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Lithium Mining Tasks Might Not Be Inexperienced Pleasant

Atop a long-dormant volcano in northern Nevada, workers are preparing to start blasting and digging out a giant pit that will serve as the first new large-scale lithium mine in the United States in more than a decade — a new domestic supply of an essential ingredient in electric car batteries and renewable energy.

The mine, constructed on leased federal lands, could help address the near total reliance by the United States on foreign sources of lithium.

But the project, known as Lithium Americas, has drawn protests from members of a Native American tribe, ranchers and environmental groups because it is expected to use billions of gallons of precious ground water, potentially contaminating some of it for 300 years, while leaving behind a giant mound of waste.

“Blowing up a mountain isn’t green, no matter how much marketing spin people put on it,” said Max Wilbert, who has been living in a tent on the proposed mine site while two lawsuits seeking to block the project wend their way through federal courts.

The fight over the Nevada mine is emblematic of a fundamental tension surfacing around the world: Electric cars and renewable energy may not be as green as they appear. Production of raw materials like lithium, cobalt and nickel that are essential to these technologies are often ruinous to land, water, wildlife and people.

That environmental toll has often been overlooked in part because there is a race underway among the United States, China, Europe and other major powers. Echoing past contests and wars over gold and oil, governments are fighting for supremacy over minerals that could help countries achieve economic and technological dominance for decades to come.

Developers and lawmakers see this Nevada project, given final approval in the last days of the Trump administration, as part of the opportunity for the United States to become a leader in producing some of these raw materials as President Biden moves aggressively to fight climate change. In addition to Nevada, businesses have proposed lithium production sites in California, Oregon, Tennessee, Arkansas and North Carolina.

But traditional mining is one of the dirtiest businesses out there. That reality is not lost on automakers and renewable-energy businesses.

“Our new clean-energy demands could be creating greater harm, even though its intention is to do good,” said Aimee Boulanger, executive director for the Initiative for Responsible Mining Assurance, a group that vets mines for companies like BMW and Ford Motor. “We can’t allow that to happen.”

This friction helps explain why a contest of sorts has emerged in recent months across the United States about how best to extract and produce the large amounts of lithium in ways that are much less destructive than how mining has been done for decades.

Just in the first three months of 2021, U.S. lithium miners like those in Nevada raised nearly $3.5 billion from Wall Street — seven times the amount raised in the prior 36 months, according to data assembled by Bloomberg, and a hint of the frenzy underway.

Some of those investors are backing alternatives including a plan to extract lithium from briny water beneath California’s largest lake, the Salton Sea, about 600 miles south of the Lithium Americas site.

At the Salton Sea, investors plan to use specially coated beads to extract lithium salt from the hot liquid pumped up from an aquifer more than 4,000 feet below the surface. The self-contained systems will be connected to geothermal power plants generating emission-free electricity. And in the process, they hope to generate the revenue needed to restore the lake, which has been fouled by toxic runoff from area farms for decades.

Businesses are also hoping to extract lithium from brine in Arkansas, Nevada, North Dakota and at least one more location in the United States.

The United States needs to quickly find new supplies of lithium as automakers ramp up manufacturing of electric vehicles. Lithium is used in electric car batteries because it is lightweight, can store lots of energy and can be repeatedly recharged. Analysts estimate that lithium demand is going to increase tenfold before the end of this decade as Tesla, Volkswagen, General Motors and other automakers introduce dozens of electric models. Other ingredients like cobalt are needed to keep the battery stable.

Even though the United States has some of the world’s largest reserves, the country today has only one large-scale lithium mine, Silver Peak in Nevada, which first opened in the 1960s and is producing just 5,000 tons a year — less than 2 percent of the world’s annual supply. Most of the raw lithium used domestically comes from Latin America or Australia, and most of it is processed and turned into battery cells in China and other Asian countries.

“China just put out its next five-year plan,” Mr. Biden’s energy secretary, Jennifer Granholm, said in a recent interview. “They want to be the go-to place for the guts of the batteries, yet we have these minerals in the United States. We have not taken advantage of them, to mine them.”

In March, she announced grants to increase production of crucial minerals. “This is a race to the future that America is going to win,” she said.

So far, the Biden administration has not moved to help push more environmentally friendly options — like lithium brine extraction, instead of open pit mines. The Interior Department declined to say whether it would shift its stand on the Lithium Americas permit, which it is defending in court.

Mining companies and related businesses want to accelerate domestic production of lithium and are pressing the administration and key lawmakers to insert a $10 billion grant program into Mr. Biden’s infrastructure bill, arguing that it is a matter of national security.

“Right now, if China decided to cut off the U.S. for a variety of reasons we’re in trouble,” said Ben Steinberg, an Obama administration official turned lobbyist. He was hired in January by ​Piedmont Lithium, which is working to build an open-pit mine in North Carolina and is one of several companies that have created a trade association for the industry.

Investors are rushing to get permits for new mines and begin production to secure contracts with battery companies and automakers.

