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Docs name for flu testing as Covid threatens to coincide with flu epidemic

British doctors have urged authorities to make flu testing available amid concerns that an influenza epidemic may be about to collide with a third wave of Covid-19.

In a report published Thursday, physicians from the U.K.’s Academy of Medical Sciences warned a resurgence of respiratory viruses such as flu and RSV — a common virus that can be serious for young infants and the elderly — was likely to increase pressure on the country’s National Health Service.

The U.K. is due to lift nearly all Covid restrictions on July 19. However, the country is currently experiencing a rise in new cases of the virus, which has been linked to the highly transmissible delta variant.

On July 14, 42,302 people tested positive for Covid in the U.K., making it the country with the fourth-highest number of new cases, according to Johns Hopkins University. 

Doctors warned in Thursday’s report that overlapping symptoms between flu and Covid meant routine testing for both viruses, and possibly additional respiratory infections — known as multiplex testing — would be important ahead of an expected uptick in common winter illnesses. Medical experts have expressed concerns the U.K. could be headed for an influenza epidemic later this year, and multiplex testing would help doctors differentiate between viruses, allow them to monitor the growth of epidemics, make timely decisions about treatments and reduce transmission rates, the report said.

“We strongly support multiplex testing,” its authors said. “However, if this is not feasible, well evaluated and accurate point-of-care testing for influenza should be deployed in hospitals, primary care settings, care homes and community pharmacies.”

They added that “the symptoms of influenza and other winter respiratory viruses are typically clinically indistinguishable from Covid-19 without a test,” and warned demand for PCR tests may surge this year given the potential rise in winter diseases with similar symptoms.

A recent study of Covid symptoms in the U.K. found that the most common symptoms of the virus included a headache, sore throat and loss of smell. However, these can vary and people with the virus can also experience flu-like symptoms such as fever and a cough, according to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the U.K.’s NHS.

The AMS noted that while a successful vaccine rollout would mean mortality would be lower in the next wave than in the winter of 2020/2021, continuous transmission of Covid among the under-50s could result in higher levels of “long Covid” than seen in the previous two waves. The medical body also warned that if Covid cases rise or remain elevated throughout the fall and winter, the third wave could coincide with a resurgence of flu and RSV, adding pressure to the NHS.

Outbreaks of RSV and flu during the fall and winter may be twice as large as the numbers seen in a “normal” year, according to the report. Social distancing and lockdown measures had prevented these illnesses from spreading at their usual rates during the coronavirus pandemic, meaning population immunity may have been diminished.  

“Very low levels of influenza over the last two seasons will have led to lower levels of immunity than usually seen, which means a wave of influenza could be problematic,” the report warned. A priority should be to ensure vulnerable groups were given a flu vaccine, its authors said, although flu vaccines were less effective than those for Covid.

Around 10,000 deaths are caused by flu in a regular year in England and Wales, according to the NHS.

Meanwhile, non-infectious illnesses like asthma and stroke were also likely to be exacerbated in the winter, the AMS report warned, adding more pressure to health care services.

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He Thought It Was the Flu, however He Had By no means Been So Sick

Whatever the cause, she told the anxious young man, his muscles would recover. But his kidneys were in danger. His urine was dark because the oxygen-carrying parts of the muscle known as myoglobin were collecting in the kidneys. Myoglobin is a dark red color; it’s why muscle is red. The most important thing the medical team was doing for him right then was giving him fluids to help his kidneys flush out myoglobin and other components released by the damaged muscle.

Ue ordered additional tests to track the patient’s creatine kinase. On admission, his total C.K., initially reported at over 40,000, had actually been 189,000. It peaked the next day at nearly twice that: 364,000. Ue kept the IV fluids going and looked for a reason for the worst case of rhabdo she had ever seen. It wasn’t hepatitis or any of the common viruses they tested for. It wasn’t Wilson’s disease. It wasn’t any of the drugs she checked for.

