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5 issues to know earlier than the inventory market opens Thursday, Could 20

Here are the top news, trends, and analysis that investors need to get their trading day started:

1. Stock futures become positive after three days of losses

Traders work on the trading floor of the New York Stock Exchange.

NYSE

2. The weekly initial jobless claims hit the new low of the Covid era

The government reported a new Covid low for initial unemployment claims on Thursday. New jobless claims came in last week at fewer than 444,000 expected. The previous week was revised slightly to 478,000.

3. Bitcoin soars to nearly $ 42,000 after the slump on Wednesday

A representation of the virtual currency Bitcoin can be seen in this illustration from May 19, 2021 in front of a stock graph.

Given Ruvic | Reuters

Bitcoin surged to nearly $ 42,000 on Thursday after the world’s largest cryptocurrency tank hit 30% to three-month lows near $ 30,000 on Wednesday. That’s a drop of over 50% from last month’s all-time high of nearly $ 65,000. At Wednesday’s lows, the digital coin essentially broke even in 2021. However, over the past 12 months it has still increased by more than 200%. Bitcoin rebounded during Wednesday afternoon trading before pulling back later in the day and overnight.

4. Virgin Galactic will jump after the next space flight test scheduled for Saturday

Virgin Galactic’s Unity spacecraft fires its rocket engine and goes into space on February 22, 2019.

Virgo Galactic

Virgin Galactic’s shares rose nearly 24% on Thursday ahead of the market after the space tourism company announced it was planning Saturday for its next space flight test. The company announced this after completing a maintenance check on its carrier aircraft that threatened delays. Virgin Galactic aims to begin commercial service in 2022. Before the pre-IPO surge, the stock fell 27% this year and 65% over the past three months. Last week there was a big backlog after Cathie Woods Ark Invest announced that her company’s space exploration ETF had sold almost all of Virgin Galactic’s stake.

5. Oatly, backed by high profile investors, will begin trading

A carton of Oatly branded oat milk will be arranged for a photo in Brooklyn, New York on Tuesday, September 15, 2020. Photographer: Gabby Jones / Bloomberg via Getty Images

Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Oatly will debut on the Nasdaq on Thursday after the IPO peaked at $ 17 per share, the expected range. The Swedish oat milk maker raised $ 1.4 billion and valued the company at $ 10 billion. Last year, Oatly raised $ 200 million in a funding round led by private equity firm Blackstone, including Oprah Winfrey, Natalie Portman, an entertainment firm founded by rapper Jay Z, and former Starbucks boss Howard Schultz.

– Reuters contributed to this report. Follow all market action like a pro on CNBC Pro. With CNBC’s coronavirus coverage, you’ll get the latest information on the pandemic.

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Health

5 issues to know earlier than the inventory market opens Wednesday, Might 19

Here are the top news, trends, and analysis that investors need to get their trading day started:

1. Stock futures plunge as tech names slide and Bitcoin plummets

Traders work on the trading floor of the New York Stock Exchange.

NYSE

2. Bitcoin drops below $ 40,000 for the first time in 14 weeks. Tesla falls

A visual representation of the cryptocurrency Bitcoin on November 21, 2020 in London, England.

Jordan Mansfield | Getty Images

Bitcoin fell below $ 40,000 for the first time in 14 weeks on Wednesday. In fact, the world’s largest cryptocurrency hit a morning low of under $ 35,000 per unit, down over 46% from last month’s all-time high of near $ 65,000. However, Bitcoin is still up about 40% since the start of the year and more than 300% in the past 12 months.

Elon Musk, the CEO of Tesla.

Christophe Gateau / Image Alliance via Getty Images

Tesla’s shares, which invested corporate money in Bitcoin, fell around 3% to around $ 561 on the Wednesday before going public. A week ago, Bitcoin fell below $ 50,000 and Tesla shares fell below $ 600 each after CEO Elon Musk suspended purchases of electric vehicles using Bitcoin over concerns about the environmental impact of digital currency mining. Tesla stock hit an all-time high of $ 900 on January 25.

3. Bond yields rise ahead of the minutes of the Fed meeting in April

The 10-year government bond yield was above 1.67% early Wednesday before the minutes of the April Federal Reserve meeting were released. At that meeting, central bankers kept interest rates close to zero and the pace of asset purchases stable. They recognized an increase in economic activity as the US recovered from Covid, but insisted that inflation would be temporary. The 10-year return was over 1.7% on last week’s sell-off, its highest level in more than a month after a 14-month high in March.

4. Target is Lowe’s hit, but stocks are moving in opposite directions

View of reusable bags in the Target store in New York on April 13, 2021.

John Smith | Corbis News | Getty Images

Target, which had already risen nearly 17% in 2021, was poised to add another 3% after the retailer posted better-than-expected earnings of $ 3.69 per share on a 23% jump in sales to 24.2 Billion in the first quarter. Target benefited from a re-opening economy and buyers who had additional money due to government economic reviews. The company sees modest growth for the remainder of the year.

A shopper departs after visiting a Lowe hardware store in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania on November 4, 2020.

Mark Makela | Reuters

Lowe’s shares, which rose 20% this year, should fall more than 2% when it opened on Wednesday, despite an unexpectedly strong gain of $ 3.21 per share on a nearly 24% jump in sales to 24.4 Billion USD in the first quarter. Concerns crept in on challenges in the real estate market, including labor shortages and rising lumber prices.

5. New York AG opens a criminal robe of the Trump Organization

President-elect Donald Trump takes the elevator to the lobby after meeting at Trump Tower in New York City on January 16, 2017.

Dominick Reuter | AFP | Getty Images

The office of the Attorney General of New York, Letitia James, which is already conducting a civil investigation into the company of former President Donald Trump, is now also investigating the Trump organization “in a criminal capacity,” its spokesman said on Tuesday evening. James’ spokesman implied that the AG’s investigation into the ongoing criminal investigation against Trump and the Trump Organization is being conducted by the Manhattan District Attorney’s office, Cyrus Vance Jr.

