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Pompeo Returns Cuba to Terrorism Sponsor Listing, Constraining Biden’s Plans

WASHINGTON – The State Department on Monday named Cuba a state sponsor of terrorism in a short-term foreign policy stroke that will complicate plans by the new Biden administration to restore friendlier ties with Havana.

In a statement, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo cited Cuba’s reception of 10 Colombian rebel leaders as well as a handful of American refugees wanted for crimes in the 1970s and Cuba’s support for Venezuela’s authoritarian leader Nicolás Maduro.

Mr Pompeo said the operation sent the message that “the Castro regime must end its support for international terrorism and the subversion of the US justice system”.

The New York Times reported last month that Mr Pompeo was considering the move and had a plan on his desk.

The move, announced only a few days ago in the Trump administration, reverses a step taken in 2015 after President Barack Obama restored diplomatic relations with Cuba and described his decades of political and economic isolation as a relic of the Cold War.

After his tenure, President Trump acted swiftly to undermine Mr Obama’s policies of openness, to the delight of Cuban-American and other Latino voters in Florida, who welcomed his aggressive stance on Havana and its socialist, anti-American ally, Mr Maduro.

Other Republicans cheered Mr. Trump, saying Havana failed to push through political overhauls and continued to crack down on dissent and break promises it made to the Obama administration.

U.S. officials said the plan to put Cuba back on the terrorism sponsor list was drawn up in a departure from the standard process by the State Department’s Western Hemisphere Affairs Office, rather than the Counter-Terrorism Bureau, which normally plays a pivotal role such a decision would play.

Monday’s denomination said Cuba had “repeatedly provided support for acts of international terrorism,” according to the Foreign Ministry’s criteria for listing countries that include only three other nations: Iran, North Korea and Syria.

The move automatically triggers United States sanctions against Cuba – likely negligible effects, experts said given the magnitude of the existing American penalties against Havana.

But the action could be a symbolic deterrent for businesses and “add another of many negative incentives to look for ways to export, import from, or provide services to Cuba,” said John Kavulich, president of trade – and Economic Council of the USA and Cuba.

The statement by Mr Pompeo cited Cuba’s refusal to extradite ten leaders of the Colombian National Liberation Army. A foreign terrorist organization that has lived in Havana since 2017 was also named. The leaders traveled to Havana for peace talks in 2017 to end a long riot in Colombia and have not returned home.

The National Liberation Army has taken responsibility for a bomb attack on a police academy in Bogotá in January 2019 that killed 22 people and injured more than 87 others.

Mr Pompeo also cited the presence in Cuba of three refugees who were charged or convicted of murder in the early 1970s, including Joanne D. Chesimard, 73, a former member of the Black Liberation Army, now called Assata Shakur, who remains on the List of FBI Most Wanted Terrorists Who Killed a New Jersey State Soldier in 1973.

His statement also stated that the Cuban government “is engaged in a range of malicious behaviors across the region” and that its intelligence and security services are “assisting Nicolás Maduro in maintaining his stranglehold on his people and enabling terrorist organizations to operate,” the Cuban Government supported Colombian rebels beyond their borders and that their support for Maduro had helped “create a permissive environment for international terrorists to live and prosper in Venezuela”.

Speaking of a return to Obama’s more open approach to Havana during the campaign, President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr. vowed to “immediately reverse the failed Trump policies that have harmed the Cuban people and done nothing to move forward Democracy and human rights. “

While the Biden government can remove Cuba from the terrorism list, it requires a screening process that can take months.

Ted A. Henken, associate professor of sociology at Baruch College in New York, called the designation “a symbolic last gesture” by the Trump administration towards Cuba as well as a reward for the Cuban exiled community and like-minded Latino voters who stood for in November gave the president a surprisingly strong number.

“It’s unjustified based on merit or evidence,” he said. “Cuba is a dictatorship that systematically denies its citizens basic rights, but has not been shown to engage in terrorist activities.”

“The label is politically motivated for a domestic audience in the US,” he added.

William LeoGrande, a professor of government at the American University in Washington, noted that Trump’s numerous sanctions against Cuba meant that the new name would have little additional impact.

In the past two years, Cuba has faced the most severe sanctions in the United States in the past 50 years, which have contributed to rationing and the profound shortage of basic necessities such as medicine and food. According to Alejandro Gil, Cuba’s economics minister, the economy contracted by 11 percent last year.

