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Politics

New York Mayor’s Race in Chaos After Elections Board Pulls Again Outcomes

The New York City mayor’s race plunged into chaos on Tuesday night when the city Board of Elections released a new tally of votes in the Democratic mayoral primary, and then removed the tabulations from its website after citing a “discrepancy.”

The results released earlier in the day had suggested that the race between Eric Adams and his two closest rivals had tightened significantly.

But just a few hours after releasing the preliminary results, the elections board issued a cryptic tweet revealing a “discrepancy” in the report, saying that it was working with its “technical staff to identify where the discrepancy occurred.”

By Tuesday evening, the tabulations had been taken down, replaced by a new advisory that the ranked-choice results would be available “starting on June 30.”

Then, around 10:30 p.m., the board finally released a statement, explaining that it had failed to remove sample ballot images used to test its ranked-choice voting software. When the board ran the program, it counted “both test and election night results, producing approximately 135,000 additional records,” the statement said. The ranked-choice numbers, it said, would be tabulated again.

The extraordinary sequence of events seeded further confusion about the outcome, and threw the closely watched contest into a new period of uncertainty at a consequential moment for the city.

For the Board of Elections, which has long been plagued by dysfunction and nepotism, this was its first try at implementing ranked-choice voting on a citywide scale. Skeptics had expressed doubts about the board’s ability to pull off the process, though it is used successfully in other cities.

Under ranked-choice voting, voters can list up to five candidates on their ballots in preferential order. If no candidate receives more than 50 percent of first-choice votes in the first round, the winner is decided by a process of elimination: As the lower-polling candidates are eliminated, their votes are reallocated to whichever candidate those voters ranked next, and the process continues until there is a winner.

The Board of Elections released preliminary, unofficial ranked-choice tabulations on Tuesday afternoon, showing that Mr. Adams — who had held a significant advantage on primary night — was narrowly ahead of Kathryn Garcia in the ballots cast in person during early voting or on Primary Day. Maya D. Wiley, who came in second place in the initial vote count, was close behind in third place. The board then took down the results and disclosed the discrepancy.

The results may well be scrambled again: Even after the Board of Elections sorts through the preliminary tally, it must count around 124,000 Democratic absentee ballots. Once they are tabulated, the board will take the new total that includes them and run a new set of ranked-choice elimination rounds, with a final result not expected until mid-July.

Some Democrats, bracing for an acrimonious new chapter in the race, are concerned that the incremental release of results by the Board of Elections — and the discovery of an error — may stir distrust of ranked-choice voting and of the city’s electoral system more broadly.

In a statement late Tuesday night, Ms. Wiley laced into the Board of Elections, calling the error “the result of generations of failures that have gone unaddressed,” and adding: “Sadly it is impossible to be surprised.”

“Today, we have once again seen the mismanagement that has resulted in a lack of confidence in results, not because there is a flaw in our election laws, but because those who implement it have failed too many times,” she said. “The B.O.E. must now count the remainder of the votes transparently and ensure the integrity of the process moving forward.”

Ms. Garcia said the release of the inaccurate tally was “deeply troubling and requires a much more transparent and complete explanation.”

“Every ranked choice and absentee vote must be counted accurately so that all New Yorkers have faith in our democracy and our government,” she said. “I am confident that every candidate will accept the final results and support whomever the voters have elected.”

And Mr. Adams noted the “unfortunate” error by the Board of Elections and emphasized the importance of handling election results correctly.

“It is critical that New Yorkers are confident in their electoral system, especially as we rank votes in a citywide election for the first time,” he said in a statement released on Tuesday night. “We appreciate the board’s transparency and acknowledgment of their error. We look forward to the release of an accurate, updated simulation, and the timely conclusion of this critical process.”

If elected, Mr. Adams would be the city’s second Black mayor, after David N. Dinkins. Some of Mr. Adams’s supporters have already cast the ranked-choice process as an attempt to disenfranchise voters of color, an argument that intensified among some backers on Tuesday afternoon as the race had appeared to tighten, and is virtually certain to escalate should he lose his primary night lead to Ms. Garcia, who is white.

Surrogates for Mr. Adams have suggested without evidence that an apparent ranked-choice alliance between Ms. Garcia and another rival, Andrew Yang, could amount to an attempt to suppress the votes of Black and Latino New Yorkers; Mr. Adams himself claimed that the alliance was aimed at preventing a Black or Latino candidate from winning the race.

