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World News

Inflation is not nearly gas prices anymore, as value will increase broaden throughout the economic system

A person shops at a supermarket as inflation impacted consumer prices in New York City, June 10, 2022.

Andrew Kelly | Reuters

For most of the year, the inflation narrative among many economists and policymakers was that it was essentially a food and fuel problem. Once supply chains eased and gas prices eased, the reasoning went, this would help lower food costs and in turn ease price pressures across the economy.

However, August’s CPI figures put that narrative to the test, with widening increases now suggesting that inflation may be more stubborn and firm than previously thought.

CPI excluding food and energy prices — known as core inflation — rose 0.6% for the month, double the Dow Jones estimate, leading to a 6.3% year-on-year increase in the cost of living. Including food and energy, the index rose 0.1% on a monthly basis and a robust 8.3% on a 12-month basis.

Just as importantly, the source of the gain wasn’t gasoline, which fell 10.6% for the month. While the fall in energy prices over the summer helped dampen inflation headlines, it failed to quell fears that inflation will remain a problem for some time to come.

The expansion of inflation

Instead of fuel, it was food, shelter and medical services that drove up costs in August, levying a costly tax on those who could least afford it and raising important questions about where inflation is headed from here.

“Core inflation numbers were hot across the board. The breadth of sharp price increases, from new vehicles to medical services to rent increases, everything was sharply up,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics. “That was the most disturbing aspect of the report.”

In fact, new car prices and medical supplies each rose 0.8% over the month. Housing costs, which include rent and various other housing-related expenses, make up almost a third of the CPI weight and rose 0.7% on the month.

Grocery costs were also a nuisance.

The Home Grocery Index, a good predictor of food prices, rose 13.5% last year, the largest such increase since March 1979. Prices of items like eggs and bread continued their meteoric rise, fueling household budgets further charged.

For medical benefits, the 0.8% monthly increase is the fastest monthly increase since October 2019. Vet costs increased 0.9% month-on-month and 10% year-on-year.

“Even things like clothing prices, which often go down, have gone up a bit [0.2%]. My view is that if they stay at these lower oil prices and assuming they don’t bounce back, it will lead to broad inflation moderation,” Zandi said. “I didn’t change my inflation forecast to go back to it [the Federal Reserve’s 2% target] to early 2024, but I’d say I stand by that forecast with less conviction.”

Why everyone is so obsessed with inflation

On a positive note, things like plane tickets, coffee, and fruit have all come down in price again. A survey released earlier this week by the New York Fed showed consumers are less concerned about inflation, although they still expect the rate to hover at 5.7% a year from now. There are also signs that supply chain pressures are easing, which should at least be disinflationary.

Higher oil possible

But about three-quarters of the CPI stayed above 4% year-on-year with inflation, reflecting a longer-term trend that belies the idea of ​​”temporary” inflation that the White House and Fed had been pushing.

And low energy prices are not a matter of course.

The US and other G-7 countries say they intend to introduce price controls on Russian oil exports from December 5, potentially inviting retaliatory action that could lead to price hikes later in the year.

“Should Moscow halt all natural gas and oil exports to the European Union, the United States and the United Kingdom, then there is a strong possibility that oil prices will retest the highs reached in June and move the average price of ordinary gas significantly higher again currently $3.70 per gallon,” said Joseph Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM.

Brusuelas added that even if housing is in a slump and a possible recession, he thinks the price declines there are unlikely to carry through as housing has “about a good year to go before the data in this critical ecosystem”.

With so much inflation in the pipeline, the big economic question is how far the Fed will go with raising rates. Markets are banking on the central bank raising interest rates by at least 0.75 percentage point next week, which would take the fed funds rate to its highest level since early 2007.

“Two percent stands for price stability. That’s her goal. But how do they get there without breaking something,” said Quincy Krosby, chief equity strategist at LPL Financial. “The Fed is not done yet. The road to 2% will be difficult. Overall, we should see inflation continue to fall. But at what point do they stop?”

Concerns about acceleration in core inflation are growing

Categories
Health

Warfare, Covid and local weather change gasoline starvation disaster killing 11 each minute

After a fire in a refugee camp in Ukhia in the southeastern district of Cox’s Bazar on March 24, 2021, children are seen eating food provided by NGOs and social organizations.

Yousuf Tushar | LightRakete | Getty Images

LONDON – According to a new Oxfam report released on Friday, the number of people who died of starvation increased six-fold over the past year to surpass deaths from Covid-19.

Up to 11 people die of starvation and malnutrition every minute as the proportion of people suffering from starvation-like conditions has skyrocketed since the pandemic began, the global charity said in a paper titled “The Hunger Virus Multiplies” .

For comparison: an estimated 7 people die of Covid-19 every minute.

The statistics are overwhelming, but we must remember that these numbers are individual people who are exposed to unimaginable suffering. One person is too much too.

Abby Maxman

President and CEO, Oxfam America

Main causes of extreme hunger

War and conflict remain the leading cause of hunger, accounting for two-thirds of hunger-related deaths worldwide. However, the outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic and economic shocks as a result of Covid-19, as well as the worsening climate crisis, have starved tens of millions, the report said.

Global food prices are also up 40%, the highest increase in more than 10 years, the report said.

“The statistics are mind-boggling, but we must remember that these numbers are made up of individuals exposed to unimaginable suffering. Even one person is too much, ”said Abby Maxman, President and CEO of Oxfam America.