Mr. LeoGrande said the designation could impede legal financial transactions with American financial institutions, such as a U.S. airline that pays the Cuban government for landing fees, as banks become more suspicious of the additional surveillance of such exchanges from Washington.

Banking transactions via third countries could also be affected. During Mr Trump’s tenure, European banks became increasingly reluctant to make payments to Cuban state-owned companies. The island’s terrorism designation could further reduce risk appetite.

Mr LeoGrande said the Cuban government would try to avoid escalating the conflict in the expectation that Mr Biden would try to improve relations.

The news was received with anger on the streets of Havana. “That’s a lie,” said Sergio Herrera, 45, a bicycle taxi driver.

“Trump has his neck in a noose” politically and is “looking for excuses,” he said.

Michael Crowley reported from Washington, Ed Augustin from Havana and Kirk Semple from Mexico City.

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Politics

Pence plans to attend Biden’s inauguration.

Vice President Mike Pence will attend the inauguration of President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr. on Jan. 20, an adviser to the Vice President said on Saturday, a split over President Trump’s decision not to go.

The adviser revealed the decision four days after Mr Pence crouched for cover in the Capitol complex when a crowd of Trump supporters who attended a rally with the president passed the building during certification of the electoral college’s votes.

Mr Trump confirmed on Friday that he would not attend the inauguration.

Mr. Pence was always more likely to attend the inauguration than Mr. Trump, who would almost certainly skip the ceremony. But after the events at the Capitol on Wednesday in which five people died, the decision was awaited by Mr Pence.

Mr Biden said this week that he was glad not to have Mr Trump there, but that Mr Pence was “welcome” and that it would help with the transition. Mr Trump had publicly and privately pressured Mr Pence to revoke the certifications and toss them back to the states so that Mr Trump could try to reverse the results in states that Mr Biden had won.

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Politics

Pence will attend President-elect Joe Biden’s inauguration

United States President Donald Trump listens as Vice President Mike Pence speaks during a press conference in the James Brady Press Briefing Room at the White House on February 29, 2020 in Washington, DC.

Alex Wong | Getty Images

WASHINGTON – Vice President Mike Pence will attend the inauguration of President-elect Joe Biden, a well-known person told NBC News.

Pence’s decision to watch Biden’s swearing-in ceremony on January 20 in the U.S. Capitol marks another public break with President Donald Trump since the riots that rocked Washington. On Friday, Trump said he would skip Biden’s inauguration, a move that appeared to undermine the president’s message of national “healing and reconciliation” the day before.

Speaking from Wilmington, Delaware on Friday, Biden welcomed Trump’s decision, calling it “one of the few things we ever agreed on”.

At the suggestion of Pence’s potential participation, Biden said it was “an honor to have him there and to help advance the transition.”

“I think it is important that we stick as closely as possible to the historical precedents and circumstances under which an administration changes,” said Biden.

U.S. President-elect Joe Biden attends a briefing to make comments on the U.S. response to the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak on December 29, 2020 at his headquarters in Wilmington, Delaware.

Jonathan Ernst | Reuters

Traditionally, incoming and outgoing presidents drive together from the White House to the US Capitol for the inauguration ceremony.

Trump isn’t the first outgoing president to skip his successor’s inauguration. The others, according to the White House Historic Association, were Presidents John Adams, John Quincy Adams, and Andrew Johnson. Like Trump, Johnson was also charged.

Before the inauguration, which takes place in less than two weeks, more than 6,200 National Guard personnel will be stationed in the country’s capital and will stay in the region for at least 30 days.

The mobilization ensures that the members of the National Guard are available for Biden’s inauguration in the Capitol.

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Politics

Trump won’t attend Biden’s inauguration after U.S. Capitol riots

U.S. President Donald Trump listens during a meeting in Washington, DC, the United States, on Monday, June 15, 2020.

Doug Mills | NYTimes | Getty Images

WASHINGTON – President Donald Trump announced on Friday that he will not attend the inauguration of President-elect Joe Biden, who will take command in less than two weeks.

Trump isn’t the first outgoing president to skip his successor’s inauguration. The others, according to the White House Historic Association, were Presidents John Adams, John Quincy Adams, and Andrew Johnson. Like Trump, Johnson was also charged.

“For everyone who asked, I won’t go to the inauguration on January 20th,” Trump tweeted. It was his third tweet since Twitter unblocked his account after a 12-hour ban over the deadly riot it sparked at the U.S. Capitol on Wednesday.

