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Health

Unvaccinated folks face extra Covid restrictions in future

Thousands of protesters took to the streets in Toulouse against France’s mandatory health pass on July 12th 2021. More than 234,000 people demonstrated across France against the pass which will be mandatory for entry to a wide array of public venues such as cafes, theaters, concerts hall, cinemas, shopping malls, public transportation, public swimming pools, and even hospitals unless there’s a critical situation.

NurPhoto | NurPhoto | Getty Images

LONDON — The divide between the vaccinated and unvaccinated when it comes to Covid-19 is likely to become even deeper, with officials in the U.S. and Europe planning, or introducing, an increasing number of restrictions on people who haven’t gotten a Covid shot.

Almost all governments around the world have so far resisted making Covid vaccination mandatory for their citizens, although many have introduced forms of Covid vaccination certificates, passes or passports that allow the immunized bearer more freedoms and work opportunities than unvaccinated people.

Aspects of daily life are increasingly complicated for anyone who is not vaccinated against Covid, and there is a rising sense of anger and injustice among those who reject the vaccine.

Vaccine fault lines

Despite protests among groups against such moves, the freedom to travel, work, socialize and engage in leisure activities is increasingly determined by our Covid vaccination status.

Nationally the U.S. has ruled out making Covid vaccination mandatory, rejecting the concept of vaccination passports back in April due to concerns over privacy and citizens’ rights. But some states are moving toward more restrictions for unvaccinated people.

Covid vaccinations are now mandatory for New York City’s municipal workers, and from mid-September proof of inoculation will be required from employees and customers of indoor eateries, gyms and entertainment centers. Meanwhile, workers in health care facilities in California will be required to provide proof that they’ve been fully vaccinated against Covid from October. On Monday, the Pentagon said it plans to make Covid vaccination mandatory for military service members no later than mid-September.

Read more: Herd immunity from Covid is ‘mythical’ with the delta variant, experts say

France, Greece and the U.K. are among European countries mandating vaccinations for health professionals or home care staff. In China, some local governments have reportedly said students will not be allowed back to school in September unless their entire family is fully vaccinated. In Australia, some states in lockdown are allowing only vaccinated people back to work and have said restrictions will be lifted only when a majority of people are immunized.

A large number of European countries now require travelers to show they are fully vaccinated, provide proof of a negative Covid test, or show that they have recovered from a recent infection. Otherwise, they must quarantine.

“I ask all those who have been vaccinated to encourage their friends, acquaintances and family members to also get vaccinated,” German Chancellor Angela Merkel said Tuesday, shortly after new measures were announced in that country. “This is not only a protection for us, but also for others who cannot be vaccinated — children or people with previous illnesses.”

‘Blackmail’ and ‘dictatorship’

There are many individuals who are unhappy about the trend toward differentiating between the vaccinated and unvaccinated. Marco De Matteo, a young Neapolitan man who is a travel enthusiast, is angry about the situation in Italy where a “green pass” has been introduced, likening the situation to a “health and economic dictatorship.”

“Those in power are limiting, by law, individuals’ freedom and dignity,” he said. “The imposition of the green pass in the world of work, both in the public and in the private sector … is breaking society apart,” he told CNBC.

The pass is a digital or paper certificate that shows if someone has received at least one shot of a vaccine, has tested negative or has recently recovered from the coronavirus. The pass is now needed for any Italian citizen to access indoor bars and restaurants, cinemas, museums or gyms and will soon be required for travel and some jobs, such as teachers. Those who refuse will be suspended.

Members of the ‘No Vax’ take part in a demonstration against the introduction of a mandatory “green pass” in the aim to limit the spread of the Covid-19, at the Piazza del Popolo in central Rome on August 7, 2021.

ALBERTO PIZZOLI | AFP | Getty Images

De Matteo, and many others who are also concerned about encroachment on civil liberties, recognizes the need to protect the health of the community. But he says that for him “there are many doubts both about the nature of the virus and about the vaccine.” He also regrets negative stereotypes attributed to people that object to Covid vaccines.

“In Italy, many people are organizing peaceful demonstrations — people from all walks of life and economic backgrounds who care about everyone’s freedom, dignity and health — but they are labeled as conspiracy theorists,” he said.

Vaccine skepticism and outright anti-vaccination sentiment have become rife since the start of the coronavirus pandemic, coinciding with disinformation and misinformation on social media that can ultimately endanger lives. Clinical trials, peer-reviewed by international medical journals, have shown that vaccination reduces the spread of the virus and contributes to reducing deaths and severe illness.

Medical professionals, such as Dr. Scott Gottlieb, have repeatedly spoken of the benefits of vaccination. Gottlieb, a former Food and Drug Administration commissioner, also told CNBC last month that people who have previously been infected with the coronavirus would still benefit from receiving Covid vaccines.