What else? In search of an answer, she turned to the medical literature and found a paper describing two young people who, like her patient, developed severe rhabdo after a moderate workout. The writers listed factors that could predispose a patient to having this kind of muscle injury, and Ue found what she was looking for. There are people born with abnormalities in how their bodies use the fuel provided by the foods they eat. Because of this abnormality, when stressed or working hard these people could quite literally run out of fuel. Could he have one of these rare inherited diseases? To answer that question, after the patient recovered enough to leave the hospital, Ue referred him to a neurologist who specializes in neuromuscular diseases.

It was months later when the patient had enough of a break in his schedule to make an appointment to see Dr. Courtney McIlduff, a neurologist at Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center in Boston. Since his week in the hospital, the man reported, he had two more episodes — though neither as severe as the first. Both happened after he took an easy walk. Hearing that, McIlduff, like Ue, began considering an inherited problem in turning food into fuel. These so-called metabolic myopathies sometimes didn’t reveal themselves until adolescence or even adulthood.

McIlduff examined the man carefully, looking for muscle weakness. Many forms of muscle disease can permanently alter how muscles look or work, but most metabolic myopathies don’t. The patient’s muscle exam was completely normal. She sent him to get genetic testing, to look for one of the several inborn errors of metabolism.

And indeed, he had one: He was born without the ability to make an enzyme called carnitine palmitoyltransferase type 2. Patients with CPT2 deficiency are missing the necessary biological equipment to turn some dietary fats into energy. Normally the body runs on a type of sugar made from carbohydrates and stored in the liver. When that sugar is used up, the body switches to fat for fuel. Patients with CPT2 deficiency can’t do that, or at least not well. Without the proper fuel, the muscle cells are injured and release their contents, causing the pain and dark urine. Neither of the man’s parents have this disorder, but they both have one copy of the erroneous gene for this enzyme. It takes two copies to get the disease, and so their son got one copy from each of them.

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Winter flu season could possibly be large, specialists warn

Medics in a pneumonia ward in the Philippines.

Ezra Acayan | Getty Images News | Getty Images

LONDON – Mass vaccination campaigns are being carried out in the developed world, but many countries are still grappling with spikes in coronavirus infections and new strains, such as the highly infectious Delta variant.

And now health experts are warning the public that a very difficult flu season could also be ahead.

“There is great uncertainty about the 2021-2022 flu season,” epidemiologist Lauren Ancel Meyers, director of the University of Texas’ Covid-19 modeling consortium, told CNBC.

“As with Covid, when someone recovers from a seasonal flu infection, they retain a certain level of immunity, at least for a short time, which protects them from future infections. Since our covid containment measures prevented the flu from spreading over the past year, there aren’t “a whole lot of people who recently got infected,” she said.

“So we can enter the flu season with a higher vulnerability than usual, which could exacerbate the risks,” she added.

Meyers believes that whether the flu season is more severe this year or not could depend on how the virus evolves as well as decisions on a personal level.

“As we have learned from the past 18 months of the Covid-19 pandemic, the choices we make as individuals and communities can have a huge impact on the fate of an outbreak. We can and should do our part to prevent a disastrous flu season “by getting vaccinated early this fall and taking sensible precautions if and when the virus spreads widespread,” she said.

“Our experience with Covid can lead to behavior changes that work in our favor. People may be more willing to take flu vaccines and wear face masks or take other precautions to prevent transmission during high season.”

Get ready

The alarm about a potentially bad winter flu season was raised in June by Professor Chris Whitty, England’s chief medical officer.

“Either we will have a very significant increase in Covid, people will minimize their contacts and we will have less respiratory virus, or people will go back to a more normal life, there will be some Covids, but beyond that we will go back to” one Flu surge, an RSV surge (Respiratory Syncytial Virus, a common respiratory virus that usually causes mild, cold-like symptoms) in children, and so on. “

“I think we have to be aware and adjust to the fact that the coming winter can be a difficult one,” he said.