In the final days of the race, Ms. Garcia and Mr. Yang campaigned together across the city, especially in neighborhoods that are home to sizable Asian American communities, and appeared together on campaign literature.

To advocates of ranked-choice voting, the round-by-round shuffling of outcomes is part of the process of electing a candidate with broad appeal. But if Ms. Garcia or Ms. Wiley were to prevail, the process — which was approved by voters in a 2019 ballot measure — would likely attract fresh scrutiny, with some of Mr. Adams’s backers and others already urging a new referendum on it.

By Tuesday night, though, it was the Board of Elections that was attracting ire from seemingly all corners.

Betsy Gotbaum, the city’s former public advocate who now runs Citizens Union, a good-government group, warned that “the entire country is watching” the Board of Elections. “New Yorkers deserve elections, and election administrators, that they can have the utmost faith in,” Ms. Gotbaum added.

A comparison between first-place vote totals released on primary night and those released on Tuesday offered some insight into how the 135,000 erroneous votes were distributed. The bottom four candidates received a total of 42,000 new votes, roughly four times their actual vote total; the number of write-in ballots also skyrocketed to 17,516 from 1,336. Mr. Adams and Mr. Yang received the highest number of new votes.

It was not known, however, how the test votes were reallocated during the ranked-choice tabulations, making it impossible to determine how they affected the preliminary results that were released and then retracted.

When accurate vote counts are in place, it is difficult, but not unheard-of for a trailing candidate in a ranked-choice election to eventually win the race through later rounds of voting — that happened in Oakland, Calif., in 2010, and nearly occurred in San Francisco in 2018.

The winner of New York’s Democratic primary, who is almost certain to become the city’s next mayor, will face Curtis Sliwa, the founder of the Guardian Angels, who won the Republican primary.

According to the now-withdrawn tabulation released Tuesday, Ms. Wiley, a former counsel to Mayor Bill de Blasio, nearly made it to the final round. She finished closely behind Ms. Garcia, the former sanitation commissioner, before being eliminated in the penultimate round of the preliminary exercise.

After the count of in-person ballots last week, Ms. Garcia had trailed Ms. Wiley by about 2.8 percentage points. Asked if she had been in touch with Ms. Wiley’s team, Ms. Garcia suggested there had been staff-level conversations.

“The campaigns have been speaking to each other,” Ms. Garcia said in a phone call on Tuesday afternoon, saying the two candidates had not yet spoken directly. “Hopefully we don’t have to step in with attorneys. But it is about really ensuring that New York City’s voices are heard.”

Ms. Wiley ran well to the left of Ms. Garcia on a number of vital policy matters, including around policing and on some education questions. Either candidate would be the first woman elected mayor of New York, and Ms. Wiley would be the city’s first Black female mayor.

Mr. Adams, a former police captain and a relative moderate on several key issues, was a non-starter for many progressive voters who may have preferred Ms. Garcia and her focus on competence over any especially ideological message.

But early results suggested that Mr. Adams had significant strength among working-class voters of color, and some traction among white voters with moderate views.

City Councilman I. Daneek Miller, an Adams supporter who is pressing for a new referendum on ranked-choice voting, suggested in a text message on Tuesday that the system had opened the door to “an attempt to eliminate the candidate of moderate working people and traditionally marginalized communities,” as he implicitly criticized the Yang-Garcia alliance.

“It is incumbent on us now to address the issue of ranked voting and how it is being weaponized against a wide portion of the public,” said Mr. Miller, the co-chair of the Black, Latino, and Asian Caucus on the City Council.

Other close observers of the election separately expressed discomfort with the decision to release a ranked-choice tally without accounting for absentee ballots.

“There is real danger that voters will come to believe a set of facts about the race that will be disproven when all votes are in,” said Ben Greenfield, a senior survey data analyst at Change Research, which conducted polling for a pro-Garcia PAC. “The risk is that this could take a system that’s already new and confusing and increase people’s sense of mistrust.”

Dana Rubinstein, Jeffery C. Mays, Anne Barnard, Andy Newman and Mihir Zaveri contributed reporting.

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Politics

Darkish Cash within the New York Mayor’s Race

The New York mayor’s race already has a national political touch thanks to one man: businessman Andrew Yang, whose long-term campaign for the nomination of the Democratic President began to falter at the beginning of last year, who is now considered to be the front runner in the city’s mayoral election. (That’s despite his talent for making a moan on Twitter.)

