Categories
Business

February 2021 Jobs Report: U.S. Economic system Added 379,000 Jobs

Attitudes rose last month as states lifted restrictions and stepped up vaccination efforts. The government reported Friday that the American economy created 379,000 jobs in the past month.

The hiring pace in February was an unexpectedly large improvement on earnings in January. It was also the strongest show since October.

But today there are still 9.5 million fewer jobs than a year ago. Congress is considering a $ 1.9 trillion pandemic package that is set to get households and businesses in trouble in the coming months.

“What we’re seeing is broad, slow gains,” said Julia Pollak, an economist on the ZipRecruiter online job board. “It is consistent with a slow labor market awakening from hibernation.”

The unemployment rate was 6.2 percent in February after 6.3 percent in the previous month. But as the Federal Reserve and senior administration officials have pointed out, that number underestimates the extent of the damage.

Most of the gains in February were in the leisure and hospitality industries, including restaurants and bars, which were particularly hard hit by the pandemic. “There is still a long way to go,” said Ms. Pollak, “but thank God it is moving in the right direction and will stop bleeding.” The industry is a first step on the ladder and employs so many young people. “

The retail and manufacturing sectors recorded slight growth. However, the loss of employment by state and local authorities – mainly in education – led to an increase in the overall increase.

More than four million people have left the workforce in the past year, including those withdrawn because of childcare and other family responsibilities or health concerns. They are not included in the official unemployment census.

The effects were also uneven. The proportion of black women who have left the labor force is more than twice the proportion of white men.

“We are still in a pandemic economy,” said Julia Coronado, founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives and former Federal Reserve economist. “Millions of people are looking for work and ready to work, but are forced to work.”

Millions of workers are still dependent on unemployment benefits and other government assistance, and initial jobless claims rose last week, but analysts have been increasingly optimistic about growth over the course of the year.

Recruiting sites have seen a surge in job postings over the past few weeks. Tom Gimbel, executive director of LaSalle Network, a Chicago recruitment firm, said the employers he speaks to are “absolutely ready to hire.”

Categories
Business

Reside Updates: Inventory Market, Goal Earnings Report and Volvo

Here’s what you need to know:

Credit…Brendan Mcdermid/Reuters

Target’s sales continued to climb in the fourth quarter, surpassing analysts estimates, as the retailer capitalized on the shift in consumer shopping habits to buying online and picking up their purchases in stores.

The company said on Tuesday that its sales in the fourth quarter increased nearly 21 percent, higher than the 17 percent that Wall Street expected.

The strong fourth quarter, buoyed in part by stimulus spending by consumers, caps a year of staggering growth at Target. Target reported that its sales growth for 2020 of more than $15 billion “was greater than the company’s total sales growth over the prior 11 years.”

After years of investment in its online ordering and in-store pickup services, the company has emerged as a top winner during the pandemic, gaining billions in market share from less adept retailers.

Amid such strong results in 2020, the company was also being hailed for its decision to raise its starting wage to $15 an hour last year.

“Target tops a record year with a phenomenal fourth quarter,” Molly Kinder, a fellow at the Brookings Institution, wrote on Twitter. “After — but not despite — raising its starting wage to $15/hour.”

The company did not provide guidance for the coming year. Analysts noted that it would be difficult for Target to top its growth in 2020 as other retailers are likely to see their businesses bounce back in the next few months.

Customers eager to avoid shopping in stores are using Instacart’s app-based grocery ordering service.Credit…Rosem Morton for The New York Times

Instacart, the grocery delivery company, said on Tuesday that it has raised another $265 million in a funding that values it at $39 billion, more than doubling its valuation for the second time in a year.

Andreessen Horowitz and Sequoia Capital, which are existing investors in Instacart, participated in the latest financing for the eight-year-old start-up. Over the last year, Instacart has raised two rounds of funding totaling $525 million. It was previously valued at $17.7 billion.

The pandemic has supercharged Instacart’s growth. Customers eager to avoid shopping in stores are using the company’s app-based grocery ordering service. Laid-off workers have also turned to gig-economy jobs, like Instacart shopping, to make money. Instacart now has 500,000 shoppers who work on contract.

“This past year ushered in a new normal, changing the way people shop for groceries and goods,” Nick Giovanni, Instacart’s chief financial officer, said in a statement.

Instacart has weathered criticism of its business model as it has expanded. Earlier this year, layoffs of some of Instacart’s few unionized workers prompted accusations of union busting. Grocery stores have said the app’s fees of around 10 percent have made it difficult to make a profit.

The company delivers goods from 600 retailers across 45,000 stores in the United States and Canada. It has expanded beyond groceries to include office supplies, sporting goods, prescription drugs and pet supplies from chains including Staples, Dick’s Sporting Goods, CVS and Petco.

Instacart said it planned to use the new funding to hire more employees and to expand business lines including advertising for consumer packaged goods companies and enterprise software for retailers.

In a statement, Jeff Jordan, a partner at Andreessen Horowitz, said his firm had been impressed by the way Instacart had shown resilience in the pandemic and “met the moment of 2020.”

The company has been named as a candidate to go public. In January, it appointed Mr. Giovanni, formerly of Goldman Sachs, as chief financial officer.

The Senate Banking Committee will weigh Gary Gensler’s confirmation as the S.E.C. chairman in a virtual hearing.Credit…Kayana Szymczak for The New York Times

Gary Gensler, President Biden’s nominee to lead the Securities and Exchange Commission, fields questions regularly as a professor at M.I.T. But on Tuesday, his audience will consist of senators on the banking committee, who will vet his nomination by asking him about some of the same topics as his students — like cryptocurrency and financial market plumbing — in a more pointed fashion.

Republicans’ focus, a person familiar with the committee minority’s thinking told the DealBook newsletter, will be on Mr. Gensler’s record as the chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission under President Barack Obama. They believe he revealed a tendency to “aggressively” advocate regulation and stretch regulatory power to its limits. Their fear is that he will write rules to advance liberal policy priorities, citing climate change specifically.