Biden said in a press conference on Friday that he agreed that Trump should not attend the inauguration.

“On the way here I was told that he said he would not show up at the inauguration: one of the few things he and I ever agreed on,” Biden said.

Biden’s victory was projected by all major news agencies in mid-November and confirmed by votes by the electoral college in mid-December. The Republican president has falsely insisted that he won a “landslide” and has baselessly claimed that his re-election was stolen by massive election fraud.

His refusal to accept the election results culminated on Wednesday when swarms of his supporters stormed the U.S. Capitol and derailed the Congressional process to count the votes and confirm Biden’s November 3rd election victory.

Vice President Mike Pence and Second Lady Karen Pence have not decided whether they will attend, said Pence spokesman Devin O’Malley. Biden said Friday that Pence is welcome to attend the inauguration.

Former President Barack Obama and former First Lady Michelle Obama will attend Biden’s inauguration. Bill Clinton and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, who attended Trump’s inauguration, plan to attend Biden’s inauguration, according to a Clintons spokesman. Former President George W. Bush and former First Lady Laura Bush have also announced that they will attend. The bushes attended the inaugurations of former President Barack Obama and Trump.

Former President Jimmy Carter will not be in attendance due to Covid and health conditions, according to a spokesman. 96 year old Carter, the oldest living president. and former first lady Rosalyn Carter attended the inaugurations of Obama and Trump.

Trump’s decision not to attend Biden’s inauguration comes a day after he finally conceded the presidential election.

In a nearly three-minute video released Thursday, Trump admitted, without mentioning Biden’s name, that “a new government will be inaugurated on January 20.”

“My focus is now on ensuring a smooth, orderly and seamless transfer of power,” said the president in his first video statement after the uprising.

“Now the minds have to be cooled and the calm restored. We have to get on with business in America,” said Trump of the pandemic in the US Capitol.

“For those who have committed violence and destruction, you are not representing our country. And for those who have broken the law, you will pay,” Trump said.

Five people died in the violence, including a Capitol police officer. The White House expressed condolences on Thursday for the deaths.

Trump had encouraged thousands of supporters during a rally outside the White House on Wednesday to march to the Capitol to protest the historically ceremonial procedures regarding the election of the electoral college.

As protesters besieged the Capitol, Trump, who had returned to the White House after his speech, told supporters in a tweet video: “You have to go home now.” The president stopped condemning the violence and told the mob, “We love you, you are very special.”

Pro-Trump supporters storm the U.S. Capitol following a rally with President Donald Trump on January 6, 2021 in Washington, DC.

Samuel Corum | Getty Images

Following the violence, Pentagon and local DC officials attempted to explain why the National Guard forces were not deployed immediately.

Army secretary Ryan McCarthy, who is in charge of the DC Guard, said Thursday that law enforcement and defense officials received conflicting information prior to the riot.

“There were estimates of 80,000, there were estimates of 20-25. Coming back to pure intelligence, it was” all across the board, “McCarthy said when asked about crowd control preparations.

Pentagon officials also said they had timely approved requests from DC Mayor Muriel Bowser.

Bowser said the restrictions imposed by the Pentagon on the deployment of troops hampered their ability to deploy forces quickly when conditions worsened.

Trump said in the video on Thursday that he had “immediately” dispatched members of the National Guard to the Capitol to contain the unrest. However, the New York Times reported that the president had initially turned down requests to mobilize these troops.

By the weekend, 6,200 National Guard employees will be stationed in the country’s capital and will stay in the region for at least 30 days. The month-long mobilization ensures that the members of the National Guard are present at the dedication in front of the US Capitol.

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Politics

Congress is ready to substantiate Joe Biden’s win over Trump. Here is what to know

The U.S. Capitol Building is reflected in a puddle in Washington, United States, on November 10, 2020.

Hannah McKay | Reuters

Congress on Wednesday will count and confirm the votes cast by the electoral college, a process that will virtually finalize President-elect Joe Biden’s victory despite recent plans by some Republicans to question the election results.

The joint session will begin at 1:00 p.m. CET in the House Chamber, and Vice President Mike Pence is expected to chair.

In previous presidential cycles, the event was viewed as more of a formality than another battle in the White House war. After all, it comes more than three weeks after state voters have cast their votes and almost a month after what is known as the safe harbor to settle disputes over the results.