– Follow all market action like a pro on CNBC Pro. With CNBC’s coronavirus coverage, you’ll get the latest information on the pandemic.

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Health

5 issues to know earlier than the inventory market opens Tuesday, Could 18

Here are the top news, trends, and analysis that investors need to get their trading day started:

1. Dow futures popping on Walmart, Home Depot strength

Traders on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange.

Source: NYSE

2. Three major retailers outperformed earnings expectations for the first quarter

Shoppers wear masks while shopping at a Walmart store in Bradford, Pennsylvania on July 20, 2020.

Brendan McDermid | Reuters

Walmart’s earnings in the first quarter rose above estimates due to past grocery sales and e-commerce growth. The retailer said more shoppers went to its stores and website to do stimulus checks and prepare to reconnect when Covid cases drop and vaccination rates go up. Earnings per share were $ 1.69. Revenue grew nearly 3% to $ 138.31 billion. Walmart raised its outlook for the year.

A customer wearing a protective mask loads wood onto a cart at a Home Depot store in Pleasanton, California on Monday, February 22, 2021.

David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Home Depot beat first quarter earnings and sales expectations as consumers swirled around their homes for more than a year after the pandemic. Net sales increased nearly 33% to $ 37.5 billion. Earnings per share were $ 3.86. Home Depot has not published an outlook for the 2021 financial year.

A man buys clothes in Macy’s department store in Herald Square in New York.

Trevor Collens | AFP | Getty Images

Macy’s shares rose around 5% in the pre-market on Tuesday, shortly after the department store chain reported a surprising profit in the first quarter as stimulus checks and vaccine rollouts gave consumers more money and more confidence to return to the mall and freshen up their wardrobes. Better-than-expected first quarter revenue increased 56% to $ 4.71 billion. Macy’s has also raised its financial outlook for the full year.

3. Amazon is reportedly in talks to buy MGM Studios for up to $ 9 billion

Daniel Craig plays James Bond in “No Time To Die”.

Source: MGM

According to several media reports, Amazon is in talks to buy Metro Goldwyn Mayer Studios worth up to $ 9 billion. MGM’s film and TV treasury includes the franchises James Bond and Rocky, as well as “The Handmaid’s Tale” and “Fargo”. These conversations, first reported by The Information, emerged after AT&T agreed to break out of its WarnerMedia film and television unit as part of a merger with Discovery.

4. Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway builds new Aon stake and strengthens Kroger

Warren Buffett at the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting in Los Angeles, California. May 1, 2021.

Gerard Miller | CNBC

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway made several changes to its stock portfolio last quarter, including adding a new bet on UK insurance company Aon and increasing its stake in grocery store owner Kroger. Berkshire also added its relatively new Verizon position and reduced its stake in Chevron, another new bet. Apple remained the largest single holding in Berkshire’s stock portfolio.

5. Michael Burry of ‘The Big Short’ reveals a bet against Tesla

Michael Burry attends the New York premiere of “The Big Short” on November 23, 2015 at the Ziegfeld Theater in New York City.

Jim Spellman | WireImage | Getty Images

Investor Michael Burry announced a short position on Tesla worth more than half a billion dollars in a filing for approval on Monday. Burry, whose company is Scion Asset Management, became famous for betting against mortgage securities prior to the 2008 financial crisis. Burry was featured in Michael Lewis’ book “The Big Short” and the subsequent Oscar winner of the same name. Tesla stock had a tumultuous 2021, down 18% at close of trading on Monday, and down nearly 36% from its all-time high of $ 900 on Jan. 25.

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Business

5 issues to know earlier than the inventory market opens Monday, Could 17

Here are the top news, trends, and analysis that investors need to get their trading day started:

1. The stock jump in the late week gushes on Monday before the market

People walk past the New York Stock Exchange on Wall Street on May 10, 2021 in New York City.

Angela Weiss | AFP | Getty Images

US stock futures fell on Monday after Friday’s strong rally. However, Friday’s gains of more than 1% for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 and over 2% for the Nasdaq were not enough to offset the sharp declines early last week. The Dow and S&P 500 both saw more than 1% weekly declines, while the Nasdaq fell over 2% on its worst weekly performances since February. The roller coaster ride on inflation concerns hit stocks early last week. The Dow was down 3.4%, the S&P 500 was down 4% and the Nasdaq was down 5%. All three stock benchmarks made up some of those Thursday and Friday losses.

2. 10-year return below 1.7% even if inflation subsides

Bond yields were mostly lower on Monday after 10-year government bond yields rose to over 1.7% on Wednesday during last week’s worst stock sale. This was the highest 10-year return level in more than a month after a 14-month high in March. Fears of inflation and whether the Federal Reserve will be able to keep the promised line with interest rates close to 0% and massive asset purchases rocked the markets. On Wednesday, the government reported that consumer prices accelerated at their fastest pace in more than 12 years in April as the US economic recovery kicked off. The Fed released minutes of its April meeting on Wednesday.

3. AT&T agrees to merge WarnerMedia with Discovery

John Stankey, President & Chief Operating Officer of AT&T and Chief Executive Officer of WarnerMedia, speaks on stage at the HBO Max WarnerMedia Investor Day presentation at Warner Bros. Studios on October 29, 2019 in Burbank, California.

Presley Ann | Getty Images Entertainment | Getty Images

AT&T on Monday announced a deal to combine its WarnerMedia movie and media content division with Discovery, which will pave the way for one of Hollywood’s biggest power players to better compete with streaming media giants like Netflix and Disney. AT & T’s shares were up 4% and Discovery was up 10%. AT&T shareholders would own 71% of the new company. Discovery shareholders would own 29%. The transaction would assemble properties like CNN, HBO and Warner Bros. from WarnerMedia, as well as the HGTV, TLC and History channels from Discovery. In 2018, AT&T acquired Time Warner, since then renamed WarnerMedia, for an equity value of $ 85 billion.

4. Elon Musk clarifies that Tesla did not sell Bitcoin.

Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla, stated in a tweet early Monday that the electric vehicle maker “did not sell Bitcoin”.