Corporate climate disclosures will be another hot topic. The S.E.C. last week said it would look more closely at corporate climate statements, and Mr. Gensler’s opening statement calls for “strengthening transparency and accountability in our markets” in general.

Democrats say they welcome additional discussion on increased disclosure:

  • “I’ll be carefully watching Gary Gensler’s answers on issues like climate risk disclosure, corporate diversity, and investor protection,” said Tina Smith of Minnesota.

  • Bob Menendez of New Jersey intends to ask about increased disclosure of corporate political spending, a representative said. He wants companies to reveal more about their donations and seek shareholder approval for spending.

  • Chris Van Hollen of Maryland is curious about the rules and limits on the timing and disclosure of insider stock trades.

And then there is GameStop. The committee chairman, Sherrod Brown, Democrat of Ohio, railed against Wall Street during the meme-stock frenzy, and that episode is sure to come up on Tuesday A representative for Jack Reed, Democrat of Rhode Island, said that he intended to ask Mr. Gensler about payment for order flow.

Cynthia Lummis, Republican of Wyoming and the first senator to invest in Bitcoin, will focus on the nominee’s commitment to “financial regulations that foster innovation,” according to a representative. Mr. Gensler, who teaches blockchain courses at M.I.T. and is also a former Goldman banker, should be game. Alluding to his job at the intersection of finance and technology, the banker-turned-regulator-turned-academic cautiously acknowledged the promise of fintech in his statement and said rules must evolve with new tools.

The confirmation hearing for Rohit Chopra, nominated to lead the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, will also take place on Tuesday. Republicans are wary of Mr. Chopra, the person familiar with their thinking said; they view him as a protégé of Senator Elizabeth Warren, Democrat of Massachusetts and a banking committee member, who created the C.F.P.B. and whose progressive economic policy positions conservatives starkly oppose.

Mr. Chopra is expected to revive the enforcement powers of the bureau which had waned under the Trump administration.

In a copy of his opening statement, Mr. Chopra said, “consumers continue to discover serious errors on their credit reports or feel forced to make payments to debt collectors on bills they already paid or never owed to begin with, including for medical treatment related to Covid-19.”

University of Hawaii employees monitor a Board of Regents meeting via Zoom. The teleconference company’s revenue surged more than 300 percent in its fiscal year.Credit…Audrey Mcavoy/Associated Press

  • The S&P 500 was unchanged in early trading on Tuesday. On Monday, it gained 2.4 percent, the most since June. The Nasdaq and Dow Jones industrial average had jumped by the most since early November.

  • Traders are recovering from a volatile few days when a sell-off in government bonds rattled the equity market. On Monday, the rout eased but now bond yields are pushing higher again. The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes rose 3 basis points, or 0.03 percentage point, to 1.45 percent on Tuesday.

  • Analysts at RBC Capital Markets said markets had been testing the central banks’ resolve to keep interest rates low globally and that policymakers would have to take action to drive this message home.

  • “However, we remain convinced that the structural upward pressure on yields remains,” they wrote in a note. “The reopening of the economies coupled with sizable fiscal spending programs and supply constraints will make it difficult for bond markets” to gain. Bond prices rise when their yields decline.

  • Shares in Zoom rose more than 6 percent in early trading after the video conferencing company said its revenue surged 326 percent in its past fiscal year to $2.65 billion.

  • Stock indexes across Europe were mostly higher. The Stoxx 600 Europe gained 0.5 percent.

  • The annual inflation rate for the eurozone was 0.9 percent in February, the same as the previous month and in line with economists’ expectations, data published Tuesday showed. “These numbers represent the calm before the storm,” Claus Vistesen, an economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, wrote in a note. In a few months, he wrote, inflation will jump to reflect the change in energy prices over the past year.

  • Most stock indexes in Asia dropped after China’s top financial regulator said that the high leverage in the financial system needed to be reduced. Guo Shuqing said he was “very worried” about bubbles in China’s property sector and that bubbles in U.S. and European markets could burst.

Hakan Samuelsson, the chief executive of Volvo Cars, at an auto show in 2018. He said on Tuesday that Volvo’s electric models would be sold exclusively online.Credit…Pierre Albouy/Reuters

Volvo Cars said it would convert its entire lineup to battery power by 2030, phasing out internal combustion engine vehicles faster than other automakers like General Motors.

Volvo, based in Sweden and owned by Geely Holding of China, has been ahead of larger rivals in converting to electric power. In 2019, all the models it sold were either hybrids or ran solely on batteries.

By 2030, Volvo will “phase out any car in its global portfolio with an internal combustion engine, including hybrids,” the company said in a statement on Tuesday.

Hybrids have better fuel economy than conventional vehicles, but they may not be much better for the climate or for urban air quality if drivers do not use the electric capabilities.

G.M.’s promise to sell only emission-free vehicles, which it made in January, does not take effect until 2035.

Volvo acknowledged that it was responding in part to pressure from governments, many of which have announced bans on internal combustion engines in coming years.

The company said its decision was based “on the expectation that legislation as well as a rapid expansion of accessible high quality charging infrastructure will accelerate consumer acceptance of fully electric cars.”

In another break from industry practice, Volvo’s electric models will be sold exclusively online, bypassing dealers.

“Instead of investing in a shrinking business, we choose to invest in the future — electric and online,” Hakan Samuelsson, the chief executive of Volvo, said in a statement.

Amazon has posted signs in its fulfillment center in Bessemer, Ala., and held meetings with workers, urging them not to unionize.Credit…Wes Frazer for The New York Times

A unionizing campaign that had deliberately stayed under the radar for months has in recent days blossomed into a star-studded showdown to influence the workers.