But it’s not just personalities that bridge the gap between local and national politics. It’s the money too.

This mayoral election is the first in town to feature super PACs – the dark money groups that emerged after the 2010 US Supreme Court ruling in Citizens United v Federal Election Commission.

But it’s also the first race in which a number of candidates use a city policy that allows campaigns to gain access to more generous public matching funds based on their base support.

With the possibly decisive Democratic primary in just over two months, our Metro reporters Dana Rubinstein and Jeffery C. Mays wrote an article on how the hunt for super PAC cash makes the race complicated – and raises ethical questions about some campaigns, including some that are also receiving public matching funding. Dana took a moment on her Friday afternoon to brief me on the state of affairs.

Hello Dana. Citizens United’s decision was made in 2010. However, it seems like this is the first time we’ve heard of Super PACs being used on a large scale in the New York Mayor’s race. How does this development affect the city’s redesigned Matching Funds policy, which aims to encourage small donations? Are the guidelines conflicting – or, as a source in your story put it, “like mending part of your roof and the water finds another way in”?

The 2013 Mayor Primary School had some independent expenditure (or “IE”) activities, but they were not candidate-specific – with one possible exception. There was a super PAC called New York City is not for sale that was candidate specific in the sense that it targeted one candidate, Christine Quinn, and whose funding was received from Bill de Blasio supporters. But this is really the first time we’ve seen candidate-specific IEs. As they have multiplied at the national level, New York candidates have oriented themselves towards the national scene.

If you speak to people at the Brennan Center who are big supporters of the Matching Funds program, they will point it out and say that voters should take courage as it is proving to be a success in many ways. The six mayoral candidates who had qualified for Matching Funds this year were most of them. Funds will be distributed based on the number of New York City voters contributing to the campaign, and that means someone like Dianne Morales, who has no electoral history and wasn’t a big player at all in the New York political scene prior to this election able to make a real argument for mayor. She can start a real campaign. In that round, she received $ 2 million in matching funding.

But then you have this parallel universe of super PAC money. And in some cases, you have candidates who receive the appropriate funding – that’s our taxpayers’ money – and benefit from Super PACs. Of course, super PACs should be independent and not coordinate with campaigns, but it’s hard for some voters to see that and think it’s an ideal scenario.

Basically we have two parallel fundraising systems: One is almost completely unregulated, the other is very strictly regulated and contains tax money.

Who will lead the race for Super PAC money in New York? And what’s the overall state of the race these days, money matters?

Shaun Donovan, the former Housing Secretary under President Barack Obama, participates in the Matching Funds program and has a Super PAC. Scott Stringer, the City Comptroller, also has a Super PAC – albeit a much less lucrative one – and is raising appropriate funds as well. Andrew Yang has a super PAC that was started by a longtime friend of his name, David Rose. It has raised a nominal amount of money, but no one has the illusion that it isn’t going to raise a lot of money anytime soon. And there’s this other super-PAC, linked to Yang and supposedly in the works, involving Lis Smith, who was involved in Pete Buttigieg’s presidential campaign.

Then there’s Ray McGuire, a former Citigroup executive and one of the most senior African-American bank managers of all time. He has a super PAC that has raised $ 4 million from all sorts of recognizable names. You spend a lot with the aim of increasing its awareness.

As for the state of the race, we have no idea. As you can confirm, there has been virtually no credible poll here. In terms of the polls available, there is some consistency in what they propose: Yang has a head start, but half of the voters are undecided. You have Eric Adams, Scott Stringer, Maya Wiley, and then the rest of the pack.

It is both too early to say and alarmingly close to the actual election day, June 22nd. We really have no idea where things are. If you add to this ranking voting that’s new this year, this really is an open question.

You mentioned Shaun Donovan earlier, whose story featured prominently in the article you and Jeff just wrote. Let us know what’s going on there.

In addition to being the former housing secretary for Obama, he was also the budget manager. So he’s a very well respected technocrat who is also the son of a wealthy ad tech manager. Someone created a super PAC to support his candidacy for mayor. This Super PAC raised just over $ 2 million, and exactly $ 2 million of that sum was donated by his father.

It is entirely within the realm of possibility that his father said, “You know what? I really love my son. I think he would be a great mayor. I’ll fund his super PAC. ”Without any coordination on how the money would be used. However, it is difficult for some people to imagine a scenario in which the father and son do not talk about such things. Or maybe not! The point is, it’s almost undetectable, isn’t it?

