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Health

Goldman cuts Southeast Asia GDP forecasts as delta variant spreads

Students, wearing face masks amid the Covid-19 pandemic, sit by a mural depicting the Indonesian flag at an Islamic junior high school in Banda Aceh on June 10, 2020.

Chaideer Mahyuddin | AFP | Getty Images

SINGAPORE — Covid-19 infections are surging in several major Southeast Asian economies, and that has led Goldman Sachs to cut its 2021 growth forecasts for most of the region.

The spread of the more transmissible delta variant has pushed daily Covid cases to record highs in Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand in recent weeks. That has led to more stringent restrictions in Indonesia and Thailand, and an extension of restrictions in Malaysia, Goldman economists wrote in a Thursday note.

In the Philippines, the coronavirus spread has made loosening of social-distancing measures “more unlikely” this year, the economists added.

Renewed virus surges and tighter restrictions are likely to “weigh significantly more” on growth in the second half of 2021 than previously thought, the economists said.

Goldman slashed its growth forecasts by more than 100 basis points for Indonesia, Malaysia and Philippines. Singapore and Thailand saw a smaller cut by the bank.

Slow vaccination pace

The rapid climb in Covid infections across Southeast Asia has come as vaccination progress in the region — except for Singapore — has lagged many countries such as the U.S. and the U.K.

Singapore has one of the fastest vaccination rates globally, with over 41% of its population fully inoculated, according to the latest data compiled by online statistics portal Our World in Data.

But the rest of the region is much slower: Malaysia has fully vaccinated 12.4% of its population while Indonesia has inoculated 5.7% of its people fully, the data showed. Less than 5% of the populations in Thailand and the Philippines have been fully inoculated against Covid.   

Singapore, which tightened social-distancing measures in early May, started to ease restrictions last month. Goldman economists predicted that Malaysia will be the next to follow suit in the fourth quarter, while the other Southeast Asian economies will only do so in the first half of 2022.

Goldman said stronger global growth will benefit trade-oriented economies such as Singapore and Malaysia the most. Malaysia, which is a net commodity exporter, is also likely to gain from higher commodity prices, the bank said.

Meanwhile, “larger exposures to sectors like tourism, lower exposures to global trade, and limited policy buffers, are likely to push sequential growth lower in Indonesia and Thailand, and keep the sequential growth rebound more muted in the Philippines than our prior expectations,” it added.

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World News

Northvolt raises $2.75 billion from Goldman, VW to compete with Tesla

Northvolt’s battery factory in northern Sweden in June.

North volt

Northvolt, a Swedish battery maker, has raised $ 2.75 billion from a number of big names to fuel its global expansion and increase production.

Headquartered in Stockholm, the company makes the lithium-ion batteries used to power electric cars, and claims it has signed $ 27 billion in contracts with companies like BMW and VW. The aim is to manufacture “the most environmentally friendly batteries in the world” using renewable energy sources and recycled raw materials.

The latest funding round, Northvolt’s largest to date, was led by Goldman Sachs and VW alongside new investors including Swedish pension funds AP1, AP2, AP3, AP4 and Canadian pension provider OMERS. Previous investors such as Spotify CEO Daniel Ek and the investment company Baillie Gifford are also investing in the round.

The total investment in the company now stands at $ 6.5 billion. The latest round of funding valued Northvolt at $ 11.75 billion, according to a person familiar with the company who asked to remain anonymous as Northvolt did not publicly disclose the number.

Northvolt was founded in 2016 and intends to use the financing to expand the capacity of its plant in the far north of Sweden from 40 gigawatt hours to 60 gigawatt hours, which is enough to supply batteries for around 1 million electric vehicles. Production is scheduled to start at the factory this year.

Read more about electric vehicles from CNBC Pro

Northvolt co-founder and CEO Peter Carlsson told CNBC in an interview on Wednesday that the company is making “fairly significant shipments” from a smaller facility that has been in operation for over a year to customers who are now doing their own business. Validations. “

While none of the company’s batteries are in electric vehicles that are on the road today, they are used on test tracks, Carlsson said, adding that he expects Northvolt’s batteries to be delivered in vehicles from 2023 and in energy storage applications by the end of the next year.

VW, which placed a $ 14 billion contract with Northvolt earlier this year, announced Wednesday that it had invested $ 500 million ($ 609 million) of the $ 2.75 billion and that its 20% stake in the company remains unchanged.