On one side is the Retail, Wholesale and Department Store Union and its many pro-labor allies in the worlds of politics, sports and Hollywood. On the other is one of the world’s dominant companies, an e-commerce behemoth that has warded off previous unionizing efforts at its U.S. facilities over its more than 25-year history: Amazon.

The attention is turning this union vote into a referendum not just on working conditions at Amazon’s warehouse in Bessemer, Ala., which employs 5,800, but on the plight of low-wage employees and workers of color in particular, Michael Corkery and Karen Weise report for The New York Times. Many of the employees in the Alabama warehouse are Black, a fact that the union organizers have highlighted in their campaign seeking to link the vote to the struggle for civil rights in the South.

The warehouse workers began voting by mail on Feb. 8 and the ballots are due at the end of this month. A union can form if a majority of the votes cast favor such a move.

Amazon’s countercampaign, both inside the warehouse and on a national stage, has zeroed in on pure economics: that its starting wage is $15 an hour, plus benefits. That is far more than its competitors in Alabama, where the minimum wage is $7.25 an hour.

“It’s important that employees understand the facts of joining a union,” Heather Knox, an Amazon spokeswoman, said in a statement.

The situation is getting testy, with union leaders accusing Amazon of a series of “union-busting” tactics.

The company has posted signs across the warehouse, next to hand sanitizing stations and even in bathroom stalls. It sends regular texts and emails, pointing out the problems with unions. It posts photos of workers in Bessemer on the internal company app saying how much they love Amazon.

Thermal scanners check every visitor to the Student Union Building at the University of Idaho in Moscow, Idaho. So far, only 10 people have been turned away and instructed to get a coronavirus test.Credit…Rajah Bose for The New York Times

The University of Idaho is one of hundreds of colleges and universities that adopted fever scanners, symptom checkers, wearable heart-rate monitors and other new Covid-screening technologies this school year. Such tools often cost less than a more validated health intervention: frequent virus testing of all students. They also help colleges showcase their pandemic safety efforts.

But so far the fever scanners, which look like airport metal detectors and detect skin temperature, have flagged fewer than 10 people out of the 9,000 students living on or near campus, Natasha Singer and Kellen Browning report for The New York Times. Even then, university administrators could not say whether the technology had been effective because they have not tracked those students to see if they went on to get tested for the virus.

One problem is that temperature scanners and symptom-checking apps cannot catch the estimated 40 percent of people with the coronavirus who do not have symptoms but are still infectious. Temperature scanners can also be wildly inaccurate.

Administrators at Idaho and other universities said their schools were using the new tech, along with policies like social distancing, as part of larger campus efforts to hinder the virus. Some said it was important for their schools to deploy the screening tools even if they were only moderately useful. At the very least, they said, using services like daily symptom-checking apps may reassure students and remind them to be vigilant about other measures, like mask wearing.

Some public health experts said it was understandable that colleges had not methodically assessed the technology’s effectiveness against the coronavirus. After all, they said, schools are unaccustomed to frequently screening their entire campus populations for new infectious diseases.

Even so, some experts said they were troubled that universities lacked important information that might help them make more evidence-based decisions on health screening.

“It’s a massive data vacuum,” said Saskia Popescu, an infectious-disease epidemiologist who is an assistant professor at George Mason University. “The moral of the story is you can’t just invest in this tech without having a validation process behind it.”

Categories
Business

February jobs report might trigger ‘tsunami of promoting’

CNBC’s Jim Cramer said he was encouraged by the trading activity he saw in technology and growth stocks as the market continued to grapple with fears that inflation would rise on Friday.

He cautioned, however, that investors should be prepared for how the market might react to the February work report due out late next week.

“If we get any strength here at all, please be prepared for another tsunami of sales when interest rates rise and stocks fall,” said the host of Mad Money, predicting this will be a major interest rate move on the bond is market would shoot. “Without ugly numbers, growth stocks are in trouble.”

Cramer commented after the market closed lower for the second straight week as the bond sale turned into stocks.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell nearly 470 points on Friday, falling 1.5% to 30,932.37. The index also ended the week down 1.78%.

The S&P 500 fell 0.48% to 3,811.15, down 2.45% this week.

Though the day ended up 0.56%, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite suffered the most this week after falling nearly 5% to 13,192,345. Friday’s surge was due to a rebound in big tech stocks.

“I don’t know if the growth names can withstand the pain, but today’s meeting gave us a glimmer of hope that they can still make some profit amid inflation fears,” said Cramer. “If you don’t like the pain … you might want to take advantage of moments like this on the Nasdaq, take profits and prepare for a Friday swoon and be ready to buy stocks like Costco.”

The US Treasury’s 10-year return, a key metric in consumer credit interest rates, fell nearly 1.4% on Friday, after surpassing 1.6% the previous day for the first time in about a year. The increase was due to the sale of bonds.

If rates fall, major industrials will lose momentum, as seen in the Dow’s fall, but cloud, semiconductor and cybersecurity stocks have been positive, Cramer said.

Bond investors who cut their holdings are betting that the Federal Reserve could change their minds and raise the policy rate from near zero when the economy recovers from the pandemic-triggered recession, he added.

“Inflation is a nightmare for people who own bonds. Who wants a piece of paper that pays 1.5% when inflation could break 2%? They lose every day,” Cramer said. “That’s why these people dumped bonds and their wholesale sales always shatter the stock market.”