Bitcoin partially rebounded on Monday, trading above $ 45,000 per unit. The price of the world’s largest cryptocurrency fell below that level on Sunday after Musk apparently hinted on a Twitter exchange that Tesla might or might not sell the rest of its Bitcoin holdings. He “actually” replied to a sympathetic tweet.

All of this happened days after Musk said Tesla planned to hold onto its Bitcoin even though it stopped using it to buy electric cars until Bitcoin mining can become more energetically sustainable.

5. CDC Director Defends New Mask Policy; Businesses go their own way

People enjoying the sunshine on the steps of the MET in New York City as the CDC lifts restrictions on wearing masks for those who are fully vaccinated.

Adam Jeffery | CNBC

CDC director Dr. Rochelle Walensky urged people to be honest and only drop their Covid masks if they are fully vaccinated. The sudden change in CDC guidelines over the past week has left some people confused as it is not overriding local mask regulations. Local governments and businesses are grappling with the question of whether to follow the CDC’s new guidelines. Starbucks said, “Facials will be optional for vaccinated customers starting Monday, May 17, unless local regulations require it by law.” Walmart and Costco led the way on Friday.

– Follow all market action like a pro on CNBC Pro. With CNBC’s coronavirus coverage, you’ll get the latest information on the pandemic.

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Business

Bullish child boomers assist gasoline purple sizzling small enterprise M&A market

People enjoy a stroll down historic Annapolis Main Street in Annapolis, Maryland on April 29, 2021.

Marvin Joseph | The Washington Post | Getty Images

For Mitch Hughes, CEO of Vizz, a construction management software company he founded in 1996, the pandemic created ideal conditions for acquisitions.

Vizz, which operates a visualization platform that allows developers to create realistic virtual models, wasn’t very present on the manufacturing side. On the other hand, Manufacton had software for the modular structure, compatible software and a “dream team” of people. However, as a relatively small, young company, it didn’t have the traction needed to respond to the sudden surge in demand.

“Covid created a hurdle for them, but it created an opportunity for us,” said Hughes. At the beginning of this year, Vizz took over Manufacton and kept all employees.

While many baby boomer-owned small businesses have been hit hard by the pandemic, there is also a large cohort of boomer businesses that have taken advantage of the pandemic and are seeing low interest rates to expand.

According to a study by the New York Fed and the AARP, older entrepreneurs aged 45 and over entered the pandemic with a larger financial cushion than their younger counterparts. This pillow is more important than ever when the world is turned upside down. According to a survey by BizBuySell, an online marketplace for sale, 30% of buyers are baby boomers.

More from CNBC’s Small Business Playbook

A pandemic seems like an odd time for a booming M&A market. Many small businesses have suffered and many have failed. The data shows that government support did not flow adequately through the system either. The latest poll from CNBC | SurveyMonkey Small Business for the second quarter of 2021 found that many entrepreneurs expect better business conditions and higher revenues, despite overall negative net confidence and widespread fears of a tight labor market and rising cost of goods.

However, some business and investment experts say business owners run a huge risk of not being bullish enough after the pandemic. The brokers found that low interest rates, PPP loans, and other government support have helped fuel acquisitions for entrepreneurs able to take advantage of the terms.

“They see a way they can buy a business and get really great credit. There are just a lot of options. Lots of credit,” said Andrew Cagnetta, general manager of Transworld Business Advisors in West Palm Beach, Florida.

Main Street deal prices are rising dramatically

Prices have risen dramatically as a result of the bullish business buy. According to the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index, the net percentage of owners who increased average sales prices rose 10 points to 36%. This is the highest since April 1981 when it was 43%. In its quarterly report, BizBuySell said the median sales price for the first quarter was $ 350,000, up 30% year over year.

“It’ll sound crazy, but last year was my best year yet,” said Sheila Spangler of Murphy Business Sales in Boise, Idaho, which primarily focuses on companies less than $ 2 million worth. She adds that this year is also “super busy”.

Of course, the price fluctuations vary greatly depending on the region and industry. Cagnetta said he saw average sales prices double over the past year.

I’ve done business for other people for most of my career. I’ve always felt that if I can run a business for them, I’m pretty sure that I can run a very successful business myself.

Kevin Glass, the new Pinch a Penny Pool Patio Spa franchisee

Buyers tend to be more numerous than sellers, but the pandemic has exacerbated this. Cagnetta said he has seen growth in some categories of buyers. There are buyers from private equity and SPAC (Special Purpose Acquisition Corporation). Then there are entrepreneurs who are already doing well and who want to expand. Another emerging group is boomer buyers who were previously corporate employees. The pandemic forced many to rethink their lives – either because of layoffs or because of rethinking priorities. The same trend occurred after the Great Recession a decade ago when there was a “wave of confusion,” said Bob House, president of BizBuySell. “People are turning to business ownership for a living, rather than a kind of resetting,” said House.

Kevin Glass became a franchisee of Pinch a Penny Pool Patio Spa in Conroe, Texas after vacationing at the beginning of the pandemic. After 35 years in the oil and gas industry, Glass was already thinking about the next chapter of his career. He knew he was in a vulnerable position before the pandemic and had been looking for options. As soon as he was on leave, that search shifted into high gear.

Glass says he received a retirement benefit package when he was released but was unable to move on with his current lifestyle. He used the pension package to finance the company acquisition. Glass specifically researched franchises based on the support of an established business model. He also took into account the resale value. Pinch a Penny’s fixed income financing program further sweetened the deal.

“I’ve done business for other people for most of my career. I’ve always felt that if I can run a business for them, I’m pretty sure that I can run a very successful business myself,” said Glass.

Business areas in which business is booming

While the number of transactions has not yet reached pre-pandemic levels, it is starting to increase, especially for companies that have done well throughout the pandemic, such as: B. Liquor stores, home improvement stores, e-commerce websites, medical companies, manufacturers and distributors. Still, brokers say the expected transfer of generational wealth with boomers selling their businesses has not yet happened.

