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CDC says 7-day common of each day U.S. Covid instances surpassed peak seen final summer time

A man inquires about a coronavirus disease (COVID-19) test at a mobile testing van in Brooklyn, New York, U.S., June 2, 2021.

Brendan McDermid | Reuters

The seven-day average of daily coronavirus cases in the U.S. surpassed the peak seen last summer when the nation didn’t have an authorized Covid-19 vaccine, CDC Director Dr. Rochelle Walensky said Monday, citing data published over the weekend.

U.S. Covid cases, based on a seven-day moving average, reached 72,790 on Friday, according to data compiled by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. That’s higher than the peak in average daily cases seen last summer, when the country was reporting about 68,700 new cases per day, according to the CDC.

The daily average in Covid cases has since dropped, however, falling to 68,326 new cases per day on Saturday and 63,250 new cases per day on Sunday, according to the agency.

While data published on the CDC website shows a decline in the seven-day average of daily case counts in the following days, a separate coronavirus dataset maintained by Johns Hopkins University does not show a decline. Rather it shows a continued increase in the seven-day average to nearly 80,000 new cases per day as of Sunday.

“While we desperately want to be done with this pandemic, Covid-19 is clearly not done with us and so, our battle must last a little longer,” Walensky said during a White House Covid briefing. “This is hard. This is heavy. But, we are in this together. And as we learn more about Covid, we continue to rely on proven ways to protect ourselves, our children and our loved ones.”

The CDC director’s comments come as Covid cases in the U.S. begin to spike once again, with the highly contagious delta variant fueling infections, particularly in regions of the nation with low vaccination rates.

One out of three Covid cases occurred in Florida and Texas over the past week, White House Covid czar Jeff Zients said Monday. About 17% of cases came from seven states with low vaccination rates, he added.

The seven-day average of hospital admissions is about 6,200 per day, an increase of about 41% from the previous seven-day period, according to Walensky. The seven-day average of daily deaths has also increased to 300 per day, an increase of more than 25%, she said, but still far below last summer’s peak of more than 1,100 daily deaths in early August 2020.

U.S. health officials are urging more Americans to get vaccinated against Covid as the shots have proven to be highly protective against the virus and its new variant, especially against severe disease, hospitalizations and death.

Earlier Monday, updated CDC data showed 70% of U.S. adults have had at least one shot of a Covid vaccine.

The milestone is about a month behind President Joe Biden’s original Fourth of July goal as health officials have struggled to persuade some Americans to get the shots.

In an attempt to boost the number of shots administered, some state and local officials have either offered incentives to getting vaccinated or enforced mandates.

While a very small portion of vaccinated people can experience so-called breakthrough infections, Walensky emphasized Monday that the vast majority of spread in the country is among the unvaccinated.

“If you are not vaccinated— please, protect yourself and get vaccinated,” she said.

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C.D.C. Inner Report Calls Delta Variant as Contagious as Chickenpox

The Delta variant is much more contagious, is more likely to breach vaccine protection, and can cause more serious illness than any other known version of the virus, according to an internal presentation spread within the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Dr. Rochelle P. Walensky, the agency’s director, admitted on Tuesday that vaccinated people with so-called breakthrough infections of the Delta variant carry just as much virus in their nose and throat as unvaccinated people and can spread it just as easily, albeit less often.

But the internal document sets out a broader and even more somber view of the variant.

The delta variant is more transmissible as the viruses that cause MERS, SARS, Ebola, the common cold, seasonal flu, and smallpox, and according to the document copied by the New York Times, it is as contagious as chickenpox.

The immediate next step for the agency is to “realize that the war has changed,” the document reads. The content was first reported by the Washington Post on Thursday evening.

The tone of the document echoes CDC scientists’ concern about the spread of Delta across the country, said a federal official who saw the research described in the document. The agency plans to publish further data on the variant on Friday.

“The CDC is very concerned about the incoming data that Delta is a very serious threat that requires action now,” the official said.

Coronavirus Pandemic and Life Expectancy in the United States

In the US, there were an average of 71,000 new cases a day as of Thursday. The new data suggests that vaccinated people spread the virus and contribute to these numbers – albeit likely to a far lesser extent than those who were not vaccinated.

Dr. Walensky has called transmission by vaccinated people a rare occurrence, but other scientists have suggested it is more common than previously thought.

The agency’s new masking guidelines for vaccinated individuals, introduced on Tuesday, were based on information contained in the document. The CDC recommended that vaccinated people wear masks indoors in public settings in communities with high virus transmission levels.

Updated

July 31, 2021 at 11:50 p.m. ET

However, the internal document indicates that even this recommendation may not go far enough. “In view of the higher transferability and current vaccination protection, universal masking is essential,” the document says.

The agency’s data suggests that people with weak immune systems should wear masks even in places with low virus transmission. This should include vaccinated Americans who are in contact with young children, older adults, or other vulnerable people.

According to the July 24 CDC quoted in the internal presentation, there are about 35,000 symptomatic infections per week among 162 million Americans vaccinated. However, the agency does not track all mild or asymptomatic infections, so the actual incidence may be higher.

