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Dow futures prolong losses after J&J says vaccine much less efficient in opposition to some Covid variants

U.S. stock futures were significantly lower in early Friday trading after Johnson & Johnson said its one-off coronavirus vaccine showed less effectiveness in some regions.

The average Dow Jones Industrial futures lost 160 points, or 0.5%. S&P 500 futures lost 0.3%. Nasdaq 100 futures were down 1.5%.

Futures accelerated losses after JNJ said its single-dose vaccine had shown an overall 66% effectiveness in protecting against Covid-19. The vaccine was 72% effective in the US, 66% in Latin America, and 57% in South Africa at four weeks. The vaccine provided full protection against hospital stays related to Covid. JNJ’s shares fell 3.7% in the pre-market.

Stocks had rebounded to hit record highs in hopes that vaccines against Covid would be effective to allow for a smooth economic reopening before the end of the year. New mutations that are more resistant to vaccines could improve the bright outlook for investors.

Increased speculative trading by private investors also continued to worry the market. GameStop’s shares doubled in premarket trading after Robinhood announced it would restrict purchases of the stock and other heavily shortened names after restricting access the previous day. Robinhood raised more than $ 1 billion overnight from its existing investors and also used the banks’ credit lines to ensure that the capital was in place to start trading the volatile stocks again.

Investors are concerned that if GameStop continues to rise in such volatility, it could penetrate financial markets and cause losses at brokers like Robinhood and force hedge funds that bet against the stock to sell other stocks to raise cash.

There are also fears that the GameStop mania is a sign of a bigger bubble in the market, and that its dissolution could also create turmoil and hit retail investors hard. Several e-brokers took steps Thursday to curb intentional buying of highly speculative names. A number of lawmakers also called for an investigation into the chaotic trade.

“Between calling for hearings and reports in Washington, Robinhood was forced to not only draw on its credit lines but also raise $ 1 billion from existing investors. The whole situation continues to undermine market confidence,” said Adam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge, note in a Friday.

It’s been a volatile week on Wall Street. The Dow lost more than 600 points on Wednesday and suffered its worst sell-off in three months. Then the blue chip benchmark rallied 300 points on Thursday amid a broad market rally. All three major averages have lost at least 1% this week.

The market also saw its highest trading volume in years as the mania heated up. On Wednesday, the total market volume reached more than 23.7 billion shares, surpassing the level at the height of the financial crisis in 2008. On Thursday, there was also extremely strong trading with more than 19 billion shares that changed hands.

A wave of retailers motivated each other on the red-hot WallStreetBets Reddit forum to pile into the most hated names of hedge funds, resulting in massive short-bruising of stocks. GameStop is up more than 900% in January, while AMC Entertainment is up over 300% this month.

“This smaller capitalization rally would likely destabilize and lead to inefficiencies,” Christopher Harvey, senior equity analyst at Wells Fargo, said in a note. “Stocks are ultimately fundamentals – and reversals can be very painful, both up and down.”

However, some believe that the impact on the overall market should be limited as the retail crowd is focused on only a handful of names.

“While we believe there will be more pain, we remain optimistic that it will likely stay local,” said Maneesh Deshpande, head of equity derivatives strategy at Barclays. “Long-short hedge funds have relatively little market exposure, which indicates little impact on the overall market due to deleveraging.”

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Novavax’s Vaccine Works Effectively Besides on Variant First Present in South Africa

Here’s what you need to know:

Credit…Kenny Holston for The New York Times

Novavax, a little-known company supported by the U.S. federal government’s Operation Warp Speed, said for the first time on Thursday that its Covid-19 vaccine offered robust protection against the virus. But it also found that the vaccine is not as effective against the fast-spreading variant first discovered in South Africa, another setback in the global race to end a pandemic that has already killed more than 2.1 million people.

The news was problematic for the United States, which hours earlier reported its first known cases of the contagious variant in two unrelated people in South Carolina. And it came just days after Moderna and Pfizer said that their vaccines were also less effective against the same variant.

Novavax, which makes one of six vaccine candidates supported by Operation Warp Speed last summer, has been running trials in Britain, South Africa, the United States and Mexico. It said Thursday that an early analysis of its 15,000-person trial in Britain revealed that the two-dose vaccine had an efficacy rate of nearly 90 percent there. But in a small trial in South Africa, the efficacy rate dropped to just under 50 percent. Almost all the cases that scientists have analyzed there so far were caused by the variant, known as B.1.351. The data also showed that many trial participants were infected with the variant even after they had already had Covid-19.

“We have the first trial — we are the first to conduct an efficacy trial — in the face of a changing virus,” said Stanley Erck, the president and chief executive of Novavax. He said that researchers expected the variants could change the trial results, but “the amount of change has been a bit of a surprise to everyone.”

The South Africa trial was relatively small — with just 4,400 volunteers — and was not designed to come up with a precise estimate of how much protection the vaccine provides. Still, the results were striking enough that the company said it would soon begin testing a new vaccine tailored to protect against the variant from South Africa. “You’re going to have to make new vaccines,” Mr. Erck said.

While the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines rely on a newer mRNA technology that has not been used in previous vaccines, Novavax’s candidate employs an older, more established method that relies on injecting coronavirus proteins to provoke an immune response.

The fact that three vaccines all appeared to show lowered effectiveness against the variant from South Africa is not encouraging, and the results Novavax announced Thursday were the first to occur outside of a laboratory, testing how well a vaccine worked in people infected with a new variant. Johnson & Johnson is also on the cusp of announcing results of its Covid-19 vaccine trials, and has also tested its candidate in South Africa.

The announcement from Novavax raises the stakes for Johnson & Johnson. The company was expected to announce its results as early as last weekend, and the delay has triggered speculation among scientists that the firm has also discovered that its vaccine worked less well in South African trial volunteers who were infected with the variant. In an earnings call on Tuesday, Alex Gorsky, the chief executive officer of the company, said they were looking forward to sharing results from their late-stage trial by early next week.

The emergence of several highly contagious variants has complicated efforts to bring the pandemic under control, leading world leaders to shut down travel to places like Britain and South Africa even as the variants already appear to have circled the globe. In the United States, researchers have warned that the variant first identified in Britain, which is believed to be more infectious, could become the dominant form of the virus in this country by March.

The United States is well behind other countries in testing for such variants, and the one from South Africa has been found in about 30 countries.

But experts have also said there are reasons for optimism, noting that the vaccines remain effective. The best way to combat contagious new variants is to continue vaccination and other public health measures, which will slow the virus’s ability to infect new people and mutate further. Drug makers could update their vaccines and offer new shots at regular intervals, similar to the flu vaccine.

United States › United StatesOn Jan. 28 14-day change
New cases 165,073 –34%
New deaths 3,862 –2%
World › WorldOn Jan. 28 14-day change
New cases 603,201 –22%
New deaths 16,811 +4%

U.S. vaccinations ›

Where states are reporting vaccines given

Vaccines being given out in the Bronx this week. Credit…James Estrin/The New York Times

In his final State of the City address, Mayor Bill de Blasio offered a sprawling vision of New York City’s recovery from a pandemic that has taken tens of thousands of lives and destroyed the city’s economy.

The mayor committed to accelerating the city’s vaccination efforts and set a goal of inoculating five million New Yorkers by June.

He also said he would begin in May to bring back to offices the thousands of city employees who have been working remotely, and would safely reopen schools for all students in September.

“New York City’s vaccination effort is the foundation of a recovery for all of us,” the mayor’s 18-page recovery plan says. “With every vaccine shot, New York City moves closer and closer to fully reopening our economy, restoring the jobs we lost and ensuring equality in our comeback.”

If the federal government provides enough stimulus dollars to the city, Mr. de Blasio said, he will create a City Cleanup Corps of 10,000 temporary workers to focus on beautifying the city — an idea he compared to President Franklin D. Roosevelt’s Works Progress Administration during the Great Depression.

Mr. de Blasio also proposed two plans to help small businesses: a $50 million “recovery tax credit” program for businesses that have faced hardships from the pandemic, and a $100 million “recovery loan” program to help shops stay open. The city will provide low-interest loans of up to $100,000 to roughly 2,000 small businesses, according to the mayor’s plan.

But Mr. de Blasio has also warned that the city is facing major budget cuts and layoffs. He recently announced that the city’s property tax revenues are projected to decline by $2.5 billion next year, driven by a drop in the value of office buildings and hotel properties that have emptied out during the pandemic.

Mr. de Blasio and Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo have expressed optimism that President Biden, along with a Democratic-led Congress, will bring substantial assistance to the city. Mr. de Blasio also called for higher taxes on wealthy New Yorkers in his speech — a policy he has pushed for years, but that Mr. Cuomo has opposed.

Mr. de Blasio noted that more than 100 billionaires in the state increased their net worth by billions of dollars during the pandemic and called again for a redistribution of wealth.