French yoga teacher Amel Lamloum told CNBC back in January that she didn’t see the advantages of having the Covid vaccine, given her young age (30) and good health.

Read more: France’s vaccine-skepticism is making its Covid immunization drive much harder  

Speaking to CNBC again Thursday, Lamloum said she still had not received the vaccine and was even more reluctant to do so now, given what she saw as “blackmail” by the French government to do so.

“I really think society has changed and that there is no justice anymore,” she said, adding that she no longer trusted the government and had prepared herself to adjust how she lived.

“Many, many people will not get the vaccine, for sure, and we will have to live in a side society and we are ready for it, we are ready for everything.”

Why the reluctance?

For millions of people who have been happy and willing to receive a Covid vaccine, the rollout of vaccination programs has offered protection against a highly transmissible virus. It’s also allowed a return to much-missed freedoms, from seeing loved-ones and socializing to shopping and traveling.

But others across the U.S. and Europe see vaccination programs with ambivalence or worse.

Some have been critical of the speed of Covid vaccine development, distrusting clinical data on the efficacy and long-term safety credentials of Covid vaccines. Others have questioned why they need a shot when Covid can be a mild or asymptomatic illness for many people, especially the young.

Public bodies like the World Health Organization have repeatedly reaffirmed the importance of vaccinating as many people as possible against Covid to curb the spread of the disease and allow a return to a normal societal functioning. Covid vaccines have been proven in extensive clinical trials involving hundreds of thousands of people to be safe and highly effective at preventing severe illness, hospitalization and death.

What’s less certain for experts is how long immunity lasts and whether future Covid variants could undermine vaccine efficacy. Many governments are weighing up the merits of booster vaccines too but for now, the main priority is to encourage vaccine uptake among the completely unvaccinated.

Who is most vaccine resistant?

Public confidence in vaccines, or the flipside of vaccine hesitancy, differs wildly from country to country and is often informed by the public’s trust in government and health care systems. France, for example, is renowned for a high rate of vaccine hesitancy, while vaccine uptake in the U.K. has traditionally been high.

One survey showed vaccine opposition highest in Russia, followed by the U.S., according to a global poll of 15 countries carried out by data intelligence company Morning Consult in July and August. With 43,054 interviews conducted in the U.S. alone, the percentage of people unwilling or uncertain about getting a Covid vaccine stood at 30%.

Young adults have a lower vaccine rate in every country that was tracked except in China, the poll also found, although that data could also reflect the speed and breadth of vaccination programs; some young adults are yet to be fully vaccinated in a number of countries polled.

Adults in the U.S. appear to be the most consistent when it comes to vaccine skepticism; the share of vaccine skeptics in the U.S. has remained at 30% for the past four weeks, Morning Consult said, and that share has only fallen by 4 percentage points since it began tracking in mid-April.

“Over that same time period, in the other 14 countries tracked, the share of skeptics has dropped by an average of 13 points, more than triple the decline in skepticism seen in the U.S.. No other country has seen a smaller decline,” Morning Consult noted.

The top reasons given for uncertainty over vaccines were concerns over side effects and worries that clinical trials had been conducted too fast.

Europe curbs

Back in Europe, parts of the leisure sector are being affected directly by the new rules. In Belgium, for instance, some soccer clubs are opening separate spectator stands for those who are unvaccinated. In the U.K., only the fully vaccinated will soon be able to enter a nightclub.

A number of countries have gone further, introducing types of Covid vaccination “passes” or “passports” at the national level, prompting criticism from some quarters.

France has introduced a “health pass,” meaning that individuals have to prove they are fully vaccinated, recently tested negative, or have recently recovered from the virus if they want to access cafes, restaurants, cinemas, museums and theaters. The pass has proved controversial, stoking protests attracting thousands of people who say the pass restricts civil liberties.

Charleroi, one of the Belgian soccer clubs introducing separate stands for unvaccinated fans.

VIRGINIE LEFOUR | AFP | Getty Images

Germany looks to be heading in a similar direction, aiming to encourage vaccine uptake by ending free, government-paid Covid tests while requiring anyone who’s not fully vaccinated (excluding children) to present a negative Covid test in order to access indoor spaces and events.

“Tests are therefore becoming a prerequisite, for example, for access to hospitals, old people’s and nursing homes, indoor catering, events and celebrations, but also for visits to the hairdresser or the cosmetic studio. The same applies to indoor sports or accommodation, for example in hotels and guest houses,” the government said on Tuesday.

Disclosure: Scott Gottlieb is a CNBC contributor and is a member of the boards of Pfizer, genetic testing start-up Tempus, health-care tech company Aetion Inc. and biotech company Illumina. He also serves as co-chair of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings’ and Royal Caribbean’s “Healthy Sail Panel.”

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Health

The unvaccinated might face new restrictions for winter

Federal Minister of Health Jens Spahn on the way to the presentation of the National Reserve Health Protection at the Federal Press Conference on July 21, 2021 in Berlin.