“With this investment, we are strengthening our strategic partnership with Northvolt as a supplier of sustainable battery cells that are manufactured with renewable energies and are comprehensively recyclable,” said Arno Antlitz, Group Board Member for Finance and IT at VW.

Michael Bruun, EMEA Head of Private Equity at Goldman Sachs Asset Management, told CNBC: “Northvolt’s green battery production and partnership with leading European automotive OEMs will be critical to enabling the energy transition in Europe, and the additional capital raised can accelerate the implementation of the company. “

Northvolt batteries are based on “a different chemistry” than Tesla’s and performance is becoming increasingly similar, said Carlsson, who was Tesla’s vice president of supply chain in Palo Alto between 2011 and 2015.

Making the batteries sustainable is one of Northvolt’s biggest challenges, he added. If the world switched to electric vehicles powered by batteries from coal-based economies like China, it would create a new carbon footprint the size of Spain, Carlsson said. “If we do this on the basis of renewable energy … we can prevent this from happening,” he said.

The company’s main plant is in Sweden and is considering building a second in Germany if enough renewable energy sources are available.

By 2030, the aim is to achieve 150 gigawatt hours of used annual production capacity in Europe.

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World News

Goldman Sachs banker quits after making tens of millions on cryptocurrency

A collection of Bitcoin, Litecoin, and Ethereum tokens.

Chris Ratcliffe | Bloomberg | Getty Images

LONDON – A Goldman Sachs executive has resigned after making a fortune on a cryptocurrency investment, according to industry reports.

Aziz McMahon, Goldman’s chief executive officer and head of emerging markets sales in London, quit after making millions of pounds on a wager on the digital currency ether, three former investment bank employees told CNBC.

The former employees, who all know McMahon personally, preferred to remain anonymous because of the sensitivity of the discussions. McMahon is believed to have redeemed cryptocurrency worth at least 10 million pounds ($ 14 million).

Previous reports from eFinancial Careers and The Guardian said McMahon left Goldman after making money from Dogecoin.

It is possible that McMahon had some stakes in Dogecoin as well. According to eFinancialCareers, he is now said to have set up his own hedge fund.

When approached by CNBC, Goldman Sachs confirmed McMahon’s departure but declined to comment. McMahon wasn’t immediately available for comment when CNBC contacted him via LinkedIn.

Ether, the digital asset McMahon is said to have invested in, has grown more than 400% since early 2021. Ether was developed about six years after Bitcoin and is based on another technology known as Ethereum. Ether and Ethereum are often used interchangeably to describe the currency.

Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have fluctuated a lot lately. On Wednesday, the entire market lost as much as $ 365.85 billion after a tweet from Elon Musk that said his electric car company Tesla would no longer accept bitcoin payments due to environmental concerns about the cryptocurrency.

Musk’s preferred crypto is Dogecoin, a token that started out as a joke in 2013. Inspired by the meme “Doge”, which contains a Shiba-Inu dog and cartoon-style text, Dogecoin was thought of by its creators as a “fun” alternative to Bitcoin.

It has since gained a growing online community and is now the fourth largest digital asset by market value on CoinMarketCap. While proponents like to refer to it as “folk crypto,” investors warn that Dogecoin is a sign of foaming in the crypto market.

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Business

Keith Rabois, Elliot Administration, and Goldman Sachs spend money on Florida

Florida recently attracted some of Wall Street and Silicon Valley’s biggest names like Keith Rabois, Elliot Management, and Goldman Sachs.

“Even though people talked about moving for years, it really wasn’t cool moving to Florida among the rich. It was like, OK, you couldn’t hack it in New York, so you go to Florida,” he told Robert Frank , CNBC’s wealth reporter. “Now you’re the sucker who stayed in New York.”

Reports of Florida’s slow transformation into a legitimate technology and financial center began long before the coronavirus pandemic. In 2018, Florida cemented its place in the major leagues when it raised $ 2.88 billion in venture capital. This trend has continued through 2020.

Delian Asparouhov, a Silicon Valley venture capitalist, moved to Florida in March after Miami Mayor Francis Suarez responded to his tweet about leaving Silicon Valley for Miami.

Asparouhov believes Miami has the potential to become the largest technology hub in the United States.

“New York gets seven or eight times as much venture capital as Florida. And California gets five times as much as New York. So Florida is not part of the tech economy at all.” “said Cristobal Young, a Cornell University professor who studies the migration of wealthy Americans.