“There is clearly enough money in New York to invest in a fair and fast recovery — it’s just in the wrong hands,” he said.

A former Kmart store is being used for a coronavirus vaccination site in Greenville, S.C. State officials have found a new variant of the virus in two patients in the state.Credit…Travis Dove for The New York Times

Health officials in South Carolina said on Thursday that they had detected two cases of a more contagious variant of the coronavirus that emerged in South Africa. It was the first report of that variant being detected in the United States.

The South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control said it had identified one case on Wednesday, and was notified of a second case the same day by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The variant, known as B.1.351, was originally identified in South Africa and has since been found in about 30 countries.

The United States is conducting little of the genomic sequencing necessary to track the spread of new variants that have caused concern. They include B.1.1.7, first found in Britain and since seen in more than 46 countries and 24 U.S. states, and the P.1 variant, first found in Brazil, which officials in the United States reported detecting this week in Minnesota.

While the two coronavirus vaccines now in use in the United States, developed by Moderna and Pfizer-BioNTech, appear to be protective against the new variants, they may be somewhat less effective against the one found in South Africa. Moderna has begun developing a new form of its vaccine that could be used as a booster shot against the variant in South Africa. The new variants are also believed to spread more readily than other versions of the virus, and the one found in Britain may lead to more severe disease.

A little-known company, Novavax, which has been supported by the U.S. federal government’s Operation Warp Speed program, said for the first time on Thursday that its Covid-19 vaccine, offered robust protection against the virus. But it also found that the vaccine is not as effective against the fast-spreading variant first discovered in South Africa, another setback in the global race to end a pandemic that has already killed more than 2.1 million people.

As of Thursday afternoon, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said about 21.7 million people have received at least one dose of a Covid-19 vaccine, and that about 4.3 million people have been fully vaccinated.

The statement from South Carolina’s health department said that the cases involved no known travel to South Africa and no connection between the two patients, both adults, suggesting that the variant is circulating in the community. One patient was in the southern Lowcountry region of the state, and the other in the Pee Dee region in the northeast.

“The arrival of the SARS-CoV-2 variant in our state is an important reminder to all South Carolinians that the fight against this deadly virus is far from over,” Dr. Brannon Traxler, the department’s interim public health director, said in a statement. “While more Covid-19 vaccines are on the way, supplies are still limited. Every one of us must recommit to the fight by recognizing that we are all on the front lines now.”

At an online briefing, Dr. Traxler said that the same precautions were being taken for the new variant as for other virus cases. Both of the people who contracted the variant were tested in early January and have recovered, she said.

Gov. Henry McMaster wrote on Twitter that the announcement was “important information for South Carolinians to have, but it isn’t a reason for panic” and encouraged residents to wear masks and socially distance.

The C.D.C. said in a statement on Thursday that it was aware of South Carolina’s finding and that it would work to increase genomic sequencing across the country to track virus variants. The agency reiterated its warning against travel at this time.

Starting in March, Britain created an intensive program to track the genetic evolution of the coronavirus, and has sequenced more than 200,000 coronavirus genomes so far — nearly two-thirds of all the ones sequenced in the world. That success is probably why it became the first country to identify the B.1.1.7 virus, in December.

President Biden’s coronavirus czar, Jeffrey D. Zients, said on Wednesday that the United States was woefully behind other nations in tracking the variants, and he used the first White House public health briefing to issue a stark warning that Americans will remain vulnerable to the deadly pandemic unless Congress acts.

On Monday, Mr. Biden issued a ban on noncitizens entering the United States if they have been in South Africa within 14 days, because of concern over the variant. It will go into effect on Saturday. American citizens and permanent residents are not affected, officials said. Asked about the timing of the order at a briefing on Thursday, Jen Psaki, the White House press secretary, said that it took some time to work with airlines and regulatory authorities to put restrictions in place.

“We did that as quickly as possible,” she said.

The administration has also extended bans on travel from Brazil and much of Europe, and imposed a new rule requiring proof of a recent negative virus test before travelers can enter the country.

The B.1.351 variant is predominant in South Africa now, and is driving up new case reports to record levels there and across sub-Saharan Africa, the World Health Organization said on Thursday.

“The variant, which was first detected in South Africa, has spread quickly beyond Africa, and so what’s keeping me awake at night right now is that it’s very likely circulating in a number of African countries,” Dr. Matshidiso Moeti, the W.H.O.’s regional director for Africa, said at a briefing.

Marc Santora contributed reporting.

The world’s leading health organizations are giving conflicting advice regarding vaccinations for pregnant women.Credit…Callaghan O’Hare/Reuters

Pregnant women looking for guidance on Covid-19 vaccines are facing confusion of the sort that has dogged the pandemic from the start: The world’s leading public health organizations — the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the World Health Organization — are offering contradictory advice.

The C.D.C.’s advisory committee urged pregnant women to consult with their doctors before rolling up their sleeves — a decision applauded by several women’s health organizations because it kept decision-making in the hands of the expecting mothers.

But the W.H.O. is recommending that pregnant women not receive the vaccines, unless they are at high risk from Covid-19 because of work exposures or chronic conditions. It issued guidance on the Moderna vaccine on Tuesday, stirring uncertainty among women and doctors on social media. (Earlier this month, it had published similar guidance on the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine.)

Several experts expressed dismay at the W.H.O.’s stance, saying the risks to pregnant women from Covid were far greater than any theoretical harm from the vaccines.

“There are no documented risks to the fetus, there’s no theoretical risks, there’s no risk in animal studies,” from the vaccines, said Dr. Anne Lyerly, a bioethicist at the University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill.

The difference of opinion between the C.D.C. and the W.H.O. is not rooted in scientific evidence, but the lack of it: Pregnant women have been barred from participating in clinical trials of the vaccines, reflecting a long tradition of excluding pregnant women from biomedical research and one that is now being challenged.

While the rationale is ostensibly to protect women and their unborn children, prohibiting pregnant women from studies pushes the risk out of the carefully controlled environment of a clinical trial and into the real world.

Vaccines are generally considered to be safe, and pregnant women have been urged to be immunized for influenza and other diseases since the 1960s, even in the absence of rigorous clinical trials to test them.

“As obstetricians we are often faced with difficult decisions about using interventions in pregnancy that have not been properly tested in pregnancy,” said Dr. Denise Jamieson, an obstetrician at Emory University in Atlanta and a member of the Covid expert group at the American College of Obstetrics and Gynecology. The college strongly advocated including pregnant and breastfeeding women in the vaccine trials.

In a statement, the C.D.C. said on Thursday that based on how the Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna vaccines work, “they are unlikely to pose a specific risk for pregnant women.”

The C.D.C.’s recommendation may make sense for the United States, where women may easily be able to consult with their health care providers, said Joachim Hombach, a health adviser to the W.H.O. on immunizations. But the W.H.O. provides guidance to many low and middle income countries where women do not have access to doctors or nurses, he said.

The W.H.O.’s recommendation was also made “in the context of limited supply” of the vaccines, Dr. Hombach said. “I don’t think the language is discouraging, but the language is stating the facts.”

Pfizer plans to begin a clinical study in pregnant women in the first half of 2021. Moderna said it was establishing a registry to record outcomes in pregnant women who receive its vaccine.

Emergency medical technicians lifting a man after moving him from a nursing home into an ambulance in Brooklyn.Credit…Lucas Jackson/Reuters

An investigation by the New York State attorney general has concluded that Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo’s administration undercounted coronavirus-related deaths at nursing homes by as much as 50 percent.

The count of deaths in state nursing homes has been a source of controversy for Mr. Cuomo and state Health Department officials, who have been sensitive to any suggestion that decisions made at the outset of the pandemic may have caused some of those deaths, which the state puts at more than 8,700.

They have also been accused of obscuring a more accurate estimate of nursing home deaths, because the state only counted deaths at the actual facilities, rather than including deaths of residents who were transferred to a hospital and died there.

In the 76-page report released on Thursday by the attorney general, Letitia James, a survey of nursing homes found consistent discrepancies between deaths reported to the attorney general’s investigators and those reported to and officially released by the Health Department.

In one instance, an unnamed facility reported to the Health Department that it had 11 confirmed and presumed deaths on site through early August. The attorney general’s survey of that same facility, however, found 40 deaths, including 27 at the home and 13 in hospitals.

Another facility reported one confirmed and six presumed Covid-19 deaths to the Health Department, according to the report. The attorney general’s office, however, said the facility reported to its investigators that there were more than four times that number — 31 dead — by mid-April.

Deaths in nursing homes and other long-term care facilities have accounted for about a third of the nation’s some 430,000 deaths. Federal and state authorities have made vaccinating staff and residents at such facilities a top priority, though that effort has been slower than hoped.

In New York, where there have been more than 42,000 virus-related deaths, the toll in the state’s nursing homes has been a particular source of agony for residents and their families. It has also been a political liability for Mr. Cuomo, who has pushed back on accusations that his administration did not do enough to safeguard a highly vulnerable population.