Yet more than a dozen GOP senators and dozens more in the House of Representatives have vowed to raise an unprecedented number of objections to electoral votes in key states despite Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., And other Republicans abandoning the crusade . This could add hours or even days to the certification process, but experts say the final result will stay the same.

“The ultimate outcome, I think, is inevitable,” said Keith Whittington, policy professor at Princeton University, in an interview with CNBC. “It’s just a matter of how long it will be to get there and how many fireworks will be on the way.”

U.S. President-elect Joe Biden jokingly thanks voters for Georgia confirming its victory three times as he camped on behalf of Georgia Democratic U.S. Senate candidates Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock during a January 5 runoff during a car campaign rally in Atlanta, Georgia, Jan. 4, 2021.

Jonathan Ernst | Reuters

The objectors, some of whom are rumored to have presidential ambitions, reworded Wednesday’s joint session as a final opportunity to cast doubts on the electoral process and press for a 10-day review of the results in a number of battlefield states.

Senator Josh Hawley, R-Mo., Was the first in the chamber to announce appeal plans and eleven others, led by Senator Ted Cruz, R-Texas, argued in a later statement that “unprecedented allegations of electoral fraud” and “deep “Suspicion” of the results requires investigation.

None of these senators’ statements made any mention of President Donald Trump, who has a broad and dedicated base of Republican support, had been relentlessly promoting unsubstantiated and exposed fraud conspiracies since the November 3 elections. The president and his allies have also filed dozens of lawsuits aimed at overturning the election results, including in the Supreme Court, but almost all of them have been denied.

Trump refuses to admit Biden, falsely claiming he won the race while pressuring state officials to change the results of their elections and attack Republicans who refused to participate.

The President’s unsubstantiated claim that his election was stolen from him and that many votes for Biden should be rejected poses a threat to Republicans. McConnell reportedly warned his caucus that following Trump’s wishes by objecting to the election count would force a vote that would likely split the party.

This could also cause discomfort to the Vice President, an unwavering loyalist to Trump who is expected to lead the session and ultimately declare Biden the winner. Experts say Pence’s role in the process is largely ceremonial, but Trump has appeared to have been hanging hopes for the past few days on the Vice President, who “comes through” for him on Wednesday.

“If he doesn’t get through, I won’t like him that much, of course,” Trump said Monday night at a rally in Georgia.

Political experts have also warned that Trump’s efforts to undermine confidence in elections could dampen GOP turnout in Georgia’s key runoff races on Tuesday, the results of which will determine Senate party control. On Saturday, Trump pressed the Georgian Foreign Minister Brad Raffensperger in a one-hour phone call To “find” enough votes to undo Biden’s victory there.

After a replay of the call was leaked, Senator Kelly Loeffler, R-Ga., Said on the eve of her race against Democratic candidate Rev. Raphael Warnock that she, too, would appeal. David Perdue, who is running against Jon Ossoff and whose term as Senator in Georgia expired on Sunday, also called on Senate Republicans to raise objections.

Once Congress finishes counting, Biden’s final step is to take the oath of office on January 20th.

This is how the meeting in Congress on Wednesday is expected to go:

The electoral list

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) swears new members of Congress during the first session of the 117th Congress in the Chamber of the House in the U.S. Capitol in Washington, DC, United States, on January 3, 2021.

Thassos Catopodis Reuters

The procedure is scheduled to begin in the house at 1:00 p.m. ET.

Pence receives the electoral lists of the states in alphabetical order. The Republican and Democratic leaders of the House Administration Committee and Senate Rules Committee will receive and count these votes.

Once a state’s record is released, Pence will ask if there are any objections. If at least one member of the Senate and one member of the House objects in writing, the two chambers will be divided for up to two hours of debate. You will then vote on the objections separately.

Traditionally, everything is “pretty superficial,” Whittington said. “It doesn’t take long to open all of the envelopes, record the votes, and then make an announcement.”

All objections are expected to be denied – but the possibility of separate debates over the highlights of several states could mean that the process will drag on far longer than in previous elections. For the past three cycles, certification took less than an hour total, according to NBC News.

Once the votes are counted and the objections resolved, Pence will announce the election results.

Pence in the spotlight

Vice President Mike Pence finishes a swearing in ceremony for senators in the Old Senate Chamber on Capitol Hill on January 3, 2021 in Washington, DC. Both chambers hold rare Sunday events to open the new Congress on January 3rd, as the constitution dictates.