Andreas Gora | Getty Images News | Getty Images

The German Ministry of Health is preparing comprehensive measures in the coming month that could exclude unvaccinated people from many areas of public life if the Covid-19 infection rates continue to rise.

Health Minister Jens Spahn has submitted proposals to parliament and representatives of the 16 federal states on how the state should deal with the pandemic in the coming months.

The plan comes as German authorities remain cautious about the potential impact of the highly transmittable Delta-Covid-19 variant at a time when many pandemic restrictions have been dropped. Covid-19 cases have risen gradually across the country in recent weeks, albeit from a relatively low level.

Respiratory diseases like Covid tend to thrive in cooler weather conditions, as people typically spend more time together in enclosed spaces, with less ventilation and less personal space than in summer.

The country’s new Covid plan, entitled “Safe through autumn and winter”, was reported for the first time by the German media DPA and the Süddeutsche Zeitung.

What is proposed

The measures, which would be among the strictest in Europe, would ensure that only those who have been vaccinated against the virus, have recovered from infection or have a negative test result have access to many facilities.

Shops, restaurants, hairdressers, beauty salons, indoor sports and large outdoor events were all listed as venues that could become inaccessible to those who did not comply with the proposed changes.

This was known as the “3G rule” and refers to the German terms for vaccinated, recovered (recovered) and tested (tested). The directive already applies to several areas of public life, including air travel and hotel accommodation.

The Ministry of Health said the government was also considering restricting unvaccinated people if infections and hospital stays continued to rise. This has been called the “2G rule” because only vaccinated or recovered people are allowed to visit certain facilities, while unvaccinated people are excluded.

A woman will be tested for the coronavirus on July 23, 2021 in a mobile test station next to a nightclub in Berlin-Kreuzberg amid the ongoing coronavirus / COVID-19 pandemic.

STEFANIE LOOS | AFP | Getty Images

In parallel with these measures, the ministry recommended masking requirements by spring 2022; Test, ventilation and hygiene guidelines would have to be implemented nationwide in schools and day-care centers; and the country should get rid of free Covid-19 testing. Hopefully the latter will provide some incentive to vaccinate, as vaccinations are offered free of charge to all adults.

However, free rapid tests would still be offered to those who cannot be vaccinated or who do not recommend it, such as pregnant women, under the required age for vaccination, allergy sufferers, or other risk groups.

The Covid-19 plan is to be debated on Tuesday at a summit between Chancellor Angela Merkel and the Prime Minister. If approved, the measures should come into effect from September.

Legislators split

Civil rights groups have warned that vaccination-like measures are likely to be counterproductive from a public health perspective, and lawmakers should instead give priority to educating people about vaccination.

At a press conference last month, Merkel warned that measures that constitute an “indirect compulsory vaccination” must be carefully considered and indicated that the focus would remain on encouraging people to get their Covid vaccinations for the time being.

The legislature seems to be divided on this issue. Merkel Chief of Staff Helge Braun said late last month that those who oppose the vaccine should not expect the same freedoms as those who have been fully vaccinated.

Family and Justice Minister Christine Lambrecht has since rejected this view, defended the country’s current application of the “3G Rule” and called on the government to consider other ways of promoting vaccine uptake.

More than 44.5 million people in Germany, around 53% of the total population, are fully vaccinated against the virus.

At her last summer federal press conference as Chancellor at the end of last month, Merkel again called for vaccinations. “The more of us vaccinated, the more freedom we will regain.”

Stressing the importance of people encouraging their family, friends and colleagues to consider vaccinating, Merkel warned that the German Robert Koch Institute for Infectious Diseases could see another sharp rise in Covid-19 in the coming months. Cases expected.

“I tell everyone who is still unsure: A vaccination not only protects you, but also the people who are important to you, who mean a lot to you, your loved ones,” said Merkel.

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Health

Singapore to chill out Covid restrictions as vaccination charge will increase

A poster will be on display at the National Gallery of Singapore on March 30, 2020, reminding people to keep a safe distance from each other.

Ore extraction | Getty Images News | Getty Images

SINGAPORE – The Singapore government said Friday it will start easing Covid-19 measures next week as the proportion of people vaccinated increases.

The government has revised the Covid measures several times since May due to an increase in locally transmitted infections – many are caused by the more highly transmissible Delta variant. The country last tightened measures on July 22, banning eating and restricting social gatherings.

Singapore Health Minister Ong Ye Kung said the number of daily cases has stabilized since the recent restrictions were imposed. During that time, the proportion of people who received two doses of Covid vaccine rose from around 40% to 67% on Thursday.

“We have prevented an uncontrollable increase in infections, serious illnesses and deaths,” Ong, the co-chair of the country’s Covid task force, told reporters at a briefing.