A relative prays on a cremation site during the final rites of a Covid-19 victim.

Majority world | Universal picture group | Getty Images

Oxfam named war-torn countries like Afghanistan, Ethiopia, South Sudan, Syria and Yemen among the world’s worst hunger hotspots.

“Hunger continues to be used as a weapon of war to steal food and water from civilians and to hamper humanitarian aid,” said Maxman. “People cannot live safely or find food when their markets are bombed and crops and livestock are destroyed.”

Meanwhile, food insecurity has worsened in what the charity has dubbed “emerging epicentres of hunger” such as India, South Africa and Brazil – some of the countries hardest hit by Covid-19 infections.

But even countries with relatively resilient food systems like the US have been rocked by the pandemic and recent climate shocks, the report said.

Hurt the most vulnerable people

In any case, vulnerable groups like women, displaced people and informal workers are hardest hit, Maxman said.

“Marginalized groups are hardest hit by conflict and hunger. Too often women and girls eat last and least. ” She said.

Governments must prevent conflict from fueling catastrophic hunger.

Abby Maxman

President and CEO, Oxfam America

The spike in hunger-related deaths comes in a year when global military spending rose by $ 51 billion – enough to cover six and a half times what the United Nations believes it needs to stop hunger.

Meanwhile, the world’s 10 richest people have risen by $ 413 billion in net worth over the past year – 11 times the estimated cost of the United Nations for global humanitarian aid.

“Governments must prevent conflict from fueling catastrophic hunger and instead ensure that aid agencies reach those in need,” Maxman said, calling for multilateral support from policymakers.

“We need the US to take a leadership role in ending this hunger crisis by pushing for an end to the conflicts that fuel this famine, providing the vital resources to save lives now, and helping communities achieve a safe one Building the future. “

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Business

Bullish child boomers assist gasoline purple sizzling small enterprise M&A market

People enjoy a stroll down historic Annapolis Main Street in Annapolis, Maryland on April 29, 2021.

Marvin Joseph | The Washington Post | Getty Images

For Mitch Hughes, CEO of Vizz, a construction management software company he founded in 1996, the pandemic created ideal conditions for acquisitions.

Vizz, which operates a visualization platform that allows developers to create realistic virtual models, wasn’t very present on the manufacturing side. On the other hand, Manufacton had software for the modular structure, compatible software and a “dream team” of people. However, as a relatively small, young company, it didn’t have the traction needed to respond to the sudden surge in demand.

“Covid created a hurdle for them, but it created an opportunity for us,” said Hughes. At the beginning of this year, Vizz took over Manufacton and kept all employees.

While many baby boomer-owned small businesses have been hit hard by the pandemic, there is also a large cohort of boomer businesses that have taken advantage of the pandemic and are seeing low interest rates to expand.

According to a study by the New York Fed and the AARP, older entrepreneurs aged 45 and over entered the pandemic with a larger financial cushion than their younger counterparts. This pillow is more important than ever when the world is turned upside down. According to a survey by BizBuySell, an online marketplace for sale, 30% of buyers are baby boomers.

More from CNBC’s Small Business Playbook

A pandemic seems like an odd time for a booming M&A market. Many small businesses have suffered and many have failed. The data shows that government support did not flow adequately through the system either. The latest poll from CNBC | SurveyMonkey Small Business for the second quarter of 2021 found that many entrepreneurs expect better business conditions and higher revenues, despite overall negative net confidence and widespread fears of a tight labor market and rising cost of goods.

However, some business and investment experts say business owners run a huge risk of not being bullish enough after the pandemic. The brokers found that low interest rates, PPP loans, and other government support have helped fuel acquisitions for entrepreneurs able to take advantage of the terms.

“They see a way they can buy a business and get really great credit. There are just a lot of options. Lots of credit,” said Andrew Cagnetta, general manager of Transworld Business Advisors in West Palm Beach, Florida.

Main Street deal prices are rising dramatically

Prices have risen dramatically as a result of the bullish business buy. According to the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index, the net percentage of owners who increased average sales prices rose 10 points to 36%. This is the highest since April 1981 when it was 43%. In its quarterly report, BizBuySell said the median sales price for the first quarter was $ 350,000, up 30% year over year.

“It’ll sound crazy, but last year was my best year yet,” said Sheila Spangler of Murphy Business Sales in Boise, Idaho, which primarily focuses on companies less than $ 2 million worth. She adds that this year is also “super busy”.

Of course, the price fluctuations vary greatly depending on the region and industry. Cagnetta said he saw average sales prices double over the past year.

I’ve done business for other people for most of my career. I’ve always felt that if I can run a business for them, I’m pretty sure that I can run a very successful business myself.

Kevin Glass, the new Pinch a Penny Pool Patio Spa franchisee

Buyers tend to be more numerous than sellers, but the pandemic has exacerbated this. Cagnetta said he has seen growth in some categories of buyers. There are buyers from private equity and SPAC (Special Purpose Acquisition Corporation). Then there are entrepreneurs who are already doing well and who want to expand. Another emerging group is boomer buyers who were previously corporate employees. The pandemic forced many to rethink their lives – either because of layoffs or because of rethinking priorities. The same trend occurred after the Great Recession a decade ago when there was a “wave of confusion,” said Bob House, president of BizBuySell. “People are turning to business ownership for a living, rather than a kind of resetting,” said House.