J. Scott Applewhite | Getty Images

Pence, believed to be weighing a 2024 presidential campaign, is likely eager to do whatever it takes to avoid a barrage of criticism from Trump. The president has repeatedly cracked down on other Republicans he previously supported, particularly Georgia Governor Brian Kemp, after they refused to sustain his election overthrow efforts.

Experts say Pence, in his narrow role at Wednesday’s joint session, can do little.

“He opens the ballot. That’s his job,” said Neil Kinkopf, law professor at Georgia State University.

In carefully worded remarks to Georgia voters on Monday, Pence telegraphed support for the president and suggested that he let the process go as expected.

“I know we all have our doubts about the last election. And I want to assure you that I share the concerns of millions of Americans about electoral irregularities,” he said. “And I promise you, come this Wednesday, we’ll have our day in Congress. We’ll hear the objections. We’ll hear the evidence.”

Even so, Trump and his allies have falsely claimed that Pence’s powers are far greater.

“The Vice President has the power to reject fraudulently elected voters,” Trump tweeted on Tuesday.

In late December, Texas Republican MP Louie Gohmert, along with a group of Arizona Republicans, urged a federal court to declare that Pence had a unilateral power to decide which votes to count.

The long-term offer, in which Pence himself was listed as a defendant, was severely pushed back by a Justice Department attorney who represented the vice president. The lawsuit was dismissed last week.

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Business

Specialists Debate Biden’s Local weather Coverage Guarantees

The Biden government is faced with the daunting task of rebuilding international alliances that have frayed in recent years. Expect renewed global climate cooperation to happen quickly, both in prominent settings like the Paris Agreement and in quieter diplomatic efforts, said Rajiv Shah, president of the Rockefeller Foundation and former head of the U.S. Agency for International Development.

These diplomatic moves, “coupled with the running of large corporations and large financial institutions,” would be “a tremendous asset,” he said.

Economy & Economy

Updated

Apr. 11, 2020, 6:16 pm ET

In terms of the private sector, the financial industry could help realign government policy, said Ariel Meyerstein of Citi. “There’s an entirely different infrastructure out there in the financial sector that we’ve been reviewing for a couple of years,” he said. The government could help set standards for investors who pursue environment, society and governance (ESG) goals, he added. When it comes to corporate climate risk disclosure, it would have a bigger impact, he said:

“As we know, there is a dizzying range of standards in ESG and sustainability reporting. We could use alignment there. There are a lot of things that you can call Track II diplomacy or just regulatory engagement that happens in a very robust way in normal times and doesn’t require legislative or administrative action or executive orders or pronouncements. It’s just about coordinating with our colleagues around the world. I think all of this is pretty important. “

The mandatory disclosure of climate risks by publicly traded companies appears to be a “high priority” for the Biden administration, said Rostin Behnam, commissioner at the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. “That’s probably the first thing people think of when they think of climate change and the financial markets.” A new report from the CFTC clearly outlined the risk of climate change to financial stability and explained how the next government could use its findings:

“One of the strongest and most frequently quoted statements at the beginning of the report – which can be viewed or used as a starting point for Day 1 in a new administration – is that climate change is a major risk to the stability of the US Financial system. And I think that in itself will change the way financial regulators think about climate change. “

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World News

Biden’s greatest course for actual Mideast good points is to spend money on Trump’s Abraham Accords

Imagine President-elect Biden faced with two doors that represent the Middle East dilemma he is facing. What he chooses will color his administration and have a historical impact on the most booby-trapped region of the world.

One door is marked “Return to Obama’s Iran Nuclear Deal”.

The other is called “Build On Trump’s Abraham Accord”.

The literature is littered with confusing two-door parables and allegories, from Jesus’ Sermon on the Mount, where the choice is between the wider or the narrower and more difficult road, to Frank R. Stockton’s 1882 short story, “The Lady, or the Tiger?” where two soundproof doors lay in front of the king’s daughter’s lover.

As with most of these stories, there are dangers in every path.

Democratic party politics and election promises suggest that President-elect Biden is swiftly moving towards a return to the nuclear deal known as the JCPOA, a signature achievement for the man who selected him as vice president. President Trump pulled out of the deal in May 2018 after calling it “the worst deal ever”.

The smarter way would be to slowly, carefully, and fearfully move towards the door of Iran and see how much has changed in the Middle East in the four years since President Obama’s departure.

The Obama deal, never blessed by Congressional votes, failed to address Iran’s regional misconduct or its development of ballistic missiles and advanced arms supplies that left negotiators for a later day.