Singapore has one of the fastest vaccinations in the world. Ong said the percentage of people fully vaccinated would rise to around 70% by Monday, when the country celebrates National Day.

However, with a “significant” portion of the population still not fully vaccinated, the government will introduce differentiated social rules based on people’s vaccination status, said Gan Kim Yong, Ministry of Commerce and Industry and co-chair of the coronavirus task force.

Differentiated Covid measures

From Tuesday next week, the group sizes of social gatherings will be relaxed from two to five people. But the government “strongly” encouraged those who were not vaccinated to stick to pairs.

Eating and drinking in catering facilities is allowed for groups of up to five people if they are all fully vaccinated or have had a negative Covid test in the last 24 hours. However, eating in open-air food centers and cafés is only allowed for groups of up to two people, regardless of their vaccination status.

The Singapore government also announced that it would ease its border restrictions.

Starting Tuesday, Singapore will allow fully vaccinated work card holders and their dependents to enter the country. And from August 20, fully vaccinated travelers from select countries – including Australia, Canada, Germany and South Korea – will be able to take a mandatory quarantine in their homes.

“We are now in a stronger position to continue our reopening journey, but in a cautious and calibrated way,” said Gan.

The government said it would ease measures further in early September, when 80% of the population is expected to be fully vaccinated.

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Health

China orders Wuhan mass testing, Beijing restrictions as Covid delta spreads

Residents of Wuhan city in China’s Hubei province queue to take nucleic acid tests for Covid-19 on August 3, 2021.

STR | AFP | Getty Images

China is facing pockets of resurgence in major cities from Beijing to Wuhan, and authorities have imposed mass testing and widespread travel restrictions in some areas.

Daily Covid-19 cases are rising again as the delta variant spreads across the country.

China’s National Health Commission said it confirmed 96 Covid cases on Wednesday — the third straight day it reported 90 cases and above. Of the newly confirmed cases, 71 were locally transmitted, said the health commission.

Economists are concerned that a strict government clampdown on movements could hurt the economy — the only major economy to grow last year.

“China has shown before that it is willing to take tough action to control Covid, and we don’t doubt that it will do so again this time,” Robert Carnell, regional head of Asia-Pacific research at Dutch bank ING, said in a note on Wednesday.

“Tough restrictions on movement and travel already in place will likely bring the desired results. But the delta variant is a particularly slippery little critter, and the concern for us, and we imagine, many others, is how quickly this will occur, and at what economic cost in the meantime,” he added.

Read more about China from CNBC Pro

When Covid-19 first emerged in the country in late 2019, authorities used strict lockdowns and mass testing to control the nationwide outbreak.

Since then, Chinese authorities have clamped down hard on any flare-ups in Covid infections. The latest spread of the more transmissible Covid delta variant has again led authorities to tighten containment measures across the country.

State media Xinhua News Agency reported that authorities have urged people to limit travel and avoid gatherings, as well as suspended some flights, trains and long-distance bus services.

The capital of Beijing imposed strict entry and exit controls on Sunday and is said to be at a “critical stage” of epidemic control after cases rose late July for the first time in months, Xinhua reported.

Wuhan city, where the coronavirus first emerged, will test all its residents for Covid new cases emerged, the news agency said.

As of July 20, more than 17 million doses of Covid vaccines have been administered in Wuhan, and the vaccination rate of those 18 years and above hit 77.63%, according to the Wuhan municipal health commission.

‘Slow patch’ in China’s economy

China’s economic recovery has been uneven, with exports-oriented sectors driving most of the growth while domestic consumption has been slower to return.  

The resurgence in Covid-19 infections and the latest containment measures would delay a recovery in Chinese household spending, said Sian Fenner, lead Asia economist at consultancy Oxford Economics.

“The geographical spread of the delta variant is going to be concerning the Chinese authorities. We’ve already seen that they have a very low tolerance towards, you know, even a relatively small flare up,” she told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Asia” on Wednesday.

“We had hoped that with the increase in vaccination rates, that would actually improve that service consumption, but it looks like we’re in for another sort of slow patch going forward and … the delayed recovery in household spending,” she added.

Fenner said she’s maintaining her full-year growth forecast of 8.4% for China for now. That’s slightly higher than the International Monetary Fund’s projected growth of 8.1% in China.

— CNBC’s Weizhen Tan contributed to this report.

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Politics

Appeals courtroom blocks CDC restrictions on cruises in win for Florida

The Royal Caribbean’s Odyssey of The Seas arrives at Port Everglades on June 10, 2021 in Fort Lauderdale, Florida.

Joe Raedle | Getty Images

A federal appeals court on Friday sided with Florida in its challenge against the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention over federal regulations for cruise ships that the state said were too onerous and were costing it millions of dollars in foregone tax revenue.

The two-page ruling from the 11th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals marks an unusual reversal from the appeals panel’s ruling in the matter delivered on Saturday.