It is not necessarily the children of boomer owners who buy. Boomer entrepreneurs usually pass their businesses on to their kids, but some find that their kids don’t want the business. According to a survey by Guidant and the Small Business Alliance, boomers make up 41% of small business owners or franchisees, followed by Gen X at 44%.

“The seller’s tsunami has not yet happened,” said Cagnetta. “Business was very good until the pandemic broke out, then everyone was on hold. But I think they are coming out now to sell,” he added.

One important factor brokers have pointed out is an expected tax hike. Biden’s tax proposals would increase taxes on capital gains by more than $ 1 million. The plan provides an exemption for small businesses as long as they remain family-owned and operated. While it’s too early to say how the plan will work or if it will be implemented, brokers say it is putting pressure on business owners to sell.

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World News

Earnings reviews, the Fed will check the market rally within the week forward

A Wall Street sign is seen near the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City on May 4, 2021.

Brendan McDermid | Reuters

Investors will see if stocks maintain their newfound momentum over the coming week as major retailers like Walmart and Home Depot report earnings and housing data dominate the calendar.

The Federal Reserve can play a role as well. The minutes of the last meeting will be released on Wednesday and after the above-expected consumer and producer inflation in April, market pros will be watching this closely.

Central bank officials are also scheduled to provide comments, including Fed vice chairman Richard Clarida, who will speak next Monday.

Stocks were volatile. The rally on Thursday and Friday could not undo the heavy losses of the week. Defensive consumer staples, financials and materials were on the right track in major sectors for a positive week. The worst results came in consumer staples, down about 3.7% for the week, and technology, down 2.2%.

Technology stocks were among the top performers on Friday’s rally, up around 2.1%. Energy was the best performer with a plus of more than 3%.

“Watch it with a degree of fear,” said Art Hogan, chief marketing strategist at National Securities. “It’s not that the things that terrified us this week like inflation are going away … I think the fact that we recovered at the end of the week is constructive.” He added that he still expects the market to move forward with seizures and starts.

Fed Ahead

The Fed minutes should basically be a repeat of the last central bank meeting. However, it did so before the consumer price index rose a whopping 4.2% yoy in April.

That final meeting also came before the April employment report, which employed just 266,000 people, a quarter of what was expected.

“I think the Fed is ready to look through these weird data points. They think a data point is not a trend,” said Joseph Song, senior US economist at Bank of America.

However, markets have focused on whether data will help clarify when the Fed might be talking about winding up its bond purchase. This would be a precursor to the slow end of the $ 120 billion monthly asset purchase program and a signal that it is one step closer to the rate hike.

Hogan said when the weak employment report was released, market views had turned away from the idea that the Fed might discuss reducing its bond purchases when it holds its Jackson Hole Economic Symposium in late summer.

But the market returned to that view when the hot CPI report was released on Wednesday.

“We saw a hot CPI and a hot PPI,” said Hogan, referring to the producer price index. “That tells us the Fed could be behind the curve.”

The Fed has announced that it is expecting a temporary rate of inflation, but fears it may not be a temporary spike in the market. However, according to Hogan, investors consoled themselves with a decline in iron ore and copper, which fell nearly 2% over the week.

Retail income and housing

Large retailers report quarterly profits during the week. Walmart and Home Depot will report on Tuesday. Target, TJX and Lowes release results on Wednesday and BJ’s Wholesale and Kohl’s on Thursday.

Another disappointing data point was Friday retail sales in April, which was flat with March. But they are still at a high level. Based on the sales report, Hogan said retailers should have done well.

“You will likely hear the usual suspects outperforming. It used to be Walmart, Target, Home Depot and Lowe’s,” Hogan said. He said now others like TJX and Gap have joined the list and should do well.

In addition to income, there is housing data. The National Association of Home Builders Sentiment Index will be released on Monday, and construction starts will be released on Tuesday. Existing home sales will be issued on Friday.

Hogan said depending on the data, it could help builders who have fallen hard over the past week. He noted that DR Horton and Hovnanian had both been down for the week.

“The housing index was down 5% for the week, even though it was up 1%. [Friday]. This is a brand new sector that has a lot of implications, “he said.” What is good for home sales is good for auto sales too. It’s good for Home Depot and Lowe’s. “

Home builders were part of a broad market that rebounded on Friday.

Scott Redler, chief strategist at T3Live.com, said by the end of the week that some of the growth and tech names were doing better, like Facebook and Alphabet.

“The S&P 500 held the 50-day moving average, which is constructive,” he said.

The S&P 500 reached its 50-day period within about a dozen points, which is the average price of the last 50 closes. It is often a level that acts as a support, but when broken it can signal a negative trend.

The S&P 500 fell 1.5% for the week to 4,173.85. The Nasdaq ended the week at 13,429.98, down 2.3% from the week.

“The tech sector under pressure held its annual uptrend earlier in the week. Today it felt a little better than the rest of the week,” Redler said on Friday. “That doesn’t mean you can get into everything, but you can say that traders are buying better-trading stocks at these prices.”

Calendar for the week ahead

Monday

Merits: Hostess Brands, Lordstown Motors, Tencent

8:30 am Raphael Bostic, Atlanta Fed President, on CNBC

8:30 a.m. Empire production

10:00 am NAHB index

10:25 am Richard Clarida, vice chairman of the Fed, at the Fed conference in Atlanta

4:00 p.m. TIC data

6:00 p.m. Rob Kaplan, President of the Dallas Fed

Tuesday

Merits: Walmart, Home Depot, Macys, Baidu, Take-Two Interactive, Trip.com, NetEase

8:30 a.m. Housing construction begins

11:05 am Rob Kaplan, President of the Dallas Fed

Wednesday

Merits: Target, Lowe’s, JD.Com, Cisco, Schuhkarneval, TJX, Eagle Materials, Analog Devices, L Brands

10:00 am James Bullard, St. Louis Fed President, on economics and monetary policy

2 p.m. FOMC minutes

Thursday

Merits: BJ’s Wholesale, Kohl’s, Petco, Ralph Lauren, Applied Materials, Ross Stores, Deckers Outdoor, Hormel Foods, Palo Alto Networks