Cramer announced his schedule for the coming week. The earnings per share forecasts are based on FactSet estimates:

Monday: Zoom video, lemonade

Zoom video

  • Q4 2021 Results publication: After Market; Conference call: 5 p.m.
  • Projected EPS: 81 cents
  • Estimated Revenue: $ 910 million

lemonade

  • Publication of results for the fourth quarter: after market entry; Conference call: 8 a.m.
  • Estimated losses per share: 64 cents
  • Estimated Revenue: $ 19.2 million

Tuesday: Destination, Nordstrom

target

  • Q4 results published: before the market; Conference call: 9 a.m.
  • Projected earnings per share: $ 2.54
  • Estimated Revenue: $ 27.4 billion

Nordstrom

  • Publication of results for the fourth quarter: after market entry; Conference call: 4:45 p.m.
  • Projected EPS: 14 cents
  • Estimated Revenue: $ 3.58 billion

Wednesday: Dollar Tree, Wendy’s, American Eagle Outfitters

Money tree

  • Q4 results published: before the market; Conference call: 9 a.m.
  • Projected earnings per share: $ 2.12
  • Estimated Revenue: $ 6.8 billion

Wendy’s

  • Q4 results published: before the market; Conference call: 8:30 a.m.
  • Projected EPS: 18 cents
  • Estimated Revenue: $ 477 million

American Eagle Outfitter

  • Fourth quarter results to be published: 4:15 pm; Conference call: 4:30 p.m.
  • Projected EPS: 36 cents
  • Estimated Revenue: $ 1.28 billion

Snowflake

  • Publication of results for the fourth quarter: after market entry; Conference call: 5 p.m.
  • Estimated losses per share: 16 cents
  • Estimated Revenue: $ 332 million

Thursday: Kroger, Costco

Kroger

  • Q4 results published: before the market; Conference call: 10 a.m.
  • Projected EPS: 69 cents
  • Estimated Revenue: $ 30.86 billion

Costco

  • Q2 2021 results to be published: 4:15 p.m.; Conference call: 5 p.m.
  • Projected earnings per share: $ 2.44
  • Estimated Revenue: $ 43.72 billion

Disclosure: Cramer’s charitable foundation owns shares in Costco.

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Correction: This article has been updated to accurately reflect that projected revenue for Zoom Video is $ 910 million and projected revenue for Lemonade is $ 19.2 million. An earlier version of this story gave an incorrect projection for both of them.

Categories
Entertainment

Report: New York Metropolis’s Arts and Recreation Employment Down by 66 P.c

From 2009 to 2019, employment in this sector – which includes the performing arts, spectator sports, gambling, entertainment, recreation, museums, parks, and historic sites in this report – increased 42 percent, faster than the 30 percent rate for the whole Employment in the private sector.

In 2019, more than 90,000 people were employed in the arts, entertainment and leisure in 6,250 institutions, according to the report. These jobs had an average salary of $ 79,300 and total wages of $ 7.4 billion. In addition to companies with employees, there are a large number of self-employed, including artists and musicians, according to the report.

In February 2020, just before the pandemic shutdown in New York City, nearly 87,000 people were employed in the arts, entertainment and recreation sectors, the report said. Many large institutions announced closings on March 12th. A national home stay ordinance came into effect on March 22nd. By April, employment in this sector was 34,100.

Budgets in arts and leisure facilities have been “decimated,” the report says, and some organizations and institutions have struggled even after they reopened. They said lower revenue due to capacity constraints, as well as decreased ticket sales, have limited income and require budget cuts.

Many performing arts venues are still closed. Most Broadway theaters don’t expect to reopen until June at the earliest, the report said. The Metropolitan Opera and the New York City Ballet announced that they will not reopen until September.

Categories
Health

A New Coronavirus Variant Is Spreading in New York, Researchers Report

A new form of coronavirus is spreading rapidly in New York City and has a worrying mutation that can make vaccines less effective, two research teams have found.

The new variant, named B.1.526, first appeared in samples collected in the city in November. By the middle of this month, roughly every fourth virus sequence was in a database shared by scientists.

A study of the new variant, led by a group at Caltech, went online on Tuesday. The other was sent to a preprint server by researchers at Columbia University, but is not yet public.

The study has not been peer-reviewed or published in a scientific journal. However, the consistent results suggest the variant’s prevalence is real, experts said.

“It’s not particularly good news,” said Michel Nussenzweig, an immunologist at Rockefeller University who was not involved in the new research. “But just knowing about it is good because then maybe we can do something about it.”

Dr. Nussenzweig said he was more concerned about the New York variant than the one that was quickly spreading in California. Another contagious new variant discovered in the UK currently affects around 2,000 cases in 45 states. It is expected to be the most widespread form of the coronavirus in the United States by the end of March.

Researchers looked at the virus’s genetic material to see how it might change. They examine genetic virus sequences taken from a small fraction of the infected in order to record the emergence of new versions.

Caltech researchers discovered the rise in B.1.526 by looking for mutations in hundreds of thousands of viral genetic sequences in a database called GISAID. “There was a recurring pattern and group of isolates in the New York area that I hadn’t seen,” said Anthony West, a computational biologist at Caltech.

He and his colleagues found that two versions of the coronavirus were more common: one with the E484K mutation seen in South Africa and Brazil, which is believed to help the virus partially evade vaccines; and another with a mutation called S477N that can affect how tightly the virus binds to human cells.

By mid-February, the two together made up about 27 percent of the viral sequences stored in the database in New York City, said Dr. West. (At the moment both are summarized as B.1.526.)

Columbia University researchers took a different approach. They sequenced 1,142 samples from patients at their medical center. They found that 12 percent of people with the coronavirus were infected with the variant that contains the E484K mutation.

Updated

Apr. 24, 2021, 8:33 p.m. ET

Patients infected with the virus that carried this mutation were, on average, about six years older and more likely to be hospitalized. While the majority of patients were found near the hospital – particularly in Washington Heights and Inwood – there were several other cases scattered across the metropolitan area, said Dr. David Ho, director of the Aaron Diamond AIDS Research Center.

“We’re seeing cases in Westchester, the Bronx and Queens, lower Manhattan, and Brooklyn,” said Dr. Ho. “So it seems to be widespread. It’s not a single outbreak. “

The team also identified six cases of the variant that beat the UK, two infections with a variant identified in Brazil, and one case of the variant adopted in South Africa. The latter two have never been reported in New York City, said Dr. Ho.