Kevin Glass became a franchisee of Pinch a Penny Pool Patio Spa in Conroe, Texas after vacationing at the beginning of the pandemic. After 35 years in the oil and gas industry, Glass was already thinking about the next chapter of his career. He knew he was in a vulnerable position before the pandemic and had been looking for options. As soon as he was on leave, that search shifted into high gear.

Glass says he received a retirement benefit package when he was released but was unable to move on with his current lifestyle. He used the pension package to finance the company acquisition. Glass specifically researched franchises based on the support of an established business model. He also took into account the resale value. Pinch a Penny’s fixed income financing program further sweetened the deal.

“I’ve done business for other people for most of my career. I’ve always felt that if I can run a business for them, I’m pretty sure that I can run a very successful business myself,” said Glass.

Business areas in which business is booming

While the number of transactions has not yet reached pre-pandemic levels, it is starting to increase, especially for companies that have done well throughout the pandemic, such as: B. Liquor stores, home improvement stores, e-commerce websites, medical companies, manufacturers and distributors. Still, brokers say the expected transfer of generational wealth with boomers selling their businesses has not yet happened.

It is not necessarily the children of boomer owners who buy. Boomer entrepreneurs usually pass their businesses on to their kids, but some find that their kids don’t want the business. According to a survey by Guidant and the Small Business Alliance, boomers make up 41% of small business owners or franchisees, followed by Gen X at 44%.

“The seller’s tsunami has not yet happened,” said Cagnetta. “Business was very good until the pandemic broke out, then everyone was on hold. But I think they are coming out now to sell,” he added.

One important factor brokers have pointed out is an expected tax hike. Biden’s tax proposals would increase taxes on capital gains by more than $ 1 million. The plan provides an exemption for small businesses as long as they remain family-owned and operated. While it’s too early to say how the plan will work or if it will be implemented, brokers say it is putting pressure on business owners to sell.

Categories
Business

The Week in Enterprise: A Ransom for Gas

Good morning and good sunday. Here’s what you need to know in the business and technical news for the week ahead. – Charlotte Cowles

A cyberattack on the Colonial Pipeline, one of the largest fuel arteries in the US, resulted in an average gasoline price of over $ 3 per gallon for the first time since 2014. Panicked buyers lined up at the pump for fear of a shortage, which of course made the problem worse. To appease the hackers believed to be part of a foreign organized crime group, Colonial Pipeline paid nearly $ 5 million in ransom – a surrender that could encourage other criminals to take American companies hostage . Operators of the pipeline restored service late last week, but said the supply chain would take several days to get back to normal.

A new report from the Department of Labor confirmed what you may have noticed: the prices of consumer goods such as clothing, groceries and other housewares rose 4 percent in April year over year, beating past forecasts. Economists attribute the surge to pandemic-related issues such as higher shipping and fuel costs, disruptions in supplies, rising demand and staff shortages in factories and distribution centers. The Federal Reserve tried to allay inflation fears by insisting that the surge was temporary. Even so, the news frightened the stock market. Retail sales in April fell short of expectations and remained stable, but showed a slowdown in growth after a blockbuster March.

Still looking to break into some of the cryptocurrency market, Facebook is currently revising its digital currency project (formerly known as Libra, now called Diem) to address concerns from US officials that it is being used for money laundering and other illegal purposes could. The company is also moving the project from Switzerland to the US after trying to get approval from Swiss regulators. In other crypto news, Tesla CEO Elon Musk abruptly returned his support for Bitcoin and tweeted that his company would no longer accept the cryptocurrency as payment due to the fossil fuels used for mining and transactions. After his tweet, the price of Bitcoin fell more than 10 percent.

To get 70 percent of American adults at least partially vaccinated by July 4th, the federal and state governments are adding additional incentives. (In case you and others are safe and the ability to go maskless wasn’t a good reason.) The Biden administration has partnered with hail shipping companies Uber and Lyft to offer free transportation starting May 24th Offering Vaccination Centers Across the Country West Virginia is working on a plan to offer $ 100 savings bonds to people aged 16 to 35 who get their shots. And those who receive the vaccine in Ohio will be entered into a lottery that will award $ 1 million in prize money every week for five weeks starting May 26th.

Ellen DeGeneres will end her talk show next year after nearly two decades on the air. Her program saw a sharp drop in ratings after employees complained about a toxic workplace and accused producers of sexual harassment. The allegations looked particularly dire given Ms. DeGeneres’ slogan, “Be Kind,” which has become a branded juggernaut used to market goods to her fans. Although Ms. DeGeneres publicly apologized for the incidents in September, the show has lost more than a million viewers since then, a 43 percent decline from about 2.6 million last season. From September to February, advertising revenue fell by 20 percent year-on-year.

Fighting to recruit workers in a tight labor market, McDonald’s is the latest fast food company to raise hourly wages after recently gaining a foothold in chain restaurants like Chipotle and Olive Garden. However, McDonald’s raise only applies to company-owned restaurants, which are a small part of the business. About 95 percent of US restaurants are independently owned and set their own wages.

Low-income households can now apply for a $ 50 monthly discount for high-speed internet services. Hearst Magazines sold the American edition of Marie Claire to a British publisher. And after more than a year trying to figure out what to do with the competitive retailer Victoria’s Secret, the brand’s parent company decided to split into two independent, publicly traded companies: Victoria’s Secret and Bath & Body Works.

With The Times’ Andrew Ross Sorkin, speaking with Dame Ellen MacArthur and other economists, discuss what it takes to transform the economy to fight climate change. May 20th at 1:30 p.m. ET RSVP here.

