinds hack, for which, according to US authorities, Russia is likely to be responsible, as well as the alleged poisoning of the well-known Kremlin critic Alexey Navalny.

“You have already seen that we have taken a number of measures to respond to the use of a chemical weapon by Russia in the attempted murder of Alexey Navalny,” the official said. “There will be more soon.”

Tehran and Moscow have previously denied any involvement in an attempt to influence the US elections.

The report said, however, that Russian President Vladimir Putin has “approved influence operations aimed at denigrating President Biden’s candidacy and the Democratic Party, supporting former President Trump, and undermining public confidence in the electoral process.” to exacerbate the socio-political divisions in the USA “.

One of Moscow’s key strategies, according to the report, was to use proxies affiliated with Russian intelligence agencies to spread misleading claims and narratives among certain US media and individuals – “including some close to former President Trump and his administration”.

These plans have been put into action by “a number of Russian government organizations,” according to the report.

Iran “meanwhile,” carried out a complex covert campaign of influence to undermine former President Trump’s prospects for re-election – without directly promoting his rivals – in order to undermine public confidence in the electoral process and US institutions, and to sow division and to exacerbate social tensions in the US, “the report said.

Intelligence experts also noted that China, previously believed to be expanding its US influence efforts, ultimately failed to use any operations to influence the outcome of the Trump-Biden election.

Chinese President Xi Jinping

Fred Dufour | AFP | Getty Images

“China sought stability in its relations with the United States and did not see either election result as favorable enough for China to risk meddling,” the report said.

Beijing “assessed its traditional instruments of influence – especially targeted economic measures and lobbying – as sufficient to achieve its goal of shaping politics between the US and China independently of the winner.”

However, an expert – the National Cyber ​​Intelligence Officer – noted that China “has taken some steps to undermine the re-election of former President Trump”.

These assessments, each made with “high confidence”, were published in a declassified report released by the Office of the Director of the National Intelligence Service. The investigation was conducted by the Department of Justice and Homeland Security, the FBI, and the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA).

The report also found that, unlike the previous presidential cycle, there was no evidence of foreign actors attempting to change voter registration, ballot papers, or voting in the 2020 US election.

“We estimate that it would be difficult for a foreign actor to manipulate electoral processes on a large scale without doing so by gathering information about the actors themselves, by monitoring the physical and cybersecurity of electoral systems across the country or by Audits after the elections will be determined, “wrote the authors of the intelligence report.

In a statement, House Intelligence Committee chairman Adam Schiff, D-Calif., Stressed that the report shows that Russia remains the greatest threat to the US elections.

While China and Iran have also “taken specific steps related to US elections,” Schiff said, they are “on a far less significant or systematic level than those taken by Russia.”

“We have to be clear and straightforward to the American people that different countries have different intentions and capabilities and do not threaten our free and fair elections equally,” said Schiff.

Mark Warner, chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee, D-Va., Said while the U.S. has stepped up its defenses against foreign interference, “The problem of foreign actors trying to influence American voters is not going away and, given the current partisan differences in this country, it could find fertile ground on which to grow in the future.”

In addition to Iran and Russia, the investigation found that Cuba, Venezuela and Lebanese Hezbollah also worked to influence the elections, albeit on a smaller scale.

The unclassified rating released on Tuesday builds on the analysis the intelligence services provided to policy makers throughout the 2020 election cycle.

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World News

Russia slows down Twitter to guard residents from unlawful content material

Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Alexei Nikolsky | Reuters

Russia has announced that it will impose restrictions on the social media platform Twitter for not removing illegal content from its platform.

The Federal Service for Communications, Information Technology and Mass Communication, also known as Roskomnadzor, announced on Wednesday that it was slowing the speed of Twitter.

The communications guard said he was taking measures to ensure the safety of Russian citizens and could completely block the service if Twitter does not respond appropriately.

Twitter did not immediately respond to CNBC’s request for comment.

According to Roskomnadzor, speeds will be reduced on all mobile devices and 50% of all non-mobile devices such as computers, it said in a statement on its website.

Roskomnadzor accused Twitter of not removing content that encourages minors to commit suicide, as well as child pornography and drug use.

The regulator asked Twitter to remove links and posts more than 28,000 times between 2017 and March 2021. Other social networks have been more cooperative than Twitter to remove content that encourages minors to commit suicide.