University investigators have alerted New York state and city authorities as well as the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, said Dr. Ho. He and his colleagues plan to sequence about 100 viral genetic samples daily to monitor the increase in variants.

Other experts said the sudden appearance of coronavirus variants was worrying.

“Given the involvement of E484K or S477N, coupled with the fact that the New York area has strong immunity to the spring wave, this is definitely a good thing,” said Kristian Andersen, a virologist at the Scripps Research Institute in San Diego, who did not participated in the new research effort.

The E484K mutation has appeared independently in many different parts of the world, suggesting that it offers a significant benefit to the virus.

“Variants that have an advantage will increase in frequency pretty quickly, especially as the numbers decrease overall,” said Andrew Read, an evolutionary microbiologist at Penn State University.

The team of Dr. Ho reported in January that the monoclonal antibodies made by Eli Lilly and one of the monoclonal antibodies in a cocktail made by Regeneron are powerless against the variant identified in South Africa.

Several studies have now shown that variants containing the E484K mutation are less susceptible to vaccines than the original form of the virus. The mutation disrupts the activity of a class of antibodies that almost everyone makes, said Dr. Nut branch.

“People who have recovered from the coronavirus or who have been vaccinated are very likely to be able to fight off this variant, there is no doubt about that,” he said. But “they might get a little sick.”

They could also infect others and keep the virus floating around, which could delay herd immunity, he added.

However, other experts were a little more optimistic. “These things are a little less well controlled by vaccines, but they are no orders of magnitude less, which would scare me,” said Dr. Read.

As the virus evolves, the vaccines need to be tweaked, “but in the scheme of things this isn’t a huge concern compared to having a vaccine missing,” said Dr. Read. “I’d say the glass is three quarters full compared to where we were last year.”

Categories
Business

Trump was sicker from Covid than the general public was instructed, report says

President Donald Trump takes off his face mask as he poses on the Truman Balcony of the White House after returning from Walter Reed Hospital to treat Covid-19 in Washington, United States, on October 5, 2020.

Erin Scott | Reuters

Former President Donald Trump was more ill with the coronavirus in October than the public said at the time, a new report said.

Trump had “at one point extremely low blood oxygen levels and a lung problem related to coronavirus-related pneumonia,” reported the New York Times, citing four people familiar with his condition after contracting Covid-19.

His condition was so poor that “officials believed he was on a ventilator” before he was taken from the White House to the Walter Reed National Military Center.

The Times noted that when Trump went to the hospital in early October – a month before the presidential election – his medical team tried to downplay the severity of his condition in comments to the public.

Trump left the hospital three days after experimental treatments.

He had attended a personal debate with then-Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden just two days before Covid was announced.

Biden beat Trump in the election that came after Trump downplayed the severity of the coronavirus pandemic for months.

Read the full New York Times story here.

Categories
Health

Cuomo administration underreported Covid deaths in nursing houses, report says

A view of a patient being rolled out of a nursing home in Flushing Queens New York USA during the coronavirus pandemic on April 22, 2020.

John Nacion | NurPhoto | Getty Images

The New York Department of Health reported Covid-19 deaths in nursing homes by up to 50%, according to a new report released Thursday by New York Attorney General Letitia James.

The 76-page report comes from a month-long investigation by the Attorney General’s office into allegations that nursing homes have failed to follow coronavirus safety protocols. Her office also investigated discrepancies between the number of deaths reported by the state Department of Health in nursing homes and the number of deaths reported by the facilities themselves.

The investigation found that the number of Covid deaths among nursing home residents in some facilities has increased by more than 50% after counting residents who died in the hospital. The official Covid-19 state death toll in nursing homes excludes patients who have died after being transported to hospital.

Democratic Governor Andrew Cuomo has been criticized for failing to disclose the total number of nursing home residents who have died from Covid-19. In her comprehensive report, James, also a Democrat, noted that “many nursing home residents in hospitals died of Covid-19 after being transferred from their nursing homes, which is not reflected in the overall data on nursing home deaths published by DOH . “

Cuomo representatives did not immediately respond to CNBC’s request to comment on the results. Representatives from the state Department of Health also did not respond to CNBC’s request for comment.

The attorney general’s findings put them directly in conflict with the governor, who often boasted of the state’s response to the coronavirus. Cuomo has also dismissed criticism of a policy by the Ministry of Health that directed nursing homes to accept residents who tested positive for the coronavirus. The governor has repeatedly defended his government’s response to the pandemic, stating that the state was poorly supported by an inept federal government that was caught by surprise by importing the virus.

In May, the federal government asked nursing homes to provide weekly data on deaths from the coronavirus, including those who died at the facility and in hospitals. However, that guideline came after the first peak of the New York outbreak, making the data available from the state nursing homes barely available. An Associated Press analysis of federal data released in August found the state could underestimate deaths by up to 65%.

James’ results are based on a survey of 62 nursing homes, or approximately 10% of nursing homes in the state. She said her law firm is continuing to investigate inconsistencies in the data reported by the Ministry of Health and the numbers reported to the Attorney General.

The investigation also found that a number of nursing homes did not adhere to “Critical Infection Control Guidelines”; B. Failing to isolate residents who test positive for the virus.

“As the pandemic and our investigation continue, it is imperative that we understand why New York nursing home residents have suffered needlessly so alarmingly,” James said in a statement. “While we cannot bring back the people we lost to this crisis, this report aims to provide transparency the public deserves and encourage increased action to protect our most vulnerable residents.”

Categories
Business

Weekly Jobless Claims Report Will Give Newest Indication of Restoration: Reside Updates

Here’s what you need to know:

Credit…Toby Melville/Reuters

The start of 2021 has been rocky for Britain. Its exit from the European Union unleashed a colossal amount of red tape that has left some industries desperate for help, and the country is under yet another lockdown because of a fast-spreading strain of the coronavirus.