The court did not explain the reason for the change, though the latest ruling came just hours after Florida brought the case to the Supreme Court, seeking to reverse the 11th Circuit’s previous move. That action will likely be withdrawn now.

The CDC rules have hampered the cruise industry from returning fully to business amid the nation’s vaccine-driven recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic. Early in the public health crisis, cruise lines were subject to a number of high-profile outbreaks. The industry was among the hardest hit by the coronavirus.

A federal district court in Florida sided with the state last month in response to a lawsuit filed by Ashley Moody, the Republican attorney general. Over the weekend, the 11th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals temporarily halted that decision, which allowed the CDC rules to remain in place.

The 11th Circuit decision on Saturday was made by a vote of 2-1. Friday’s decision was unanimous.

Shares of cruise lines Carnival Cruises, Royal Caribbean and Norwegian Cruise Line each fell further than the broader market following the release of the 11th Circuit decision on Monday.

On Friday afternoon, Moody brought the case to the Supreme Court in an emergency filing, asking the top court to reverse the appeals court’s decision.

“The CDC’s Order is manifestly beyond its authority, as the district court correctly concluded in preliminarily enjoining it,” Moody wrote in the filing.

Moody said that the CDC’s rules amount to an “an ever-changing array of requirements” that are posted to the agency’s website.

In addition, she wrote, the CDC rules require cruise lines to “establish COVID-19 testing laboratories, run self-funded experiments called ‘test voyages,’ and comply with social-distancing requirements throughout ships, including in outdoor areas like swimming pools and while waiting in line for the bathroom.”

Moody wrote that only five ships out of 65 subject to the CDC’s cruise rules had been approved to sail at the time the 11th Circuit issued its ruling. She wrote in the filing that the restrictions on cruises have cost Florida tens of millions of dollars in tax and port revenues. Without further action, the restrictions were set to remain in place until November 2021.

The CDC did not immediately return a request for comment.

The 11th Circuit decision comes as the nation is seeing a rise in Covid-19 cases, largely among individuals who have not been vaccinated, attributed to the highly transmissible delta variant.

Moody said Wednesday that she had contracted Covid-19 despite receiving a vaccine. In a post Friday on Twitter, Moody said she was still experiencing mild symptoms and encouraged people to get vaccinated.

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World News

U.S. Reaffirms Land Border Restrictions with Canada and Mexico

Nonessential travel restrictions from Canada and Mexico do not apply to air, freight rail or sea, and traveling by land is still allowed for many reasons, including business, medical purposes and education. All international air travelers into the United States have to present a negative coronavirus test taken within three days of departure or proof of recovery from the virus within 90 days.

Canada made the decision to reopen its border based on its vaccination progress — more than three quarters of the country has received at least one dose of vaccine, according to governmental data, a far higher percentage than the United States, where a little more than 56 percent of the population has received at least one dose, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Residents within the United States and across its land borders have pressed for reopening, and more than 2,800 people have joined a private Facebook group organized by Let Us Reunite, an advocacy group.

One of the group’s members is Heather Kienle, a U.S. citizen who lives in Montreal. Crossing the border has not been a problem for Ms. Kienle, but her husband, a Canadian, cannot.

So Ms. Kienle, who is six months pregnant, often drives alone or with her 4-year-old daughter more than eight hours to West Babylon, N.Y., to care for her mother, who has endometrial cancer.

“It was just very stressful because I had to travel by myself, without my husband, and I had to take care of my daughter in the back seat,” Ms. Kienle said on Wednesday.

U.S. politicians from both parties have also objected to the restrictions.

Brian Higgins, a congressman who represents a district in Western New York that borders Canada, said in a statement on Wednesday that “today’s decision by the Biden administration harms economic recovery and hurts families all across America’s northern border; this is completely unnecessary.”

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Health

England’s easing of Covid restrictions may go both means

A Yeoman Warder at the Tower Of London leads one of the first Yeoman Warder led tours of the tower in 16 months after the final legal Coronavirus restrictions were lifted in England on Monday July 19.

Victoria Jones – PA Images | PA Images | Getty Images

Criticism is mounting on Prime Minister Boris Johnson and his government for the decision to go ahead with the lifting of Covid-19 restrictions in England this week, with the world now watching to see which direction the country’s health crisis goes next.

From Monday, there will be no more limits on indoor gatherings which means that nightclubs can reopen and bars and pubs will no longer have to provide table-only service.

In addition, the 1-meter social distancing rule has been removed and face masks have become largely voluntary, although some airlines and transport companies have said they will retain mask-wearing requirements.

The fanfare around a day previously touted as “Freedom Day” has been muted from the government, however, as it comes amid a surge in Covid infections caused by the delta variant. The government has urged caution and for people to take a sense of personal responsibility when it comes to their newly regained freedoms.

The lifting of restrictions had already been moved from June 21 to allow for more vaccinations to take place amid the surge in infections.