Categories
Business

Inventory picks to climate excessive gasoline pump costs

Gas prices rose to over $ 3 per gallon, their highest level since late 2014 when the shutdown of the Colonial Pipeline squeezed supplies.

The price hike precedes what is expected to be a busy summer cruising season, with reopenings and pent-up demand fueling consumer travel.

However, Mark Tepper, president of Strategic Wealth Partners, doesn’t expect this to fail summer road trips.

“If you think about it, a family of four has received over $ 10,000 from the government over the past year. On July 1, they are paid $ 300 per month per child, so you know an additional $ 100 per child for a month or so that they pay at the pump is really nothing in the grand scheme of things, considering what’s going on, “Tepper told CNBC’s” Trading Nation “on Wednesday.

Tepper added that rising airline prices could also force consumers to take road trips via flying to vacation destinations.

“The company I like here is Six Flags. I like the regional amusement park game over the destination parks like Disney and SeaWorld. I think they’re easier to get to, you can go there, you can go on a day trip, you can go for a weekend “said Tepper.

Shares in Six Flags, a park operator valued at $ 3.5 billion, are up 21% in 2021, more than double the earnings for the broader market. Tepper said the stock has room to grow.

“Six Flags is trading at a discount, and I really think expectations and earnings revisions for these people will keep rising over the next few quarters, so I think it’s a buy here,” he said.

According to FactSet, the company is projected to post a loss of 82 cents per share in fiscal 2021, which is less than the pandemic loss of nearly $ 5 per share in 2020. In 2022, earnings are projected to be $ 1.92 per share.

Gina Sanchez, CEO of Chantico Global and chief market strategist at Lido Advisors, likes Six Flags in the short term but says that another game at the amusement park is a better choice in the long term.

“Disney has a few other legs to offer besides the park game as they also have Disney Plus and many other elements in their business,” Sanchez said in the same interview. “We think it’s still attractive because the prospects for these destination parks are still pretty bleak. … Disney was the hottest park in the world before Covid. I think it will still be the hottest park after Covid.”

Disney will report the win after the bell on Thursday. Analysts expect a profit of 26 cents per share compared to 60 cents per share in the previous year. The parks and experiences segment accounts for 23% of total sales.

Disclosure: Lido holds Disney.

Disclaimer of Liability

Categories
Business

How the Colonial Pipeline Turned a Important Artery for Gas

This gave them an enormous competitive advantage over the refineries on the east coast, which imported oil from abroad or by rail from North Dakota after the start of the shale boom. As the local refineries closed their doors, the Colonial Pipeline became increasingly important as a connection to refineries in Texas and Louisiana.

The Midwest has its own pipelines from the Gulf Coast, but while the East Coast has closed refineries, the Midwest has opened some new plants and expanded others over the past 20 years to process Canadian oil, mostly from Alberta sands. California and the Pacific Northwest have sufficient refineries to process crude oil made in California and Alaska and South America.

Not much. The northeastern supply system is flexible and resilient.

Many hurricanes have damaged pipelines and refineries on the Gulf Coast in the past, and the east coast managed to handle this. The federal government stores millions of gallons of crude oil and refined products for emergencies. Refineries can import oil from Europe, Canada, and South America, although it can take up to two weeks for transatlantic cargo to arrive.

When Hurricane Harvey hit Texas in 2017 and damaged refineries, shipments from the Colonial Pipeline to the northeast were suspended for nearly two weeks. Port of New York gasoline prices rose rapidly by more than 25 percent, and the additional costs were passed on to motorists. It took over a month for prices to return to previous levels.

Hacking a large pipeline may not be a major problem for drivers, but it is a sign of the times. Criminal groups and even nations can threaten power lines, personal information, and even banks.

The group responsible for the pipeline attack, DarkSide, usually locks their victims’ data using encryption and threatens to release the data unless a ransom is paid. Colonial Pipeline did not say whether it paid a ransom or intended to do so.

“The unfortunate truth is that infrastructure today is so fragile that almost anyone who wants to get in can get in,” said Dan Schiappa, chief product officer of Sophos, a UK security software and hardware company. “Infrastructure is an easy and lucrative target for attackers.”

Categories
Business

Pipeline outage forces airways to think about different gasoline provides

Holding tanks can be seen in the Charlotte Airport Delivery Facility of Colonial Pipeline in Charlotte, North Carolina, USA, an undated photo.

Colonial pipeline | via Reuters

The cyberattack that forced the shutdown of the largest refined fuel pipeline in the country over the weekend triggered some route changes for American Airlines as it aims to save fuel at its second largest hub.

Colonial Pipeline Co., which operates the 5,500-mile-long pipeline from Houston, Texas, to Linden, New Jersey, has a goal of resuming operations by the end of the week but said the process would be gradual. According to the company, the pipeline serves seven airports directly.

Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport, which is the busiest for Delta Air Lines, said it is reviewing other fuel suppliers but operations are not affected.

“Hartsfield-Jackson and its airline partners are in close communication with fuel suppliers and are taking steps to mitigate the effects of the colonial incident,” a spokeswoman said in a statement. “ATL is currently coordinating with other suppliers to increase the airport’s fuel inventory.”

Delta declined to comment on the pipeline failure.

American Airlines said in a statement that the impact of the outage on its operations has so far been minor. Stopovers will be added for two long-haul flights from Charlotte Douglas Airport, the airline announced on Monday. A non-stop trip to Honolulu will stop at Dallas-Fort Worth International, where the fuel supply has not been interrupted. Customers there will convert their aircraft to a Boeing 777-300 to fly on to Hawaii.