Understand the state of vaccine mandates in the United States

Infection with the delta variant produces amounts of virus in the airways that are ten times higher than in people infected with the also highly contagious alpha variant, the document says.

According to a recent study, the amount of virus in a person infected with Delta is a thousand times higher than in people infected with the original version of the virus.

The CDC document draws on data from several studies, including an analysis of a recent Provincetown, Massachusetts outbreak that began in the city after the July 4th celebrations. By Thursday, that cluster had grown to 882 cases. About 74 percent had been vaccinated, said the local health authorities.

A detailed analysis of the prevalence of the cases showed that people infected with Delta carry enormous amounts of virus in their nose and throat regardless of vaccination status, according to the CDC document.

“This is one of the most impressive examples of citizen science I’ve seen,” said Dr. Celine Gounder, an infectious disease specialist at Bellevue Hospital Center in New York. “The people involved in the Provincetown outbreak meticulously created lists of their contacts and exposures.”

Infection with the Delta variant can be more likely to lead to serious illness, the document says. Studies from Canada and Scotland found that people infected with the variant were more likely to be hospitalized, while research in Singapore suggested that they were more likely to need oxygen.

Still, the CDC’s numbers show the vaccines are highly effective at preventing serious illness, hospitalization and death in people who have been vaccinated, experts said.

“Overall, Delta is the disturbing variant that we already knew it was,” said John Moore, a virologist at Weill Cornell Medicine in New York. “But the sky is not falling and vaccinations are still very protective against the worst of the consequences.”

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CDC warns as contagious as chickenpox, could make individuals sicker

The CDC warned House lawmakers that the delta variant sweeping across the country is as contagious as chickenpox, has a longer transmission window than the original Covid-19 strain and may make older people sicker, even if they’ve been fully vaccinated.

The warning on Thursday was made in a confidential document that was reviewed by CNBC and authenticated by the federal health agency.

Delta, now in at least 132 countries and already the dominant form of the disease in the United States, is more transmissible than the common cold, the 1918 Spanish flu, smallpox, Ebola, MERS and SARS, according to the document. Only measles appears to spread faster than the variant.

“The war has changed,” officials of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention wrote.

Healthcare personnel work in a coronavirus disease (COVID-19) intensive care unit where they are dealing with a surge in cases of the Delta variant at Intermountain Medical Center in Murray, Utah, U.S., in this handout photo provided July 23, 2021.

Intermountain Health | Reuters

Health officials said federal and state leaders should communicate to the public the benefits of getting vaccinated, adding the Covid vaccine shots reduce the risk of severe disease and death “10-fold or greater” and reduce the risk of infection “3-fold.”

Vaccines prevent more than 90% of severe disease, but may be less effective at preventing infection, they said, making community spread among the vaccinated more likely. The document said 35,000 symptomatic infections are occurring per week among 162 million vaccinated Americans.

Separately, the CDC has said 5,914 fully vaccinated people have been hospitalized or have died with Covid infections as of July 19, the most recent data available. Breakthrough cases, which occur in the fully vaccinated, happen more frequently in gatherings of people and in groups at risk of primary vaccine failure, according to the document.

Health officials also said federal and state leaders should consider vaccine mandates, particularly for health-care workers, universal masking and other community mitigation strategies. President Joe Biden announced on Thursday his administration would require federal workers to prove their vaccination status or submit to a series of rigorous safety protocols.

The documents presented to lawmakers came two days after the CDC reversed course on its prior guidance and recommended fully vaccinated Americans who live in areas with high Covid infection rates resume wearing face masks indoors. The guidelines cover about two-thirds of the U.S. population, according to a CNBC analysis.

“My first thoughts in reading it was that everything is a little bit worse than I thought,” said Dr. Robert Wachter, chairman of the Department of Medicine at the University of California at San Francisco, who reviewed the document.

“This document and some of the other information says you’ve got to be open to the possibility that delta is worse in a number of ways and may upend some of our prior assumptions in ways that are meaningful,” he said.

Dr. Paul Offit, who advises the FDA on Covid vaccines, said Friday it is “profoundly” upsetting that the U.S. hasn’t gotten a critical portion of the population vaccinated, adding delta has “changed the game.” About half of the U.S. population is fully vaccinated, according to CDC data.

“Yesterday, you had 90,000 cases and close to 400 deaths,” Offit said. “Those are same numbers you saw last summer. I mean, last summer, you had a fully susceptible population and you had no vaccine.”

He said the CDC documents highlight just how “frustrated” federal officials are, given that there are safe and effective vaccines.

“The war isn’t against the virus anymore. It’s also at some level a war against ourselves,” he said.

People infected with the delta variant carry up to 1,000 times more virus in their nasal passages than other strains, resulting in higher transmissibility, even among the vaccinated, according to federal health officials. The CDC noted that studies in Canada, Singapore and Scotland found higher odds of hospitalization, ICU admission, oxygen needs, pneumonia or death among people infected with the delta variant.