But there has been a glimmer of hope. More than four million people in Britain have been partially vaccinated against the coronavirus, a promising pace of inoculation.

Investors looking to ride a wave of optimism about a vaccine rollout have turned to Britain’s stock market, which has posted a strong start to the year, jumping more than 6 percent in the first week.

Overall, in the first two and a half weeks of January, the FTSE 100, Britain’s benchmark stock index of large companies, gained 4.3 percent — outstripping the S&P 500 index, which rose 2.6 percent, and the Stoxx Europe 600 index, which was up 3 percent. Even when the gains are converted to U.S. dollars, the FTSE 100 still has a clear lead.

Beyond the vaccine rollout helping to ensure an economic rebound, another factor is drawing investors: the relative cheapness of British stocks.

Britain’s FTSE 100 index is benefiting from an investment strategy in which traders buy so-called value stocks. These are companies that are perceived to be trading below their true value because their business has been disrupted by a recession, especially in the financial and energy sectors, and the FTSE 100 has a large share of these stocks.

Analysts at Citigroup have ordained Britain’s stock market their “favorite” value trade.

“I would emphasize the very much unloved and horrible dreadful U.K. market might be worth a look this year,” Robert Buckland, a Citigroup equity strategist, said in a presentation last week. “We all know it’s been a place to avoid for many, many years.”

The British stock market has been a laggard for years.

Once converted into dollars, the annual returns of the FTSE 100 have been the worst of the three indexes for the past nine years.

Why are investors betting on a turnaround now? For one, many of them are ready for a bargain. The equity bull market has been dominated by shares of American tech companies that are expensive, which makes some investors nervous about how much they can keep rising. Cheap stocks in industries that tend to do well during economic boom times are offering an alternative.

And then there is Britain’s free-trade deal with the European Union. Some investors have put aside whether it’s a good or bad deal in its detail, in favor of relief that an agreement was reached in late December.

The deal “reduced that overhang people had of uncertainty,” said Caroline Simmons, the U.K. chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management.

Waiting for coronavirus tests in San Bernardino, Calif. A surge in the virus and the slow rollout of vaccinations have set back recovery hopes.Credit…Alex Welsh for The New York Times

The new Biden administration will get its first dose of economic reality Thursday morning when the Labor Department reports the latest weekly data on initial jobless claims.

Last week, the government reported a surge in demand for unemployment benefits, with more than one million new claims, as pandemic-related restrictions and lockdowns took a fierce toll on employment.

The virus has hardly abated since then, with the death toll topping 400,000 in the United States, and few economists expect any significant letup in layoffs. Although job losses have been concentrated in service industries like restaurants and leisure and entertainment, the broader economy has also shown signs of a slowdown recently.

“I think it’s going to be another bad number, but some of what we saw last week was catch-up after the holidays,” said Diane Swonk, chief economist at the accounting firm Grant Thornton in Chicago. “I think we will be able to see Thursday how much was catch-up and how much was deteriorating economic conditions.”

The beginning of vaccinations in December provided optimism about a quick turnaround, but the slow rollout in many parts of the country has set back those hopes. On the other hand, the passage of a $900 billion relief package late last year and the prospect of more aid under the Biden administration have allayed fears of a double-dip recession.

An additional $300 a week in supplemental unemployment benefits may encourage more people to file for benefits, said Carl Tannenbaum, chief economist at Northern Trust in Chicago. The increased assistance was part of the new stimulus effort.

Over all, the best bet for the economy is more vaccinations, Mr. Tannenbaum said.

“There is no better economic stimulus than a successful vaccine rollout,” he said. “It will reduce the risk of human interaction and provide a basis on which different types of businesses can open more durably.”

Windmills made by Vestas on the Danish coastline. Shares in renewable energy companies have risen this week as President Biden has recommitted the United States to the Paris climate agreement. Credit…Charlotte de la Fuente for The New York Times

  • Stocks on Wall Street were set to open higher on Thursday after the S&P 500 index closed at a record high after President Biden was sworn in the previous day.

  • The benchmark U.S. index was heading for a 0.2 percent increase as investors await the latest data on weekly unemployment claims. It will give the new Biden administration its first signal of how the American labor market is responding to new fiscal stimulus as the pandemic rages on. Last week, the number of claims jumped, though some of that was attributed to a catch up in the data from the holiday period.

  • European stocks were mostly higher as traders anticipated more U.S. fiscal stimulus. The Stoxx Europe 600 index rose 0.4 percent, reaching an 11-month high. Most markets in Asia closed higher.

  • Renewable energy stocks extended gains this week after Mr. Biden recommitted the United States to the Paris climate agreement. Shares in Orsted and Vestas, two Danish wind energy companies, are up nearly 6 percent and 8 percent this week. Siemens Gamesa, a Spanish subsidiary of Siemens Energy that makes wind turbines, rose more than 3 percent on Thursday. Shares in First Solar, an American company, were up 2.8 percent in premarket trading.

  • Shares in the Canadian company TC Energy fell 1.2 percent on Wednesday, after it said it would stop work on the Keystone XL oil pipeline. Later in the day, Mr. Biden rescinded the company’s construction permit.

  • Oil prices declined on Thursday. Futures of West Texas Intermediate fell 0.6 percent to just under $53 a barrel.

  • The euro rose 0.3 percent against the U.S. dollar before the European Central Bank announces its latest policy decision, though traders were not expecting a change from the current stance of negative interest rates and asset buying.

  • The pound rose 0.6 percent against the U.S. dollar and was stronger against most major peers after the Bank of England governor struck a cautious tone about the use of negative interest rates, diminishing some expectations in the market that the tool could be used soon. The central bank governor, Andrew Bailey, said that he expected the British economy to experience a “pronounced recovery” as the vaccination program is rolled out.