8:30 am Initial jobless claims

8:30 a.m. Philadelphia Fed

10:00 a.m. leading indicators

10:00 a.m. St. Louis Fed’s Bullard

10:30 a.m. Dallas Fed Chaplain

Friday

Merits: Deere, Foot Locker, Buckle, VF Corp, Booz Allen Hamilton

9:45 am Markit Manufacturing PMI

9:45 a.m. Markit Services PMI

10:00 am Existing home sales

12:15 p.m. Dallas Fed Chaplain, Atlanta Fed Bostic, and Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin in a panel

1:30 p.m. Mary Daly, San Francisco Fed President

Categories
Business

McDonald’s to Enhance Wages as Job Market Tightens: Dwell Updates

Here’s what you need to know:

Credit…Mike Blake/Reuters

Competing with fast-food chains, restaurants and other businesses for workers, McDonald’s said on Thursday that it, too, will raise wages at some restaurants in an effort to attract employees.

The company said it would increase hourly wages for current employees by an average of 10 percent and that the entry-level wage for new employees would rise to $11 to $17 an hour, based on the location of the restaurant.

The pay increases do not affect the 95 percent of the nearly 14,000 restaurants in the United States that are independently owned, only the 650 company-owned restaurants.

Responding to a tight job market and echoing a move earlier this week by the burrito chain Chipotle, McDonald’s said it hoped the higher pay would attract as many as 10,000 new employees in the next three months, as the busy summer season approaches and dine-in restrictions are removed at many of its restaurants.

At its company-owned restaurants, McDonald’s said the average employee wage would increase to $13 an hour, with some restaurants achieving an average wage of $15 an hour later this year. All company-owned restaurants expected to be at an average salary of $15 by 2024, the company noted.

Still, that falls short of the minimum wage of $15 an hour being demanded by the Fight for $15 organization, which is backed by the Service Employees International Union. The Fight for $15 organization is spearheading a strike by McDonald’s employees in several cities across the country on Wednesday ahead of the company’s annual shareholder meeting.

In 2019, McDonald’s announced it would no longer use its powerful lobbying arm to fight attempts to raise the minimum wage to $15 an hour at the federal, state and local level. In a call with Wall Street analysts in January, the McDonald’s chief executive, Chris Kempczinski, said the company was doing “just fine” in the more than two dozen states that had increased minimum wages in a phased-in way.

In fact, despite having many of its dining rooms closed or with limited capacity in parts of the country for much of the pandemic, the strength of McDonald’s drive-throughs helped push its profit to more than $4.7 billion in 2020. It paid its shareholders more than $3.7 billion in dividends and spent another $874 million repurchasing shares before suspending the program in early March of last year.

Mr. Kempczinski agreed to cut his base salary in half last year, but his total compensation was still more than $10.8 million.

Servers at a restaurant in Columbia, Mo., last week. The labor market is struggling to return to normal after more than a year of being whipsawed by the pandemic.Credit…Jacob Moscovitch for The New York Times

New claims for unemployment benefits fell last week, the government reported on Thursday, as the labor market slowly recovers from the staggering losses wreaked by the coronavirus pandemic.

About 487,000 workers filed first-time claims for state benefits during the week that ended May 8, the Labor Department said, a decrease from 514,000 the week before. In addition, about 104,000 new claims were filed for Pandemic Unemployment Assistance, a federal program covering freelancers, part-timers and others who do not routinely qualify for state benefits.

Neither figure is seasonally adjusted. On a seasonally adjusted basis, new state claims totaled 473,000.

After more than a year of being whipsawed by the pandemic, the economy has been showing new life. Restrictions are lifting, businesses are reopening and job listings are on the upswing. But hiring in April was weaker than expected.

“Over all, jobless claims are about three times as high as they were pre-Covid, but they’re coming down” said Heidi Shierholz, senior economist at the left-leaning Economic Policy Institute.

Some employers, particularly in the restaurant and hospitality sectors, have complained of having trouble finding workers. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce and several Republican governors have asserted that a temporary $300-a-week federal unemployment supplement has made workers reluctant to return to the job.

The U.S. Labor Department said that as of Wednesday, six states — Iowa, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, North Dakota and South Carolina — had notified the department that they were terminating federal pandemic-related unemployment benefits next month ahead of the Sept. 6 expiration date.

Several other states with Republican governors, including Tennessee, Arkansas, Alabama, Wyoming and Idaho, have said they also plan to withdraw from the federal program.

The unemployment rates in those states in March, the latest month for which data is available, ranged from 3.2 percent in Idaho to 6.3 percent in Mississippi.

Mississippi, Tennessee and Alabama are among the states that offer the lowest maximum benefit to qualified individuals — $275 or less each week. Nationwide, the average weekly benefit without federal supplements is $387, according to the Center for Budget and Policy Priorities.

Economists are skeptical that supplemental jobless benefits are playing anything more than a bit part in the pace of the job market’s recovery.

“There is tremendous churn in this labor market,” said Gregory Daco, chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics. “There are still major supply constraints and unemployment benefits are not the most important one. The virus is.”

Many workers have children at home who are not attending school in person. Others are wary of returning to jobs that require face-to-face encounters. Covid-19 infections have decreased since September but there are still 38,000 new cases being reported each day and 600 Covid-related deaths. Less than half the population is fully vaccinated.

There is halting progress from employers as well, as businesses continually update their assessment of costs and customer demand. “The hiring pattern isn’t going to be smooth,” Mr. Daco said. “Businesses hire and then reassess. They need to find the right balance, it’s a trial and error process more than anything.”

Prematurely halting federal jobless benefits is “detrimental to the economy,” Mr. Daco said. “You’re voluntarily hurting certain vulnerable tranches of the population.”

Roughly 5.3 million people had exhausted other benefits by late April and were collecting extended pandemic-related federal benefits.

Nationwide, the unemployment rate was 6.1 percent, and there are 8.2 million fewer jobs than in February 2020.