While the variant, which surfaced in India, continues to hit unvaccinated people the hardest, some vaccinated people could be carrying higher levels of the virus than previously understood and are potentially transmitting it to others, CDC Director Dr. Rochelle Walensky said Tuesday. She added the variant behaves “uniquely differently from past strains of the virus.”

“This pandemic continues to pose a serious threat to the health of all Americans,” Walensky told reporters on a call.

Rep. James E. Clyburn, D-S.C., chairman of the Select Subcommittee on the Coronavirus Crisis, said Walensky and White House chief medical advisor Dr. Anthony Fauci briefed the committee on the new data Thursday.

“I am deeply concerned about the rapidly increasing rates of coronavirus infections in states around the country that is being driven by the Delta variant,” Clyburn said in a statement, noting that Covid cases have increased by 145% in the last two weeks and hospitalizations and deaths are rising again, particularly in areas with low vaccination rates. “This sudden turn of events threatens to undermine the significant progress we have made this year to overcome the pandemic.”

–CNBC’s Rich Mendez, Robert Towey and Nate Rattner contributed to this report.

Download the full CDC presentation here.

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Vaccinated Folks Could Unfold the Virus, Although Hardly ever, C.D.C. Reviews

In another unexpected and unwelcome twist in the pandemic, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention released a report on Friday strongly suggesting that fully immunized people with so-called breakthrough Delta variant infections can pass the virus on to others as easily as unvaccinated people People.

The vaccines remain highly effective against serious illness and death, and the agency said infections are comparatively rare in people who have been vaccinated. But the reveal follows a number of other recent discoveries about the Delta variant that have turned scientists’ understanding of the coronavirus on its head.

In the new report, which should explain the agency’s sudden revision of its masking recommendations for vaccinated Americans, the CDC described an outbreak in Provincetown, Massachusetts this month that rose rapidly to 470 cases in Massachusetts alone by Thursday.

Three quarters of those infected were fully immunized, and the Delta variant was found in most of the genetically analyzed samples. Vaccinated and unvaccinated people who were infected carried high levels of the virus, the agency reported.

“High viral loads indicate an increased risk of transmission and raised concerns that, unlike other variants, people infected with Delta can transmit the virus,” said Dr. Rochelle Walensky, director of the CDC, on Friday.

The viral load data shows that even fully vaccinated people can spread the virus just as easily as unvaccinated people who become infected. “We believe this can be done on an individual level, which is why we have updated our recommendation,” said Dr. Walensky in an email to the New York Times earlier this week.

An internal agency document the Times received Thursday evening indicated even greater concern among CDC scientists, raising harrowing questions about the virus and its trajectory.

The delta variant is about as contagious as chickenpox, the document says, and universal masking may be necessary. Nevertheless, according to the agency, breakthrough infections are rare overall.

On Friday, the Kaiser Family Foundation reported that the breakthrough rate among fully vaccinated people in states that store such data is less than 1 percent.

The accumulated research on the variant messes up the country’s plans to return to offices and schools this fall, and enlivens tough questions about masking, testing, and other precautions that Americans had hoped were behind them.

Government officials and scientists alike are seriously concerned that the results could shake confidence in the vaccines and shake the nation’s delayed vaccination campaign if Americans mistakenly conclude that the vaccinations are not effective.

Concerned about the delayed campaign, President Biden has ordered all federal employees to be vaccinated or tested for viruses on a weekly basis. Support for vaccination regulations is growing at some companies and in some parts of the country.

Developing research into the Delta variant has humiliated scientists around the world who are now asking themselves new questions about the virus that they had not considered.

They do not understand the circumstances that can increase the likelihood of a breakthrough infection, nor who is most at risk. They don’t know for sure that the Delta variant causes more severe illness in unvaccinated people who become infected, although early data suggests it.

“We spent so much time, energy, and treasure last year trying to figure out this damn virus and how it works and what it does,” said Dr. Robert Wachter, chairman of the Department of Medicine at the University of California. San Francisco.

To learn how differently the Delta variant differs from the original virus is “just plain staggering,” he added. “The brain doesn’t like being pushed around like that.”

While breakthrough infections are rare, the new data suggest that those who were vaccinated may contribute to an increase in new infections – albeit likely to a far lesser extent than those who were not. Breakthrough infections have always been reckoned with, but until the arrival of the Delta variant, vaccinated Americans were not seen as drivers of its spread in the community.

“Delta teaches us to expect the unexpected,” said John Moore, a virologist at Weill Cornell Medicine in New York. “There are aspects of what we now know that we don’t see coming.”

Updated

July 30, 2021, 7:36 p.m. ET

The finding is frightening, but vaccines remain the only reliable shield against the virus in whatever form. Even with the Delta variant, the vaccines largely prevent infection and significantly reduce the likelihood of serious illness or death in the event of an infection.

Nationwide, about 97 percent of people hospitalized with Covid-19 are unvaccinated, according to the CDC.

“Full vaccination is very protective, even against Delta,” said Angela Rasmussen, researcher at the Organization for Vaccines and Infectious Diseases at the University of Saskatchewan in Canada.

“Masks are a wise precaution, but most of the transmission occurs among the unvaccinated and that is still the most at risk,” she added.