The findings of Ms. James would seem to put her in rare conflict with Mr. Cuomo, the state’s three-term Democratic incumbent. Ms. James was the governor’s favored choice to succeed Eric T. Schneiderman after he suddenly resigned as attorney general in 2018; she readily embraced Mr. Cuomo’s political backing.

The attorney general asked 62 nursing homes — about a tenth of the state’s total — for information about on-site and in-hospital deaths related to the virus; investigators then cross-referenced that information with public reports of deaths issued by the Health Department. The deaths reported to the attorney general’s office at most of those facilities totaled 1,914, compared to the state’s much lower count of 1,229.

Ms. James said that her office was investigating those circumstances “where the discrepancies cannot reasonably be accounted for by error or the difference in the question posed.”

The attorney general said she was continuing to conduct investigations of more than 20 nursing homes across the state that “presented particular concern,” noting that “other law enforcement agencies also have ongoing investigations relating to nursing homes.”

The Overlake Medical Center in Bellevue, Wash., last spring.Credit…Grant Hindsley for The New York Times

A Washington hospital system apologized after The Seattle Times reported that it had offered vaccines to wealthy donors while others went without the coveted shots.

Overlake Medical Center & Clinics sent an email to about 110 donors who gave more than $10,000 to the hospital system, telling them they could register for open appointments “by invite” only.

The report drew a rebuke from Gov. Jay Inslee, who said during a news conference on Tuesday that the practice was “simply unacceptable.”

Overlake’s president and chief executive, J. Michael Marsh, apologized in a statement, adding that even those donors would have been required to show that they were eligible for the vaccine under state guidelines.

“We recognize we made a mistake by including a subset of our donors and by not adopting a broader outreach strategy to fill these appointments, and we apologize,” Mr. Marsh said.

The hospital’s conduct mirrors that of other facilities that have made news for prioritizing wealthy donors over the rest of the population. A Florida nursing home and assisted living facility called MorseLife Health System came under investigation after The Washington Post and The New York Post reported that it had prioritized its donors as well.

Another, Baptist Health in Miami, invited a donor to get a shot. The recipient said she believed she was offered a vaccine because she had donated and volunteered for the hospital.

And in Jefferson City, widespread confusion led some Missouri lawmakers to scramble for shots that were not intended for them. Group texts among House members and staff said vaccines were available at an area hotel, but the shots were meant for the state’s public safety and transportation employees.

Mr. Inslee said during Tuesday’s news conference that Washington State’s biggest barrier to widespread vaccine distribution was supply. As of Thursday, 6.2 percent of the state’s population had received their first dose. Just 1.2 percent had received the full two doses.

After hearing of the prioritizing of donors, Mr. Inslee said he believed that the hospital had halted that practice.

“We have to maintain public credibility in this system,” he said.

The vaccination site at the Pennsylvania Convention Center in Philadelphia earlier this month.Credit…Kimberly Paynter/WHYY

With pressure mounting to get Covid-19 vaccine doses into arms as quickly as possible, many overburdened city health departments across the country have turned to partnerships with hospitals, nonprofit organizations and pharmacies. In Philadelphia this week, one such deal went awry after the city leaned on a start-up led by college students who were eager to get involved but had little experience.

The start-up is an organization called Philly Fighting Covid, which was founded last year by a 22-year-old graduate student, Andrei Doroshin. The group quickly won plaudits for volunteering to run free testing sites, and for using 3-D printers to make face shields that it supplied free to health care workers.

So when Philadelphia began receiving shipments of vaccine and needed help administering doses on a large scale, the city health department turned to Philly Fighting Covid to operate what would be the largest vaccination site in the state, at the Pennsylvania Convention Center.

It took less than three weeks after vaccinations began for the partnership to sour.

Since it opened on Jan. 8, the site has vaccinated nearly 7,000 people, though there were reports in local media that appointments had been overbooked and some people were turned away. Mr. Doroshin attributed those problems to issues with an online sign-up system that allowed thousands of ineligible people to register for appointments.

Then on Tuesday, the city health commissioner, Thomas Farley, said at a news conference that the health department would no longer work with Philly Fighting Covid. The city learned, he said, that the group had unexpectedly canceled its testing efforts to focus on vaccination; that it planned to change from nonprofit status to a for-profit company; and that it had changed its data privacy policy to allow it to potentially sell data about patients to third parties, a step first reported by the public radio station WHYY.

“We did not think that was appropriate,” Dr. Farley said about the data policy. “We thought, ‘If there’s any attempt to do this, even the possibility, then people won’t trust this organization.’”

In an interview, Mr. Doroshin said his group had only the best intentions, but he acknowledged its inexperience.

“We’re a bunch of kids,” Mr. Doroshin said. “I didn’t know anything about legal structure before this. I didn’t care. I’m not a lawyer, I’m a nerd. People are trying to make me out to be this nefarious thing. I’m like, ‘Dude, I didn’t know all the rules of a nonprofit organization until I did this.’”

He said that the company had decided to switch to a for-profit structure in order to expand quickly, and that it had not hid its intentions from the city.

Mr. Doroshin did acknowledge that there were problems with the organization’s privacy policy, which he said was posted in haste. But he said that the group had not sold or otherwise disseminated any of the patient data it collected, and that the posted policy “was frankly just a mistake.”

Katrina Lipinsky, a registered nurse who volunteered at the group’s vaccination site, said in an interview that at the end of one day, after the group tried to find takers for a number of leftover doses, she saw Mr. Doroshin put a few in his backpack, along with the vaccination cards that are used to track vaccination timelines. She said she had reported it to city investigators.

“Obviously, that didn’t seem right,” she said.

Dr. Farley, the health commissioner, told reporters that any leftover vaccine doses should have been given back to the health department. He said the department was looking into the matter.

“If that’s true, that’s very disturbing,” he said. “They shouldn’t have done that.”

In the interview, Mr. Doroshin acknowledged that he took four doses home with him and administered them to friends. He said that he should have had a nurse present when he gave the shots, but that he did not regret making use of doses that would otherwise have expired that night.

“I’m OK with being a person that broke a rule to not have any vaccine left over,” he said. “If that’s the final word I have in my book, then that’s OK. I’m OK with dying with that.”

About a third of U.S. school are entirely remote.Credit…Bridget Bennett for The New York Times

Dr. Anthony S. Fauci, addressing more than 6,000 American teachers in a video meeting, said Thursday evening that students need to return to the classroom for the country to begin recovering.

“We are not going to get back to normal until we get the children back in school, for the good of the children, the good of the parents and the good of the community,” he said.

Attending a meeting convened by the two national teachers unions, Dr. Fauci brought with him the message of the Biden administration: that all K-8 schools should aim to reopen within the next 100 days. He said they can expect support from Washington in the form of a new stimulus package to fund sanitation upgrades and other safety measures.

As of last month, about one third of American school districts were operating entirely remotely, and Dr. Fauci acknowledged that “mitigating factors” may make the 100-day goal difficult to achieve in some places.

Fielding questions submitted by educators, he did not hesitate to acknowledge potential dangers.

He discussed the emergence of new variants of the coronavirus that appear more contagious and more resistant to vaccines. And he said that while he expected vaccines to prevent inoculated teachers from passing the virus onto their loved ones, there was not yet concrete evidence that would be the case.

As Dr. Fauci spoke, educators at the meeting posted comments — many reflecting frustration and anxiety. They complained that many states had not prioritized teachers for vaccination and said students were not able to effectively stay masked throughout the school day.

Several called for job actions.

“Teachers need to participate in a national strike to protect kids, communities, and teachers,” one wrote.

Dr. Fauci appeared alongside two powerful teachers union presidents: Randi Weingarten of the American Federation of Teachers and Becky Pringle of the National Education Association.

The event took place as some local unions across the country, most notably in Chicago, continue to resist efforts to reopen schools, arguing that doing so before widespread teacher vaccination would risk lives.

Ms. Weingarten has staked out a somewhat more moderate position, arguing that schools can operate safely before teachers are vaccinated by using strategies such as surveillance testing for the virus and updating ventilation systems. She has also asked for teachers with health concerns, or who live with family members with compromised immune systems, to be allowed to continue to work remotely.

Global roundup

A vaccination center in Berlin last month.Credit…Lena Mucha for The New York Times

Chancellor Angela Merkel will convene the governors of Germany’s 16 states, along with representatives of pharmaceutical companies to discuss the country’s troubled vaccination scheme, after her health minister, Jens Spahn, warned that the country is facing another 10 weeks of vaccine shortages.

The situation has increasingly angered Germans who were promised an efficient immunization campaign. Even the most vulnerable have struggled to get access to the potentially lifesaving shots.

The German government helped fund development of the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine with 738 million euros, or about $895 million, only to see it first administered in Britain. But many immunization centers set up across Germany stand empty, and older adults who were to be among the first to be vaccinated have been turned away.