Ultimately, federal and state officials will decide which of the two methods — traditional mining or brine extraction — is approved. Both could take hold. Much will depend on how successful environmentalists, tribes and local groups are in blocking projects.

On a hillside, Edward Bartell or his ranch employees are out early every morning making sure that the nearly 500 cows and calves that roam his 50,000 acres in Nevada’s high desert have enough feed. It has been a routine for generations, but the family has never before faced a threat quite like this.

A few miles from his ranch, work could soon start on Lithium Americas’ open pit mine that will represent one of the largest lithium production sites in U.S. history, complete with a helicopter landing pad, a chemical processing plant and waste dumps. The mine will reach a depth of about 370 feet.

Mr. Bartell’s biggest fear is that the mine will consume the water that keeps his cattle alive. The company has said the mine will consume 3,224 gallons per minute. That could cause the water table to drop on land Mr. Bartell owns by an estimated 12 feet, according to a Lithium Americas consultant.

While producing 66,000 tons a year of battery-grade lithium carbonate, the mine may cause groundwater contamination with metals including antimony and arsenic, according to federal documents.

The lithium will be extracted by mixing clay dug out from the mountainside with as much as 5,800 tons a day of sulfuric acid. This whole process will also create 354 million cubic yards of mining waste that will be loaded with discharge from the sulfuric acid treatment, and may contain modestly radioactive uranium, permit documents disclose.

A December assessment by the Interior Department found that over its 41-year life, the mine would degrade nearly 5,000 acres of winter range used by pronghorn antelope and hurt the habitat of the sage grouse. It would probably also destroy a nesting area for a pair of golden eagles whose feathers are vital to the local tribe’s religious ceremonies.

“It is real frustrating that it is being pitched as an environmentally friendly project, when it is really a huge industrial site,” said Mr. Bartell, who filed a lawsuit to try to block the mine.

At the Fort McDermitt Indian Reservation, anger over the project has boiled over, even causing some fights between members as Lithium Americas has offered to hire tribal members in jobs that will pay an average annual wage of $62,675 — twice the county’s per capita income — but that will come with a big trade-off.

“Tell me, what water am I going to drink for 300 years?” Deland Hinkey, a member of the tribe, yelled as a federal official arrived at the reservation in March to brief tribal leaders on the mining plan. “Anybody, answer my question. After you contaminate my water, what I am going to drink for 300 years? You are lying!”

The reservation is nearly 50 miles from the mine site — and far beyond the area where groundwater may be contaminated — but tribe members fear the pollution could spread.

“It is really a David versus Goliath kind of a situation,” said Maxine Redstar, the leader of the Fort McDermitt Paiute and Shoshone Tribes, noting that there was limited consultation with the tribe before the Interior Department approved the project. “The mining companies are just major corporations.”

Tim Crowley, a vice president at Lithium Americas, said the company would operate responsibly — planning, for example, to use the steam from burning molten sulfur to generate the electricity it needs.

“We’re answering President Biden’s call to secure America’s supply chains and tackle the climate crisis,” Mr. Crowley said.

A spokesman noted that area ranchers also used a lot of water and that the company had purchased its allocation from another farmer to limit the increase in water use.

The company has moved aggressively to secure permits, hiring a lobbying team that includes a former Trump White House aide, Jonathan Slemrod.

Lithium Americas, which estimates there is $3.9 billion worth of recoverable lithium at the site, hopes to start mining operations next year. Its largest shareholder is the Chinese company Ganfeng Lithium.

The desert sands surrounding the Salton Sea have drawn worldwide notice before. They have served as a location for Hollywood productions like the “Star Wars” franchise.

Created by flooding from the Colorado River more than a century ago, the lake once thrived. Frank Sinatra performed at its resorts. Over the years, drought and poor management turned it into a source of pollutants.

But a new wave of investors is promoting the lake as one of the most promising and environmentally friendly lithium prospects in the United States.

Lithium extraction from brine has long been used in Chile, Bolivia and Argentina, where the sun is used over nearly two years to evaporate water from sprawling ponds. It is relatively inexpensive, but it uses lots of water in arid areas.

The approach planned at the Salton Sea is radically different from the one traditionally used in South America.

The lake sits atop the Salton Buttes, which, as in Nevada, are underground volcanoes.

For years, a company owned by Berkshire Hathaway, CalEnergy, and another business, Energy Source, have tapped the Buttes’ geothermal heat to produce electricity. The systems use naturally occurring underground steam. This same water is loaded with lithium.

Now, Berkshire Hathaway and two other companies — Controlled Thermal Resources and Materials Research — want to install equipment that will extract lithium after the water passes through the geothermal plants, in a process that will take only about two hours.

Rod Colwell, a burly Australian, has spent much of the last decade pitching investors and lawmakers on putting the brine to use. In February, a backhoe plowed dirt on a 7,000-acre site being developed by his company, Controlled Thermal Resources.

“This is the sweet spot,” Mr. Colwell said. “This is the most sustainable lithium in the world, made in America. Who would have thought it? We’ve got this massive opportunity.”

A Berkshire Hathaway executive told state officials recently that the company expected to complete its demonstration plant for lithium extraction by April 2022.