To help the White House with its goal of vaccinating 100 million people in its first 100 days, Amazon offered to vaccinate a large share of its workers.Credit…Johannes Eisele/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

On President Biden’s first day in office, the head of Amazon’s consumer business, Dave Clark, sent a letter to the White House with an offer to help achieve the goal of vaccinating 100 million people in the administration’s first 100 days. By way of assistance, the retailer offered to vaccinate a large share of its workers.

The e-commerce giant has made similar offers to state governments, including Tennessee and Washington, although Amazon was not among the companies Gov. Jay Inslee of Washington announced as partners in its vaccination plan this week.

Those earlier letters to governors were signed by Brian Huseman, who runs Amazon’s U.S. lobbying team, which has been seeking permission from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to vaccinate “essential” workers at the company’s warehouses, data centers and Whole Foods “at the earliest appropriate time.”

The company has hired a health care provider to help administer the vaccine to employees, it said in the letters.

This suggests that public-private partnerships to distribute vaccines may come with perks for the companies taking part, the DealBook newsletter notes, potentially giving companies leverage to push employees up the line in priorities set by states. Several states are struggling to roll out vaccines as fast as they’d like because of issues with funding, staffing and logistics. In his letter to Mr. Biden, Mr. Clark said that Amazon could help with “operations, information technology and communications capabilities,” though he didn’t specify what that would entail.

Already oil companies have found roughly 10 billion barrels of probable recoverable reserves of oil and gas off the coast of neighboring Guyana.Credit…Adriana Loureiro Fernandez for The New York Times

Suriname, Guyana and Brazil are the new areas of focus for oil companies, attracting more new investment than the Gulf of Mexico and other more established oil fields. They are helping to keep global oil prices relatively low, undermining efforts by Russia and its allies in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, like Saudi Arabia, to manage global supply and push up prices.

The recent pickup in interest in Guyana and Suriname is somewhat surprising because their promise as oil producers has often come up empty, reports The New York Times’s Clifford Krauss. Companies drilled more than 100 unsuccessful wells there, mostly in shallow waters, from 1950 to 2014. But after rich fields were found in the deep waters off Brazil, Exxon Mobil and other companies returned to take another look. Exxon struck a gusher in Guyanese waters in 2015, opening the current flurry of exploration.

In Guyana, oil companies have found more than 10 billion barrels of probable reserves of accessible oil and gas offshore, according to IHS Markit, the energy consulting firm. Production began in 2019 and is ramping up quickly. Guyana already accounts for one of the top 50 oil basins worldwide, according to consultants.

Suriname has at least three billion to four billion barrels of reserves, energy experts said, or up to half the new oil and gas discovered around the world last year.

Oil companies say they can make money in Suriname with oil prices as low as $30 to $40 a barrel because of lower costs. That is roughly equivalent to the threshold in Guyana and well below today’s oil price. It is also below break-even levels in many places, including some U.S. shale fields, where costs usually add up to nearly $50 a barrel.

The European Central Bank left its stimulus measures intact Thursday, as expected, as it waited to see whether measures announced in December would be enough to limit economic damage from the pandemic.

Following a meeting of its governing council, the bank reiterated its intent to pump as much as 1.9 trillion newly created euros, or $2.3 trillion, into bond markets as part of a “pandemic emergency” program intended to keep market interest rates low.

The bond purchases will continue at least until March 2022 and longer if necessary, the bank said.

As expected, the central bank also said that it would maintain a program that effectively pays banks to lend money to businesses and consumers.

The European economy continues to suffer from the burden of extended lockdowns, but analysts had not expected the central bank to take further action Thursday after expanding programs intended to encourage banks to lend and hold down market interest rates.

Ramp service employees unload cargo from a United Airlines plane O’Hare International Airport in Chicago in December.Credit…Sebastian Hidalgo for The New York Times

United Airlines lost $1.9 billion in the fourth quarter, bringing its total losses for 2020 to just over $7 billion, its worst year since merging with Continental Airlines a decade ago. Despite that terrible loss, the airline said it expects 2021 to be a “transition year” as it prepares for a recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.

“The truth is that Covid-19 has changed United Airlines forever,” the company’s chief executive, Scott Kirby, said in a statement. “The passion, teamwork and perseverance that the United team showed in 2020 is exactly what will help us build a new United Airlines that’s better, stronger and more profitable than ever.”

The airline reported about $3.4 billion in operating revenue in the final three months of last year, down more than two-thirds from the same period in 2019. It ended the year with access to nearly $20 billion in cash or cash-equivalent funds, not including federal stimulus loans.

Delta Air Lines last week reported a $12.4 billion loss in 2020, capping what its chief executive called the “toughest year in Delta’s history.”

In anticipation of a recovery, United has resumed major maintenance and engine overhauls so that planes sidelined by weak demand will be ready as more people start flying again, it said.

But that recovery is unlikely to arrive for quite some time. United said it expects to bring in about a third as much operating revenue in the first quarter of this year as it did during the same three months in 2019. Most analysts believe the airline industry will not fully recover from the pandemic for several years.

Categories
Politics

Trump’s 1776 Fee Critiques Liberalism in Report Derided by Historians

WASHINGTON – The White House released the President’s Commission Report of 1776 Monday, a sweeping attack on liberal thinking and activism calling for a “patriotic upbringing.” He defends America’s founding against allegations of slavery and compares progressivism with fascism.

In the heat of his September re-election campaign, President Trump formed the 18-person commission, made up of a range of conservative activists, politicians and intellectuals rather than professional historians, as he defended American traditional heritage against “radical liberals. Previously not known for his interest in American history or education, Mr. Trump insisted that the nation’s schools had been infiltrated by anti-American thinking and required a new “pro-American” curriculum.

The commission was part of Mr. Trump’s larger response to the anti-racism protests, some of which were violent, that followed the murder of George Floyd, a black man, by a white policeman in Minneapolis in June.