The accumulated research underscores the urgency to accelerate the rate of vaccination in the United States and reduce the number of people susceptible to serious illnesses. This week, the vaccination rate in the European Union exceeded that in the US for the first time.

About 58 percent of Americans 12 years and older are fully vaccinated. The rate of vaccination has slowed to just over 500,000 people a day, although it has swung up slightly in recent weeks as infections pick up again.

In the UK, where the variant seems to have subsided after an increase, vaccinations have been introduced by age and a much higher proportion of people over 50 are vaccinated than in the United States.

Understand the state of vaccine mandates in the United States

Vaccination rates are much more inconsistent across the United States, said Bill Hanage, an epidemiologist at Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health. “The result is that what Delta is doing in the UK is not necessarily what it will be doing in places with very different vaccinations,” he said.

“Things are getting worse than they would have been,” without the variant, he added. “But they will be much better than they would have been without the vaccination.”

In its report on Friday, the CDC urged local and state officials in jurisdictions with even lower virus concentrations to consider precautions such as masking and restricting gatherings. The CDC internal document sounded more urgent, recommending that the agency “recognize that the war has changed”.

Indeed, the questions Americans now face seem almost inexhaustible, almost insoluble. Should companies allow employees to return to work when vaccinated people could occasionally spread the variant? What does this mean for shops, restaurants and schools? Are unmasked family celebrations off the table again?

With the number of daily cases averaging nearly 72,000 on Friday, the new data suggests vaccinated people with young children, aging parents, or friends and family with weak immune systems may need to wear masks to protect those around them – even in Communities with lower infection rates.

The Provincetown, Massachusetts outbreak germinated this month after more than 60,000 revelers celebrated the July 4th gathering in crowded bars, restaurants, guest houses and rental apartments, often indoors.

On July 3, there were no cases in the city or the surrounding district. By July 10, officials saw an increase and by July 17 there were 177 cases per 100,000 people. The outbreak has since spread to nearly 900 people across the country.

“Vaccines are like waders,” said Dr. Rasmussen. “They keep you dry when you wade through a river, but when you get too deep, water starts flowing over it. That seems to have happened with the Massachusetts eruption. “

Three-quarters of citizens linked to the outbreak reported a cough, headache, sore throat, or fever – symptoms of an upper respiratory tract infection – and 74 percent were known to be fully immunized.

Of the five people hospitalized, four were fully vaccinated – one with the Pfizer BioNTech vaccine and three with the Johnson & Johnson vaccine. Two of the vaccinated patients had previous illnesses. The genetic analysis of 133 cases identified the delta variant in 119 cases and a closely related virus in another case.

Scientists even warned last year that the vaccines may not completely prevent infection or transmission. However, experts didn’t expect these infections to play a significant role in the fight against the virus, nor did they anticipate how quickly the Delta variant would rip across the country.

“Two months ago I thought we were over the top,” said Dr. Guardian. In San Francisco, the most heavily vaccinated city in the country, 77 percent of people over the age of 12 are vaccinated.

And yet the hospital he works in has grown significantly, from a Covid-19 case on June 1 to 40 now. 15 of the patients are in intensive care.

“When a 70 or 75 percent immunity doesn’t protect the community, I think it’s very difficult to extrapolate what happens to a place that is 30 percent vaccinated,” said Dr. Guardian. “Humility is perhaps the most important thing here.”

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CDC research reveals 74% of individuals contaminated in Massachusetts Covid outbreak had been absolutely vaccinated

Boston EMS medics work to resuscitate a patient on the way to the ambulance amid the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Boston, Massachusetts, April 27, 2020.

Brian Snyder | Reuters

About three-fourths of people infected in a Massachusetts Covid-19 outbreak were fully vaccinated against the coronavirus, according to new data published Friday by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

The new data, published in the U.S. agency’s Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report, also found that fully vaccinated people who get infected carry as much of the virus in their nose as unvaccinated people, and could spread it to other individuals.

“This finding is concerning and was a pivotal discovery leading to CDC’s updated mask recommendation,” CDC Director Dr. Rochelle Walensky said in a statement. “The masking recommendation was updated to ensure the vaccinated public would not unknowingly transmit virus to others, including their unvaccinated or immunocompromised loved ones.”

On Tuesday, the CDC reversed course on its prior guidance and recommended fully vaccinated Americans who live in areas with high Covid infection rates resume wearing face masks indoors. The guidelines cover about two-thirds of the U.S. population, according to a CNBC analysis.

While the delta variant continues to hit unvaccinated people the hardest, some vaccinated people could be carrying higher levels of the virus than previously understood and are potentially transmitting it to others, Walensky told reporters on a call Tuesday. She added the variant behaves “uniquely differently from past strains of the virus.”

A CDC document that was reviewed by CNBC warned that the delta variant sweeping across the country is as contagious as chickenpox, has a longer transmission window than the original Covid strain and may make older people sicker, even if they’ve been fully vaccinated.

Delta, now in at least 132 countries and already the dominant form of the disease in the United States, is more transmissible than the common cold, the 1918 Spanish flu, smallpox, Ebola, MERS and SARS, according to the document. Only measles appears to spread faster than the variant.