The backers of the Salton Sea lithium projects are also working with local groups and hope to offer good jobs in an area that has an unemployment rate of nearly 16 percent.

“Our region is very rich in natural resources and mineral resources,” said Luis Olmedo, executive director of Comite Civico del Valle, which represents area farm workers. “However, they’re very poorly distributed. The population has not been afforded a seat at the table.”

The state has given millions in grants to lithium extraction companies, and the Legislature is considering requiring carmakers by 2035 to use California sources for some of the lithium in vehicles they sell in the state, the country’s largest electric-car market.

But even these projects have raised some questions.

Geothermal plants produce energy without emissions, but they can require tens of billions of gallons of water annually for cooling. And lithium extraction from brine dredges up minerals like iron and salt that need to be removed before the brine is injected back into the ground.

Similar extraction efforts at the Salton Sea have previously failed. In 2000, CalEnergy proposed spending $200 million to extract zinc and to help restore the Salton Sea. The company gave up on the effort in 2004.

But several companies working on the direct lithium extraction technique — including Lilac Solutions, based in California, and Standard Lithium of Vancouver, British Columbia — are confident they have mastered the technology.

Both companies have opened demonstration projects using the brine extraction technology, with Standard Lithium tapping into a brine source already being extracted from the ground by an Arkansas chemical plant, meaning it did not need to take additional water from the ground.

“This green aspect is incredibly important,” said Robert Mintak, chief executive of Standard Lithium, who hopes the company will produce 21,000 tons a year of lithium in Arkansas within five years if it can raise $440 million in financing. “The Fred Flintstone approach is not the solution to the lithium challenge.”

Lilac Solutions, whose clients include Controlled Thermal Resources, is also working on direct lithium extraction in Nevada, North Dakota and at least one other U.S. location that it would not disclose. The company predicts that within five years, these projects could produce about 100,000 tons of lithium annually, or 20 times current domestic production.

Executives from companies like Lithium Americas question if these more innovative approaches can deliver all the lithium the world needs.

But automakers are keen to pursue approaches that have a much smaller impact on the environment.

“Indigenous tribes being pushed out or their water being poisoned or any of those types of issues, we just don’t want to be party to that,” said Sue Slaughter, Ford’s purchasing director for supply chain sustainability. “We really want to force the industries that we’re buying materials from to make sure that they’re doing it in a responsible way. As an industry, we are going to be buying so much of these materials that we do have significant power to leverage that situation very strongly. And we intend to do that.”

Gabriella Angotti-Jones contributed reporting.

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Business

Fed Initiatives Persistence Whilst Financial Outlook Brightens

Federal Reserve officials on Wednesday signaled that they are in no hurry to recall support for a pandemic-damaged economy and released new forecasts showing the central bank’s key interest rate will be held near zero for years to come – even if it does. The outlook is improving rapidly.

After a painful 2020 in which the Fed pledged to do everything possible to prevent permanent virus-induced economic damage, the decision underscored that the political response has entered a new phase: while it lasts.

Fed officials, who cut their key interest rate to near zero last March, maintained that setting on Wednesday, as was widely expected. If you hold the bottom, it will lower the cost of borrowing, fuel demand, and fuel growth across the economy.

But their new predictions sent a remarkably patient message about the road ahead. Most policymakers expected interest rates to stay close to zero through 2023, despite targeting faster growth, rapidly falling unemployment, and inflation rising above 2 percent.

By continuing to promise aid in the face of the brightening prospects, the central bank underscored its top priorities, which are to bring the labor market back to full health and to sustainably raise prices, which have been sluggish for years. And it became clear that it’s more about holding up to the recent boom than warnings that inflation could get out of hand.

“We are determined to give the economy the support it needs to return as quickly as possible to a state of maximum employment and price stability,” said Jerome H. Powell, chairman of the Fed, during a news conference Wednesday. This help will continue “as long as possible”.

Fed officials in their post-meeting statement noted that some parts of the economy were improving, and Powell said Covid-19 vaccines and fiscal incentives had been driving his colleagues’ sunnier economic expectations. But he also pointed out that the unemployment rate remained high and that 9.5 million jobs that had disappeared during the pandemic were still missing in the economy.

“It’s just a lot of people going back to work, and it’s not going to happen overnight – it’s going to take time,” Powell said. “The faster the better. We’d like to see it sooner rather than later.”

Fed officials now expect unemployment to fall to 4.5 percent this year as growth rises, a faster decline than previously thought, and inflation to fall to 2.4 percent by 2021 before it subsides. You can see that it is 2.1 percent by the end of 2023.

Their willingness to allow higher inflation without reacting to it confirms the central bank’s new monetary policy approach. The Fed said last year that it would stop preemptively hike rates to curb upcoming inflation and aim for 2 percent as the average target – meaning it welcomes periods of slightly faster price gains.

“You look at their economic forecasts, they are all better,” said Priya Misra, director of global interest rate strategy at TD Securities. “They’re telling the market they’re going to let inflation rise above 2 percent.”