There’s a lot of winking and nodding in this stuff, and you don’t necessarily need direct coordination to have effective coordination.

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Is there anything you think we are missing? Do you want to see more? We’d love to hear from you. Email us at onpolitics@nytimes.com.

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Business

The Mayor’s Home Was Bombed. The Message: Hold Our City Nuclear-Free.

SUTTSU, Japan – It seemed easy money. The Japanese government conducted a study of potential spent fuel storage locations – a review of old geological maps and research into local plate tectonics. It called on the localities to volunteer. Participation would not oblige them to anything.

Haruo Kataoka, the mayor of a troubled fishing village on the north island of Hokkaido, raised his hand. His city of Suttsu could use the money. What could go wrong?

The answer, he learned quickly, was a lot. A resident threw a fire bomb on his house. Others threatened to remember the city council. A former prime minister traveled six hours from Tokyo to denounce the plan. The city, which spends much of the year in a snow-covered silence, was surrounded by a media storm.

There are few places on earth that want to host a nuclear waste dump. Only Finland and Sweden have committed to permanent repositories for the dregs of their nuclear energy programs. However, the excitement in Suttsu speaks to the deep concern that persists 10 years after a huge earthquake and tsunami in Japan that caused the collapse of three nuclear reactors in Fukushima Prefecture, the world’s worst nuclear disaster since Chernobyl.

The black mark on Japan’s nuclear industry has profound implications for the country’s ability to power the world’s third largest economy while meeting its commitments to tackle climate change. Of the more than 50 Japanese nuclear reactors, all of which were shut down following the March 11, 2011 disaster, only nine have restarted and the problem remains politically toxic.

With Japan’s share of nuclear power falling from roughly a third of total output to single-digit levels, the void has been partially filled by coal and natural gas, complicating the promise that the country was climate neutral by 2050 at the end of last year.

Even before the Fukushima disaster, which resulted in three explosions and a radiation release that forced the evacuation of 150,000 people, ambivalence about nuclear energy was deeply ingrained in Japan. The country is ravaged by hundreds of thousands who were killed by the atomic bombings on Hiroshima and Nagasaki at the end of World War II.

Still, most Japanese had resigned themselves to nuclear energy and viewed it as an inevitable part of the energy mix for a resource-poor country that has to import around 90 percent of the materials used to generate electricity.

After the nuclear disaster, public opinion swung decisively in the other direction. In addition to a renewed fear, there was a new distrust of both the nuclear industry, which had built reactors that could be overwhelmed by a natural disaster, and the government, which had allowed it to do so.

A parliamentary commission found that the meltdown was due to a lack of control and collusion between the government, the plant owner and regulators.

“The utilities, the government, and we nuclear experts kept saying, ‘Don’t worry, there won’t be a major accident,” said Tatsujiro Suzuki, director of the Research Center for the Abolition of Nuclear Weapons at Nagasaki University. Now, “people think that the industry is not trustworthy and the government that is driving the industry is not trustworthy. “

The Japanese government, which has increased safety standards for nuclear power plants, plans to bring more reactors back into operation. But Fukushima’s legacy is now tainting all discussions about nuclear power, even how to deal with waste created long before the disaster.

“Every normal person in town thinks about it,” said Toshihiko Yoshino, 61, the owner of a fish shop and oyster hut in Suttsu, who has become the face of opposition to the mayor.

“Because this kind of tragedy happened, we shouldn’t have nuclear waste here,” Yoshino said in an interview in his restaurant, where large picture windows look out over the snow-capped mountains above Suttsu Bay.

Politics surrounding garbage shows for now that if it is not buried under suttsu, it will find its way to a similar place: a city worn down by the collapse of local industry and the constant wear and tear of its population through migration and Age.

The central government has tried to motivate local governments to volunteer for examination by offering a payment of around $ 18 million for the first step, a literature search. Those who enter the second phase – a geological study – will receive an additional $ 64.4 million.

Only one other city in the whole country, the neighboring Kamoenai – already next to a nuclear power plant – volunteered with Suttsu.

One thing that Fukushima made clear, said Hirokazu Miyazaki, a professor of anthropology at Northwestern University who studied how communities were compensated after the disaster, is the need to find a just way to meet the social and economic costs Distribute nuclear power.