Russia’s move to curb Twitter follows similar actions by governments in Turkey and India, which have also threatened jail sentences for platform managers.

Matt Navara, a social media advisor, told CNBC that the “threat of restricting, blocking, or banning social media platforms appears to be a growing trend for countries notorious for tougher, less democratic regimes” .

Social media platforms are in a constant battle to keep inappropriate content off their platforms. Facebook, TikTok, YouTube, and Twitter all use a combination of software and human content moderators to monitor what’s being shared on their platforms, but none of them have really mastered content moderation.

One of the most notorious examples of recent times was the Christchurch shooter who broadcast his mass murder live on Facebook and other platforms. The video was quickly cloned and re-shared by other users, faster than the content moderators could remove, and it remained on Facebook for a few weeks after the attack.

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Politics

Getting ready for Retaliation Towards Russia, U.S. Confronts Hacking by China

In writings and conversations over the past four years, Mr Sullivan has made it clear that he believes that traditional sanctions alone do not increase costs enough to force powers like Russia or China to talk about new rules for cyberspace.

However, government officials often fear that too strong a reaction could lead to escalation.

This is a particular problem with the Russian and Chinese attacks, in which both countries have clearly planted “back doors” to American systems that could be used for more destructive purposes.

American officials publicly say current evidence suggests that Russia’s intent in the SolarWinds attack was merely data theft. But several senior officials, who did not advocate an attribution, said they believed the size, scope, and cost of the operation suggested the Russians may have had much broader motives.

“I’m impressed with how many of these attacks undermine trust in our systems,” said Burt. “Just as there are efforts to get the country to distrust the electoral infrastructure, which is a central part of our democracy.”

Russia broke into the National Democratic Committee and state voter registration systems in 2016, mainly by guessing or obtaining passwords. However, when they hacked SolarWinds, they used a far more sophisticated technique that included code in the company’s software updates, rolling them deep into about 18,000 systems that used the network management software. Once inside, the Russians had high-level access to the systems with no passwords required.

Similarly, four years ago, a large majority of the Chinese government’s hacker attacks were carried out through email spear phishing campaigns. In recent years, China’s military hacking divisions have formed a new strategic support group, similar to the Pentagon’s Cyber ​​Command. Some of the key hacking operations are carried out by the more secretive Ministry of State Security, China’s premier intelligence agency, which maintains a satellite network of contractors.

Beijing also began hoarding so-called zero days, bugs in the code that are unknown to software providers and for which there is no patch.

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Business

EMA begins evaluation of Russia Sputnik V jab

A woman receives the second component of the Gam-COVID-Vac (Sputnik V) COVID-19 vaccine.

Valentin Sprinchak | TASS | Getty Images

LONDON – The European Medicines Agency has announced it will begin assessing the Russian coronavirus sting Sputnik V as the block seeks to speed up its vaccination program.

“The EMA will assess compliance with the usual EU standards for effectiveness, safety and quality by Sputnik V. While the EMA cannot predict the overall deadlines, the evaluation of a possible application should take less time than normal,” said the regulator in a statement on Thursday.

If the review is successful, the Russian vaccine would still need a regulatory filing before it is lit green for administration in the 27 Member States.

The news comes after some European countries indicated they could start giving Sputnik V by bypassing the regulator.

This is a breaking news item that will be updated.

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Business

How Investigative Journalism Flourished in Hostile Russia

“The audience doesn’t care if you bought data or got it from a source,” said Roman Anin, founder of iStories, a non-profit Russian investigative agency with 15 employees. He said he found that “since we’ve lived in a country where authorities kill opposition leaders, we’ve forgotten these rules because these stories are more important than our ethical rules.”

Recognition…The New York Times

This portal into the world of Vladimir Putin opened when some American journalists covering Russian interference in the 2016 elections produced overheated essays and viral Twitter threads. They cast Mr. Putin in the American imagination as an all-powerful puppet master and anyone whose name ends with the letter “v” as his agent. But they were real Russians running their websites on the verge of legality or from abroad, opening windows into Putin’s real Russia. And what they uncovered is incredible personal corruption, shadow figures behind international political interference, and murderous but sometimes incompetent security services.