“We are facing at least 10 hard weeks, given the lack of vaccines,” Mr. Spahn said on Twitter on Thursday.

Instead of approving and purchasing vaccine doses on its own, Germany chose to band together with 26 other European Union countries to ensure equal access across the bloc. But the process has been slowed by squabbling between members over sluggish vaccine production. This week, it became further bogged down by a dispute with the British-Swedish pharmaceutical maker AstraZeneca, after the company announced that it would not be able to meet its delivery quotas to the European Union.

In other news from around the world:

  • Chinese officials said on Thursday that several passengers traveling to China from the United States had falsified coronavirus test results so they could gain entry to the country. The Chinese consulate in San Francisco said the passengers “changed their test results from positive to negative” and that other travelers had lied about their results. The consulate did not provide details about the passengers or the punishments they might face. China maintains strict border control rules, including a requirement that travelers present results from antibody and nucleic acid tests before they fly. The consulate said the passengers violated public health laws. “The way they put others at risk is odious,” the statement said.

  • In the Philippines, the Food and Drug Administration granted emergency approval on Thursday to the AstraZeneca vaccine, saying that it was 70 percent effective after the first of two doses. The country has reported more than 500,000 cases and 10,000 deaths during the pandemic, second only to Indonesia in Southeast Asia. It has signed a deal with AstraZeneca for 17 million doses, with the first expected to arrive in May.

  • Japan’s national broadcaster reported on Thursday that the International Swimming Federation, known as FINA, planned to postpone its artistic-swimming qualification event for the Tokyo Olympics because of the coronavirus. The competition, which was to be held at the Tokyo Aquatics Center in March, would have been the first test event for the reorganized Summer Games. It was rescheduled for May.

  • A businessman from Taiwan has been fined more than $35,000 after he was caught on camera repeatedly breaking rules requiring him to quarantine at home. The man, who returned to Taiwan last week from mainland China, left his home seven times when he was supposed to be in isolation, according to officials in the city of Taichung, where he lives. Taiwan has some of the strictest quarantine rules in the world, a critical part of its success in fighting the virus, and the government routinely punishes and shames people found to be violating regulations. “This misbehavior was serious and must be punished heavily,” Lu Shiow-yen, the mayor of Taichung, said at a news conference this week.

After 117 years in business, Harrell’s Department Store in Burgaw, N.C., became a casualty of the pandemic.Credit…Jeremy M. Lange for The New York Times

The economic upheaval caused by the pandemic is changing communities across the country as hundreds of thousands of businesses close, leading to lost livelihoods and empty storefronts.

Many of these businesses were neighborhood pillars, beloved locales that we returned to over and over again.

In your neighborhood, maybe it was the bar where you met friends after work, the restaurant where your family celebrated birthdays or the bookstore where you loved to browse.

Now they are gone.

The New York Times would like to hear from you about a local business that has shut down. Why was it special to you, and what do you miss about it? How is its absence altering the fabric of your community?

Tell us about it here.

We may contact you with a few follow-up questions. And if you can, please share a photo of the business as well.

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E.U. Pushes for AstraZeneca to Provide More Vaccines

The European Union is pushing for AstraZeneca to supply more doses of its Covid-19 vaccine after announcing on Wednesday that it would cut deliveries by 60 percent due to manufacturing issues.

Not being able to ensure manufacturing capacity is against the letter and the spirit of our agreement. We reject the logic of first come, first served. That may work at the neighborhood butcher’s, but not in contracts, and not in our advanced purchase agreements. There’s no priority clause in the advance purchase agreement, and also there’s also no hierarchy of the full production plants named in the advance purchase agreement. In the contracts, there are four, I think, four factories listed, but it does not differentiate between the U.K. and the Europe — the U.K. factories are part of our advance purchase agreements, and this is why they have to deliver. Pharmaceutical companies, vaccine developers have moral, societal and contractual responsibilities, which they need to uphold. The view that the company is not obliged to deliver because we signed a best effort agreement is neither correct nor is it acceptable.

Video player loadingThe European Union is pushing for AstraZeneca to supply more doses of its Covid-19 vaccine after announcing on Wednesday that it would cut deliveries by 60 percent due to manufacturing issues.CreditCredit…Manu Brabo/Getty Images

“Tomorrow our fridges will be empty.”

That warning came from Josep Maria Argimon, a health official in Catalonia, and he was referring not to food but to the dwindling supplies of something almost as precious: the coronavirus vaccine.

On Wednesday, Spain became the first European country to partly suspend immunizations because of a lack of doses. It did so first in Madrid, for two weeks, and said that Catalonia, the northeastern region that includes Barcelona, could soon follow.

It has not gone easily for the European Union since it approved its first vaccine in late December and rushed to begin a vast immunization campaign across its 27 member states.

But the early problems have snowballed into a full-blown crisis.

Countries across the bloc have felt the pain of vaccine shortages even as a new wave of the virus rages. The pandemic has prompted prolonged lockdowns in most member countries, and there is also anxiety over the spread of at least two highly infectious variants that are straining national health systems.

It is unclear when the supply might improve.

The bloc is also in an escalating dispute with AstraZeneca over the drug maker’s announcement that it would cut deliveries by 60 percent because of production shortfalls. And Pfizer informed the European Union this month that it had to drastically cut its vaccine deliveries until mid-February while it upgraded its plants to ramp up output, adding to the supply problems.

In a rare bit of good news, the French drug maker Sanofi said on Wednesday that it would help produce more than 100 million doses of the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine, starting this summer — but those doses will most likely come too late to salvage vaccination plans for the first half of 2021.

When the European Union approved its first vaccine in December, it was already weeks behind nations like the United States and Britain. While it is flush with cash, influence and negotiating heft, the bloc of 27 nations has also found itself lagging countries such as Israel, Canada and the United Arab Emirates.

Last week, the European Union’s executive branch, the European Commission, set a goal of having 70 percent of its population inoculated by this summer. Just days later, the president of the European Council, Charles Michel, pronounced that “difficult.”

As of this week, a mere 2 percent of E.U. citizens had received at least one dose of a coronavirus vaccine, according to numbers collected by the research site Our World in Data. That compares with around 40 percent for Israel, 11 percent for Britain and just over 6 percent for the United States.

Many countries, particularly poorer ones, are struggling to secure any vaccines at all. But the delays in Europe have created tensions.

Some critics have blamed the European Commission, which struck deals on behalf of the member states to secure a total of 2.3 billion vaccine doses from several companies.

Some of its agreements were struck weeks after those reached by the United States and Britain. AstraZeneca and some European opposition politicians say that the delay put the bloc at the back of the line for deliveries. The commission has challenged those claims.

“We reject the logic of first-come, first-served,” the bloc’s heath commissioner, Stella Kyriakides, said at a news conference on Wednesday. “That may work at the neighborhood butcher, but not in contracts and not in our advanced purchase agreements.”

Preparing a dose of the AstraZeneca vaccine.Credit…Silvia Izquierdo/Associated Press

Germany’s vaccination advisory committee, which provides recommendations to the government, is cautioning against using the AstraZeneca shot on adults age 65 and above, saying in a draft report released on Thursday that “there currently is not sufficient data to assess the vaccination effectiveness above 65 years.”

The German Health Ministry, which usually follows the advice of the committee, declined to comment. The European Medicines Agency, the regulatory body for the European Union, is expected to announce on Friday whether the vaccine will be approved for use in the bloc. Britain has been administering the AstraZeneca shots to all age groups after it became the first country to give the vaccine emergency authorization, in December.

British regulators have said that data on the efficacy and safety of the vaccine “are currently limited” in people age 65 and older.

But concerns about the scarce data on older people could limit the use of the AstraZeneca shot: European regulators are considering authorizing it only for people under 65, two E.U. officials said.

Neither AstraZeneca nor Oxford University, which helped develop the vaccine, has released figures on how effective the shot is in older people. But data on older people’s immune responses have suggested that the vaccine will help protect them from the virus, the company has said.

The Oxford team, which was in charge of the earliest trials of the vaccine, did not want to vaccinate older people until they had collected extensive safety data for younger participants, Pascal Soriot, the chief executive of AstraZeneca, said in an interview with La Repubblica, an Italian newspaper, this week.

Other vaccine makers, Mr. Soriot said, decided to vaccinate older people in trials before they had accumulated as much safety data, allowing them to make stronger claims about efficacy in that age group.

In the United States, the Food and Drug Administration is waiting on data from a clinical trial that enrolled about 30,000 participants, mostly Americans, and that will include more older people. The results are expected in the coming weeks. AstraZeneca is expected to have sufficient safety data from that study to file for emergency use authorization from the F.D.A. around the first week of March.

Benjamin Mueller and Rebecca Robbins contributed reporting.