Other potential challenges to Florida’s rise are low wages, income inequality, and housing shortages. Migration data and GDP growth from 2020 onwards also do not point to a major upturn.

Watch the video to hear from both locals and those who recently moved to Florida and what that means for the state in 2021 and beyond.

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Health

Goldman Sachs downgrades India’s progress forecast as Covid instances spike

NOIDA, INDIA – APRIL 11: A woman holds a pot at a food distribution by Noida Authority in Morna Village in Sector 35 on the eighteenth day of the 21 day coronavirus limit lockdown on April 11, 2020 in Noida, India. (Photo by Virendra Singh Gosain / Hindustan Times via Getty Images)

Hindustan Times | Hindustan Times | Getty Images

A second wave of Covid-19 infections is likely to slow India’s economic recovery in the three months between April and June, according to Goldman Sachs.

The investment bank cut India’s growth forecast for the quarter from 33.4% yoy to 31.3% on Tuesday. Lower consumption and service activity was cited, likely due to the increasing social restrictions put in place by India’s Indian and federal governments to combat the new outbreak.

Goldman expects gross domestic product (GDP) to shrink sequentially by 12.2% year-on-year in the three months to June. This is the first quarter of India’s fiscal year, which started on April 1 and ends on March 31, 2022. Last year, India fell into a technical recession after two consecutive quarters of contraction.

“Given that virus cases hit a new high of over 100,000 / day over the weekend and a number of states, including Maharashtra, are announcing stricter lockdown restrictions that are expected to widen in the coming weeks, we expect slower GDP growth second quarter than previously originally expected, “wrote Goldman analysts.

Record highs

Cases in India have risen since mid-February, with Maharashtra state – home of India’s financial capital Mumbai – being hit particularly hard. On Monday, India reported more than 103,000 new cases over a 24-hour period, beating September levels when the first wave of infections peaked.

On Tuesday, the South Asian nation reported 96,982 new cases, much of them in eight states, including Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh and Karnataka.

Maharashtra authorities tightened restrictions, including imposing curfews at night if only essential services remain open, as concerns grow over a possible shortage of hospital beds and doctors. Other states are also preventively increasing restrictions to slow the spread of the virus.

On the other hand, India has also stepped up its vaccination efforts. According to government data, the country has administered more than 84 million doses since Tuesday, since it launched its mass vaccination program in January.

Some analysts and investors have said the impact of the recent surge is likely to be limited in cases if India can avoid a strict national lockdown like last year.

Sharp upswing in the following quarters

Goldman expects activity to rebound strongly in the following quarters – July through September and beyond – as Indian containment policies normalize and the pace of vaccination accelerates. Still, the success of the April-June quarter is likely to affect India’s overall fiscal year growth forecast, which Goldman now expects to be 11.7%, compared to an earlier forecast of 12.3%.

However, the investment bank warned that the uncertainties surrounding its estimates remain high and the actual impact could be greater or lesser depending on how strict India’s containment policy is and whether it affects sectors such as construction and manufacturing.

The impact on GDP can potentially be cushioned by more targeted, localized restrictions on trouble spots, as opposed to a broad national lockdown like the one India put in place last year, which Goldman said had a significant socio-economic impact.

“Measures were also more targeted and targeted at service sectors such as leisure, leisure and transport, with no or little or no impact on agriculture, manufacturing, construction and utilities,” the analysts said, adding that the bank’s analysis suggested they get used to it more to a post-covid environment with a shift towards e-commerce and working from home Hence, their response to states’ containment policies is likely to be less sensitive.

Goldman also expects the Reserve Bank of India to keep its policy rate at 4% and maintain its accommodative stance and an ample liquidity environment for longer than expected.

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Business

Supreme Courtroom Appears to be like for Slim Path in Traders’ Swimsuit Towards Goldman Sachs

A split three-judge panel of the appeals court said its decision was based on a presumption based on a 1988 Supreme Court ruling, Basic v. Levinson, was based on the statements. Instead, they could rely on the assumption that all of the key publicly available information about a company is reflected in its share price.

The theory allowed investors to skip a step that is required in ordinary fraud lawsuits: direct evidence that they were relying on the contested statement. This also allowed investors to avoid the requirement of class actions: proof that their claims had enough in common to partner with one another.

Sopan Joshi, a federal government attorney, said it was possible that generic statements might well have relevance in the case discussed Monday, an argument that had been reiterated in the pleadings filed by the pension funds and their supporters.