Cases remain high across the U.K. with 316,691 cases reported over the last seven days, up around 43% from the previous seven-day period. Hospitalizations are low but are creeping higher, with 4,313 people admitted to hospital in the last seven days, government data shows. In the last seven days, 283 people have died.

The lifting of restrictions has drawn criticism from many medical experts and opposition politicians amid concerns that hospitalizations and deaths, while relatively low for now, could quickly rise if cases increase further.

‘Big bang’ gamble?

Ed Davey, the leader of the opposition Liberal Democrats party in the U.K., was among those criticizing the move calling it a “gamble” by the Conservative government.

“We want our freedoms back, of course we all want them back, but we have to be sensible. I’m particularly worried about clinically vulnerable people, the fact that the government isn’t making mask-wearing on public transport mandatory means that many of these clinically vulnerable people won’t be able to have any freedom at all … because they won’t feel safe on public transport,” he said.

“So this is the balance for the freedom of people to be able to go to nightclubs, as much as everybody wants some fun, you’re taking away the freedom of other people. I just fear this big bang, this gamble that Boris Johnson is taking, isn’t getting that balance right.”

David Miles, professor of financial economics at Imperial College and former member of the Monetary Policy Committee at the Bank of England, told CNBC that the situation could go either way now.

“Everything now depends on how the infection plays out across the country. You could imagine different scenarios. In an optimistic one, the infection rates, which have been running very high, level off and then begin to drop back so by the time we move into the fourth quarter the infections are coming down sharply … there’s a surge in confidence and we get [a] very strong economic bounce back.”

“That’s certainly possible and if that’s how it plays out then people will say the government was absolutely right,” he said.

But, at the other end of the spectrum, Miles noted, “the numbers infected keep rising to … 100,000 a day and hospital admissions begin to rise, they’ve already been rising, and the death rate also begins to move up, and on the back of that people remain very nervous … and we’re back, at the end of the year, in a very difficult situation and an economic recovery goes into reverse.”

Miles said he didn’t know which scenario was more likely. “I think it’s extremely difficult for the government to know what the right strategy is here,” he said.

An exciting day for others

While experts hold concerns over the lifting of restrictions, for many people the relaxation of rules is a sigh of relief after months of lockdowns, job uncertainty and, in many cases, loneliness. Those in favor of lifting restrictions note that there are many damaging consequences to remaining locked down, from the impact on the economy and livelihoods to mental health.

Lifting restrictions in the summer could also lighten the burden on the National Health Service when the winter comes too, the government hopes. Johnson has often repeated the mantra recently of “if not now, then when” in reference to lifting the restrictions, urging the public “to learn to live with” the virus.

Businesses sorely impacted by lockdowns are certain to welcome the removal of restrictions in the hope that footfall increases.

London Mayor Sadiq Khan, a member of the opposition Labour party and often a vocal critic of the government’s actions during the pandemic, said that Monday was an “exciting” day for London’s businesses.

“Today is exciting because many of the restrictions that we’ve had to deal with over the last 16 months are being relaxed and that’s really important not least because many of our businesses — particularly in hospitality, culture, retail and the night-time economy — that rely on footfall have really struggled.”

“But what we’re saying to Londoners and those coming to London is ‘please be cautious.’ If, for example, you can’t keep your social distance indoors think about wearing a facemask and follow the normal rules like good hygiene.”

Khan noted that over 9.9 million vaccine doses had been administered in London and more than three quarters of all over-40s had been double-vaccinated with younger people now the main target for immunization.

On a U.K.-wide level, 87.9% of adults have received a first dose of a vaccine and 68.3% have received both doses. Having both doses of a vaccine greatly reduces the risk of infection and hospitalization caused by the coronavirus.

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Health

UK lifts all remaining Covid restrictions regardless of instances surging

Two people embrace in the middle of the dance floor at Egg London nightclub in the early hours of July 19, 2021 in London, England. Starting Monday July 19 at 12:01 p.m., England will lift most of its remaining social restrictions from Covid-19, including wearing masks indoors and restrictions on group gatherings.

Rob Pinney | Getty Images News | Getty Images

LONDON – England is taking a step into the unknown on Monday, lifting almost all remaining restrictions on public life at a time when coronavirus infections are high and rising.

As of Monday, there will no longer be any restrictions on indoor gatherings. Nightclubs can reopen, the 1-meter social distancing rule will be lifted, and face masks will be largely voluntary, although some airlines and transport companies have announced that they will retain mask requirements.

In essence, most of the legal restrictions have now been lifted and replaced with an emphasis on ownership as infections continue to rise.

There was no mention of “Freedom Day,” as the Monday, July 19, earlier, when Prime Minister Boris Johnson urged caution as the country moved to “Step 4” of its roadmap to lift restrictions.