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Health Care Orders Undo ‘Damage Trump Has Done,’ Biden Says

President Biden took executive action to expand health care access by strengthening the Affordable Care Act and reopening enrollment. He also moved to protect reproductive rights and expand abortion access.

Today, we’re about to sign two executive orders. Basically, the best way to describe it, to undo the damage Trump has done. There’s nothing new that we’re doing. The first one I’m going to be signing here is to strengthen Medicaid and the Affordable Care Act. And of all times that we need to reinstate access to affordability of and extent of access to Medicaid, is now, in the middle of this Covid crisis. And the second order I’m signing relates to protecting women’s health at home and abroad, and it reinstates the changes that were made in Title X and other things, making it harder for women to have access to affordable health care as it relates to reproductive rights.

Video player loadingPresident Biden took executive action to expand health care access by strengthening the Affordable Care Act and reopening enrollment. He also moved to protect reproductive rights and expand abortion access.CreditCredit…Doug Mills/The New York Times

President Biden, seeking to expand access to health care and strengthen the Affordable Care Act, used his executive authority Thursday to order the reopening of enrollment in the health law’s marketplaces and a re-examination of Trump administration policies that undermined protections for people with pre-existing medical conditions.

His aim, he said in a brief signing ceremony in the Oval Office, was to “undo the damage Trump has done.”

Mr. Biden also moved to protect reproductive rights and expand access to abortion, and took separate executive action to overturn his predecessor’s restrictions on the use of taxpayer dollars for clinics that refer or counsel patients to terminate pregnancies, both in the United States and overseas.

Taken together, Mr. Biden is trying to put a quick stamp on health policies that have been critical to a Democratic resurgence, especially those that back the Affordable Care Act, which he helped secure as President Barack Obama’s vice president. President Donald J. Trump failed to overturn the health law, but he spent four years undermining it with a series of executive actions, including allowing the sale of cheap, short-term and small-business health plans that do not meet the law’s health coverage mandates.

Mr. Biden’s first step is to reopen enrollment for health coverage offered through the federal marketplace created under the health law, also known as Obamacare. His intent is to offer coverage not only to those who lost it during the pandemic, but also to those who did not have insurance and now want it, according to a senior administration official who previewed the new policy during a conference call Thursday morning.

The so-called special enrollment period will run from Feb. 15 to May 15. The official said the reopening would be accompanied by the kind of robust patient outreach — including “paid advertising, direct outreach to consumers and partnerships” with community organizations and advocacy groups — that was abandoned by the Trump administration.

Typically, Americans in the 36 states that rely on the federal marketplace can buy Obamacare insurance only during a six-week period in the fall, a restriction meant to encourage people to hold coverage even when they are healthy. The sign-up period for this year’s coverage ended in mid-December, with enrollments only slightly higher than they were last year. But the Trump administration did little to advertise it.

Once the coronavirus struck, Mr. Trump faced pressure to reopen enrollment for the millions of Americans losing their jobs, but he refused.

Mr. Biden’s actions take aim at a number of Mr. Trump’s policies. In 2018, citing complaints about the price of Obamacare coverage, the Trump administration issued a rule that extended the length of less expensive “short” term policies from three months to up to three years. Such policies do not have to cover pre-existing conditions and can exclude common benefits like maternity care, mental health care or prescription drugs. The former administration also made it easier for small businesses to band together and offer plans that escape some of the requirements of the Affordable Care Act.

Mr. Biden has asked federal agencies to re-examine these rules, which could take months to undo. Should the rules be overturned, patients who have such policies would be unable to renew them, which could leave them without insurance if they think coverage is too expensive. Mr. Biden campaigned on raising the subsidies for Obamacare plans to make them more affordable.

Mr. Biden’s executive actions on abortion put him in the center of the nation’s long-running culture wars. Like his Democratic predecessors, Presidents Bill Clinton and Barack Obama, he will immediately rescind the global gag rule — often called the “Mexico City Policy” — which bars international nonprofit organizations that provide abortion counseling from using American tax dollars.

The rule has been riding a philosophical seesaw for decades — in place when a Republican occupies the White House, and overturned when a Democrat moves in.

Mr. Biden’s revocation of the Mexico City Policy was part of an order that restored funding terminated by Mr. Trump to the United Nations Population Fund, known as UNFPA, the world’s leading provider of family planning services, and a major resource for millions of women in more than 120 countries. Mr. Trump’s decision nearly four years ago was a shock to the UNFPA, which had counted on the United States, a founding member, as a critical source of funding. Overnight, the agency lost nearly $70 million.

Dr. Natalia Kanem, the fund’s executive director, welcomed Mr. Biden’s order, which she said would greatly help the agency’s work not only in family planning but in other health services to struggling women and girls in poor countries.

“We now have the support of a very important member state,” Dr. Kanem said in a phone interview, expressing gratitude that the Biden administration had embraced her agency’s work around the world.

Mr. Biden is also directing the Department of Health and Human Services to “take immediate action,” his administration said, to consider whether to rescind the so-called domestic gag rule — a regulation imposed by the Trump administration that prohibits family planning clinics that receive federal funding from counseling patients about abortion. Such a change would likely require the department to write new regulations, a process that could take months.

The president’s Obamacare directive will also instruct federal agencies to review policies — including waivers that allowed states to impose work requirements — that discourage participation in Medicaid, the public health insurance program for the poor and disabled. Enrollment in Medicaid has grown substantially during the coronavirus pandemic, in part because people who have lost jobs and their health insurance have turned to Medicaid for coverage.

President Biden swore in members of the White House staff remotely on Jan. 20.Credit…Doug Mills/The New York Times

Senior staff members in West Wing offices are prohibited from meeting together in an office for more than a total of 15 minutes in a day, according to a senior Biden administration official. No more than six people are allowed to gather in the Oval Office at a time, and a maximum of five staff members are allowed to meet together in the spacious office of the chief of staff, Ron Klain, the official said.

That means that both the morning and afternoon senior staff meetings in the White House are conducted on video calls, even though many of the participants are working in offices near one another.

In the Roosevelt Room, gatherings are limited to 10 people. And when staff members remove their masks to eat lunch at their desks, they are required to close their doors.

Visitors are not allowed without approval, and West Wing staff members generally do not intermingle with the team working in the Eisenhower Executive Office Building across the street.

As the new administration finds its footing, life in the West Wing has become incredibly disciplined, partly because of the way President Biden’s team wants to work, but mostly because of the strict rules the administration has put in place to prevent the spread of the coronavirus. Unlike an administration functioning during normal times, the Biden team can’t simply add people to a meeting at the last minute, or run someone into the building.

It couldn’t be more different in feel and temperament from the opening weeks of the Trump administration, when the Oval Office was often compared to Grand Central Terminal. Former President Donald J. Trump’s office served as a bustling focal point of all West Wing activity as aides wandered in and out and then simply hung about, once it was clear that there was no formal structure for meetings or policymaking, and that for Mr. Trump, out of sight was out of mind.

All West Wing staff members are still tested daily even though a growing number of administration officials are getting vaccinated. There are also fewer people working in the building, and those who are there rarely leave the campus for lunch. There have been awkward moments in hallways, when staff members don’t recognize each other because everyone is required to wear an N95 mask and many have opted to double-mask, officials said.

The measures are in place because of a realization that while it may be impossible to prevent the coronavirus from entering the White House complex entirely, it is possible to reduce the risk of widespread infection if someone on the president’s team gets sick. The rules have been put in place by Anne Filipic, the director of management and administration, and Jeff Wexler, the White House director of Covid-19 operations.

A White House spokesman would not confirm the number of people allowed in meetings, or the time limits on such gatherings. But he said that in-person meetings were limited and that colleagues were socially distancing.

So far, officials said, the measures appear to be working. But they concede that it’s a difficult way to run a White House, just as it was a difficult way to run a campaign and a difficult way to run a transition.

“Adjusting to doing most meetings via video and doing most of our work with colleagues remotely has not been a massive leap,” said Jen Psaki, the White House press secretary. “It has been a long adjustment as humans to not being able to hug old colleagues or shake hands with new ones, but so far we don’t feel that it has prevented us from doing our jobs.”

A street in Hanoi, Vietnam, on Thursday. The country reported 82 cases on Thursday, mostly in the northern province of Hai Duong.Credit…Luong Thai Linh/EPA, via Shutterstock

Vietnam reported 82 coronavirus infections on Thursday, the first cases of local transmission in nearly two months, and the government said that some may be connected to the new variant that has been spreading rapidly in Britain.

Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc has called on the two northern provinces where the cases were reported to close their borders to prevent people from leaving, the state-run news media reported on Thursday.

Vietnam has been relatively successful in containing the virus. Before the latest outbreak in the northern provinces, Hai Duong and Quang Ninh, the country had reported only about 1,550 cases and 35 deaths.