The problem is symbolized both by the partially uninhabitable cities of Fukushima and by a fight over the government’s plan to release one million tons of treated radioactive water from the site into the ocean.

The government says it would make small publications for over 30 years without harming human health. Fukushima fishermen say the plan will ruin their long road to recovery.

“We have this potentially dangerous technology and we are still relying on it. We need to have a long-term view of nuclear waste and decommissioning so we can better think about a much more democratic way to deal with the costs involved,” Miyazaki-san said in an interview.

Critics of nuclear energy in Japan often cite decades of failure to find a solution to the waste problem as an argument against restarting the country’s existing reactors, let alone building new ones.

In November, former Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi brought his anti-nuclear campaign to Suttsu at the invitation of local activists. At the city’s gym, he said that after visiting Finland’s underground landfill – a facility similar to that proposed by the Japanese government – he decided that Japan’s active geology would make it impossible to find a working site.

Japanese reactors have produced more than 18,000 tons of spent fuel in the last half century. A small portion of it was converted to glass through a process known as vitrification and encased in huge metal canisters.

Nearly 2,500 of the giant radioactive tubes are in temporary facilities in Aomori and Ibaraki Prefectures, waiting to be lowered 1,000 feet below the surface into vast underground vaults. There they would spend thousands of years reducing their toxic burden.

It will take decades, if at all, to select a location and get the project started in earnest. The Japanese organization for the disposal of nuclear waste, known as NUMO and represented by a cartoon mole carefully sticking its snout out of a hole, is responsible for finding a final resting place.

Long before he accepted NUMO’s offer to conduct a study in his city, Mr. Kataoka, the mayor of Suttsu, had taken an entrepreneurial stance on government subsidies.

Suttsu has a population of just under 2,900, spread thinly along the rocky edge of a deep Cerulean Bay, where fishing boats forage for mackerel and octopus. Starting in 1999, Mr. Kataoka supported an initiative to install a stand for towering wind turbines along the coast with government-supported loans.

Many in town initially opposed it, he said during an interview in his office, but the project has delivered nice returns. The city used the profits from the sale of electricity to pay off debts. City residents have free access to a heated pool, golf course, and modest ski slope with a tow. In addition to an elegant community center, there is a free day-care center for the few residents with children.

The facilities are not uncommon for the small town of Japan. Many places have tried to prevent its decline by spending large sums on white elephant projects. In Suttsu the effect was limited. The city is shrinking, and in early March snow lay on the eaves of newly built but closed shops along the main street.

Mr. Kataoka nominated Suttsu out of a sense of responsibility to the nation for the NUMO program. The subsidies, he admitted, are a nice bonus. But many in Suttsu question the intentions of Mr. Kataoka and the government. The city, they argue, doesn’t need the money. And they wonder why he made the decision without public consultation.

At a city council meeting on Monday, residents expressed concern that once the trial began, it would quickly pick up and become unstoppable.

The plan has severely divided the city. Reporters have come and flaunted the discord at the national level. A sign in the hotel at the port makes it clear that the staff does not accept interviews.

In October, an angry resident threw a Molotov cocktail at Mr. Kataoka’s house. It broke a window, but he smothered it with no further damage. The perpetrator was arrested and is now out on bail. He apologized, said Mr. Kataoka.

The mayor remains confused by the aggressive response. Mr. Katatoka insists that the literature research is not an fait accompli and that citizens will have the final say.

In October he will run for a sixth term. He wants voters to support his proposal, but whatever the outcome, he hopes the city can move forward together.

Losing the election would be a bad one, he said, but “the saddest part of it all was losing the city’s trust.”

Motoko Rich contributed to coverage from Tokyo.

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Politics

Rivals Mock Andrew Yang: 5 Takeaways From the Mayor’s Race

Andrew Yang made a splash last week when he entered the mayor’s race and injected energy into what had been a relatively calm and polite campaign season.

Other campaigns pounced on Mr. Yang, questioning his authenticity as a New Yorker and his commitment to the city. While their excavations highlighted some of his weaknesses, they also revealed how the candidates view Mr. Yang as a threat.

The campaigns also released their fundraising numbers last week, showing which candidates are in the strongest financial position while a former Wall Street executive, known for a #MeToo complaint, stepped into the lesser-known Republican field.