A flight from Charlotte to London will stop in Boston for extra fuel. The changes are effective at least until May 14th.

Southwest Airlines flies extra-fuel aircraft at airports such as Nashville International Airport “to supplement local supplies.” Airlines can load more fuel on planes than is normally needed to avoid or reduce the need to refuel on the ground when supplies are limited.

“We are pleased to announce that Southwest’s operations have no impact,” said a spokesman.

American is also considering moving or refueling fuel at airports affected by the shortage, according to someone familiar with the matter.

United Airlines said it is working with airports “to understand the impact and our operations are not currently affected”.

Analysts have said the impact on the supply of jet fuel and other refined products like gasoline will depend on how long the outage lasts, especially as Memorial Day weekend approaches.

“We could probably do inventory for a week and then the problem would become acute,” said Rick Joswick, global head of oil analysis at S&P Global Platts. “Hopefully this will be resolved by then.”

Categories
Business

Gas Costs Rise After Oil Pipeline Is Hacked: Dwell Enterprise Updates

Here’s what you need to know:

Credit…Colonial Pipeline/Via Reuters

Gasoline prices rose as much as 4.2 percent early on Monday after a major petroleum pipeline in the United States was shut down over the weekend because of a cyberattack. The pipeline’s operator, Colonial Pipeline, hasn’t said when it will reopen, raising concerns about the infrastructure that carries nearly half of the fuel supplies for the East Coast.

By 7:30 a.m. Eastern Standard Time, futures of gasoline for June delivery were up 1.7 percent but still at the highest level since late 2018. The instability is contained to prices that traders pay for gasoline, but may affect prices at the pump in the coming weeks.

“Should the pipeline be brought online at the start of the week, the impact on prices should be limited,” Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS Global Wealth Management, wrote in a note. “However, a prolonged shutdown (5 days or longer) is likely to send gasoline prices higher, which already trade close to a 7-year high.”

Oil prices also rose. Futures on West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. crude benchmark, were up 0.6 percent to $65.29 a barrel, after climbing as much as 1.3 percent.

The increase in the price of gasoline and oil has added to what was already a boom in commodity prices. As economies from the United States to China have shown signs of strength, demand for raw materials to power industrial growth has risen. On Monday, iron ore futures rose as much as 10 percent and copper prices extended their record high.

A Bloomberg commodities index, which tracks the prices of 23 commodities from gold and oil to wheat and sugar, was at its highest level since mid-2015. Freeport-McMoRan, an American mining company, and United States Steel both rose more than 3 percent in premarket trading.

  • U.S. stocks were set to open slightly lower on Monday, futures indicated, pulling the S&P 500 back from a record high.

  • The benchmark stock index had risen on Friday after an unexpectedly weak jobs report tempered expectations about how soon the Federal Reserve would consider withdrawing some monetary stimulus.

  • The Stoxx Europe 600 was flat while the CAC 40 in France and DAX in Germany both fell 0.2 percent.

  • The British pound rose 0.8 percent against the U.S. dollar and 0.9 percent against the euro after the results of Thursday’s local elections were confirmed. The Scottish National Party, which is pushing for a second independence referendum, fell one seat short of gaining an outright majority in its Parliament. But it will still govern with the support of another pro-independence party.

  • The pound’s gains on Monday were as much about the weak dollar as the election results, Kit Juckes, a strategist at Société Générale, wrote in a note. “I don’t know anyone who thinks the risk of a second Scottish referendum has gone away.” The pound can rise against the dollar because the U.S. currency “remains under pressure from global economic optimism,” he added.

  • The pound was at $1.41, the highest since February.

Colonial Pipeline fuel tanks in Maryland. The company operates the largest petroleum pipeline between Texas and New York.Credit…Jim Lo Scalzo/EPA, via Shutterstock

The operator of the largest petroleum pipeline between Texas and New York, shut down after a ransomware attack, declined on Sunday to say when it would reopen.

While the shutdown has so far had little impact on supplies of gasoline, diesel or jet fuel, some energy analysts warned that a prolonged suspension could raise prices at the pump along the East Coast and leave some smaller airports scrambling for jet fuel, Clifford Krauss reports for The New York Times.

Colonial Pipeline, the pipeline operator, said on Sunday afternoon that it was developing “a system restart plan” and would restore service to some small lines between terminals and delivery points but “will bring our full system back online only when we believe it is safe to do so.”

The company, which shut down the pipeline on Friday, has acknowledged that it was the victim of a ransomware attack by a criminal group, meaning that the hacker may hold the company’s data hostage until it pays a ransom. Colonial Pipeline, which is privately held, would not say whether it had paid a ransom. By failing to state a timeline for reopening on Sunday, the company renewed questions about whether the operations of the pipeline could still be in jeopardy.

The shutdown of the 5,500-mile pipeline was a troubling sign that the nation’s energy infrastructure is vulnerable to cyberattacks from criminal groups or nations.

Energy experts predicted that traders would view the company’s announcement on Sunday as a sign that the pipeline would remain shut at least for a few days.

Experts said several airports that depend on the pipeline for jet fuel, including Nashville, Tenn.; Baltimore-Washington; and Charlotte and Raleigh-Durham, N.C., could have a hard time later in the week. Airports generally store enough jet fuel for three to five days of operations.