The new cases arrived at an inconvenient time. Officials from the governing Communist Party are meeting this week in Hanoi, the capital, to select their next leaders, an event that takes place once every five years. And people across the country are preparing to celebrate the Lunar New Year, Vietnam’s biggest holiday.

Vietnam’s largest outbreak occurred in July in the central city of Danang, sickening hundreds and causing all 35 of the country’s reported deaths before it was contained.

Health officials initially reported two new cases Thursday morning. But the number rose to 82 by the afternoon, after health workers began tracing and isolating the first patients’ contacts.

Of 138 people tested in Hai Duong, 72 were positive for the virus, Health Minister Nguyen Thanh Long said, according to a recording of comments made at an urgent meeting on the sidelines of the Communist Party congress. All of those patients work at a local electronics factory, local news media reported.

The first worker found to have contracted the virus is said to have had contact with a Vietnamese national who later traveled to Japan, where he tested positive for the variant that has spread in Britain.

The other 10 cases appear to have originated with a worker at Van Don International Airport in Quang Ninh Province who was responsible for taking arriving passengers to quarantine.

The Armory, an indoor track and field complex in Washington Heights, being set up as a coronavirus vaccination center on January 14.Credit…Mark Lennihan/Associated Press

A New York City health network changed its guidelines at a Covid-19 vaccination center in a predominantly Hispanic neighborhood after it was found to have been providing the scarce doses to suburbanites while local residents struggled to get appointments.

The health network, New York-Presbyterian, announced Wednesday that it would limit all new vaccine appointments at the center, in Washington Heights, to New York City residents effective immediately. Earlier this month, Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo touted the center as a way to combat inequity and to make sure “New Yorkers of color aren’t left behind.”

Black and Latino people are more likely to be affected by the virus than white people, and many minority communities have been suspicious of taking the vaccine in light of the history of unethical medical research in the United States. Officials have stressed the importance of making vaccines accessible to underserved communities.

However, a report this week by The City, a nonprofit news organization, found that no guides or guards at the center spoke Spanish, despite its location. Many patients entering the site “appeared to be white and unfamiliar with the neighborhood,” The City reported.

Until Wednesday, the center provided vaccinations to any patients who were eligible for the vaccine as long as they had an appointment. Now, a minimum of 60 percent of the appointment slots will be reserved for residents of Washington Heights and nearby neighborhoods in Manhattan and the South Bronx, according to the statement from New York-Presbyterian. (All existing appointments scheduled before Wednesday would still be honored.)

The health network added that “a dedicated outreach team that includes bilingual staff has been created to expand community outreach efforts in Northern Manhattan.”

At a news conference on Thursday, Mayor Bill de Blasio expressed frustration over the vaccine rollout at the center.

“What happened in Washington Heights is the exact opposite of what we need,” he said. “If a site is in a community, particularly a community hard hit by Covid, it should be all about reaching out to that community and bringing people in.”

Mr. de Blasio said that there had been 699,524 doses of vaccine administered in the city, but a shortage in the available supply was still slowing the vaccination effort.

He said the state had made available to the broader eligible population in the city some 18,000 doses that were slated for use in long-term care facilities, like nursing homes, but were not being used.

City and state officials have said that vaccinations would not be enough to end the pandemic. Mr. de Blasio said that the seven-day average rate of citywide positive test results was 8.09 percent, and had been trending downward over the past week. Still, 34 ZIP codes across the city had a seven-day average positive test rate at or over 10 percent, according to the most recently available data.

While Mr. Cuomo had said on Wednesday that the state was considering allowing indoor dining in the city to resume at 25 percent capacity, Mr. de Blasio on Thursday urged caution, particularly with the danger posed by new variants.

But he said he would be willing to eat indoors if the state allowed it.

“We all want to see indoor dining come back,” Mr. de Blasio said. “It has to be governed by the data and the science. The state will make that decision.”

Hankou Station in Wuhan, China, last week. A year ago, the station was among the first places to be closed after the coronavirus outbreak.Credit…Roman Pilipey/EPA, via Shutterstock

Every winter, Pang Qingguo, a fruit seller in northern China, makes the 800-mile trip to his ancestral home to celebrate the Lunar New Year, the biggest holiday of the year in China, with his family.

The coronavirus ruined the festivities last year, stranding Mr. Pang in the northern city of Tangshan as many Chinese cities imposed lockdowns. Now, as China confronts a resurgence of the virus, the pandemic is set to spoil the holiday again, with the authorities announcing onerous quarantine and testing rules to dissuade migrant workers like Mr. Pang from traveling for the new year, which begins this year on Feb. 12.

Mr. Pang, who describes his home in the northeastern province of Heilongjiang as the “happiest place,” is anguished by the rules. He has taken to social media in recent days to express frustration about his situation and post photographs of his 7-year-old daughter, whom he has not seen in more than a year. “Society is so cruel,” he wrote in one post.

Many of China’s roughly 300 million migrant workers face a similar reality as the government tries to avoid a surge in cases during what is typically the busiest travel season of the year.

The authorities have demanded that people visiting rural areas during the holiday spend two weeks in quarantine and pay for their own coronavirus tests. Many migrants, who endure grueling jobs for meager wages in big cities, say those restrictions make it impossible to travel.

The rollout of the rules has drawn widespread criticism in China, with many people calling the approach unfair to migrant workers, who have long been treated as second-class citizens under China’s strict household registration system. The workers have been among the most deeply affected by the pandemic, as the authorities have carried out scattered lockdowns to fight the virus and employers have reduced hours and pay.

In a regular year, hundreds of millions of people travel by plane, train and car to be with their families for the Lunar New Year. The holiday, which typically includes big festive banquets and fireworks, is normally the only time that many workers can return to their hometowns to see loved ones. This year, many are making plans to spend the holiday alone.

Troops and civilian residents at the U.S. naval base and military prison at Guantánamo Bay, Cuba, are already being vaccinated. Officials said shots would be offered to detainees as well.Credit…Alex Brandon/Associated Press

WASHINGTON — The Pentagon has decided to offer coronavirus vaccines to detainees at Guantánamo Bay, Cuba, possibly starting next week, according to a prosecutor in the case against five prisoners accused of conspiring in the attacks of Sept. 11, 2001.

The prosecutor, Clayton G. Trivett Jr., wrote to defense lawyers on Thursday “that an official in the Pentagon has just signed a memo approving the delivery of the Covid-19 vaccine to the detainee population in Guantánamo.”

Medical workers at the U.S. naval base began vaccinating the 6,000 residents on Jan. 8, including the 1,500 troops assigned to the detention operation. But the Trump administration had declined to say whether prisoners would be vaccinated.

The 40 detainees at the prison complex could start receiving the first of the two required doses of vaccine“on a voluntary basis” as soon as Monday, Mr. Trivett said. Under Pentagon policy, because the Food and Drug Administration has given only emergency-use authorization to the Moderna and Pfizer-BioNTech vaccines, the recipient’s consent is required to administer the shots.

It is not known how many people at Guantánamo have been infected with the coronavirus. Early in the pandemic, the military reported two cases there, both believed to be sailors. The Defense Department then halted disclosure of data about specific installations.

Lack of vaccinations has been a major obstacle to resuming war crimes hearings at the base’s Camp Justice compound. It was not immediately known whether the defendants in the Sept. 11 case, including Khalid Shaikh Mohammed, would consent to be vaccinated.

An Army judge has scheduled an arraignment on Feb. 22 for three prisoners accused of conspiring in deadly terrorist attacks in Indonesia in 2002 and 2003. Under the timeline described by Mr. Trivett, prisoners who agree to be vaccinated could receive their second dose on the eve of the arraignment, the first at Guantánamo’s war court since 2014.

The arraignment hearing would be the first court appearance for the three detainees — Encep Nurjaman, who is known as Hambali; Mohammed Nazir Bin Lep; and Mohammed Farik Bin Amin — who have been in U.S. custody since they were captured in Thailand in 2003.

Mr. Hambali, who is Indonesian, is held at Guantánamo as the former leader of Jemaah Islamiyah, a Southeast Asian extremist group that became an Al Qaeda affiliate before the Sept. 11 attacks. The other two men are Malaysians accused of being Mr. Hambali’s accomplices in the 2002 nightclub bombings in Bali, which killed 202 people, and the 2003 Marriott hotel bombing in Jakarta, which killed at least 11 people and wounded at least 80.

Lawyers for several of the detainees said they would need to consult with their clients by letter about whether to consent to be vaccinated.

Dr. Terry Adirim, the Pentagon’s principal deputy assistant secretary of defense for health affairs, signed the memo authorizing the vaccination of the detainees on Wednesday, said Mike Howard, a Pentagon spokesman.

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Pentagon Asked to Aid Vaccine Rollout

The Defense Department said it would fulfill a Federal Emergency Management Agency request for help running coronavirus vaccination sites as much as it can.