The data published Friday was based on 469 cases of Covid associated with multiple summer events and large public gatherings held in July in Barnstable County, Mass., according to the CDC. The events were held in an unnamed town in Barnstable, which encompasses Cape Cod and is just outside Martha’s Vineyard. Approximately three quarters, or 74%, of the cases occurred in fully vaccinated people who had completed a two-dose course of the mRNA vaccines or received a single dose of Johnson & Johnson’s.

Overall, 274 vaccinated patients with a breakthrough infection were symptomatic, according to the CDC. The most common side effects were cough, headache, sore throat, muscle pain and fever. Among five Covid patients who were hospitalized, four were fully vaccinated, according to the agency. No deaths were reported.

Testing identified the delta variant in 90% of specimens from 133 patients.

The CDC the data has limitations. The agency noted that as population-level vaccination coverage increases, vaccinated persons are likely to represent a larger proportion of Covid cases. Additionally, asymptomatic breakthrough infections might be underrepresented because of detection bias, the agency said.

The CDC also said the report is “insufficient” to draw conclusions about the effectiveness of the authorized vaccines against Covid, including the delta variant, during this outbreak.

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C.D.C. Says Some Vaccinated Individuals Ought to Put on Masks Once more

Revising a decision made just two months ago, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said on Tuesday that people vaccinated against the coronavirus should resume wearing masks in public indoor spaces in parts of the country where the virus is surging.

C.D.C. officials also recommended universal masking for teachers, staff, students and visitors in schools, regardless of vaccination status and community transmission of the virus. With additional precautions, schools nonetheless should return to in-person learning in the fall, according to agency officials.

The recommendations are another baleful twist in the course of America’s pandemic, a war-weary concession that the virus is outstripping vaccination efforts. The agency’s move follows rising case counts in states like Florida and Missouri, as well as growing reports of breakthrough infections of the more contagious Delta variant among people who are fully immunized.

“The Delta variant is showing every day its willingness to outsmart us,” Dr. Rochelle Walensky, director of the C.D.C., said at a news briefing on Tuesday.

C.D.C. officials were persuaded by new scientific evidence showing that even vaccinated people may become infected and may carry the virus in great amounts, perhaps even similar to those in unvaccinated people, Dr. Walensky acknowledged at the news briefing.

Data from several states and other countries show that the variant behaves differently from previous versions of the coronavirus, she added: “This new science is worrisome and unfortunately warrants an update to our recommendation.”

“This is not a decision we at C.D.C. have made lightly,” Dr. Walensky added. “This weighs heavily on me.” Americans are tired and frustrated, she said, and mental health challenges are on the rise.

Jen Psaki, the White House press secretary, said at a news conference on Tuesday that changing the masking guidance was crucial to “battling an ever-evolving virus,” and that the Biden administration supported the effort.

“The virus is changing, we are dealing with a dynamic situation,” said Dr. Anthony S. Fauci, the Biden administration’s top pandemic adviser. The C.D.C. is correct to revisit its recommendations as the research evolves, he said.

“I don’t think you can say that this is just flip-flopping back and forth,” he added. “They’re dealing with new information that the science is providing.”

The vaccines remain remarkably effective against the worst outcomes of infection with any form of the coronavirus, including hospitalization and death. But the new guidelines explicitly apply to both the unvaccinated and vaccinated, a sharp departure from the agency’s position since May that vaccinated people do not need to wear masks in most indoor spaces.

Those recommendations, which seemed to signal a winding down of the pandemic, were based on earlier data suggesting that vaccinated people rarely become infected and almost never transmit the virus, making masking unnecessary.

But that was before the arrival of the Delta variant, which now accounts for the bulk of infections in the United States. And it may be followed by others. “The big concern is that the next variant that might emerge — just potentially a few mutations away — could evade our vaccine,” she said.

Some public health experts welcomed the agency’s decision to revise its guidelines. Based on what scientists are learning about the Delta variant’s ability to cause breakthrough infections, “this is a move in the right direction,” said Dr. Celine Gounder, an infectious disease specialist at Bellevue Hospital Center in New York.

The American Federation of Teachers and the National Education Association, the two leading teachers’ unions, strongly endorsed the C.D.C.’s move to universal masking in schools.

“Masking inside schools, regardless of vaccine status, is required as an important way to deal with the changing realities of virus transmission,” said Randi Weingarten, president of the A.F.T. “It is a necessary precaution until children under 12 can receive a Covid vaccine and more Americans over 12 get vaccinated.”

Whether state and local health officials are willing to follow the agency’s guidance is far from certain. And there is sure to be resistance from pandemic-fatigued Americans, particularly in regions of the country where vaccination rates are low and concerns about the virus are muted.

Some jurisdictions, like Los Angeles County and St. Louis County, Mo., have already reinstated mask mandates in response to rising cases. But officials some communities in Los Angeles County have said they will not enforce a mandate. Arkansas, one of the states with the highest numbers, has retained a ban on mask mandates even as vaccination rates lag.