Here are some key developments in the race:

Even before Mr. Yang even entered the race, he had made fun of a comment on social media to the New York Times explaining his decision to leave New York City for his Hudson Valley weekend home at the start of the pandemic.

That was before the bodega incident.

The day after Mr. Yang ran a personal campaign launch in Morningside Heights, he posted a video on Twitter about his love for bodegas – a safe stance few would question. But Mr. Yang recorded the video in a spacious, glitzy shop that few New Yorkers would consider a bodega.

The video got Mr. Yang more ridiculed – and 3.7 million views by Sunday afternoon.

Rival campaigns took other blows on him. After Mr. Yang finished a tour of the Brownsville neighborhood of Brooklyn, the campaign by Eric Adams, president of the Brooklyn borough, said, “Eric doesn’t need a tour of Brownsville. He was born there. “

The campaign manager of Maya Wiley, a former attorney for Mayor Bill de Blasio, threw Mr. Yang’s evasive maneuver from the presidential campaign to the New York Mayor’s race: “Maya is running – not as a backup plan – but because she has devoted everything to life to improve, empower, and uplift the New Yorkers. “

Mr. Stringer’s campaign spokesman, Tyrone Stevens, also dug: “We welcome Andrew Yang to the Mayor’s Race – and to New York City.”

The choice of music for an official launch or acceptance speech for a candidate is usually a calculated decision. Fleetwood Mac’s “Don’t Stop” was Bill Clinton’s 1992 campaign theme song; Lordes “Royals” preceded Mr de Blasio’s 2013 victory speech.

Mr. Yang came to his kick-off event in Morningside Park in Manhattan and danced to the Drake song “God’s Plan,” which includes the lyrics, “They Wish Me / Bad Things.”

Indeed, Mr. Yang was faced with a flurry of questions from journalists about why he had left town during the pandemic and why he had not voted in local elections. An important question is whether Mr. Yang sees the job as a stepping stone to running for national office again – like Mr. de Blasio, who received criticism for his poor offer for president in 2019 and several trips to Iowa.

When asked by the New York Times whether he would pledge not to run for president during his tenure as mayor, Mr. Yang declined. But he said being Mayor of New York would be the job of a lifetime.

“New Yorkers have nothing to fear,” he said.

Mr. Yang made a suggestion that the city should take control of the subway away from the state. There is only one obstacle: Governor Andrew M. Cuomo, who has taken near complete control of the transit agency and is not known to relinquish power.

“Who knows? Maybe he’ll be happy when the city takes it out of his hands,” Yang said to reporters who had gathered on a subway platform and laughed in disbelief at the thought.

He spent his first day campaigning through four of the city’s five counties (sorry, Staten Island). At NY1’s Inside City Hall that evening, Mr. Yang disappointed some by saying the city may not close the Rikers Island prison by 2027.

“Rikers Island should be closed but we need to be flexible on the timeline,” he said.

Mr. Yang pointed to an important confirmation when he came on the trail: Representative Ritchie Torres of the Bronx, a rising star in the Democratic Party who helped counter criticism that Mr. Yang had no contact with the city.

Mr. Torres and Mondaire Jones are the first openly gay black men to serve in Congress, and Mr. Torres has been campaigned for. He had met or had conversations with Ms. Wiley, Mr. Adams, Mr. Stringer, Raymond J. McGuire, and Shaun Donovan, a former housing secretary under President Barack Obama.

Mr Torres said he gave the lost campaigns a heads up on his decision, despite being intrigued by the vote on the indictment against President Trump.

“No mayoral candidate supported me in my race,” said Torres. “I didn’t owe anyone anything.”

Mr. Torres said Mr. Yang’s endorsement of a universal basic income would be a victory for the South Bronx county, which he represents, one of the poorest in the nation. He said that he also likes the fact that Mr. Yang is not part of the city’s political establishment.

The confirmation enables Mr. Torres to coordinate with a moderate progressive colleague. If Mr. Yang wins, it would strengthen Mr. Torres’ standing and give him a powerful ally in the town hall.

When asked about the response to his decision, Torres said, “Eric Adams was friendly, most were disappointed, and one campaign was particularly hostile.”

Several people familiar with the discussions said the McGuire campaign responded with hostility. Mr. Torres met with Mr. McGuire, a former Wall Street executive, at an event in the Hamptons this summer, and his campaign believed they had the inside track.

Mr. McGuire’s campaigning denied being upset about the nudge.