“Please, please, please be careful. Take the next step tomorrow with the right care and respect for other people and the risks that the disease continues to pose,” Johnson said in a statement released on Sunday evening Downing Street was released.

The lifting of restrictions had already been postponed from June 21st to allow more vaccinations amid a surge in cases caused by the spread of the highly contagious Delta variant.

The number of cases remains high across the UK with 316,691 reported cases in the past seven days, an increase of around 43% over the previous seven day period. Hospital admissions are low but insidiously higher, with 4,313 people hospitalized in the past seven days, government data shows. 283 people have died in the past seven days.

The vast majority of infections currently affect younger age groups who are not yet or only partially vaccinated. Recent events such as the 2020 European Football Championship, which saw England fans gathering in pubs and bars across the country, have also been blamed for the rise in cases.

At the same time, the government is pushing ahead with vaccinations. To date, 87.9% of UK adults have received a first dose of a vaccine and 68.3% of UK adults have received both doses. Taking both doses of a vaccine greatly reduces the risk of infection and hospitalization from the coronavirus.

Continue reading: A headache? Runny nose? According to the study, these are among the new top 5 Covid symptoms

However, experts warn that hospital admissions could increase significantly in the coming weeks, and scientists have criticized plans to relax almost all Covid-19 restrictions, calling it unethical and dangerous for the entire planet.

Others have defended the move, saying that staying incarcerated has many harmful consequences, from the economic and livelihood effects to mental health.

In a statement on Sunday evening, the UK government admitted that cases continued to rise, but noted that the link to hospital admissions and deaths from the vaccination program had been “significantly weakened” as all adults were asked to come forward for both doses of the vaccine.

Watch the world

Analysts say the world will be watching Britain with interest to see what happens.

Deutsche Bank research strategist Jim Reid stated Monday that “the world will be watching the British experiment with great interest. It could show a way back to normal or warn even heavily vaccinated countries that Covid will be a problem for a decent time. “

Before that symbolic day, new cases in the UK fell below 50,000 after two days yesterday (Sunday). However, the weekly growth rate is still strong. When you break down the numbers, the largest area of ​​growth over this period was men ages 15 to 40. It is the first time in the pandemic that there has been any notable gender segregation. It strongly suggests the impact of the millions of soccer fans watching the European Championship soccer final in various locations across the country. “

Continue reading: Wearing masks becomes a new battlefield in England as Covid rules are relaxed

Kallum Pickering, senior economist at Berenberg Bank, told CNBC on Monday that the economic impact of the reopening was uncertain as consumer behavior could be affected by the reopening, with some consumers more nervous about the lifting of restrictions like wearing masks .

“I doubt we will see any recovery, but I think we will see continued growth in economic activity … but some of those uncertainties are certainly great. We need to look at some of the high-frequency data, ”mobility statistics, and the like, to see what the real impact of the uncertainty of opening and removing masks is actually keeping people away from the high street and into restaurants and supermarkets go, “he told CNBC’s Squawk Box Europe.

Government defends reopening

Johnson, who is self-isolating after coming into contact with Health Secretary Sajid Javid, who is ill with Covid, defended the reopening on Monday.

“If we don’t do it now, we have to wonder when are we ever going to do it? This is the right moment,” Johnson said in a video statement.

“But we have to do it carefully. We have to remember that unfortunately this virus is still out there. The cases are increasing, we can see the extreme contagiousness of the Delta variant.”

Johnson said there was “immense comfort and satisfaction” that Covid vaccines “have severely weakened the link between infection and hospitalization, and between infection and serious illness and death.”

Continue reading: The Covid Delta variant “exploded” in Great Britain – and could be a blueprint for the USA

The government said it would continue to review all data. It said it will “strengthen vaccine defense” by shortening the dosing interval of Covid vaccines for all adults from 12 to 8 weeks, continuing to use its testing, tracking and isolation system, and maintaining border controls, including quarantine for all travel from a country on the red list and for countries on the yellow list, unless persons are double vaccinated.

“The data is continuously evaluated and contingency measures are maintained during times of higher risk if necessary, but restrictions are avoided where possible,” the government said.

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Tens of millions of Brits set for self-isolation as Covid restrictions ease

Selective focus. Concept photo.

Oleksandr Siedov | iStock editorial team | Getty Images

LONDON – More than 500,000 people in the UK were asked to self-isolate last week by the government-backed Covid-19 Test and Trace app, with similar numbers expected in the coming weeks.

In the week leading up to July 7, the app alerted 520,194 people in England that they were in close contact with someone who tested positive for coronavirus and had to self-isolate.

A BBC analysis last week found that up to 4.5 million people in the UK could be instructed to self-isolate by the test and trace system between mid-July and the policy change on August 16.

A study published in the British Medical Journal in late June looked at the interactions of 5,802 people over 14 days and found that the average participant had 59 interactions that could be defined as close contact. The study found that for each infected person, an average of 36 close contacts could be identified and contacted, which could mean millions are currently being asked to self-isolate.