The publication of economic forecasts on Wednesday was closely watched on Wall Street, partly because the central bank had to digest a lot of new information and incorporate it into its political guidelines.

Since the Fed last updated its economic forecast three months ago, Congress and the White House have passed two major spending packages – a $ 900 billion bill in December and a $ 1.9 trillion measure in this month. This huge infusion of government money will put money in consumers’ bank accounts and could help avert economic damage that Fed officials were concerned about, such as bankruptcies and evictions.

The Treasury Department announced Wednesday that 90 million direct checks have been paid to individuals totaling more than $ 242 billion.

Americans are also getting vaccinations at a steady pace, which raises hopes that the pandemic will subside to the point that hard-hit service-industry companies can reopen fully at some point this year.

To add to these positive developments, coronavirus cases have eased and the unemployment rate suggests the economy continues to heal slowly. Unemployment fell to 6.2 percent in February, according to the latest data from the Labor Department, from a high of 14.8 percent in April.

But there is still a long way to go – a broader level of unemployment that Fed officials often cite is 9.5 percent – and Mr Powell has repeatedly pointed out that uncertainty remains high.

“The path of the virus remains very important,” he said, noting that new and virulent strains have emerged. “We’re not done yet and I would hate it if we lost sight of the ball before we actually finish the job.”

Congress has tasked the Fed with bringing the economy back to full employment and stable prices. Mr. Powell and his colleagues realized they wanted to see both a healthy labor market and inflation that rose slightly above 2 percent and is expected to stay there for some time before interest rates hike.

The March economic forecast showed that officials broadly expect the economy to take years to overcome these hurdles. Only seven officials have announced rate hikes by the end of 2023, while eleven have put rate hikes on hold.

The Fed also buys $ 120 billion in bonds every month. The criteria for slowing these purchases have been less clear as “substantial” further progress is needed.

Mr Powell stated on Wednesday that the Fed was not even ready to talk about when to reduce this support. If so, he said, it will signal “well before any decision to actually rejuvenate”.

The markets have been on the verge in the past few weeks. The improving economic outlook and the prospect of slightly higher inflation have pushed interest rates higher on longer-term Treasury bills. This has at times resulted in stocks swooning – stock prices tend to fall as interest rates rise – although key indices remain near record highs.

Part of that discomfort is directly related to Mr. Powell’s central bank. Investors have expected the Fed to be less patient than previously thought as the backdrop improves, bringing forward estimates of when the Fed might hike rates.

In fact, some prominent economists and commentators have warned that the heavy government spending that dwarfed the 2008 crisis response could drive prices much higher by pumping so many dollars into an already healing economy. That could force the Fed to hike rates sharply to control them.

However, the Fed has consistently downplayed these concerns, pointing out that the problem in modern times has been weak prices, which could pose the risk of prices falling completely and which hamper the Fed’s ability to cut inflation rates during troubled times. When prices go up, officials often say they have the means to deal with them.

“They want a speedy recovery, even more than usual,” said Diane Swonk, chief economist at Grant Thornton. “The Fed doesn’t want to get in each other’s way because of a temporary surge in inflation.”

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Business

Extra Black-led initiatives might increase Hollywood income by $10 billion, McKinsey says

If Hollywood eliminated racial inequalities in the film and television industries, annual sales could rise 7%, or about $ 10 billion, according to a new study by McKinsey.

The consulting firm’s investigation found that black-led stories are underfunded and undervalued.

“A complex, interdependent value chain with dozens of hidden barriers and other vulnerabilities strengthens the status quo of the breed in the industry. Based on our research, we have cataloged nearly 40 specific vulnerabilities that black talent regularly encounter when trying to build their careers “wrote the report’s authors.

Franklin Leonard, the CEO and founder of The Blacklist, which aims to democratize writers’ access to the entertainment industry, and a former McKinsey employee, prompted the consulting giant to undergo this study last June.

“I reached out to some of my former coworkers and said if you are interested in researching racial inequality Hollywood is a place to do it,” said Leonard. “Mainly because this economic inequality is not just in our industry, but we are exporting and expanding stories around the world, which also has a material impact on the lives of blacks and people around the world.”

The leading positions in the film and television industry are disproportionately white. Ninety-two percent of all film managers are white, the report said. McKinsey noted that this is more than any other industry, including finance and energy. The TV industry is slightly more diverse than consumer goods, finance, and transportation / travel, at 87% white, according to the report.

And while the US population is roughly 13.5% black, according to the report, 6% of writers, directors, and producers of Hollywood movies are black, while 8% have at least one black producer.

McKinsey said there are important barriers to entry, including the fact that entry-level entertainment jobs often offer low or no wages. Research highlights that industrial jobs are often shared by small, predominantly white, elite networks.

Another challenge is bias – both subconsciously and overtly.

“We have an exceptionally talented black community in Hollywood and they are doing an exceptional job,” said Leonard. “One has to wonder what they would be capable of and what Hollywood would be capable of if we actually removed these barriers and allowed everyone to participate at a level that matches their ability and, frankly, their ability to make a return on the land . ” Investment.”