In his remarks in the National Archives, in which the formation of the commission was announced, Trump said: “The unrest and chaos of the left are the direct result of decades of indoctrination of the left in our schools.”

The Commission’s report is quick to ridicule many mainstream historians for indoctrinating Americans with false criticism of the nation’s founding and identity, including the role of slavery in its history.

“Historical revisionism, which tramples on honest scholarship and historical truth, puts Americans to shame by only highlighting the sins of their ancestors, and teaches claims of systemic racism that can only be eradicated through more discrimination, is an ideology that manipulates opinions more than should educate the mind. ” the report says.

The report was heavily criticized by historians, some of whom noted that the commission, although made up of conservative educators, did not include a single professional historian from the United States.

James Grossman, the executive director of the American Historical Association, said the report was not a work of history but “cynical politics”.

“This report skillfully interweaves myths, biases, deliberate silence, and misinterpretations of evidence, both overt and subtle, to produce a narrative and argument that few respected professional historians would find plausible, whether or not even on a wide range of interpretations convince or not. ” he said.

“They use what they call history to foment culture wars,” he said.

The commission’s report shows a nation where liberals seething with hatred of their own country, and whose divisions over its history and importance are a reminder of those who led to the American Revolution and Civil War.

It depicts an America whose institutions have been infiltrated by radical leftists whose views match those of recent totalitarian movements, and argues that progressives have created an unchecked “fourth branch” or “shadow government” in the so-called administrative state.

And American universities, the report says, “are often hotbeds of anti-Americanism, slander, and censorship that arouse at least contempt and, at worst, total hatred of the country among students and the wider culture.”

The report compares the progressive American movement of the early 20th century to the fascism of leaders like Benito Mussolini, who “sought to centralize power under the guidance of so-called experts”.

“The biggest statement in the 1776 report is that he includes ‘progressivism’ along with ‘slavery’ and ‘fascism’ in his list of ‘Challenges to America’s Principles’,” wrote Thomas Sugrue, a historian at New York University, on Twitter . “Time to rewrite my lectures to say that ending child labor and regulating meat packaging = Hitlerism.”

The report, published on Martin Luther King’s birthday, even targets the legacy of the civil rights movement, stating that it was “almost immediately focused on programs that ran counter to the high ideals of the founders.”

Some of the strongest criticisms related to the report’s treatment of slavery, which the report said was an unfortunate reality around the world that was swept away in America by the forces sparked by the American Revolution that it called “a dramatic change in the sea.” becomes moral sensitivity. “

The report’s authors condemn the allegation that the American founders were hypocrites who preached equality, despite the fact that they codified this in the constitution and kept slaves themselves.

“This accusation is false and has caused enormous damage, especially in recent years, with devastating effects on our civil unity and our social fabric,” they write. Men like George Washington, Thomas Jefferson, and James Madison, while owning hundreds of enslaved people, abhorred slavery, the report said.

“The White House report of 1776 seems to consider it worse for the country to label the founders as hypocritical of slavery than actual slavery,” wrote Seth Masket, professor of political science at the University of Denver, on Twitter.

And on a line that has been particularly ignited by historians, the report names John C. Calhoun “perhaps the leading precursor” of identity politics.

“Like today’s proponents of identity politics,” she claims, “Calhoun believed that it was impossible to achieve unity through rational considerations and political compromises. Majority groups only use the political process to suppress minority groups.”

The commission is chaired by Larry Arnn, an ally of Trump and president of the conservative Hillsdale College. Its co-chair is Carol Swain, a prominent black conservative and former law professor at Vanderbilt University. Other members include former Republican Mississippi Governor Phil Bryant; the conservative activist Ned Ryan; Mr. Trump’s former domestic policy adviser Brooke Rollins; and Charles Kesler, editor of the influential conservative publication The Claremont Review of Books.

The commission and its report are in part a rebuke for the New York Times Magazine’s 1619 project to refresh American history of the consequences of slavery and the contributions of black Americans. The report denounces the project, as does Mr Trump in his September speech announcing the commission.

“This project is rewriting American history to teach our children that we were founded on the principle of oppression, not freedom,” Trump said at the time.

Mr Trump’s commission submitted its report just four months after it was drawn up and less than a month after Mr Trump publicly announced its members. In contrast, a Race Commission appointed by President Bill Clinton in June 1997 published its first report 15 months later.

Although the report was billed as “final” by the White House, it did not contain any scientific footnotes or citations, nor was it clear who its main authors were.

Categories
Business

Joe Biden’s Peloton could possibly be a White Home safety threat, report says

Jen Van Santvoord rides her Peloton exercise bike at her home in San Anselmo, California on April 7, 2020.

Ezra Shaw | Getty Images

When Joe Biden moves into the White House, he may have to leave part of his exercise routine behind.

The elected president’s peloton could be viewed as a security threat by intelligence agencies, according to a report by Popular Mechanics. The popular stationary bike is connected to the internet and has a camera and microphone that can pose a risk of hacking.

To get the all-clear for the exercise machines, Biden’s peloton may need to rip out some of its key features – the microphone, camera, and network devices that connect it to bike classes and make it look more interactive, Max Kilger, director of The University of Texas in the data analysis program of San Antonio announced to Popular Mechanics.

However, there may be a precedent to modify the bike or get a custom one. In a review posted in The Verge three years ago, author Lauren Goode said a person “close to the company” told former first lady Michelle Obama that they had a peloton with no camera and microphone. At the time, Peloton and Obama’s press office declined to comment.

Biden’s press team and peloton have been contacted to see if the president-elect’s bike may also receive a workaround.

Peloton, once the subject of ridicule, has become a success story of the Covid pandemic. Demand is growing as Americans seek safer alternatives to the gym and invest in exercise equipment for their homes. Share prices have increased more than fivefold over the past year, giving Peloton a market value of more than $ 46.2 billion.