Flu numbers from the US and England show that influenza cases have decreased during the pandemic, largely due to the social distancing measures in place, which are helping to stop the transmission. During the 2019-2020 flu season, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention predicted that influenza and pneumonia (a life-threatening flu complication that often affects the elderly) will be linked to 38 million illnesses, 405,000 hospitalizations, and 22,000 deaths . The CDC stressed that the numbers are only estimates.

But regarding the 2020-2021 season, the CDC told CNBC that due to the low level of influenza activity last winter, there wasn’t enough flu or flu-related hospitalizations in the United States to use a model to estimate US flu exposure for 2020- 2021. “

“We can say that the low level of flu activity during the 2020-2021 season has contributed to dramatically fewer flu cases, hospital admissions and deaths compared to previous flu seasons,” Lynnette Brammer, team leader of the CDC’s domestic influenza surveillance team, told CNBC on Tuesday.

“For example, in the three seasons leading up to the pandemic, the peak percentage of respiratory viruses that tested positive for flu every week was between 26.2% and 30.3%. However, last season, the percentage of respiratory viruses that tested positive for flu remained lower than “0.4% during each week of a typical flu season.”

In England and Wales for comparison, deaths from influenza and pneumonia in 2018 were 29,516 in England and Wales and 26,398 in 2019, according to the Office for National Statistics. Similar to the US, there was a sharp drop in 2020 with 15,437 deaths related to (and due to) influenza and pneumonia.

Whitty’s comments were taken up by Neil Ferguson, an epidemiologist at Imperial College London who has also advised the UK government on its Covid strategy.

He agreed that “seasonal influenza is likely to be a major problem” when it comes fall and winter.

“All the measures we have taken against Covid around the world have brought the flu to a very low level and basically no one got the flu in the last year, so the immunity has dropped a little … I think we have to go to one Be prepared for potentially quite significant flu. “Epidemic later this year,” he told the BBC show “Today” in late June.

What’s coming?

It’s hard to predict what will happen during the 2021-22 flu season, said CDC’s Brammer, but the CDC is “preparing for flu virus circulation to return to pre-pandemic levels” as some respiratory viruses are already circulating again Pre-pandemic stages.

“We think something similar could happen with the flu, especially as community efforts to contain it continue to relax. , which also circulated at a low level in the 2020-2021 season, is increasing. This increase is outside of the typical season, “she noted.

Several factors “could make the upcoming flu season more severe than usual,” Brammer said:

  • Antibodies that protect against flu decrease over time.
  • Immunity to a flu shot decreases faster than immunity to a natural infection.
  • Since there was little flu virus activity last season, the immunity of adults (especially those who were not vaccinated last season) now depends on exposure to virus two or more seasons earlier.
  • Young children also have lower immunity to the flu. They may not have previously been vaccinated or have had natural exposure. If children return to school and potentially become infected, there could be a higher number of children who have not previously been exposed to the flu and therefore have lower immunity, which could exacerbate illness.

“We know that the flu shot is still the best way to protect yourself and your loved ones from the flu and its potentially serious complications,” added Brammer.

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C.D.C. Says Little one Covid Hospitalizations Are Uncommon, however Extra Frequent Than Flu

According to a study published Friday by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the number of Covid-19-related hospitalizations among teenagers in the United States over the past three flu seasons has been about three times higher than influenza-related hospitalizations.

The results contradict claims that influenza is more threatening to children than Covid-19, an argument used to reopen schools and question the value of vaccinating adolescents against the coronavirus.

“Much of this suffering can be prevented,” said CDC director Dr. Rochelle P. Walensky, in a statement. “Vaccination is our way out of this pandemic.”

Children are at a much lower overall risk of Covid-19 compared to adults, but it is believed that their likelihood of infection and serious illness increases with age. Since the beginning of the pandemic, the hospitalization rate for children ages 12-17 has been 12.5 times lower than that of adults. However, according to the new report, the rate was higher than in children ages 5-11.