Leonard said he was “most shocked” by the return on investment numbers.

“Black content still delivers about 10% better ROI despite underfunding, support and subdistribution,” he said.

To level the field, the study recommends that studios adopt transparency and accountability towards their own ranks, and expand recruitment to state schools and historically black colleges and universities. This could be achieved with the help of a third party organization.

Leonard noted that the potential $ 10 billion gain that could result from diversity efforts is specifically related to the underrepresentation of black talent and executives. The overall chance is considerably greater than if other underrepresented minorities are added.

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Business

SpaceX valuation pushed by Elon Musk’s Starship and Starlink initiatives

Der SpaceX von Elon Musk hat jetzt einen Wert von 74 Milliarden US-Dollar, nachdem er letzte Woche mehr Kapital aufgenommen hat. Aufgrund der starken Nachfrage nach Aktien glauben viele Investoren, dass die beiden ehrgeizigen Projekte des Unternehmens diese Bewertung noch weiter steigern werden.

Die Bewertung des Unternehmens stieg gegenüber der vorherigen Kapitalerhöhung vor sechs Monaten um 60%. In der letzten Spendenrunde von SpaceX erhielt das Unternehmen innerhalb von nur drei Tagen Angebote von Investoren in Höhe von 6 Milliarden US-Dollar, teilte eine bekannte Quelle CNBC mit. Das Unternehmen akzeptierte 850 Millionen US-Dollar aus diesen Angeboten.

Die Nachfrage der Investoren rührt von den Starship- und Starlink-Projekten her, erklärte Quilty Analytics-Gründer Chris Quilty, die er als “zwei parallel laufende Manhattan-Projekte” bezeichnete. Quilty betreibt eine Boutique-Forschungs- und Investmentfirma mit Schwerpunkt auf dem Bereich Satellitenkommunikation, die er gegründet hat, nachdem er 20 Jahre lang die Berichterstattung von Raymond James über die Raumfahrtindustrie geleitet hatte.

Starship ist die Rakete der nächsten Generation, die Musks Unternehmen entwickelt. Sie ist leistungsstärker als selbst die Saturn V-Raketen, die Astronauten zum Mond transportierten. Starlink ist ein globales Satelliten-Internet-Netzwerk, das aus Tausenden von Satelliten besteht und von SpaceX zunehmend genutzt wird, um Kunden Highspeed-Internet zu bieten.

Top Wall Street- und Branchenanalysten sprachen diese Woche mit CNBC, um die Aufregung um die SpaceX-Programme Starship und Starlink zu erklären.

“Diese Bewertung basiert auf einer Vision dessen, was SpaceX in Zukunft erreichen kann”, sagte Carissa Christensen, CEO von Bryce Space and Technology, gegenüber CNBC. “Ihre Bewertung ist sehr hoch, da der Markt für kommerzielle Markteinführungen in Milliarden von Dollar gemessen wird – nicht in Dutzenden oder Hunderten von Milliarden -, also müssen Sie sich auch an Starlink wenden.”

Elon Musk, CEO von SpaceX, steht an der Basis eines Starship-Raketenprototyps im Werk des Unternehmens in Boca Chica, Texas.

Steve Jurvetson auf flickr

Während Anleger möglicherweise eine scheinbar hohe Bewertung von 74 Milliarden US-Dollar erzielen, hält der Analyst von Ark Invest, Sam Korus, es für möglich, dass SpaceX selbst zu einem Billionen-Dollar-Unternehmen wird.

“Ich kenne ehrlich gesagt kein Unternehmen in der Branche, das sich mit der Innovationsrate von SpaceX bewegt”, sagte Korus gegenüber CNBC.

Wie Starship das Startparadigma ändert

Die Prototypenraketen SN9 (rechts) und SN10 von Starship auf Startrampen in der Entwicklungsanlage des Unternehmens in Boca Chica, Texas.

SpaceX

SpaceX “erschütterte” den globalen Markt mit den niedrigen Kosten und der beispiellosen Startrate seiner Falcon 9-Raketen, erklärte Jefferies-Analyst Greg Konrad. Die Wiederverwendung der Raketen-Booster Falcon 9, die SpaceX 67 Mal gelandet ist, war für SpaceX von entscheidender Bedeutung, da sowohl die Kosten niedrig gehalten als auch schnell gestartet wurden.

Historisch gesehen waren Raketen, die Satelliten und andere große Raumschiffe abfeuerten, entbehrlich – wobei die Booster nach jedem Start im Ozean weggeworfen wurden. Konrad betonte, dass die niedrigeren Kosten für SpaceX-Raketen “neue Möglichkeiten für das geschaffen haben, was Sie starten können und in welchen Märkten”, und andere Unternehmen arbeiten derzeit an der Wiederverwendung von Raketen.

“Neue Wettbewerber wie Blue Origin schaffen dieses gesamte Ökosystem von Trägerraketenanbietern, die das untere Ende des Marktes mit billigeren Lösungen bedienen”, sagte Konrad.