“Goldman Sachs looked at many financial instruments where conflict was critical both to the company and to the” reputational advantage it enjoyed over its competitors and peers and the industry in general, “he said.” In this case even very general statements about conflicts actually have an impact on prices. “

Mr. Joshi, who did not speak for both sides, added that the government had not given an opinion on whether this analysis was correct and asked the judges to order the appeals court to deal with it.

While all three attorneys agreed that the courts could examine whether general statements could affect stock prices, they differed in what should be done in the case, Goldman Sachs Group v Arkansas Teacher Retirement System, No. 20-222.

Mr. Shanmugam, Goldman’s attorney, said the court should overturn the appeals court’s decision confirming the class. Pension Fund attorney Mr. Goldstein said the judges should uphold the verdict; and Mr. Joshi, the government attorney, said the court should overturn the appeal court’s decision and order it to reconsider the case.

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Politics

Supreme Courtroom considers shareholder swimsuit towards Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs shareholders argued in the Supreme Court Monday that they could sue the investment banking giant for its general statements about freedom from conflict of interest.

Shareholders said these statements were proven untrue and artificially raised Goldman’s stock.

The case, which dates back to the bank’s marketing of risky stocks prior to the 2008 financial crisis, could make it difficult for stockholders to bring future class action lawsuits over securities fraud. However, during about two hours of telephoning, the judges signaled that it was unlikely that they would reach a comprehensive decision in favor of both sides.

The case focuses on Goldman’s marketing of a synthetic secured bond called Abacus and other CDOs that has not disclosed that the company or its key customers have heavily bet against the products. Goldman ruled in 2010 with the Securities and Exchange Commission for $ 550 million for fraud related to abacus, the largest penalty a Wall Street bank has ever faced.

Shareholders, including the Arkansas Teacher Retirement System, said they lost billions on news of the SEC investigation that fueled Goldman’s stock price. The case is securities fraud, they argue, because Goldman made false statements such as “Our customers’ interests always come first” and “We have extensive procedures and controls in place to identify and address conflicts of interest.”

To date, the case has not gone beyond the class certification phase, which means shareholders are still struggling to sue together. Goldman has argued that the statements in question were too general to have any bearing on the price of its stock. The US 2nd Court of Appeals rejected this argument in an April statement that was on the side of the shareholders.

The questions raised at the hearing indicated that there may be a majority of the judges willing to overturn the Circuit 2 decision in favor of Goldman’s shareholders, but they are unlikely to contradict much of his reasoning.

The judges noted that the positions of the attorneys who argued for each side appeared to have converged since the court first approved the case. Goldman Sachs attorney, for example, has dropped the bank’s previous position that generic statements can never be the basis of a securities fraud lawsuit.

“It seems to me you are both in the middle,” said Judge Amy Coney Barrett, an appointment from former President Donald Trump, once to Tom Goldstein, attorney for shareholders. Goldstein is a partner at Goldstein & Russell and publisher of SCOTUSBlog.

Judge Stephen Breyer, appointed by former President Bill Clinton, told Sopan Joshi, a Justice Department attorney who made arguments that the case was filled with too much technical jargon.

“This seems like an area that the more I read about it, the less we write about it, the better,” said Breyer. “It’s based on very peripheral issues,” Breyer told Goldstein.

The main controversy was whether the 2nd Circuit, in its decision in favor of Goldman shareholders, might have closed the door to companies that could argue that their statements were generalized in order to thwart class action lawsuits.

The Justice Ministry, which did not speak out in favor of either party, filed a brief in February stating that the 2nd Circle’s decision on this point was ambiguous.

The DOJ asked the judges to overturn the lower court’s decision to clarify that a company could actually argue that what it said was too general to have an impact on its stock price. On the other hand, the agency said that just because a statement is generic does not automatically mean that it cannot affect the stock price.

“The parties seem to be largely in agreement with each other and with us,” Joshi said on this point during the clashes.

Goldstein agreed that the fact that a statement is general should not be excluded from consideration when a court is considering whether to bring a class action lawsuit. However, the statement of the 2nd circuit did not say otherwise, and he asked the court not to reverse the decision of the court of appeal.

In contrast, Goldman’s attorney Kannon Shanmugam argued that the 2nd Circuit statement declined to consider the generic nature of Goldman’s alleged misrepresentation. That was unfair, he argued, as general statements tended to have less influence on stock prices.