But it is precisely these Iranian advances that were shown in the Iranian cruise missile and drone strikes on Saudi oil fields in September 2019 and the ballistic missile strikes on US military positions in Iraq on January 8, 2020 in response to the drone attack that killed the Iranian General Qasem Solemani five days earlier.

Furthermore, in the run-up to its June elections, today’s Iran is unlikely to revert to its earlier deal, in which hardliners are determined to further marginalize so-called moderates. After the Iranian leaders accumulate more enriched uranium and install more advanced centrifuges than JCPOA allows, they won’t be giving up those gains so easily.

As much as they want the economic sanctions against them to be relaxed, the Iranian hardliners also want more: compensation for everything they have lost economically in the last four years due to renewed US sanctions. What is unspoken is that they have more time each day to develop their nuclear capabilities, either as leverage for future talks or to make the outbreak of their nuclear weapons inevitable.

The November 27 assassination of the country’s best nuclear scientist in Iran, who blamed Israel and the US for the country, has further fueled tensions and requires some response. In a sign of the hardening mood in Iran, the government only today executed the dissident Iranian journalist Ruhollah Zam.

So there is no easy way to get good business. President Biden is unlikely to provide the quick relief and compensation Iran has requested. Iran is unlikely to revert to the constraints of the deal unless it gets what it wants, and until then it will not address issues outside of the existing deal that have become more pressing.

That leaves door number two.

This is the one that President-elect Biden should go through once he takes office. President-elect Biden himself has pointed out that this could be the only foreign policy achievement by Trump he wants to build on.

President-elect Biden praised the campaign deals before they were signed by leaders from Bahrain, Israel and the United Arab Emirates in the White House in September. Morocco joined the US-brokered deal with Israel this week after Sudan did so in October.

As Axios reported this week, President-elect Biden could capitalize on this Arab-Israeli dynamic of the agreements, but he would do it differently from Trump.

“He wants to use this dynamic to reflect a positive dynamic in the Israeli-Palestinian agreement,” said Dan Shapiro, the former US ambassador to Israel under Obama.

Most important is Saudi Arabia. Conventional wisdom has it that President-elect Biden, who has announced that he will reassess relations with Riyadh, will create greater distance and focus on remaining human rights abuses in Saudi Arabia.

But here, too, Riyadh has a voice.

Should King Abdullah and Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman act to release the high profile women’s rights activists who remain in prison, they should fix relations with Qatar to end a three-year confrontation through continued Kuwaiti moderation, and should they further liberalize relations with Israel the atmosphere will improve significantly.

The October 2018 assassination of journalist Jamal Khashoggi by Saudi government agents remains a toxic barrier, but Riyadh has the potential to dramatically change that context.

Just as the UAE used its agreement with Israel to stop Israel’s annexation of the West Bank, a Saudi deal to include the agreements under a Biden government could be linked to the two-state solution with the Palestinians.

There is a bigger reason for President-elect Biden to choose door number two, and that is the foundation for institutional and strategic change in the Middle East.

The neglected seventh paragraph of the Abrahamic Convention states: “The contracting parties are ready to join forces with the United States to develop and initiate a ‘Strategic Agenda for the Middle East’ to promote regional diplomacy, to develop trade, stability and other collaborations. ”

Add Egypt and Jordan, countries that already have peace deals with Israel, and there is a chance of a modernist, moderate coalition of countries in the Middle East that focuses on future opportunities rather than settling old points.

On this basis, one could promote the kind of economic and security institutions and integration that unleash European potential after World War II. To date, these institutions have not achieved the “Europe whole and free” that was President George HW Bush’s dream, and Russia and others stayed outside.

However, no one could argue that Europe would have been better off without partial solutions.

There is also an urgent need to provide an alternative strategic future offered by Iran, Turkey, Russia and China. Better still, if this strategic change goes hand in hand with an expansion of individual freedoms, an improvement in opportunities for young people and women and a reduction in interreligious tensions.

The more these changes bring personal and economic opportunities in the region, the more the Iranian people will want to benefit from them.

Back to the two-door position of President-elect Biden, the best way to improve his chances of finding a lasting Iranian solution could be through the back door of the Abraham Agreement.