Aber SpaceX möchte mit Starship einen noch größeren Schritt machen. Musk zielt darauf ab, dass Starship vollständig wiederverwendbar ist – nicht nur der Booster, der den unteren Teil der Rakete darstellt -, indem er auf ähnliche Weise wie ein Verkehrsflugzeug landet und neu startet.

Das Raumschiff und sein Booster sind fast 400 Fuß hoch und bieten mehr Fähigkeiten als jede Rakete zuvor, um Musks Ziel zu erreichen, bis zu 110 Tonnen Fracht gleichzeitig zu starten.

“Einige der Möglichkeiten, die wir uns heute nicht unbedingt vorstellen können, weil der Platz auf der Seite der Schwergüter dann viel günstiger wird”, sagte Konrad.

SpaceX hat die Umlaufbahn mit einer Starship-Rakete noch nicht erreicht, baut und testet jedoch schnell Prototypen in seinem Werk in Boca Chica, Texas. Das Unternehmen hat erfolgreich mehrere Starship-Prototypen auf den Markt gebracht und diese nach kurzen Flügen in eine Höhe von etwa 500 Fuß sicher gelandet.

Die beiden jüngsten Höhenflüge explodierten trotz mehrerer Entwicklungsmeilensteine ​​beim Aufprall bei Landeversuchen. SpaceX hat noch nicht bekannt gegeben, wie viel es bisher für das Starship-Programm ausgegeben hat, aber Musk schätzte zuvor, dass die Fertigstellung des Unternehmens voraussichtlich etwa 5 Milliarden US-Dollar kosten wird.

Trotz des explosiven Endes seiner jüngsten Flüge wiederholte der Analyst von Morgan Stanley, Adam Jonas, die Auffassung des Unternehmens, dass jeder Starship-Test einen aufregenden Schritt nach vorne darstellt.

“Finden Sie eine coolere Sache, als zu sehen, wie eine Rakete dieser Größe startet und entweder erfolgreich oder erfolglos landet. Es ist wild”, sagte Jonas. “Es ist wie in der Apollo-Ära ‘richtiges Zeug’.”

Das Raumschiff stellt auch die Abweichung von der Norm dar, eine Rakete “in enger Harmonie” mit den Satelliten zu entwickeln, die es starten will, sagte Christensen.

“Das heißt, Sie werden keinen Satelliten entwickeln, für den es keinen offensichtlichen Starter gibt”, sagte Christensen. “Starship ist wirklich ein bedeutender Schritt über das hinaus, was leicht vorhersehbar ist.”

Während eine Falcon 9-Rakete mit einem Preis von 62 Millionen US-Dollar beworben wird, liegen laut SpaceX die Betriebskosten bei 28 Millionen US-Dollar pro Start. Aber Musk behauptet, dass die vollständige Wiederverwendbarkeit von Starship die Kosten pro Start auf nur 2 Millionen US-Dollar senken und die Kosten für das Erreichen der Erdumlaufbahn “um eine weitere Größenordnung oder sogar noch weiter” senken würde, was eine Reduzierung um das Zehnfache bedeutet.

Der Starship-Prototyp SN9 startet in der Entwicklungsanlage des Unternehmens in Boca Chica, Texas.

SpaceX

SpaceX habe in den letzten Jahren einen Mehrheitsanteil am US-Startmarkt erobert, erklärte Christensen. Falcon 9 habe “ein größeres Stück eines bestehenden Kuchens” genommen.

“Ich denke, die Vision von Starship ist es, das Wachstum dieses Kuchens zu fördern, egal ob es sich um den Bau von Raumfahrzeugen handelt, die größer oder anders gestaltet sind”, sagte Christensen.

Der andere Vorteil der immensen Größe von Starship wäre die Erweiterung der SpaceX-Fähigkeit für Mitfahrgelegenheiten, wenn Raketen zusätzliche Satelliten mit ihrer primären Nutzlast tragen. Starship hätte genug zusätzlichen Platz, “damit die sekundären Nutzlasten für den Start bezahlen können”, sagte Jonas und subventionierte effektiv den Start der firmeneigenen Starlink-Satelliten.

Neben dem Transport von Fracht plant SpaceX, mit Starship Menschen in die Umlaufbahn und sogar an die Oberfläche von Mond und Mars zu befördern.

“Es gibt möglicherweise auch einen Markt im Zusammenhang mit der bemannten Raumfahrt, der historisch gesehen fast ausschließlich von den Staatshaushalten bestimmt wurde”, sagte Christensen. “Es gibt einen kommerziellen Markt für menschlichen Tourismus im Weltraum, und wir sehen gerade die Anfänge davon.”

Während ein Flug in die Umlaufbahn mit der Crew Dragon-Kapsel von SpaceX für vier Passagiere mehr als 200 Millionen US-Dollar kostet, würde Starship “unglaubliche Möglichkeiten eröffnen”, glaubt Korus.

“Weil es wiederverwendbar ist, können Sie sich Reisen um den Mond im Bereich von 100.000 US-Dollar vorstellen”, sagte Korus.

Warum Investoren von Starlink begeistert sind

Der Inhalt des Starlink-Kits für Kunden, zu dem die Satellitenantennenschale, ein Ständer, das Netzteil und ein WLAN-Router gehören.