Here are some examples of these revelations:

  • The nonprofit investigative firm Proekt identified Putin’s “secret family” and found that the woman it linked to the president had made around $ 100 million in fortunes from sources tied to the Russian state.

  • IStories used a ton of hacked email to document how Putin’s former son-in-law built a huge fortune from state connections.

  • The London-based company Bellingcat and the Russia-based Insider identified by name and photographically the Russian agents who poisoned the defector Sergei Skripal and his daughter in England in 2018.

  • The media group RBC dealt with the political machinery behind the troll farm, which meddled in US elections.

  • Meduza exposed deep corruption in every corner of Moscow’s city government, right down to the funeral home.

  • Mr Navalny’s foundation flew drones over Mr Putin’s palace, a huge Black Sea estate, which Mr Navalny in a devastating, almost two-hour video posted on his return to Russia last month, as “the world’s greatest bribe “Designated. The video has been viewed more than 100 million times on YouTube.

There is currently a tendency in parts of the American media to reflexively decipher the rise of alternative voices and open platforms in social media, viewing them solely as conveyors of misinformation or tools of Donald J. Trump. Russia is a powerful reminder of the other side of this story, the power of these new platforms to challenge one of the most corrupt governments in the world. For this reason, Navalny, for example, loudly criticized Twitter’s decision to ban Mr. Trump, calling it an “unacceptable act of censorship”.

The new Russian investigative media are also decidedly on the Internet. And much of it started with Mr. Navalny, a lawyer and blogger, who developed a style of YouTube investigation that relied more on the lightweight meme-y formats of that platform than on heavily produced documentaries or newsmag investigations.

Mr. Navalny doesn’t pretend to be a journalist. “We use investigative reporting as a tool to achieve our political goals,” said his advisor, Ms. Pevchikh. (A convention they don’t follow: receive comments from the target of an investigation.) Indeed, his relationship with independent journalists can be complicated. Most are careful to maintain their identities as independent actors rather than activists. They criticize him, but also share their stories with him in the hope that he will make them known to his own broad audience, and he publicly criticizes them for being too gentle on the Kremlin.

The new news outlets also learned from Mr. Navalny. Many of them mimicked his style on YouTube. And he proved that certain limits could be exceeded. In addition, everyone undoubtedly benefits from the homogeneity of the television channels. Imagine how much YouTube you would see if the only news channels available were Fox News, Newsmax, and OAN.

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Business

Russia, China search to spice up world affect

Workers unload the cargo from a Hungarian Airbus 330 plane after transporting the first doses of the Chinese Sinopharm vaccine against the coronavirus (Covid-19) at Budapest Ferenc Liszt International Airport on February 16, 2021.

ZOLTAN MATH | AFP | Getty Images

LONDON – International diplomacy is likely to determine who gets access to coronavirus vaccines in the coming months, analysts told CNBC. Countries like Russia and China use one of the most sought-after commodities in the world to advance their own interests abroad.

It is hoped that the introduction of Covid-19 vaccines could help end the pandemic. While many countries have not yet started vaccination programs, even high-income countries face a supply shortage as manufacturers struggle to stimulate production.

Russia and China made the distribution of face masks and protective equipment to hard-hit countries a central principle of diplomatic relations last year. Now both countries are taking a transactional approach to the delivery of vaccines.

Agathe Demarais, Global Forecasting Director at the Economist Intelligence Unit, told CNBC over the phone that Russia, China and, to a lesser extent, India are betting on providing Covid vaccines to emerging or low-income countries to advance their interests.

“Russia and China have been doing this for a long, long time … especially in emerging markets because they feel that traditional Western powers have withdrawn from those countries,” Demarais said.

“In the past we have seen China launch the Belt and Road Initiative, when in fact it still does. We have seen Russia do a number of things, especially in the Middle Eastern countries with nuclear power plants has undertaken, and vaccine diplomacy is new brick all over the building in its attempt to build its global reputation. “

Vaccination timeline

That strategy is likely to lead Russia and China to cement long-term presence in countries around the world, Demarais said, noting that the fundamental importance of vaccines to the population will make it “super, super difficult” for countries in the future to withstand diplomatic pressure.

The problem for Moscow and Beijing, however, is that “there is a big, big chance” that they both promise too much and deliver too little, she added.