Updated 

July 27, 2021, 4:16 p.m. ET

Businesses, too, are likely to find that new mask recommendations complicate return to office plans in places where the virus is spreading and may necessitate mandates for employees to receive vaccines.

The Washington Post, for example, on Tuesday said it would require proof of vaccination as a condition of employment when workers return to the office in September, after hearing concerns from many employees about the emergence of coronavirus variants.

If businesses believe that such mandates would be beneficial, “we encourage them to do so,” Dr. Walensky said at the news briefing. “We’re encouraging, really, any activities that would motivate further vaccination.”

As recently as last week, a C.D.C. spokesman said that the agency had no plans to change its masking guidance, unless there were a significant change in the science. But researchers have begun to turn up disturbing data.

The Delta variant is thought to be about twice as contagious as the original version of the virus. Some research now suggests that people infected with the variant carry about a thousandfold more virus than those infected with other variants, and may stay infected for longer.

C.D.C. officials were swayed by new research showing that even vaccinated people may carry great amounts of the variant virus in the nose and throat, hinting that they also may spread it to others.

Large so-called viral loads may help explain reports of breakthrough infections in groups of vaccinated people. For example, an outbreak that began in Provincetown, Mass., after Fourth of July festivities there has grown to include at least 765 cases, according to Steve Katsurinis, chair of the Provincetown Board of Health.

Of the 469 cases reported among Massachusetts residents alone, 74 percent were in people who were fully immunized, Mr. Katsurinis said.

Smaller clusters of breakthrough infections have been reported after weddings, family reunions and dinner parties. Some of the infected had symptoms, but the vast majority were not seriously ill, suggesting that immunity produced by the vaccines quickly curbs the virus.

Vaccines “are not a force field,” said Jennifer Nuzzo, an epidemiologist at Johns Hopkins University’s Bloomberg School of Public Health. Instead, vaccination trains the immune system to recognize cells that become infected with the virus.

Understand the State of Vaccine Mandates in the U.S.

“The term breakthrough infection is probably a bit misleading,” she said. “It’s probably more realistic that we talk about breakthrough disease and how much of that is occurring.”

Dr. Walensky on Tuesday again urged people to get vaccinated, noting that the rise of cases and hospitalizations is greatest in places with low vaccination rates and among unvaccinated people.

She acknowledged that some vaccinated people can become infected with the Delta variant and may be contagious, but maintained that it was a rare event. So far vaccinated people account for just 3 percent of hospitalizations, officials have found.

The C.D.C. is not routinely tallying breakthrough infections unless they lead to hospitalization or death among vaccinated Americans. But the agency is tracking more than 20 groups of Americans to see how often breakthrough infections occur and under what circumstances.

Dr. Gounder and other experts said that it is unclear how often vaccinated people transmit the virus to others, but it may be more common than scientists had predicted as the original virus spread last year.

“We’ve seen increasing numbers of breakthrough infections, and it seems like most of those may be happening in places where people are exposed to a lot of Covid,” said Dr. Scott Dryden-Peterson, an infectious disease physician and epidemiologist at Brigham & Women’s Hospital in Boston, who has been reviewing breakthrough infections in Massachusetts.

Vaccinated people — particularly those with weak immune systems or otherwise at high risk — should consider wearing masks even in areas of low transmission, he said: “Masks can effectively reduce the amount of virus that we breathe in and prevent us from getting sick, and so they augment the impact of our vaccine. Almost everywhere in the U.S., it’s a good idea.”

Infections have been rising swiftly in the United States, to more than 56,000 daily cases on average, as of Tuesday, more than four times the number a month ago. Hospitalizations have also been ticking up in nearly all states, and deaths have risen to an average of 275 per day.

“Given what we’re seeing, that’s absolutely needed right now to slow and curb transmission,” Dr. Robby Sikka, a physician who worked with the N.B.A.’s Minnesota Timberwolves, said of the new masking guidance.

“Not everyone who has a breakthrough infection will be at risk for transmission, but it’s imperative to note that there is a risk of transmission,” he said.

But Dr. Sikka noted that relying on states or localities to set masking rules will require more testing than is being done now to identify people with mild or asymptomatic infections. “That’s something that we’re probably not totally prepared to do,” he said.

Given that the virus seems likely to become endemic, permanently embedded in American life, federal officials need to articulate an even clearer plan for long-term masking, Dr. Nuzzo said.

“The question is, what are the off ramps for masking? It’s really important for us to define that,” she said. “If we want to continue to ask people to step up, we need to give them a vision of what we’re working toward.”

The C.D.C. should have simply made a universal recommendation and told all Americans to wear masks indoors, said Ali Mokdad, an epidemiologist at University of Washington and former C.D.C. scientist.

“The director said the guidance is for people in areas of high transmission, but if you look at the country, every state is seeing a rise in transmission,” Dr. Mokdad said. “So why not say, ‘Everybody in the U.S. should be wearing a mask indoors?’ The whole country is on fire.”

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CDC to reverse indoor masks coverage, saying totally vaccinated folks ought to put on them indoors in Covid sizzling spots

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is expected to recommend Tuesday that fully vaccinated people return to wearing masks indoors in locations with high Covid-19 transmission rates, according to those familiar with the matter.