“The more general a statement is, the less likely it is that it will contain the kind of information that is in the stock price,” Shanmugam said. “We think that in this case the statements are extremely general.”

Justice Elena Kagan, appointed by former President Barack Obama, suggested that the court could do exactly what the Justice Department asked.

She asked Goldstein, “Why shouldn’t we just evacuate and say, ‘Here’s what the law really is, we want to make sure you do it under the appropriate standard?'”

Goldstein said that reversing the lower court’s opinion would be “somewhat offensive” to the lower court and essentially “literary criticism”. He said the 2nd circuit was clear in a 2018 statement on the same case.

“Both opinions are in front of you,” Goldstein told Justice Brett Kavanaugh, a Trump appointee. Goldstein said the court could clarify the 2nd Circuit opinion while affirming it, rather than reversing it.

“We are in this position where the two of you are closer together and now we have to decide what to do with the opinion of the 2nd Circle,” Barrett said at one point.

The Supreme Court decision is expected in late June.

The case is Goldman Sachs Group v Arkansas Teacher Retirement System, No. 20-222.

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Business

Walmart nabs Goldman Sachs bankers to assist lead its new fintech start-up

Cars drive past a Walmart store in Washington, DC on August 18, 2020.

Nicholas Comb | AFP | Getty Images

Walmart has snapped up two veteran Goldman Sachs bankers to help advance the new fintech startup as the company looks beyond retail to drive sales.

Omer Ismail, who runs Goldman’s Consumer Bank, and David Stark, another Goldman banker, go to the retailer. A Goldman Sachs spokesman confirmed her departure. The news was first reported by Bloomberg.

Walmart announced in January that it was starting a new company to create unique, affordable financial products for customers and employees. The company has teamed up with Ribbit Capital, a venture capital firm, but will hold a majority stake in the start-up. Walmart did not disclose the company’s name or when services would be available. Walmart executives, including CFO Brett Biggs and John Furner, CEO of Walmart US, will serve on the startup’s board of directors.

Walmart said it could acquire or work with other fintech companies as part of the company.

The discounter declined to share details beyond what the company previously announced.

With the hiring, Walmart is showing that it’s serious about growing its financial services business. This also underscores the company’s strategy for the coming years. Speaking on a recent investor’s day, CEO Doug McMillon said the world’s largest retailer wants to use its size and size to grow sales in other areas, from opening health clinics to converting consumer data into targeted ads. He said it will deepen customer loyalty with its growing ecosystem of products and through its Walmart + subscription service. The plan is to increase the level of investment to achieve this, increasing it to about $ 14 billion for the coming year, compared to the typical annual rate of $ 10-11 billion.

Walmart already offers some financial services, such as a prepaid debit card that customers can top up with money and use to make purchases. The card is also an alternative for people with a difficult credit rating. It offers features like no overdrafts or monthly fees and no minimum balance required.

The company’s shares are up nearly 23% over the past year and have a market value of more than $ 374 billion.

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World News

Dow futures soar 200 factors on better-than-expected Goldman earnings, stimulus hopes

Stock futures rose Tuesday, pointing to a rebound from a troubled week as investors hailed Goldman Sachs with excellent earnings and gave signals of another big stimulus and a faster pace of vaccine distribution.

Futures contracts linked to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 200 points, or 0.7%. S&P 500 futures were up 0.8%. Nasdaq 100 futures were up 1%.

Goldman’s shares rose 2.7% in premarket trading after the bank beat expectations for fourth-quarter earnings and sales. The blowout results were based on the strong performance of stock traders and investment bankers.

Bank of America was down more than 1% in the premarket after the bank posted quarterly sales that fell short of expectations. The result, however, was slightly above the estimate.

“We expect investors to review the fourth quarter results and focus on company comments on how the rebound is progressing in 2021,” said David Kostin, head of US equity strategy at Goldman, in a note. “With investors in mind through 2021, politics remains a major driver of corporate earnings.”

Janet Yellen, Joe Biden’s nominee for Treasury Secretary and former Federal Reserve chairman, will appear before the Senate Finance Committee Tuesday. Yellen’s prepared remarks call on the federal government to put in a big incentive to support business.

“Neither the president-elect, nor I are proposing this bailout without appreciating the country’s debt burden. But with interest rates at historic lows, it is smartest to act big right now,” Yellen said in prepared remarks. “I believe the benefits will far outweigh the costs, especially when it comes to helping people who have had problems for a long time.”