The researchers counted Covid-19 hospital stays in children aged 12 to 17 from March 1, 2020 to April 24, 2021. The data came from Covid-Net, a population-based surveillance system in 14 states that covers about 10 percent of Americans.

The number of adolescents hospitalized for Covid-19 decreased in January and February of this year, but rose again in March and April. Between January 1, 2021 and March 31, 2021, 204 teenagers were likely hospitalized mainly for Covid-19. Most children had at least one underlying medical condition, such as obesity, asthma, or a neurological disorder.

None of the children died, but about a third were admitted to intensive care and 5 percent required invasive mechanical ventilation. About two-thirds of adolescents admitted to the hospital were Black or Hispanic American, reflecting the greater risk the virus poses to these populations.

The researchers compared the numbers for Covid-19 to hospital admissions for flu in the same age group during the 2017-18, 2018-19, and 2019-20 flu seasons. From October 1, 2020 to April 24, 2021, adolescent hospital admission rates for Covid-19 were 2.5 to 3.0 times higher than for seasonal flu in previous years.

The rate could have increased this spring due to the more contagious variants of the coronavirus floating around, as well as the reopening of schools that brought children together indoors and looser adherence to precautions like wearing masks and social distancing, the researchers said .

The data adds urgency to the drive to get more teenagers vaccinated, said Dr. Walensky, who added that she was “deeply concerned” with the numbers.

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A Have a look at Previous Vaccine Drives: Smallpox, Polio and the Swine Flu

Scientists developed vaccines less than a year after Covid-19 was identified, reflecting a remarkable advance in vaccine technology. Advances in vaccine distribution, however, are a different story.

Many questions that arose decades ago when vaccines were introduced are still debated today. How should local and federal authorities coordinate? Who should be vaccinated first? What should officials do about resistance in the communities? Should the most affected locations be prioritized? Who should pay?

Some answers can be found in the successes and failures of vaccine campaigns over the past two centuries.

When scientist Edward Jenner discovered that people infected with cowpox became immune to smallpox in 1796, doctors in England went from town to town, deliberately spreading cowpox by scratching infected material into people’s arms.

The rollout worked at the local level, but how could it be distributed to people in remote areas like America, where smallpox had ravaged the population? In 1803 the Spanish government put 22 orphans on a ship to their South American territories. Senior doctor Francisco Xavier de Balmis and his team injected two of the boys with cowpox and then, as soon as cowpox wounds developed, they would take material from the wounds and scratch it into the arms of two more boys.

When the team got to the Americas, only one boy was infected, but that was enough. The distribution of vaccines in the Spanish territories was unsystematic, but eventually members of the Spanish expedition worked with local political, religious and medical authorities to set up vaccination clinics. More than 100,000 people in Mexico received free vaccinations by 1805, according to a magazine article in the Bulletin of the History of Medicine: “The World’s First Vaccination Campaign.”

By the 20th century, when scientists figured out how to store and mass-produce the smallpox vaccine, outbreaks had generally been contained.

However, a 1947 outbreak in New York City, just before an Easter Sunday parade on a warm weekend, was a major problem. The city’s then health commissioner, Israel Weinstein, urged everyone to be vaccinated, even if they were vaccinated as children. Posters all over town warned, “Be safe. Be sure. Get vaccinated! “

The rollout was quick and well orchestrated. Volunteer and professional health care providers went to schools and delivered vaccines to students. At the time, the public had a strong reliance on the medical community, and the modern anti-vaccination movement barely existed. More than six million New Yorkers were vaccinated in less than a month, and the city recorded only 12 infections and two deaths.

On April 12, 1955, the U.S. government approved the first Dr. Jonas Salk developed a vaccine against poliomyelitis after scientists announced that day that it was 80 to 90 percent effective.

The next day, the New York Times reported in a front-page headline: “Supply is said to be low in time, but production is accelerating.”

State and local health officials were responsible for introducing children who were at greatest risk of developing the disease.