According to the sources, federal health officials still believe that fully vaccinated individuals represent a very low level of transmission. Still, some people vaccinated could carry higher amounts of the virus than previously thought and potentially pass it on to others, they said.

The CDC is expected to hold a briefing on Tuesday at 3 p.m. ET.

The updated guidelines come before the fall season, when the highly contagious Delta variant is expected to lead to a further surge in new coronavirus cases and many large employers plan to bring workers back to the office. In mid-May, the CDC announced that fully vaccinated people would not need to wear masks in most environments, whether indoors or outdoors.

Continue reading: Americans will need masks indoors as the US is heading for a “dangerous fall” with a surge in Delta Covid cases

Health experts fear that Delta, already the dominant form of the disease in the US, hits states with low vaccination rates. These states are now being forced to reintroduce mask rules, capacity limits and other public health measures that they have largely withdrawn in recent months.

White House senior medical advisor Dr. Anthony Fauci said Sunday that the CDC was considering revising mask guidelines for vaccinated Americans, saying it was “in active consideration”.

“It’s a dynamic situation. It’s in the works, it’s developing like so many other areas of the pandemic, “Fauci, also director of the National Institute of Allergies and Infectious Diseases, told CNN. “You need to look at the data.”

The CDC guidelines are just a recommendation, leaving it up to state and local officials to reintroduce their masking rules for specific individuals. But even before the CDC’s expected guidelines on Tuesday, some regions reintroduced mask mandates and notices as Covid cases rose again.

Several California and Nevada counties are now advising all residents to wear masks in public indoor spaces, regardless of whether they are vaccinated or not. In Massachusetts, Provincetown officials advised everyone to return to wearing masks indoors after the July 4 celebrations resulted in an outbreak of new cases.

Experts say Covid prevention strategies remain critical to protecting people from the virus, especially in areas with medium to high transmission rates in the community.

Dr. Paul Offit, a pediatrician and vaccine advocate who served on advisory boards for both the CDC and the Food and Drug Administration, told CNBC earlier this month that the US is still “undervaccinated” and about half the population is not fully vaccinated be .

Even people who are fully protected have cause for concern when it comes to variants of Covid, Offit said. While the vaccines protect well against serious illness and death, they may not protect as well against minor illness or the spread of Covid to others, he said. No vaccine is 100% effective, he noted.

“It is not a bold prediction to believe that SARS-CoV-2 will be circulating in two or three years. I mean, there are 195 countries out there, most of which haven’t received a single dose of vaccine. ”“ Offit said. “Will it still be circulating in the United States? I think that would be very, very likely.”

Israel released preliminary data last week showing that the Pfizer vaccine was only 39% effective against the virus there, which officials attributed to the rapidly spreading Delta variant. Its effectiveness against serious illness and death remained high, the data showed. US and World Health officials said they would look at Israeli research, which was non-peer-reviewed and had few details.

Pfizer, Moderna, and Johnson & Johnson executives have stated that they expect Americans to need booster vaccinations, and Pfizer has announced it will ask the FDA to approve booster vaccinations as it sees signs of waning immunity. Federal health officials say that otherwise healthy people don’t currently require booster doses of the vaccines, although they may recommend it for the elderly or those with compromised immunity.

– CNBC’s Meg Tirrell and The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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Health

C.D.C. to Suggest Some Vaccinated Folks Put on Masks Indoors Once more

Reversing a decision made just two months ago, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is expected to recommend on Tuesday that people vaccinated for the coronavirus resume wearing masks indoors in certain areas of the country.

The change follows reports of rising breakthrough infections with the Delta variant of the virus in people who were fully immunized, and case surges in regions with low vaccination rates. The vaccines remain effective against the worst outcomes of infection with the virus, including those involving the Delta variant.

But the new guidance, the details of which are expected later Tuesday, would mark a sharp turnabout from the agency’s position since May that vaccinated people do not need to wear masks in most indoor spaces.

As recently as last week, an agency spokesman said that the C.D.C. had no plans to change its guidance, unless there were a significant change in the science. Federal officials met on Sunday night to review new evidence that may have prompted the reversal, CNN reported on Tuesday.

“I think that’s great,” said Dr. Celine Gounder, an infectious disease specialist at Bellevue Hospital Center in New York. Based on what scientists are learning about the Delta variant’s ability to cause breakthrough infections, she said, “this is a move in the right direction.”

The C.D.C.’s initial guidance in May said people fully protected from the coronavirus could go mask-free indoors in most scenarios, but recommended that unvaccinated people still wear masks. Those recommendations drew sharp criticism from some experts, who said it was premature given the vast swaths of unvaccinated people in the country.

Dr. Rochelle Walensky, the C.D.C.’s director, at the time pointed to two scientific findings as significant factors. Few vaccinated people become infected with the virus, and transmission seems rarer still, she noted; and the vaccines appear to be effective against all known variants of the coronavirus.

A day after the announcement, the agency released results from a large study showing that the mRNA vaccines made by Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna were 94 percent effective in preventing symptomatic illness in those who got two doses, and 82 percent effective in those who had received one dose.