An empty gas pump, in Chapel Hill, N.C. Colonial Pipeline said Wednesday it had restarted operations along its Texas-to-New Jersey pipeline, but full restoration of service was expected to take days.Credit…Jonathan Drake/Reuters

U.S. stocks are expected to rebound on Thursday following a sell-off in European and Asian equities after faster-than-expected inflation data in the United States rattled markets the previous day.

The S&P 500 is expected to open 0.3 percent higher when markets open, after a 2.1 percent drop on Wednesday. Nasdaq futures climbed 0.7 percent.

The Stoxx Europe 600 index fell 0.7 percent, recovering from a 1.7 percent decline earlier. The Nikkei 225 slumped 2.5 percent in Japan and the Hang Seng in Hong Kong dropped 1.8 percent.

The U.S. Consumer Price Index, a measure of inflation, climbed 4.2 percent in April from a year earlier, the fastest pace of increase since 2008. From March to April, prices increased 0.8 percent; economists surveyed by Bloomberg only forecast a 0.2 percent increase.

The yield on 10-year Treasury notes held steady at about 1.69 percent after jumping seven basis points, or 0.07 percentage point, on Wednesday.

Federal Reserve policymakers have said that they expect the current increase in inflation to be transitory and would not set off a pullback in monetary stimulus. But the increase in April’s inflation reading, beyond what other analysts forecast, has some traders testing this view.

Oil prices fell on Thursday after Colonial Pipeline said it had begun to restart operations along its massive pipeline, which transports gasoline, diesel and jet fuel from Texas to New Jersey. West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark, dropped 2.4 percent to $64.47 a barrel.

Other commodity prices have also fallen from recent highs. Iron ore futures were down 3.6 percent after climbing to a record this week. Aluminum prices fell 1.6 percent and silver prices were down 1.4 percent.

Bitcoin prices fell 12 percent to below $50,000, according to CoinDesk, after Elon Musk said Tesla would stop accepting the cryptocurrency as payment for its electric cars. Mr. Musk citing concerns about the energy consumption used in mining for Bitcoin, a longstanding issue. Tesla’s share price fell 1.5 percent in premarket trading.

Most other cryptocurrencies fell on Thursday with CoinMarketCap valuing the global market at $2.2 trillion, down 11 percent from the day before.

Shares in Coinbase, an exchange for people and companies to buy and sell various digital currencies, dropped 5.5 percent in premarket trading.

The operator of Colonial Pipeline said on Wednesday that it had started to resume pipeline operations but noted that “it will take several days for the product delivery supply chain to return to normal.”

The pipeline, which stretches from Texas to New Jersey, had been shut down since Friday after a ransomware attack.

  • “There will be lag time between Colonial Pipeline reopening and increases in fuel availability for general public,” warned an internal assessment of potential impact drawn up by the Departments of Energy and Homeland Security. It noted that the fuel “travels through the pipeline at 5 miles per hour” and would take “approximately two weeks to travel from the Gulf Coast to New York.”

  • The company has refused to say whether it had paid a ransom or was considering doing so. On Wednesday, administration officials said they believed the company was avoiding paying the ransom, at least for now. Instead, they said, the company was trying to reconstruct its systems with a patchwork of backed-up data.

  • Gasoline prices in Georgia and a few other states rose 8 to 10 cents a gallon on Wednesday alone, a jump not usually seen without a major hurricane shutting down refineries. At some stations, people were filling up gasoline cans, forcing others to wait longer and causing shouting matches. Lines of 20 to 25 cars waited at the few stations operating in Chapel Hill, N.C., where almost all the gas stations lacked fuel.

Sales of Bitcoin helped Tesla’s bottom line in the first quarter.Credit…Lam Yik Fei for The New York Times

Three months after Tesla said it would begin accepting the cryptocurrency Bitcoin as payment, the electric carmaker has abruptly reversed course.

In a message posted to Twitter on Wednesday, Elon Musk, Tesla’s chief executive, said Tesla had suspended accepting Bitcoin because of concern about the energy consumed by computers crunching the calculations that underpin the currency.

“Cryptocurrency is a good idea on many levels and we believe it has a promising future, but this cannot come at a great cost to the environment,” Mr. Musk wrote. “We are concerned about rapidly increasing use of fossil fuels for Bitcoin mining and transactions, especially coal, which has the worst emissions of any fuel.”

Earlier this year, Tesla announced that it had purchased $1.5 billion worth of Bitcoin and Mr. Musk trumpeted the company’s plan to accept the currency. Tesla later sold about $300 million of its Bitcoin holdings, proceeds that padded its bottom line in the first quarter.

“Tesla will not be selling any Bitcoin and we intend to use it for transactions as soon as mining transitions to more sustainable energy,” Mr. Musk wrote on Wednesday, referring to the process through which new Bitcoin is created.

The price of Bitcoin dipped slightly after the announcement, according to Coindesk.

As cryptocurrencies explode in value, the amount of energy used by the digital currencies is increasingly under scrutiny. Some estimates put the energy use of Bitcoin at more than the entire country of Argentina.

“Bitcoin uses more electricity per transaction than any other method known to mankind, and so it’s not a great climate thing,” Bill Gates said in February.

Mr. Musk also said on Wednesday that Tesla was “looking at other cryptocurrencies” that use a fraction of the energy consumed by Bitcoin. Mr. Musk has been a promoter of Dogecoin, a cryptocurrency that started as a joke but that has exploded in value. In an appearance on “Saturday Night Live” last week, Mr. Musk referred to Dogecoin as a “hustle.” Dogecoin fell by nearly a third in price on the night of the show.

Alibaba recorded an operating loss of $1.2 billion for the first three months of the year.Credit…Thomas Peter/Reuters

China’s landmark $2.8 billion antitrust penalty against Alibaba caused the e-commerce giant to report a loss in the latest quarter, its first since going public seven years ago. But sales continued to grow despite the regulatory scrutiny, helped by China’s strong economic expansion.

Alibaba recorded an operating loss of $1.2 billion for the first three months of the year, the company said on Thursday. Without the antitrust fine, operating profits would have been $1.6 billion, a 48 percent increase from a year earlier, the company said.