Frederick Kempe is a best-selling author, award-winning journalist, and President and CEO of the Atlantic Council, one of the United States’ most influential think tanks on global affairs. He worked for the Wall Street Journal for more than 25 years as a foreign correspondent, assistant editor-in-chief and senior editor for the European edition of the newspaper. His latest book – “Berlin 1961: Kennedy, Khrushchev, and the Most Dangerous Place on Earth” – was a New York Times best seller and has been published in more than a dozen languages. Follow him on Twitter @FredKempe and subscribe here to Inflection Points, his view every Saturday of the top stories and trends of the past week.

More information from CNBC staff can be found here @ CNBCopinion on twitter.

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Politics

Supreme Court docket Rejects Texas Lawsuit Difficult Biden’s Victory

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton responded with his own letter on Friday morning. “Whatever Pennsylvania’s definition of turmoil,” he wrote, “moving this court to heal grave threats to Texas Senate suffrage and the suffrage of its citizens in presidential elections affirms the Constitution, which is the opposite of turmoil . ” ”

Allegations that the election was tainted by widespread fraud have been rebutted by Mr Trump’s own Attorney General William P. Barr, who said this month the Justice Department had not uncovered election fraud “on a scale that could have changed the election. “

Some 20 Democratic-led states, in a brief endorsement of the four battlefield states, urged the Supreme Court to “reject Texas’s last-minute attempt to discard the results of a popular vote that is safely monitored and certified by its sister states. ”

Georgia, which won Mr Biden by less than 12,000 votes out of nearly five million votes cast, said in his letter that it had handled his election with integrity and care. “In this election cycle,” the letter said, “Georgia has done what the constitution was empowered to do: it implemented electoral processes, managed the election in the face of the logistical challenges posed by Covid-19, and confirmed and confirmed the election.” Results – over and over again. Even so, Texas sued Georgia. “

Even ahead of Election Day, Mr Trump and his Republican allies filed nearly five dozen lawsuits against the treatment, casting and counting of votes in courts in at least eight different states.

They generally lost these cases and often drew blistering reproaches from judges who heard them. Along the way, Mr Trump has not nearly overturned election results in a single state, let alone the minimum of three he would need to claim Mr Biden’s victory.

The first set of measures preceded the elections and was aimed at ending or rolling back the voting measures that states across the country had been taking to deal with the coronavirus crisis. In Texas, for example, Republicans were prosecuting a failed attempt in federal court to stop the drive-through vote in Harris County, home of Houston. A similar move was taken in Pennsylvania to prevent the state from accepting postal ballot papers received after election day.

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Politics

Biden’s Alternative for Pentagon Faces Questions on Ties to Contractors

WASHINGTON – Three weeks ago a naval ship launched a military contractor’s experimental missile off Hawaii to intercept and destroy a decoy pretending to be an incoming nuclear weapon for the first time in space.

The same company, Raytheon Technologies, that accomplished the feat was selected for another contract this year in a program that could cost up to $ 20 billion to build a new generation of nuclear-armed cruise missiles for the United States .

And Raytheon, whose 195,000 employees make warplanes, weapons, high-tech sensors, and dozens of other military products, has sold billions of dollars in weapons and radar systems to allies in the Middle East in recent years, some of which have been used to help To wage war in Yemen.

Now, Raytheon could soon have another differentiator: one board member, retired Army General Lloyd J. Austin III, has been named the next Secretary of Defense by President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr.

Raytheon isn’t General Austin’s only connection with military contractors. He was also a partner in an investment firm that bought small defense firms. And his move from the arms business to a leadership role in the Pentagon continues a pattern that President Trump has begun in recent years.

Mr Trump elected James N. Mattis, also a retired four-star general, who then served on the board of General Dynamics, another major military entrepreneur, as its first secretary of defense. Mark T. Esper, a former Raytheon chief lobbyist, succeeded Mr. Mattis.

This is a departure from the norm. Defense ministers who had served prior to Mr Trump’s tenure – at least three decades until President George Bush’s tenure – did not come directly from boards or executive suites of contractors, although some, like Ashton Carter, President Barack Obama’s last Secretary of Defense, did served as an industry advisor.

Mr. Biden’s decision to appoint General Austin has raised a new wave of questions about the corporate relationships of people Mr. Biden selects to serve in his administration.

These links are especially relevant when it comes to the Pentagon, which spends hundreds of billions of dollars each year on weapons and other supplies. During Mr. Trump’s tenure, the military budget increased by about 15 percent, reaching $ 705 billion in the last fiscal year. This is one of the highest values ​​in constant US dollars since World War II.