“Young African American children were hit but were not at the top of the priority list because of the social conditions at the time,” said Dr. René F. Najera, editor of the History of Vaccines project at the College of Physicians in Philadelphia. Dr. Noting that it was difficult for parents in worker jobs to take the time to be in harmony with children in clinics, Najera said, “You keep seeing this, history repeats itself.”

Shortly after the rollout began, the program was put on hold after reports that children had developed polio in the arms they received the vaccination in rather than the legs, which was more typical of the disease.

More than 250 cases of polio have been traced back to faulty vaccines caused by a manufacturing error from one of the drug makers involved in the effort, Cutter Laboratories in California, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Covid19 vaccinations>

Answers to your vaccine questions

Am I eligible for the Covid vaccine in my state?

Currently more than 150 million people – almost half of the population – can be vaccinated. But each state makes the final decision on who goes first. The country’s 21 million healthcare workers and three million long-term care residents were the first to qualify. In mid-January, federal officials asked all states to open eligibility to anyone over the age of 65 and adults of any age with medical conditions that are at high risk of becoming seriously ill or dying of Covid-19. Adults in the general population are at the end of the line. If federal and state health authorities can remove bottlenecks in the distribution of vaccines, everyone over the age of 16 is eligible as early as spring or early summer. The vaccine has not been approved in children, although studies are ongoing. It can take months before a vaccine is available to anyone under the age of 16. For the latest information on vaccination guidelines in your area, see your state health website

Is the Vaccine Free?

You shouldn’t have to pay anything out of pocket to get the vaccine, despite being asked for insurance information. If you don’t have insurance, you should still get the vaccine for free. Congress passed law this spring banning insurers from applying cost-sharing such as a co-payment or deductible. It consisted of additional safeguards prohibiting pharmacies, doctors, and hospitals from charging patients, including uninsured patients. Even so, health experts fear that patients will end up in loopholes that make them prone to surprise bills. This may be the case for people who are charged a doctor’s visit fee with their vaccine, or for Americans who have certain types of health insurance that are not covered by the new regulations. If you received your vaccine from a doctor’s office or emergency clinic, talk to them about possible hidden costs. To make sure you don’t get a surprise invoice, it is best to get your vaccine at a Department of Health vaccination center or local pharmacy as soon as the shots become more widely available.

Can I choose which vaccine to get?How long does the vaccine last? Do I need another next year?

That is to be determined. It is possible that Covid-19 vaccinations will become an annual event just like the flu vaccination. Or the vaccine may last longer than a year. We’ll have to wait and see how durable the protection from the vaccines is. To determine this, researchers will track down vaccinated people to look for “breakthrough cases” – those people who get Covid-19 despite being vaccinated. This is a sign of a weakening of protection and gives researchers an indication of how long the vaccine will last. They will also monitor the levels of antibodies and T cells in the blood of people who have been vaccinated to see if and when a booster shot might be needed. It is conceivable that people might need boosters every few months, once a year, or just every few years. It’s just a matter of waiting for the data.

Does my employer need vaccinations?Where can I find out more?

The so-called Cutter incident resulted in stricter regulatory requirements and the introduction of the vaccine continued in the fall of 1955. The vaccine prevented thousands of debilitating disease cases, saved lives and ultimately ended the annual epidemic threat in the United States.

H1N1 influenza virus, also known as swine flu, native to Mexico, did not appear during the typical flu season in the spring of 2009.

By late summer, it was clear that the virus was causing fewer deaths than many seasonal strains of flu and that some of the early reports from Mexico were exaggerated. That was one of the main reasons many Americans avoided the flu vaccine when it finished that fall. It wasn’t just the anti-vaccination movement, though that was a factor.

The H1N1 virus was harsh on children and young adults and appeared to have a disproportionately high death rate in pregnant women. Because of these factors, the first groups to be vaccinated after healthcare workers were those at the highest risk of complications, pregnant women and children.

The last group eligible for the vaccine were healthy people over 65 who were the least likely to get the vaccine because they appeared to have some resistance to it.

Donald G. McNeil Jr. contributed to the coverage.