Revenue for the quarter grew by nearly two-thirds from a year before, to $28.6 billion. That figure got a boost because Alibaba began including the sales of Sun Art, a supermarket operator in which the company took a controlling stake last October.

China is on a regulatory blitz to curtail what officials describe as unfair and monopolistic business practices by the country’s internet heavyweights. The fine last month against Alibaba was followed swiftly by the opening of an antitrust investigation into Meituan, a food-delivery platform that is among China’s most valuable internet companies.

Two days after China’s market regulator announced the fine against Alibaba, which the agency said was for illegally restricting the vendors on its shopping sites, the company said it would lower the fees it charges those merchants and invest in new services for them.

Speaking to analysts on Thursday, Alibaba’s chief executive, Daniel Zhang, pledged to put “all of our incremental profits this year” toward helping merchants lower their operating costs, expanding in new business areas such as brick-and-mortar grocery and improving technology. But Mr. Zhang also stressed that these investments would be “highly targeted and disciplined.”

For the 12 months that ended in March, Alibaba recorded $109.5 billion in revenue, an increase of 41 percent over the year before. The company’s Chinese retail platforms attracted 811 million active consumers during that period.

Categories
Health

5 issues to know earlier than the inventory market opens Friday, Could 7

Here are the top news, trends, and analysis investors need to get their trading day started:

1. Dow futures fell on poor jobs report

Traders on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange.

Source: NYSE

Dow futures turned negative and 10-year government bond yields briefly fell below 1.5% after the government’s April employment report fell well below estimates. The economy hired only 266,000 non-agricultural workers last month, the Labor Department said on Friday morning. It is estimated that 1 million new additions were required. The Nasdaq, which recently moved in the opposite direction from bond yields, should open significantly higher.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose nearly 1% on Thursday to another record high. A similar rise in the S&P 500 resulted in the index falling within 10 points of last month’s record close. The Nasdaq rose 0.4%, breaking a four-session loss but still more than 3.5% from the record close of April. Ahead of Friday’s Wall Street opening, the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell over 2.3% for the week. The Dow and S&P 500 rose nearly 2% and nearly 0.5%, respectively, over the week.

Pfizer’s shares were unchanged, while BioNTech rose 5% on the Friday before entering the market after the two companies announced they would file for full approval of their Covid vaccine in the United States. Full approval would allow companies to market the two-shot regimen directly to consumers. The FDA granted emergency approval status in late December.

April 2nd jobs really win the mark

Server Adrian Almanza brings appetizers to a table at the Satay Thai Bistro and Bar in Las Vegas, Nevada, March 28, 2021.

Bridget Bennett | Reuters

The hiring of staff in April was a huge disappointment. The number of non-farm workers rose much less than expected and the country’s unemployment rate rose to 6.1% as business reopenings struggled with an escalating shortage of available labor. The originally estimated 916,000 new jobs in March have been revised significantly to 770,000, despite a sharp upward revision to 536,000 in February.

Investors are watching these employment numbers closely as the Federal Reserve has pledged to maintain its extraordinarily simple monetary policy, including near zero interest rates, until the job market heals and inflation picks up. However, many traders believe that inflation will quickly become a problem and the Fed may need to rethink its highly accommodative stance and make adjustments earlier than forecast.

3. The Fed warns of possible “significant declines” in asset prices

The Federal Reserve building can be seen in Washington, DC on March 19, 2021.

Daniel Slim | AFP | Getty Images

Rising asset prices in stock markets and elsewhere pose a growing threat to the financial system, the Fed warned. In its semi-annual financial stability report, the central bank said the danger lurks on Thursday should market sentiment change. “High asset prices reflect in part the persistently low levels of government bond yields. However, valuations of some assets are elevated from historical norms even when measures are applied that take government bond yields into account,” the report warns. “In this environment, asset prices may be vulnerable to significant declines should appetite decline.”

4. India reports more than 400,000 new daily cases for the third time in a week

Health care workers and health care workers transport a woman out of an ambulance for treatment at a COVID-19 care facility amid the spread of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Mumbai, India on May 4, 2021.

Niharika Kulkarni | Reuters

Daily India has seen new cases of Covid in India for the third time this month as the South Asian country battled a devastating second wave. Health ministry data released on Friday showed 414,188 new Covid infections over a 24-hour period, in which at least 3,915 died from the disease. However, reports of overwhelmed crematoriums and cemeteries, as well as a growing number of obituaries in newspapers, suggest that the official numbers underestimate the real death toll. Many places have tightened covid containment measures despite the Indian government resisting a national lockdown.

5. Peloton hits $ 165 million as a result of a recall of its treadmills

A monitor displays the signage of Peloton Interactive Inc. during the company’s IPO across the Nasdaq MarketSite in New York, the United States, on Thursday, September 26, 2019.

Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Peloton anticipates fiscal fourth quarter revenue to decrease $ 165 million due to a recall of its treadmills. Peloton’s shares fell nearly 15% on Wednesday after the company announced a voluntary recall after a child died and dozens were injured in accidents involving the Tread + machine. The stock rose 1.4% on Thursday.

Shares rose nearly 7% on the Friday before going public, the morning after the fitness equipment company reported third-quarter sales up 141% to a better-than-expected $ 1.26 billion. Demand for cycles, which make up most of the business, remained strong. Peloton’s adjusted loss per share of 3 cents for the third quarter of fiscal year was well below estimates.

– Follow all market action like a pro on CNBC Pro. Get the latest information on the pandemic with CNBC’s coronavirus coverage.

Categories
Business

Turkey and China disrupt the multibillion-dollar armed drone market

The widespread use of drones in Iraq and Afghanistan by the United States to combat and kill insurgents opened a new chapter in the history of the conflict. These soaring and remote-controlled aircraft were able to attack targets with impunity while operators worked safely in a ground control station.

To keep the crews out of danger, the drones were also politically cheap to use over dangerous skies. Now more and more countries like China and Turkey are gaining this military capability for their own ends.