Stocks that would benefit most from further stimulus and a faster vaccine roll-out resulted in profits in premarket trading. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings shares were up 3%. Boeing gained 2.8% in premarket trading. American Airlines gained 2.5% in early trading.

Some tech stocks also rebounded from their losses over the past week.

Stocks are “likely to trend higher again after a healthy consolidation ends,” Fundstrat’s Tom Lee wrote in a note citing an increase in vaccination rates and an eventual rollover in coronavirus cases.

Dr. Rochelle Walensky, Joe Biden’s election to head the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, said Sunday she was confident the U.S. will have enough vaccine doses to meet the new administration’s goal of 100 million people in 100 days to vaccinate.

The movement in futures comes after stocks fell last week. The S&P 500 lost 1.5% for its first weekly loss in three years, while the Dow and Nasdaq Composite lost 0.9% and 1.5%, respectively, and both had their first negative week in five years.

The market fell slightly last week, despite Biden unveiling its $ 1.9 trillion plan for economic relief as the country tries to deal with the Covid-19 pandemic. Biden is slated to be inaugurated with the National Guard in Washington on Wednesday after security concerns rose following a January 6 riot in the U.S. Capitol.

“We’ll have plenty of global economic data and US earnings reports in the coming week. What matters is whether President Elect Biden’s inauguration on January 20 will be peaceful and whether the Senate Republicans are sending signals of constructive cooperation or a repeat of 2020. ” Julian Emanuel, chief strategist for stocks and derivatives at BTIG, said in a statement to clients on Sunday.

The US stock market closed on Monday in honor of Martin Luther King Jr. Day.

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Business

Goldman Sachs (GS) This fall 2020 earnings crushes estimates

David Solomon, Chairman of the Board of Directors of Goldman Sachs & Co., speaks during an interview with Bloomberg Television at the Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills, California, USA, on Monday April 29, 2019.

Patrick T. Fallon | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Goldman Sachs exceeded analyst expectations for fourth quarter earnings and sales on Tuesday due to the strong performance of the company’s stock traders and investment bankers.

The bank posted earnings of $ 12.08 per share, defeating the estimate of $ 7.47 per share by analysts polled by Refinitiv. Sales of $ 11.74 billion exceeded expectations by approximately $ 1.75 billion.

The shares of the New York-based bank rose 2.4% in premarket trading.

“We’ve been able to help our customers navigate a challenging environment and as a result have strong results across the franchise while driving our strategic priorities,” said David Solomon, CEO of Goldman, in the press release. “We hope this year brings much-needed stability and a break from the pandemic, but we remain poised to deal with a variety of outcomes and ready to serve our customers’ needs.”

The expectations of Solomon were high. Last week, JPMorgan Chase posted record fourth-quarter trading and advisory results that helped the bank beat earnings estimates.

At Goldman, stock traders saw revenue grow 40% year over year to $ 2.39 billion, surpassing the estimate of $ 1.89 billion by roughly $ half a billion. Like most of its competitors, the fixed income business fell short of expectations for the quarter, posting revenue of $ 1.88 billion, which is below the estimate of $ 2.06 billion.

Investment banking revenues rose 27% to $ 2.61 billion, beating the estimate of $ 2.15 billion. This is due to higher income from subscriptions to stocks and completed mergers.

“Goldman Sachs’ profits were shockingly good,” said Octavio Marenzi, CEO of capital market management consultancy Opimas. “We expected a strong performance, but Goldman has outperformed almost all of its businesses. Goldman’s activities are focused entirely on investment banking and trading, areas that did well everywhere but particularly well at Goldman.”

Of the six largest US banks, Goldman generates most of its revenue from Wall Street activities, including trading and investment banking. This has been a disadvantage for the company in recent years as retail banking has driven the industry’s record profits. For the final quarter of the year hit by the coronavirus pandemic, Goldman’s model could prove to be an asset.

With unprecedented actions by the Federal Reserve earlier in the year, wide open markets should help usher in the best year for Wall Street trading since the financial crisis. Meanwhile, investment bankers are benefiting from rising demand for IPOs and a record rate of debt issuance.

Goldman shares rose 11% in 2020, outperforming the KBW Bank Index’s 4.3% decline.

Here are the numbers:

Earnings: $ 12.08 per share versus $ 7.47 per share, according to Refinitiv.
Revenue: $ 11.74 billion versus $ 9.9 billion.

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