But those data, and the C.D.C.’s decision, were based on infections of previous versions of the virus before the Delta variant began sweeping through the country. Reports of clusters of infections among fully immunized people have suggested that the variant may be able to break through the vaccine barrier more often than previous iterations of the virus.

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Health

C.D.C. Warns of Superbug Fungus Outbreaks in 2 Cities

While C. auris has long been notoriously hard to treat, researchers for the first time identified five patients in Texas and Washington, D.C., whose infections did not respond to any of the three major classes of antifungal medication. So-called panresistance had been previously reported in three patients in New York who were being treated for C. auris, but health officials said the newly reported panresistant infections occurred in patients who had never received antifungal drugs, said Dr. Meghan Lyman, a medical officer at the C.D.C. who specializes in fungal diseases.

“The concerning thing is that the patients at risk are no longer the small population of people who have infections and are already being treated with these medications,” she said.

Infectious disease specialists say the coronavirus pandemic has probably accelerated the spread of the fungus. The shortages of personal protective equipment that hobbled health care workers during the early months of the pandemic, they say, increased opportunities for the fungus’s transmission, especially among the thousands of Covid-19 patients who ended up on invasive mechanical ventilation.

The chaos of recent months also did not help. “Infection control efforts at most heath care systems are stretched thin in the best of times, but with so many Covid patients, resources that might have gone to infection control were diverted elsewhere,” Dr. Clancy said.

For many health experts, the emergence of a panresistant C. auris is a sobering reminder about the threats posed by antimicrobial resistance, from superbugs like MRSA to antibiotic-resistant salmonella. Such infections sicken 2.8 million Americans a year and kill 35,000, according to the C.D.C.

Dr. Michael S. Phillips, chief epidemiologist at NYU/Langone Health, said health systems across the country were struggling to contain the spread of such pathogens. The problem, he said, was especially acute in big cities like New York, where seriously ill patients shuttle between nursing homes with lax infection control and top-notch medical centers that often draw patients from across a wider region.

“We need to do a better job at surveillance and infection control, especially in places where we put patients in group settings,” he said. “Candida auris is something we should be concerned about, but we can’t lose sight of the bigger picture because there are a lot of other drug-resistant bugs out there we should be worried about.”

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Politics

Appeals courtroom blocks CDC restrictions on cruises in win for Florida

The Royal Caribbean’s Odyssey of The Seas arrives at Port Everglades on June 10, 2021 in Fort Lauderdale, Florida.

Joe Raedle | Getty Images

A federal appeals court on Friday sided with Florida in its challenge against the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention over federal regulations for cruise ships that the state said were too onerous and were costing it millions of dollars in foregone tax revenue.

The two-page ruling from the 11th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals marks an unusual reversal from the appeals panel’s ruling in the matter delivered on Saturday.

The court did not explain the reason for the change, though the latest ruling came just hours after Florida brought the case to the Supreme Court, seeking to reverse the 11th Circuit’s previous move. That action will likely be withdrawn now.

The CDC rules have hampered the cruise industry from returning fully to business amid the nation’s vaccine-driven recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic. Early in the public health crisis, cruise lines were subject to a number of high-profile outbreaks. The industry was among the hardest hit by the coronavirus.

A federal district court in Florida sided with the state last month in response to a lawsuit filed by Ashley Moody, the Republican attorney general. Over the weekend, the 11th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals temporarily halted that decision, which allowed the CDC rules to remain in place.

The 11th Circuit decision on Saturday was made by a vote of 2-1. Friday’s decision was unanimous.

Shares of cruise lines Carnival Cruises, Royal Caribbean and Norwegian Cruise Line each fell further than the broader market following the release of the 11th Circuit decision on Monday.

On Friday afternoon, Moody brought the case to the Supreme Court in an emergency filing, asking the top court to reverse the appeals court’s decision.

“The CDC’s Order is manifestly beyond its authority, as the district court correctly concluded in preliminarily enjoining it,” Moody wrote in the filing.

Moody said that the CDC’s rules amount to an “an ever-changing array of requirements” that are posted to the agency’s website.

In addition, she wrote, the CDC rules require cruise lines to “establish COVID-19 testing laboratories, run self-funded experiments called ‘test voyages,’ and comply with social-distancing requirements throughout ships, including in outdoor areas like swimming pools and while waiting in line for the bathroom.”

Moody wrote that only five ships out of 65 subject to the CDC’s cruise rules had been approved to sail at the time the 11th Circuit issued its ruling. She wrote in the filing that the restrictions on cruises have cost Florida tens of millions of dollars in tax and port revenues. Without further action, the restrictions were set to remain in place until November 2021.

The CDC did not immediately return a request for comment.

The 11th Circuit decision comes as the nation is seeing a rise in Covid-19 cases, largely among individuals who have not been vaccinated, attributed to the highly transmissible delta variant.

Moody said Wednesday that she had contracted Covid-19 despite receiving a vaccine. In a post Friday on Twitter, Moody said she was still experiencing mild symptoms and encouraged people to get vaccinated.