We are in receipt of a request by FEMA for Defense Department capabilities to assist in vaccine distribution. I’m not able right now to go into great detail into what that request is. It is going through, just like we would get from a combatant command. It’s going through the same process. And it just came in yesterday, actually in the evening. And so it is being analyzed for resourcing and risk by the services. We’re obviously going to source this request. I mean, the secretary has made it very clear that we are going to provide as much capability and capacity as the Defense Department can afford to do to help with this national priority. We also have other jobs to do, clearly, in defense of the country. And so there’s risk whenever you pull capabilities away. And we’re going to have to balance that risk with this request. But we’re going to contribute. And we’re going to, and we’re going to do so in as aggressive a manner as we can.

Video player loadingThe Defense Department said it would fulfill a Federal Emergency Management Agency request for help running coronavirus vaccination sites as much as it can.CreditCredit…Jason Redmond/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

The Pentagon is considering sending active duty troops to large-scale, federally run coronavirus vaccine centers, a major departure for the Department of Defense and the first significant sign that the Biden administration is moving to take more control of a program that states are struggling to manage.

The Federal Emergency Management Agency is hoping to set up roughly 100 vaccine sites nationwide as early as next month, and on Wednesday night requested that the Pentagon support the effort. The sites, and use of the military within them, would require the approval of state governments.

While many governors have turned to their National Guard units to assist with the mass effort to vaccinate Americans and outrace more contagious variants of the coronavirus, the Pentagon’s role has been largely behind the scenes, providing help with logistics.

Using active duty troops for vaccine distribution would demonstrate that the administration’s desire is to take a far bigger role in a task that states are struggling to expedite.

During his confirmation hearings last week, Lloyd J. Austin III, the secretary of defense, said that he would increase military support to help manage the pandemic. On Thursday, Max Rose, Mr. Austin’s senior adviser for Covid-19, said that his first topic of conversation in meetings with senior leaders had been on the topic, establishing that this is Mr. Austin’s number one priority.

Sending troops to help set up sites, assist with logistics and even put shots in arms is something the department is “actively considering,” Mr. Rose said. He declined to provide specific details, saying that Pentagon officials would be reviewing the request from FEMA carefully.

Many states and territories have already set up large vaccination sites, and more than half are using National Guard members to give shots, drawing on doctors, nurses, medics and others skilled in injections. FEMA, an agency within the federal Department of Homeland Security, has already told six states and Washington that it would spend $1 billion on vaccine sites.

It was not immediately clear where the vaccines would come from for new federal sites; they would most likely be supplied by the vaccine supply already given to individual states and territories, most of which have not come close to administering the vaccine they have been given.

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Robinhood CEO says it restricted shopping for in GameStop to ‘shield the agency and shield our prospects’

Robinhood Co-Founder and Co-CEO Vlad Tenev speaks on stage during the TechCrunch Disrupt New York event on May 10, 2016.

Noam Galai | Getty Images for TechCrunch

Vlad Tenev, CEO of Robinhood, said Robinhood’s attempt to stop trading certain speculative names is in the best interests of the company and its millions of users.

“In order to protect the company and our customers, we had to limit the purchase of these stocks,” Tenev told CNBC’s Andrew Ross Sorkin on Thursday evening.

“Robinhood is a brokerage firm, we have a lot of financial requirements. We have SEC net capital requirements and clearinghouse deposits. So this is money that we have to deposit with different clearing houses. Some of these requirements fluctuate significantly in the market and they can be in because of the volatility Given the current environment where there is a lot of volatility and a lot of concentrated activity in these names that have gone viral on social media, “Tenev said.

Tenev denied the firm had any liquidity issues, saying Robinhood had drawn on lines of credit as a proactive measure.

“We want to be able to enable our customers to be as unrestricted as possible in accordance with requirements and regulations,” said Tenev. “So we pulled these lines of credit so that we could maximize the funds we have to deposit with the clearing houses within a reasonable range.”

In the midst of a wild week of speculative retailing, Robinhood restricted trading in thirteen stocks, including GameStop and AMC Entertainment, on Thursday. The pioneer of free stock trading only allowed clients to sell positions in certain securities, no open messages, increased margin requirements and even said it would automatically close some positions if the client ran the risk of not having the required collateral.

“We haven’t seen this level of concentrated interest rate market on a small number of names before,” Tenev said. “We believe you should be able to buy and sell the stocks you want.”

Robinhood then said after Thursday’s closing bell that it would allow limited purchases of restricted stocks on Friday.

The broker’s original decision met with outrage from his group of loyal private investors. However, Robinhood stated the move was taken to meet the SEC’s capital requirements for broker-dealers.

“We saw unprecedented interest because the funding was culturally relevant in ways never seen before,” Tenev said. “Of course, Robinhood is about everyday investors. From the beginning we advocated open access investors. It hurts us to have to impose these restrictions and we will do everything we can to get these stocks trading as soon as possible enable.” As we can. “

Tenev said Robin’s decision was not made under the direction of a market maker or hedge fund.

GameStop stock closed 44% on Thursday after Robinhood restricted trading and rose more than 60% after the close of business after the decision to ease restrictions.

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Russian Court docket Orders Aleksei Navalny Saved in Jail

“If they really wanted to, they would most likely have got it,” Putin said.

Despite the Kremlin sacking Mr Navalny and his supporters as part of As a misguided minority, the opposition leader has shown that he can attract the attention of millions of people in Russia.

Shortly after returning to Moscow, Mr Navalny’s team published an investigation describing a secret palace on the shores of the Black Sea allegedly built for Mr Putin and paid for by state-owned companies. Navalny’s ally Lyubov Sobol said the video version of the investigation was viewed by more than 100 million people on YouTube, with 70 percent viewing from Russia. On Monday, Mr Putin denied Mr Navalny’s allegations and called the video investigation “boring”.

While he was in prison, Mr. Navalny was dragged out of daily political life in his cell, said Olga Mikhailova, his lawyer. For example, he was unaware that several members of his team had been arrested and that his home had been ransacked by the police.

According to OVD-Info, an activist group tracking arrests during protests, Russian authorities arrested more than 4,000 people across the country last week in protests demanding the release of Mr Navalny. At least seven criminal cases against protesters have opened, Moscow police said in a statement, warning people not to participate in protests that have not been sanctioned.

When his supporters are under increasing pressure from the authorities and speak on the video link from prison on Thursday, Mr Navalny tries to lift their spirits.

“They are not and never will be masters of our country,” said Navalny, referring to Mr. Puting and his government. “Lots of people, tens of millions, agree with me,” he said. “And we will never allow these people to conquer and rob our country.”

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Inventory futures fall after a steep sell-off on Wall Avenue, Apple and Tesla drop after earnings

Stock futures, pegged to major US stock indices, fell early Thursday as the market appeared poised to extend a sharp sell-off amid concerns over increased speculative trading.

Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average indicated an opening decline of more than 100 points. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures also traded in negative territory.

In its earnings report for the first quarter of fiscal 2021, Apple achieved its highest revenue in its history of $ 111.4 billion. Sales for each product category increased by double-digit percentage points. However, the tech giant’s shares were down 3.26% in expanded trading.

Tesla fell 5.07% in expanded retail after the electric automaker posted worse-than-expected earnings last quarter. The company expects average annual delivery growth of 50% in the future.

Wall Street suffered heavy losses on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 and Dow recording their worst day since October as the speculative spending spree on sharply shortened stocks kept investors on their toes. Some fear that hedge funds could be forced to reduce their holdings in order to raise cash.

“Brief bottlenecks that lead to implosions in some hedge funds join SPACs, IPOs and Bitcoin as data points supporting a bubble thesis,” said Scott Knapp, chief market strategist at CUNA Mutual Group, in an email . “This is a time of caution for investors.”

The trading volume exploded in the previous session with 23.7 billion shares changing hands. This was the heaviest trading day since at least 2007.

Brick and mortar video game retailer GameStop, a target on the Reddit wallstreetbets chat room, rose another 134% on Wednesday and boosted its profits to a whopping 1,744% in January. AMC Entertainment was up over 300% on Wednesday alone, posting the highest volume ever.

GameStop fell 23% in expanded trading while AMC Entertainment fell 38%. Other heavily shortened names that had bounced back this week, including Bed Bath & Beyond and National Beverage, also fell after hours.

Facebook stock remained relatively unchanged in over-the-counter trading after the company warned that a reversal in pandemic trends could hurt its advertising business. The social media company prevailed in the upper and lower ranges in the fourth quarter.

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Poland Imposes Close to-Whole Ban on Abortion

A controversial near-total abortion ban in Poland went into effect late Wednesday, despite rampant resistance from hundreds of thousands of Poles who began to protest in the fall at the country’s largest demonstrations since the collapse of communism in 1989.

Thousands of outraged women, adolescents and allies returned to the streets, bundled up against the cold Wednesday night after it was revealed that a ruling would go into effect making abortion for fetal abnormalities – practically the only abortion performed in Poland.