White House officials held emergency meetings on the pipeline attack over the weekend. The White House press secretary, Jen Psaki, said in a tweet that they are looking for ways to “mitigate potential disruptions to supply.”

A United Airlines vaccine clinic at O’Hare Airport in Chicago. Employers are using on-site vaccinations to encourage workers to get shots.Credit…Scott Olson/Getty Images

As companies make plans to fully reopen their offices across the United States, they face a delicate decision. Many would like all employees to be vaccinated when they return, but in the face of legal and P.R. risks, few employers have gone so far as to require it.

Instead, they are hoping that encouragement and incentives will suffice, Gillian Friedman and Lauren Hirsch report for The New York Times.

Legally, companies seem largely in the clear. The Equal Employment Opportunity Commission issued guidance in December stating that employers are permitted to require employees to be vaccinated. But employers are still worried about litigation, in part because several states have proposed laws that would limit their ability to require vaccines.

“It would seem to me that employers are going to find themselves in a fairly strong position legally,” said Eric Feldman, a law professor at the University of Pennsylvania, “but that doesn’t mean they’re not going to get sued.”

So, companies are resorting to carrots over sticks. Darden offers hourly employees two hours of pay for each dose they receive. Target offers a $5 coupon to all customers and employees who receive their vaccination at a CVS at Target location. And many companies are hosting on-site clinics to make it easier to get vaccinated.

Others are experimenting with return-to-office policies that aren’t all or nothing. Salesforce will allow up to 100 fully vaccinated employees to volunteer to work together on designated floors of certain U.S. offices. Some companies are mandating the shots only for new hires.

A pop-up vaccination site in Miami Beach, Fla. Companies are debating vaccine mandates for their workers.Credit…Eva Marie Uzcategui/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Last week, the DealBook newsletter wrote about one of the most vexing issues facing boardrooms: Should companies mandate that employees get vaccinated before returning to the workplace? Many readers shared opinions, personal experiences and suggestions for handling this complex issue. Here is a small selection, edited for clarity:

  • “The way we’re doing it at our company is, if you submit a reason from your doctor or you have a religious belief or some other valid reason not to get the vaccination yet, you are required to be tested weekly and submit the results to H.R.” — Patricia Ripley, New York City

  • “We don’t know the long-term dangers of these vaccines. They may be bad or good. No one knows. Our employers should not be able to simply ignore any of our worries and concerns.” — Brandon Atchison, Verbena, Ala.

  • “I strongly support employer mandates. A few well-publicized firings will end the ‘hesitancy,’ but the firings must be backed up by classifying them as ‘for cause.’ That means no severance for executives and no unemployment for staff who refuse.” — Paul Levy, Carolina Beach, N.C.

  • “Individual rights are the cornerstone of American democracy — trampling them for the vaccine rollout is a dangerous precedent. People seem to forget that these ‘temporary changes’ end up as permanent, with the result that your employer can now compel greater access to your personal decision-making.” — Anonymous

  • “An unvaccinated person exposes everyone in the office, including visiting customers and clients, to the virus. Why should everyone else be jeopardized because of one person? Simply let unvaccinated people continue to work at home and suffer any consequences to their career paths that may result.” — Joseph Carlucci, White Plains, N.Y.

  • Norwegian Cruise Line is threatening to keep its ships out of Florida ports after the state enacted legislation that prohibits businesses from requiring proof of vaccination against the coronavirus in exchange for services. The company, which plans to have its first cruises available to the Caribbean and Europe this summer and fall, will offer trips with limited capacity and require all guests and crew members to be vaccinated on bookings through at least the end of October.

  • The operator of the largest petroleum pipeline between Texas and New York, which was shut down on Friday after a ransomware attack, would not give a timeline on Sunday on when it would reopen the pipeline. Colonial Pipeline, the pipeline operator, said on Sunday afternoon that it was developing “a system restart plan” and would restore service to some small lines between terminals and delivery points but “will bring our full system back online only when we believe it is safe to do so.”

The Los Angeles area has the nation’s largest concentration of warehouses, contributing to some of the worst air pollution in the country.Credit…Philip Cheung for The New York Times

The South Coast Air Quality Management District in Southern California on Friday adopted a rule that would force about 3,000 of the largest warehouses in the area to slash emissions from the trucks that serve the site or take other measures to improve air quality, The New York Times’s Hiroko Tabuchi reports.

Southern California is home to the nation’s largest concentration of warehouses — a hub of thousands of mammoth structures, served by belching diesel trucks, that help feed America’s booming appetite for online shopping and also contribute to the worst air pollution in the country.

The rule sets a precedent for regulating the exploding e-commerce industry, which has grown even more during the pandemic and has led to a spectacular increase in warehouse construction.

The changes could also help spur a more rapid electrification of freight tucks, a significant step toward reducing emissions from transportation, the country’s biggest source of planet-warming greenhouse gases. The emissions are a major contributor to smog-causing nitrogen oxides and diesel particulate matter pollution, which are linked to health problems including respiratory conditions.

Empty platforms at the New Jersey Transit station in Secaucus in May.Credit…Bryan Anselm for The New York Times

Before the pandemic, the trains of New Jersey Transit could be cattle-car crowded, with strangers pressed so closely against you that you could deduce their last meal. That level of forced intimacy now seems unimaginable.