Russia’s Sputnik V vaccine and China’s Sinopharm and Sinovac vaccines have already started rolling out globally. A total of 26 countries, including Argentina, Hungary, Tunisia and Turkmenistan, have approved the Russian Covid vaccine. China’s customers include Brazil, Indonesia, Thailand and the United Arab Emirates.

A health worker receives the Sputnik V vaccine at the Centenario Hospital in Rosario, Santa Fe Province, when the vaccination campaign against the novel coronavirus Covid-19 began in Argentina on December 29, 2020.

STR | AFP | Getty Images

According to analysts, both Russia and China have typically signed supply contracts that strengthen existing political alliances. However, production problems with western-made vaccines could be an incentive for some non-traditional allies to look to Moscow and Beijing.

Russia and China are currently unable to meet their respective home markets’ vaccine needs and continue to export to countries around the world. Production is the main hurdle to this challenge, while many high-income countries have pre-ordered more cans than they need.

We don’t currently have a system at international level to ensure, for example, that you can adjust the effectiveness of the vaccine to the variant in which a variant is in circulation.

Suerie Moon

Co-Director of GHC at the Graduate Institute Geneva

A report released last month by the Economist Intelligence Unit forecast that most of the adult populations in advanced economies would be vaccinated by the middle of next year. In contrast, this period extends to early 2023 for many middle-income countries and even until 2024 for some low-income countries.

It highlights the global mismatch between supply and demand and the wide gap between high and low income countries when it comes to access to vaccines.

Last month, the World Health Organization’s top official warned that the world was on the verge of “catastrophic moral failure” because of unequal Covid vaccination policies.

Dr. Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said Jan. 18 that it was clear that, even though some countries and companies speak the language of fair access to vaccines, they are still prioritizing bilateral deals, bypassing COVAX, raising prices and trying to jump up the line . “

“That’s wrong,” he added.

Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, Director General of the World Health Organization (WHO), speaks after Dr. Anthony Fauci, Director of the National Institute for Allergies and Infectious Diseases, during the 148th session of the Executive Board on the Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Geneva, Switzerland, January 21, 2021.

Christopher Black | WHO | via Reuters

Tedros condemned what he called the “me-first” approach from high-income countries, saying it was self-destructive and endangered the world’s poorest and most vulnerable. Almost all high-income countries have prioritized the distribution of vaccines to their own populations.

When asked if there is any prospect of countries changing their so-called me-first approach following the WHO warning about vaccine diplomacy, Demarais replied, “No. It won’t happen. I’m following it very closely and it’s all very depressing . “

“The Big Challenge”

COVAX is one of the three pillars of the so-called Access to COVID-19 Tools Accelerator, which was introduced last April by the WHO, the European Commission and France. It focuses on equitable access of Covid diagnostics, treatments and vaccines to help less affluent countries.

Analysts have long been skeptical about how efficiently COVAX can deliver supplies of Covid vaccines to middle and low income countries around the world, despite several heads of state calling for global solidarity at the start of the pandemic.

The international aid group Medecins Sans Frontieres has described what we are seeing today in terms of global access to vaccines as “far from an image of justice”.

“The big challenge is that every time a country signs a bilateral agreement, it becomes all the more difficult to put vaccines into the multilateral pot via COVAX,” said Suerie Moon, co-director of the Global Health Center at the Graduate Institute in Geneva. said CNBC by phone.

Adding to this concern, Moon said, “We currently have no system at the international level to ensure, for example, that you can reconcile the effectiveness of the vaccine with the variant of a circulating variant.”

She cited South Africa as an impressive example. Earlier this month, South Africa suspended the launch of the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine after a study raised questions about its effectiveness against a highly infectious variant first discovered in the country.

“In a rational and ethical world, South Africa would suddenly have access to vaccines that are effective against its variant, and the AstraZeneca vaccines could be sent to another part of the world that does not have that variant. That would be the rational way you do it, but we just haven’t made arrangements for this type of transaction, “said Moon.

“Ideally, something like this happens when you have strong international collaboration, but I think the reality is that it will be a mess,” she continued.

“We’re going to have vaccines that expire in some countries if they could be used elsewhere. We’re going to have vaccines effective in one place, but they’re not in the right place (and) we’re going to have excess vaccines as a security.” measure, while in another country people have nothing. “