Earlier this week, UK media reported that Covid app users were “pinged” and asked to self-isolate when their neighbors contracted the virus, using the technology underlying the app’s testing and tracking system, ” close contact ”with positive cases through the walls recognizes their homes.

Currently, anyone in the UK who has had close contact tested positive for Covid must self-isolate at home for 10 days. People can be contacted by the NHS Test and Trace System by phone, email or SMS, or via a notification in the app.

“Close contact” is defined in the UK as 15 minutes or more within two meters of an infected person.

British Health Minister Sajid Javid recently announced that from August 16, people fully vaccinated against Covid will no longer have to self-isolate if close contact tests positive for the coronavirus. The amendment to the directive would also apply to children under the age of 18.

Employee Absence Concerns

England will lift almost all remaining Covid restrictions on Monday in what will be an “irreversible” move, according to Prime Minister Boris Johnson.

Currently, however, the country is seeing a surge in new cases of the virus linked to the highly transmissible Delta variant.

There were 48,553 new cases of the virus in the UK on Thursday, bringing the total number of confirmed cases in the country since the pandemic started to 5,281,098.

Rising case numbers have raised concerns among industry leaders that the contact tracing system could lead to staff shortages.

Karan Bilimoria, president of the Confederation of British Industry – which represents 190,000 companies – said in a statement Thursday that the government should present the rule changes on self-isolation.

“Infection rates can rise rapidly, but it is clear that the testing and tracking system needs an overhaul as over two-thirds of the adult population are now fully vaccinated,” he said.

“As more and more companies prepare to open their doors on Monday, the shortage of staff is acutely felt in all sectors and in all lines of business, especially in our troubled hospitality and leisure sectors.”

Nick Allen, CEO of the British Meat Processors Association, told the BBC on Friday that some organizations could potentially be forced to close production lines, with up to one in ten meat production workers being told by the app to isolate themselves.

Meanwhile, it was reported on Monday that passengers flying from Terminal 5 at London’s Heathrow Airport faced disruption after a number of NHS Test and Trace staff were instructed to isolate themselves.

Up to 900 workers – more than one in ten employees – at Nissan’s manufacturing facility in Sunderland, England, are currently absent after being “peded” by the app, the BBC reported on Thursday.

Delete the app

A survey by Savanta ComRes for the Guardian newspaper published Tuesday found that more than one in three adults ages 18 to 34 had already deleted the NHS app. According to the survey, roughly one in five adults of all ages said they intend to delete it within a week.

Government officials and health officials have urged the UK public not to delete the app.

A spokesman for the UK Health and Welfare Department emailed CNBC on Friday that the NHS Covid app prevented an estimated 600,000 infections and 8,000 deaths between September and December.

“The app does exactly what it was designed to do – it informs close contacts of someone who tests positive for Covid-19 that they are at risk and advises them to isolate themselves,” they said.

“As cases continue to rise, it is important that people are aware of their personal risk so that they can make informed decisions about their behavior to protect those around them.”

Jenny Harries, chief executive of the UK health authority, said during a hearing of evidence in Parliament last week that work was being done to “tune” the app to take into account vaccination status.

“Right now, it’s important to remind people of the importance of keeping the app running,” she said.

The NHS app, which has been downloaded more than 26 million times, is not mandatory and there is no legal obligation for users to isolate themselves if they are “pinged”.

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Ease of Covid lockdown restrictions could assist diminish drug abuse, physician says

The number of deaths from drug overdose in the United States hit a dismal record as the nation battled the Covid-19 pandemic at the same time. In 2020, a total of 93,331 Americans died from drug overdoses, an increase of nearly 30% year over year, according to preliminary data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Dr. Nora Volkow, director of the National Institute on Drug Abuse, told CNBC’s The News with Shepard Smith that she hopes the surge in drug overdoses will not last.

“One of the reasons I’m optimistic … is that one of the factors that contributed to this surge in drug use was isolation and social distancing, and that doesn’t allow you to give Narcan, which reverses overdoses,” said Volkow. “This desperation, which I hope people felt, is slowly being alleviated.”

Volkow added that people will now be able to rebuild social support systems that existed before the Covid pandemic and that health systems can focus again on treating opioid abuse disorders.

The US also had the highest number of deaths from opioid overdoses in 2020, and more than 60% of those deaths were related to fentanyl. Moderator Shepard Smith asked Volkow why fentanyl played such a role in drug overdoses. Volkow stated that it had to do with potency and pricing.

“Fentanyl is a very potent drug, and it’s actually 50 times more potent than heroin, so you need smaller amounts to get the same effects,” said Volkow. “So it is actually a big win for the illicit drug market, and it has been used to actually contaminate other drugs. So when you mix fentanyl with drugs like methamphetamine or cocaine, you make them so much more deadly. “