After the outbreak, ridership on New Jersey trains, which in normal times averaged 95,000 weekday passengers, plummeted to 3,500 before stabilizing at about 17,500. A similar pattern held for the Metropolitan Transportation Authority’s Metro-North and Long Island Rail Road lines: in February 2020, nearly 600,000 riders; two months later, fewer than 30,000.

For many months, the commuter parking lots were empty, the train stations closed, the coffee vendor gone. At night, the trains cutting through Croton-on-Hudson in Westchester or Wyandanch on Long Island or in Maplewood, N.J., were like passing ghost ships, their interior lights illuminating absence.

But in recent weeks, as more people have become vaccinated, New Jersey Transit and the M.T.A. have seen a slight uptick, to about a quarter of their normal ridership.

Perhaps this signals a gradual return to how things had been; or, perhaps, it is a harbinger of how things will be, given that many people now feel that they can work just as efficiently from home.

Categories
World News

Ransomware assault forces shutdown of largest gas pipeline within the U.S.

Signage will be displayed on a fence at the Colonial Pipeline Co. Pelham intersection and terminal in Pelham, Alabama, USA on Monday, September 19, 2016.

Luke Sharrett | Bloomberg | Getty Images

The operator of the country’s largest fuel pipeline, the Colonial Pipeline, fell victim to a cybersecurity attack targeting ransomware on Friday, forcing the company to temporarily suspend all pipeline operations, the company said in a statement on Saturday.

The company hired an outside cybersecurity firm to investigate the incident and reached out to law enforcement and other federal agencies. The cyber attack also affected some of its IT systems.

The Colonial Pipeline, which carries nearly half of the east coast’s fuel supplies, said it was “taking steps to understand and solve this problem.”

“Right now, our main focus is on the safe and efficient restoration of our service and our efforts to get back to normal operations,” said a company statement.

“This process is already underway and we are working diligently to address this issue and minimize disruption for our customers and those who depend on Colonial Pipeline,” the company said.

Colonial operates the largest refined product pipeline in the United States, according to its website, shipping 2.5 million barrels a day. Refined products include gas, diesel, heating oil, and jet fuel. The pipeline also supplies the US military.

Colonial’s system spans more than 5,500 miles between Texas and New Jersey, connecting refineries on the Gulf Coast to more than 50 million people in the southern and eastern United States, the company said.

The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, which oversees interstate pipelines, said it was aware of the cyberattack and is monitoring the situation.

“We are aware that it appears to be a serious cyber attack on the Colonial Pipeline system,” said chairman Richard Glick in a statement to CNBC. “FERC is in communication with other federal agencies and we are working closely with them to monitor developments.”

President Joe Biden was also briefed on the incident on Saturday morning, according to a White House spokesman.

“The federal government is actively working to evaluate the impact of this incident, avoid supply disruptions and help the company to restore pipeline operations as soon as possible,” the spokesman said.

The Biden government announced a 100-day plan in April to protect the country’s electrical systems supply chain from cyberattacks amid growing concerns over the vulnerability of U.S. power supplies to cyber threats.

A US Department of Energy spokesman said the department is coordinating with Colonial Pipeline, the energy sector, states and interacting partners to support the response effort.

“DOE also works closely with the coordination councils of the energy sector and the centers for the exchange and analysis of energy information and monitors possible effects on the energy supply,” the spokesman told CNBC.

Andy Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates, based in Texas, said an outage that would last a day or two would cause some minor inconvenience and greater impact after four to five days of shutdown.

There could also be possible sporadic outages if a certain terminal was dependent on a delivery today or tomorrow and this is now delayed, said Lipow.

“Unlike the February frost or the hurricane, refineries are still operating, converting crude oil into gasoline, jet and diesel. They just can’t get it to the terminals,” said Lipow. “Prolonged colonial pipeline downtime will force refineries to lower their operating rates as refinery stocks fill up.”

“While they may not be able to ship it to Colonial, the refineries will certainly continue to ship to the Midwestern markets,” said Lipow.

John Kilduff, a partner at Again Capital in New York, said that if the outage persists, gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel shortages will quickly emerge in the United States.

“It appears that it was more of a ransomware attack than a state actor, but it shows the significant security flaw across the industry,” said Kilduff. “If there is no resumption of operations or at least no clarity about a resumption by tomorrow evening, gasoline prices will skyrocket on Sunday evening.”

Eric Goldstein, assistant director of cybersecurity at the agency for cybersecurity and infrastructure security, said the agency is working with partners from Colonial Pipeline and Interagenten.

“This underscores the threat ransomware poses to businesses regardless of size or industry,” Goldstein said.

Colonial Pipeline is privately owned by five companies: CDPQ Colonial Partners, IFM (US) Colonial Pipeline 2, KKR-Keats Pipeline Investors, Koch Capital Investments Company, and Shell Midstream Operating.

Categories
Business

Chlorinated U.S. Chickens Gas British Customers’ Fears

LONDON – At this post-Brexit moment, amid the pandemic in the UK, whose economy is plagued by recession and the royal family in grief and turmoil, it is difficult to find a theme that unites this fragile nation. But US chickens – yes, the low, gurgling farm animal that is eaten by millions in all 50 states every day – have made it.

Everyone hates them.

The strange thing is that US chicken is not sold anywhere in the UK, and if people find their way here it never will be.

What exactly have US chickens done to terrify the British so thoroughly, even though few of the latter have ever tried the former?