SpaceX

Jonas stellte eine offene Frage zu SpaceXs Amibition mit Starlink angesichts der Art und Weise, wie Musks Tesla den Automobil- und Batteriesektor gestört hat.

“Wird Elon mit der Telekommunikation tun, was er mit Autos und Batterien gemacht hat?” Fragte Jonas.

Es wird erwartet, dass die Entwicklung von Starlink noch teurer ist als die von Starship. Zuvor war SpaceX führend in der Entwicklung des Satellitennetzwerks und der Verbraucherdienste und wird 10 Milliarden US-Dollar oder mehr kosten.

SpaceX hat bis heute mehr als 1.000 Starlink-Satelliten gestartet. Das Unternehmen plant, bis 2024 4.425 Satelliten im Orbit einzusetzen, um Kunden auf der ganzen Welt zu bedienen.

Das Unternehmen begann im Oktober damit, Kunden in den USA, Kanada und Großbritannien einen frühen Starlink-Service über eine öffentliche Beta anzubieten. Vor kurzem wurde auch der Umfang dieser öffentlichen Beta erweitert, sodass potenzielle Benutzer den Starlink-Service für 99 US-Dollar vorbestellen können.

Trotz der hohen Investitionen, die für den Bau von Starlink erforderlich sind, wird der Bau von Starlink nach Schätzungen der Unternehmensleitung mindestens 10 Milliarden US-Dollar kosten, das Netzwerk könnte jedoch bis zu 30 Milliarden US-Dollar pro Jahr einbringen – oder mehr als das Zehnfache des Jahresumsatzes seines bestehenden Netzwerks Raketengeschäft. Satellitenkommunikation ist eine der bedeutendsten Einnahmequellen in der Raumfahrtindustrie.

“Es gibt bereits einen etablierten Markt … also versucht Starlink, in diesen Markt einzutreten”, sagte Christensen. “Aber es ist immer noch eine unbewiesene Frage, ob Starlink erfolgreich sein kann, obwohl dies ein großer Teil der Bewertung von SpaceX ist.”

60 Starlink-Satelliten werden nach der 17. Mission des Unternehmens in die Umlaufbahn gebracht.

SpaceX

Musk ist sich des Risikos bewusst, das SpaceX mit Starlink eingeht, und hat im vergangenen Jahr mehrmals festgestellt, dass jedes frühere Breitband-Satellitennetz mit niedriger Erdumlaufbahn bankrott gegangen ist.

“SpaceX muss im nächsten Jahr eine tiefe Kluft des negativen Cashflows überwinden, um Starlink finanziell rentabel zu machen”, sagte Musk Anfang dieses Monats in einem Tweet.

Quilty schätzt, dass Starlink eine Million oder mehr Benutzer pro Jahr anmelden muss, “um die Größenvorteile zu erzielen, die erforderlich sind, um die Kosten zu senken, die wirtschaftlich machbar werden”.

“Es geht nur um Lautstärke”, sagte Quilty. “Was Starlink zum Teil vorhat, ist die Tatsache, dass Elon eine Geldbeschaffungsmaschine ist.”

Die Analysten sind sich jedoch einig, dass Starlink die Möglichkeit hat, ein Vielfaches des Umsatzes des Raketengeschäfts von SpaceX zu erzielen. Christensen stellte fest, dass die Telekommunikation weltweit ein Markt mit mehreren Billionen Dollar und eine wachsende Nachfrage nach mobilem Internetzugang ist. Es ist auch “den Anlegern vertrauter”, sagte Christensen, “also gibt es dort ein gewisses Maß an Attraktivität und ist klarer verständlich.”

Ark Invest nannte das Satelliten-Internet 2021 eine seiner “großen Ideen” für Investoren. Korus schätzt, dass Starlink allein in den USA einen adressierbaren Markt von 10 Milliarden US-Dollar pro Jahr und weltweit 40 Milliarden US-Dollar pro Jahr hat.

“Das ist auf Haushaltsbasis und das steigt noch weiter, wenn Sie über Unternehmen sprechen, und wir haben gehört, dass Regierungen sehr hungrig nach den Fähigkeiten von Starlink sind”, sagte Korus.

Der Raumfahrtmarkt

SpaceX-Gründer Elon Musk zeigt dem Publikum, nachdem er von US-Präsident Donald Trump im Fahrzeugmontagegebäude der NASA nach dem erfolgreichen Start einer Falcon 9-Rakete mit dem Raumschiff Crew Dragon von Pad 39A im Kennedy Space Center anerkannt wurde

Paul Hennessy | SOPA-Bilder | Getty Images

Jefferies ‘Konrad betonte auch, dass es eine begrenzte Anzahl von reinen Spielraumunternehmen gibt, mit denen Investoren auf den öffentlichen Märkten handeln können. Dies habe “einen höheren Appetit der Anleger auf Unternehmen mit einem höheren Wachstumsprozentsatz geschaffen”.