“Ray is not a politician and has no grudge,” said his spokeswoman Lupé Todd-Medina. “He looks forward to working with the congressman when he’s mayor.”

Many officials who have worked in and around the city government appreciate Kathryn Garcia, the city’s former sanitation commissioner who, as a trusted manager, is able to help drive the city’s recovery from the pandemic. But she falls behind in the money race.

Ms. Garcia raised approximately $ 300,000 and did not qualify for any public matching funds.

However, recent records showed that Ms. Garcia received campaign contributions from a number of high-ranking New Yorkers, including Joseph J. Lhota, the former head of the Metropolitan Transportation Authority, who ran as Republican against Mr. de Blasio in 2013. Polly Trottenberg, the city’s former traffic commissioner; and Kathryn Wylde, the head of a prominent group of companies. Ms. Wylde also donated to Mr. McGuire, who is popular among Wall Street donors.

Monika Hansen, Ms. Garcia’s campaign manager, said that many city employees support her offer.

“Kathryn has the support of the makers of the New York government at every rank,” she said.

A lesser-known candidate, Zachary Iscol, a nonprofit leader and former Marine, has raised nearly $ 750,000 and expects to soon qualify for the relevant funds.

Another candidate who worked in Mr de Blasio’s administration is struggling: Loree Sutton, a former veterans affairs commissioner who has $ 398 on hand and $ 6,000 in outstanding debt. She said her campaign has had some problems but is reorganizing and “is in this race and in to win it”.

The democratic primary in June is expected to decide the mayor’s race. The registered Democrats in New York City are far more numerous than the Republicans. But there’s also a Republican primary in June, and a new candidate entered the race last week: Sara Tirschwell, a former Wall Street executive who once filed a #MeToo complaint against her boss.

In an interview, Ms. Tirschwell referred to her experience as a single mother and moderate Republican with liberal social views. She highlighted her “leadership skills” as a rare woman who held high positions in financial companies.

“I think there is a need for a moderate in this race, and it’s not clear that a moderate will survive a Democratic elementary school in New York City,” she said.

Ms. Tirschwell, who grew up in Texas, echoed the complaints of many Republicans – and some Democrats – that “Bill de Blasio is probably the worst mayor in our lives.” But she didn’t want to talk about the recent violence in Washington or the impeachment of Mr Trump.

“This race is about New York, and it’s about New Yorkers and the crisis this city is facing, and that’s what my campaign is focusing on,” she said.

Other names that have popped up in Republican Elementary School: John Catsimatidis, the billionaire of the Gristedes grocery chain; Fernando Mateo, a taxi driver attorney linked to a scandal surrounding Mr de Blasio’s fundraiser; and Curtis Sliwa, the founder of the Guardian Angels.

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Politics

Will Progressives Be Kingmakers within the New York Mayor’s Race?

“The socialist left is on the rise, especially in areas where black and Latin American residents are being torn from their lives,” said Representative Hakeem Jeffries, chairman of the House Democratic Caucus, which represents parts of Brooklyn and Queens and may become the first Black House Speaker. “To the extent that the success of the socialist left is partly related to the gentrification of neighborhoods, it remains to be seen how this will affect a city-wide race.”

How left activists and organizations exercise their influence is unclear. If all the groups affiliated with the progressive movement were to join forces behind a candidate, they could have a significant impact on the race.

So far they have not merged.

“It’s a big question if people do that,” said Jonathan Westin, executive director of New York Communities for Change. “I think the candidate who can cobble together all these groups is the candidate who will win.”

The New York Democratic Socialists of America have approved six candidates for the city council, a move that promises significant organizational support. But confirmation has yet to be made for the mayor’s race and some members of the organization are not expecting it.

“If we had a mayoral candidate who came from the DSA, that would have been one thing,” said Susan Kang, DSA member and professor at John Jay College of Criminal Justice. “We try to be very strategic in how we use our work.”

Another aggravating factor is the popularity of Scott Stringer, the city administrator and leading mayoral candidate, among some prominent younger progressive lawmakers. In 2018, Mr. Stringer supported a DSA employee, Julia Salazar, in her race for the Senate for incumbent Martin Dilan. Ms. Salazar won her race, and Mr. Stringer won her mayor recognition, along with several other high profile recommendations from progressives.

Mr. Stringer has also won the support of a number of key unions, most recently the Communications Workers of America, an early supporter of Mayor Bill de Blasio.