“It is important for the defense minister to bring independence of thought into this role, and it is deeply worrying when a candidate comes straight from one of the major military contractors,” said Daryl G. Kimball, the executive director of the arms control association, who pointed out urges reducing nuclear weapons and military spending.

He added, “I would note that Raytheon has a tremendous financial stake in upcoming decisions by the Biden administration, Congress and the Secretary of Defense.”

At Raytheon, officials are said to be excited about the prospect of a board member becoming secretary of defense, according to a person who works with the company. However, that person and another person working with Raytheon warned that the appointment could result in an undesirable audit of the company.

Even members of Mr. Biden’s own party had urged Mr. Biden to refrain from nominating anyone for the job of Secretary of Defense who came directly from the military business world.

“US national security should not be defined by the bottom line of Boeing, General Dynamics and Raytheon,” Democrat Representative Mark Pocan of Wisconsin said in a statement last month.

As Secretary of Defense, General Austin would have to sell any stock he holds in Raytheon or other defense companies, or companies that do business in the industry, and would most likely be prohibited from directing contract decisions or other “special matter” directly affecting companies with whom he has had financial relationships for the past two years if Mr. Biden follows the ethical guidelines first adopted by Mr. Obama.

General Austin joined Raytheon Technologies in April as part of a merger between Raytheon Company, known as a manufacturer of Patriot and Tomahawk missiles, and United Technologies, a manufacturer of commercial and military jet engines and avionics. General Austin joined the board in June In 2016 after leaving the military.

According to Raytheon records, General Austin owned more than $ 500,000 in Raytheon stock as of October. As a member of the United Technologies board of directors, General Austin received a total of $ 1.4 million in stock and other compensation over a four year period.

Raytheon is now one of the largest military contractors in the world. Raytheon boasts in an earnings report to Wall Street that it has a record federal government order book totaling $ 73 billion.

His aggressive drive over the past five years to sell billions of dollars in precision-guided bombs and bomb parts to Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, which weaponized civilians in a catastrophic war in Yemen, sparked an outcry from human rights groups and some members of Congress who repeatedly tried to block sales.

But Raytheon, who pays an army of well-connected lobbyists, overcame the opposition and sold the weapons – thanks in part to his close relationship with the Trump administration.

General Austin was also a partner in an investment firm called Pine Island Capital, which he joined on the board of directors in July. The company was recently on a buying spree from small military contractors including Precinmac Precision Machining, which sells specialty parts for missile launch systems and machine guns.

By the time General Austin joined Pine Island, Pine Island said he was “already fully committed, working with us on new investments and bringing his experience and judgment to our portfolio companies,” including InVeris Training Solutions, the virtual gun firing training service offers.

General Austin, Anthony J. Blinken, the election of Mr. Biden as Secretary of State, and Michèle A. Flournoy, who had been Mr. Biden’s other nominee for Secretary of Defense, were made clear because of their connections with the Pine Island team competed in the past few months prior to the sale of $ 218 million worth of stock in preparation for buying other defense industry targets.

Pine Island has a partnership with WestExec Advisors, a consulting firm founded in part by Mr. Blinken and Ms. Flournoy. Another Raytheon board member, former Pentagon official Robert O. Work, was also involved with WestExec and advised Mr Biden’s transition to national security planning.

While WestExec advised at least one defense contractor, a WestExec spokeswoman did not respond to questions about whether Raytheon was a customer, stating that the company has nondisclosure agreements with many customers and “does not comment on potential customers.”

When asked about General Austin’s relationships with defense companies, Andrew Bates, a spokesman for Mr. Biden’s transition, said, “Every cabinet member will comply with all disclosure requirements and strict ethical rules, including withdrawals as appropriate.”

He added that General Austin and Mr. Blinken, if confirmed, would sell all of Pine Island’s shares.

It’s not clear how much equity they have in Pine Island.

Mandy Smithberger, a director of the Project on Government Oversight, which tracks federal contract decisions, said the problem with hiring former industry executives as senior Pentagon officials is broader because they often bring with them an industry-friendly mindset.

As a result, Mr Biden’s administration may find it more difficult to make the tough decisions that will be necessary as the United States faces large budget deficits and growing demands for public health programs to increase to better prepare for the next global world to be pandemic.

“The defense industry is already way too close to the Pentagon, and if the Biden administration is to reform the department the way we know, that must change,” Ms. Smithberger said. “What is in the best interests of our national security may not be the same as what is in the best interests of the defense industry.”