“At the moment we have seen over 100 countries around the world that have used military drones, and that number is growing significantly,” said Wim Zwijnenburg, project manager for humanitarian disarmament at the Dutch peace organization PAX. “We have over 20 states that use armed drones in or outside of armed conflict.”

Although larger and more complex drones like the General Atomics MQ-9 Reaper are more powerful, they are not cheap to develop or operate, which is why smaller drones are becoming more ubiquitous in conflict areas.

Limiting the proliferation of these smaller drones and the ability to arm them is a government nightmare for government agencies around the world.

“Drones are just model airplanes with great sensors. All of these airplanes have a dual purpose and have been used in the civilian sector,” said Ulrike Franke, Senior Policy Fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations. “In fact, drones have grown enormously in the civilian population in the last five to ten years, so it’s really difficult to control their export.”

Check out the video above to find out why the multibillion dollar armed drone market is in demand beyond the US.

Categories
Business

The Inventory Market Loves Biden Extra Than Trump. So Far, at Least.

From the moment he was elected president in 2016 through his failed re-election campaign, Donald J. Trump cited the stock market as a report on the presidency.

The market loved him, said Mr Trump, and he hated Democrats, especially his opponent Joseph R. Biden Jr. During the presidential debate in October, Mr Trump warned of Mr Biden: “If he is elected, the market will collapse. ”In a variety of situations, he said that Democrats would be a disaster and that a victory would create“ a depression ”for them that would“ crumble ”the stock market.

So far it has not happened that way.

To the extent that the Dow Jones industrial average measures the stock market’s affection for a president, its early report states that the market loves President Biden’s first terms far more than President Trump’s.

Mr. Biden would get an A for this early period; Mr Trump would get a B for market performance in his early days as president, though he would get a higher grade for much of the rest of the term in office.

From election day to Thursday, the Dow rose 26 percent from 14 percent over the same period four years ago. Given the signs that the United States is making a swift recovery from the pandemic, the early returnees for Mr Biden’s actual tenure have also been exceptional. The rise in the stock market from its inauguration day close to Thursday’s close was the best start to a presidency since that of another Democrat, Lyndon B. Johnson.

For those too young to remember the terrible day of November 22, 1963, Johnson, the vice president, was sworn in as president that afternoon after President John F. Kennedy was assassinated in Dallas. If we measure the performance of the stock markets from the end of the day they all took office, we can include both Johnson and Theodore Roosevelt, who became president on September 14, 1901 after President William McKinley died of gunshot wounds.

The Republican Party has long claimed that it is the party of business and that Republican rule is better for stocks. However, historical record shows that the market has generally performed better under Democratic presidents since the beginning of the 20th century.

Overall, the market ranks third for all presidents during a comparable term since 1901 under President Biden. This comes from a balance sheet by Paul Hickey, co-founder of the Bespoke Investment Group, until Thursday (109th day of the Biden administration).

These are the top performers:

  • Franklin D. Roosevelt, inaugurated March 4, 1933: 78.1 percent.

  • Johnson, inaugurated November 22, 1963: 13.8 percent.

  • Mr. Biden, inaugurated on January 20, 2021: 10.8 percent.

  • William H. Taft, inaugurated March 4, 1909: 9.6 percent.

Note that three of the top four – Roosevelt, Johnson, and Mr. Biden – were Democrats. That fits an obvious pattern. Since 1900, the average stock market profit for Democrats at the beginning of their presidency has been 7.9 percent; for Republicans only 2.7 percent.

In contrast, the Dow rose 5.8 percent in Mr. Trump’s early days as president. That was a strong return for a Republican, but not quite able to sniff for a Democrat.

Updated

May 8, 2021, 12:17 p.m. ET

Now look at longer-term returns – how the Dow performed over the course of all presidencies from 1901 onwards. Again, the market fared better among Democrats, with an annual gain of 6.7 percent compared to 3.5 percent among Republicans.

With this metric, the Trump administration looks much better and ranks fourth among all presidencies.

These are the annualized returns for the senior presidents:

  • 25.5 percent under Calvin Coolidge, a Republican, in the twenties.

  • 15.9 percent under Bill Clinton, a Democrat.

  • 12.1 percent under Barack Obama, a Democrat.

  • 12.0 percent under President Trump.

That’s an extraordinarily good market performance under Mr. Trump if you remember that it includes the stock market collapse in late February and March last year when the world was hit by the coronavirus.

The market rebounded quickly when the Federal Reserve stepped in on March 23, 2020 and responded to the emergency relief programs passed by Congress. But neither the market, nor the economy, or the pandemic improved enough in 2020 to win President Trump for another term.

President Biden is undoubtedly benefiting from the uptrend in the economy and markets that began under his predecessor – just as President Trump benefited from the growing economy that President Obama left him with.

It doesn’t always work that way. In the Great Depression, the market roared for Franklin Roosevelt’s first 100 days. It offered a hopeful contrast – and a stark break – from its immediate predecessor Herbert Hoover, who led the worst stock market crash in modern history at the time. During Hoover’s four-year tenure, the Dow lost 35.6 percent on an annualized basis, by far the worst performing by any president.

The recent boom in the market can easily be explained. Back in July, I quoted an investment analysis that suggested that the stock market could do reasonably well in a Biden presidency, despite claims to the contrary by Mr Trump. These factors included more forceful and efficient management of the coronavirus crisis, which would fuel economic recovery and corporate profits. generous fiscal stimulus programs with the possibility of building a colossal infrastructure; Return to international engagement while reducing trade friction; and a renewal of America’s global commitments to climate change.

So far this analysis has continued. But will it produce strong returns from the Biden government?

I have no idea. Unfortunately, nothing tells us where the stock market is going. All we know is that in the long run it has risen more than it has fallen, but has moved fairly randomly day in and day out and has sometimes fallen into long falls. Another decline could happen at any time, regardless of what a president does.

The only approach to investing that I would actively use is passive: use inexpensive equity and bond index funds to build a well-diversified portfolio and stay long-term. And I would try to ignore the admonitions from politicians, especially those who would tie their own voting power to the performance of the stock market.