The short answer is that some U.S. chicken carcasses are washed in chlorine to eliminate potentially harmful pathogens. Americans have devoured these birds without a fuss for years, but in the UK, US chickens are now tied to the word “chlorinated” the way warning signs are on cigarettes – that is always. US chickens have been denounced by editors, academics, politicians, farmers, and a host of activists. In October, a group of protesters dressed in chicken costumes gathered around Parliament.

“Beware of Chlorine” was emblazoned in Hazmat script on the front of her yellow onesies.

US poultry has long been ridiculed in the UK, but only became the subject of public vitriol a few years ago when it became clear that the two countries would sign a new free trade agreement after Britain left the European Union. Arguably the biggest anticipated sticking point in such a business is U.S. food standards, which are widely viewed here as subpar and tolerant of dirt and shabby conditions in search of profit.

It’s all a big smear, says the U.S. poultry industry, and an excuse to discourage a British industry from competing with far bigger American rivals. But dig a little and it quickly becomes clear that the chlorine chicken phobia is about more than edible birds. Somehow, America’s dealings with Gallus gallus domesticus, as it is known to scholars, have become a symbol of Britain’s fears that a trade deal with the United States will turn Britain for bad without the right guard rails.

“This is a classic example of how belief has overtaken evidence and embedded it in a complex sociopolitical discourse that is almost certainly motivated by something very different from this issue,” said Ian Boyd, professor of biology at the University of St Andrews. “Chlorine washed chicken is almost certainly a proxy for much deeper questions of trust.”

The details of this distrust are difficult to pinpoint. Most of it is a free-floating feeling that the United States is a careless juggernaut, and if trade between the two countries – now valued at roughly $ 230 billion a year – is unrestrained, it is not to see what the Americans will sell and ruin.

A similar fear was evident in the case articulated by some Brexiters. The United Kingdom is unique, and wrapping it into a union of 27 other states undermined its uniqueness, the argument goes. The word “sovereignty” came up frequently, along with the suggestion that much of it had been lost to the rest of Europe and had to be reclaimed.

In business today

Updated

April 23, 2021 at 1:31 p.m. ET

In a way, “chlorinated chicken” is the new sovereignty, and that is reflected in some of the languages ​​used by vocal critics. As Tim Lang, Professor Emeritus of Food Policy, said in an interview: “The question is whether the United Kingdom will become the 51st state in America.”

For Professor Lang, the prospect of a US poultry invasion is not just an abstract concern for agrarian imperialism. It’s about health and safety. He noted that a number of high-profile food fears and outbreaks of salmonella, E. coli and mad cow disease hit the British during the late 80s and early 90s. The Food Standards Agency was founded in 2000 with a mandate to rethink the country’s processing systems. At around the same time, the European Union adopted the so-called precautionary principle for food and environmental safety.

“When in doubt,” he wrote in an email, summarizing the principle, “consumer or eco-interests triumph over business.” It is better to assume that there might be a problem than to do it, only to find out later that there was a problem. “

He and others say the U.S. approach to food processing is to let hygiene slip down while feeding, waxing, and slaughtering, and in the end, make up for mistakes with a good disinfectant. It doesn’t work very well, say critics. As evidence, Prof. Lang had a colleague submit an article quoting the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention which found that one in six Americans suffered from a food-borne disease every year. In the UK, that number as determined by the Food Standards Agency is one in 60.

In other words, the Chlorine Dunk isn’t just a little gross. It’s ineffective.

Nonsense, says Tom Super, spokesman for the National Chicken Council, which represents the companies that process about 95 percent of U.S. chicken. He noted that the UK Food Standards Agency website offers a warning about comparing food-borne disease rates between countries.

“The range of study methods varies between and within countries,” says the website. “This makes any comparison and any interpretation of differences difficult.”

Mr Super notes that only 5 percent of chickens are now washed in chlorine because the industry has moved on to a better cleaner. (Peracetic acid if you’re curious.) But focusing on how chickens are washed lacks the security and care built into the US system, he added, starting with how eggs are hatched and chickens are fed . Lower hygiene standards? A total canard, an apology for protectionism, and one that glosses over the results of the European Food Safety Authority, which found no evidence in 2008 that chlorinated chickens are unsafe.

“Science is on our side; The data is on our side, ”said Mr Super. “Americans eat about 150 million servings of chicken every day, and practically all of them are safe to eat. We would send the same chicken to the UK that we now feed our children and that we send to 100 countries around the world. “

The timing of a US-UK trade deal is unknown. The Biden government has said little on the subject. Katherine Tai, the US trade representative, said at her confirmation hearing that she wanted a pact that “prioritizes the interests of American workers and supports a strong recovery in our economy.”

Several trade experts said negotiations could take years, largely because the deal doesn’t appear to be a high priority in the United States. But a long wait might be just what the British need, said Professor Boyd of St. Andrews. Agriculture here has long had a claim to the national psyche that far outweighs its actual economic importance, he explained. Consumers here are more interested in maintaining an institution – agriculture – than buying something cheaper schnitzel. And educating the UK public about studies and test results is not going to change that.

“If we addressed the US chicken fears with evidence-based arguments and expensive advertising campaigns, it would be different,” said Professor Boyd. “This is a sociopolitical problem that can be resolved by having an enlightened partnership for building a trading relationship, not by hitting people with scientific facts.”

David Henig, director of the UK Trade Policy Project, which is part of a think tank in Brussels, said trade between countries will continue using conditions and agreements that have been in place for years. When the United States is ready to tackle the delicate issues, the British will be ready.

“The British side is very interested in a deal,” he said. “It’s just not keen on the chickens.”