“Es besteht ein unstillbarer Appetit, in weltraumbezogene Unternehmen zu investieren, und im Verhältnis zu dem, was Raumfahrt sein könnte, ist dies ein relativ unerschlossener Markt”, sagte Konrad.

Die Weltraumwirtschaft ist stetig gewachsen und wird derzeit auf einen Wert von mehr als 423 Milliarden US-Dollar geschätzt. Mehrere Wall Street-Unternehmen gehen jedoch davon aus, dass der Markt bis Ende des Jahrzehnts mehr als 1 Billion US-Dollar betragen wird.

Jonas betonte auch die begrenzte Anzahl von Investitionsoptionen als Katalysator für SpaceX. Das Unternehmen hat eine beherrschende Stellung in der Branche, und laut Jonas können Starship und Starlink “eine Reihe von Märkten berühren, die das größte TAM sein könnten [Total Addressable Market] in der Welt oder unter den größten TAMs der Welt. “

Insgesamt glaubt Christensen, dass Musk einer Branche, die jahrzehntelang von verteidigungsorientierten Regierungsunternehmen dominiert wurde, eine “Silicon Valley-Denkweise” verliehen hat.

“Die gleichzeitige Übernahme mehrerer außergewöhnlich ehrgeiziger Projekte ist sehr gut auf die Unternehmensidentität abgestimmt, nicht nur eine Branche, sondern wohl auch die Welt zu verändern”, sagte Christensen.

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Categories
Politics

NYC mayoral hopeful McGuire pushes for infrastructure initiatives in jobs plan

Ray McGuire, Vice Chairman of Citigroup Inc.

Patrick T. Fallon | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Ray McGuire, the former Citigroup executive who runs for New York mayor, is due to come up with a plan that he believes will bring more than 500,000 jobs to the city.

McGuire’s campaign gave CNBC a first look at what he’ll be calling for in the plan. He suggests creating jobs using a variety of methods, including a comprehensive proposal to reform infrastructure and take advantage of federal and state subsidies.

New York lost over 500,000 jobs in the twelve months to December, in large part due to the coronavirus pandemic.

McGuire’s plan will also fuel the city’s increased collaboration with tech companies, from local startups to Silicon Valley giants, to fuel employment growth.

McGuire is one of a large group of Democrats running for mayor. Former presidential candidate Andrew Yang recently jumped into the race. Primary school is planned for June.

A senior McGuire campaign member told CNBC that the Wall Street manager would first come up with ideas for communities on how to get these tech companies into the city before contacting any of the companies. This person declined to be named in order to speak freely.

McGuire’s plan comes almost two years after Amazon announced its plan to establish a so-called second headquarters in New York after a strong backlash from progressives like Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, DN.Y. Amazon said it brought 25,000 jobs to New York. The company is now renting space in Manhattan.

McGuire’s plan doesn’t mention Amazon or any other specific company.

The former Citi executive intends to have his employment plan in place within his first 100 days if he is elected mayor. Much of this would be done through executive power. Other pieces must work with either the city council or the state or federal government.

For example, the plan is to bring back 50,000 small business jobs through wage subsidies that would cover “50 percent of a worker’s wages for a year.”

“Small businesses could apply for the multi-employee grant, but the program would be capped at 50 percent of a company’s headcount in January 2020,” the plan said.

Small businesses in New York have been hard hit by the coronavirus pandemic. McGuire’s plan is to “target the program at companies that have lost more than 40 percent of total sales compared to 2019” while ensuring that funds go to “communities hardest hit by unemployment as a result of the pandemic”.

The senior campaign advisor said the subsidies would come in part from the $ 2 trillion Covid relief bill that then-President Donald Trump signed earlier last year. This person noticed that there is part of the bill that includes a wage subsidy component.

The Economic Policy Institute says on its website that the legislation includes a “100% federal grant for division of labor in states that already have division of labor programs.” New York is on the list of states offering division of labor programs.

The infrastructure component of the plan would drive shovel-ready projects. It would also include a new human resource development program to provide access to infrastructure jobs for people who have lost their positions in other industries.

McGuire’s infrastructure investments will focus on affordable housing and transit projects such as the Hudson Tunnel, which is part of the Gateway program to improve rail traffic along the Northeast Corridor.

The lengthy, multi-billion dollar rail tunnel project would create new double-track tunnels under the Hudson River between New York’s Penn Station and New Jersey. Pete Buttigieg, Biden’s candidate for the head of the Department of Transportation, said in his confirmation hearing that he wanted to “move forward” the tunnel project.

The infrastructure proposal indicated that some of these projects will be funded through private-public partnerships. The senior campaign advisor said McGuire’s connections in the corporate industry had already helped in this regard as he had begun working with investment firms who could help fund major infrastructure projects.

This person declined to say which companies McGuire was in contact with.

McGuire’s plan would be federally funded and herald the former Citi executive’s relationship with President Joe Biden’s administration. Biden has proposed federal spending of $ 3 trillion on green infrastructure projects and $ 100 billion on affordable housing.

McGuire has a close relationship with Vice President Kamala Harris. He was actively raising money for her presidential campaign.