The decision was taken by the Constitutional Court in October, but its implementation was delayed after a month of protests. On Wednesday, the government abruptly announced that the verdict would be published in the government journal, which means it will take effect.

The protesters sang slogans like “I think, I feel, I decide!” and “Freedom of choice instead of terror!” In Warsaw, they marched to the headquarters of the ruling Law and Justice Party to hear songs like “I will survive”.

“We are dealing with incompetence, corruption and a total collapse of the state, so these men are doing what they know best – to deprive citizens of their rights and freedoms,” protest organizer Marta Lempart told TVN24 on Wednesday. “This is about women, but also about all other minorities and majorities who hate law and justice.”

The opposition legislature on Wednesday criticized the decision to suddenly announce that the verdict would be published in the Official Journal. The government had previously delayed the publication of the verdict in an overt response to the protests, a move that legal experts have described as unconstitutional.

“It’s not just women who take you on the streets, it’s the whole nation that has had enough,” said Rafał Trzaskowski, the mayor of Warsaw, adding the decision to make the verdict “against the will of Poles” to publish is a “conscious and calculated action to the detriment of the state.”

Others have not crushed words in their dissatisfaction. “Bastards. # Pseudo-ruling # pseudo-tribunal, “said Barbara Nowacka, a left-liberal opposition legislature, on Twitter.

The decision of thousands to protest despite an increase in coronavirus cases was another sign of discontent from a multitude of groups who believe human freedoms are being undermined under the increasingly autocratic Party for Law and Justice. It is also because public anger is mounting over the government’s handling of the pandemic – which is extending restrictions through late January – and the sluggish adoption of vaccinations.

Poland already had one of the most restrictive abortion laws in Europe, with only three cases being legal: fetal abnormalities, pregnancies resulting from rape or incest, and threats to a woman’s life. The latter two remain legal. But with 1,074 of 1,100 abortions performed in the country last year due to fetal abnormalities, the ban would outlaw abortion in most cases, and critics say many women will resort to illegal procedures or travel abroad to obtain abortions .

Even in the absence of the ruling, some hospitals had preventively ordered doctors to stop abortion because of fetal abnormalities for fear of the legal ramifications for their doctors, according to local media.

European lawmakers, who have accused the government of influencing the court’s decision, also criticized the announcement.

“Many of us cannot be on the streets with you to march in defense of our fundamental rights,” said Terry Reintke, a green lawmaker from Germany who is in the European Parliament, on Twitter. “But you know that: in every village, in every city in Europe, women follow your struggle. Never forget that you are standing on the shoulders of brave women who have been fighting this fight for many years. “

“For them, it’s not about protecting life,” said Donald Tusk, an opposition Polish lawmaker and former President of the European Council, of the Law and Justice Party. “Under their rule more and more Poles die and fewer are born.”

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AMC inventory quadruples as retail traders raid hedge-fund brief targets

Street performers in Minnie Mouse costumes walk past an AMC movie theater in New York’s Times Square at night on October 15, 2020.

Amir Hamja | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Shares in contested cinema giant AMC Entertainment more than quadrupled at the opening bell on Wednesday, amid a spate of trading activity in some of Wall Street’s worst-shortened stocks.

Approximately 10 minutes after the session began, trading in stocks ceased for the first time due to volatility. The stocks were stopped several times during the first hour of trading when there was heavy activity.

At 3 p.m. on Wall Street, it was trading 265% higher at $ 18.06. Previously, it rose up to 310% immediately after the shares opened. During premarket trading, stocks were up as much as 360%.

About an hour after trading, more than 500 million shares had already changed hands – well above the average 30-day volume of the share of 86.8 million shares per day. More than 1 billion shares had been traded by 3 p.m. CET.

Individual investors create brief bottlenecks by piling up in these names, while hedge funds, on the other hand, in short supply, cover their losses quickly. They promote their activities on the Wallstreetbets Reddit Board, which has 2.8 million members. AMC appeared to be a growing topic on the board.

Short selling is a strategy in which investors borrow shares of a stock at a certain price in the expectation that the market value will drop below that level when it is time to pay for the borrowed shares.

Retail investor influence – most notably in GameStop – has drawn the streets under its spell for the past few days, appealing to a new class of traders who grew up amid the pandemic. GameStop stock more than doubled on Wednesday, up 110%.

“The limelight has moved from Large Cap Tech / Retail Favorites to a largely ignored corner of severely shortened small cap stocks,” Barclays said in a statement to clients on Tuesday. “Within a month, retail has made a significant impact on the price and sentiment in these heavily truncated names, cementing investor dominance of retail options.”

TD Ameritrade announced on Wednesday lunchtime that certain transactions with GameStop and AMC Entertainment have been restricted “in the interests of reducing the risk to our company and our customers”.

AMC has pegged 24% of its float to short rates, and GameStop’s short rate is 138%, according to FactSet.

AMC rose 26% on Monday and 12% on Tuesday and is up more than 370% this week. On Monday, the company announced it had received enough funding to stay open and operational through 2021.

“This means that any talk of an impending bankruptcy for AMC is completely off the table,” said CEO Adam Aron.

During the month, AMC stocks are up more than 650%. Given the stock’s downtrend over the past few years, lower profit is now responsible for a much larger percentage move.

The passion spread to some other heavily shortened names in early trading. Bed Bath & Beyond jumped more than 35%. According to data from S3 Partners, the retailer is the second most-trimmed stock on the market. 64% of its float is sold short. Eastman Kodak, another speculative name, was up 16%. The short interest in this stock is around 20%.

Amid the surge in AMC Entertainment, AMC Networks stocks were also in motion. The stock rose as much as 22% before returning those gains. Shares recently fell 7%.

Short interest is the number of stocks that are being sold short relative to a company’s total available stock of stocks.

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Why India’s Farmers Are Protesting

At least one protester was killed and 300 police officers injured after tens of thousands of farmers, including many tractors, took to the streets of New Delhi on Tuesday to demand the repeal of controversial new agricultural laws.

After months of sustained but peaceful demonstrations on the outskirts of the city, farmers staged the city’s Republic Day holiday, clashed with the police, destroyed barricades and stormed the Red Fort, a 400-year-old landmark. In addition to the police, many demonstrators were injured.

On Wednesday, the day after the chaos, the peasants had returned to their camps on the outskirts of the city and pledged to continue their protest and to walk back to the Indian parliament in the city on Monday.

Many of the protesting farmers belong to the Sikh religious minority and come from the states of Punjab and Haryana. Farmers in other parts of the country held solidarity rallies.

Since November, thousands of farmers have camped outside the capital New Delhi, kept vigil in sprawling tent cities and threatened to enter the country if the farm laws were not lifted.

The protest has exposed the dire reality of inequality across much of the country.

More than 60 percent of India’s 1.3 billion people are still largely dependent on agriculture, even though the sector accounts for only about 15 percent of the country’s economic output. Their dependency only increased after the coronavirus pandemic hit the urban economy hard and sent millions of workers back to their villages. Debt and bankruptcies have led to high suicide rates for years.

The protesters challenge Prime Minister Narendra Modi for his efforts to transform agriculture in India.

The protesters are calling for Mr. Modi to repeal recent agricultural laws, which would minimize the government’s role in agriculture and create more room for private investors. The government says the new laws will decouple farmers from private investment and bring growth. Farmers are skeptical, however, fearing that the removal of government protection, which they already believe to be insufficient, would turn them over to greedy companies.

Government support to farmers, which included guaranteed minimum prices for certain important crops, helped India overcome the hunger crisis of the 1960s. Since India has liberalized its economy in the past few decades, Modi, who wants the country’s economy to double by 2024, sees such a large role for the government as no longer sustainable.

However, farmers claim that despite the protection in place, they have problems. They say that market-friendly laws will ultimately eliminate regulatory support and leave it deprived as the weakened economy offers little chance of any other livelihood.

Thousands of protesting farmers flocked to New Delhi on Tuesday in what was expected as a peaceful protest during the holiday celebrations and a military parade overseen by the Prime Minister.

Some farmers broke off the main march and used tractors to dismantle police barriers. Many peasants carried long swords, tridents, sharp daggers, and battle axes – working, if largely ceremonial, weapons. Most protesters did not appear to be wearing masks despite the Covid-19 outbreak in India.

Police commanders deploy officers with assault rifles. They stood in the middle of the main streets and tear gas swirled around the crowd with their rifles. In some areas, video footage showed, police beat protesters with their batons to push them back.

Farmers claim the violence was fueled by the government and outside in order to derail their months of peaceful protests.

The peasants waved flags and mocked officers. They also broke through the Red Fort, the iconic palace that once served as the residence of the Mughal rulers of India, and hoisted a flag on the city walls that is often hoisted on Sikh temples.

Local TV channels showed farmers placing a protester’s body in the middle of a street. They claimed the man was shot dead, but police said he died when his tractor overturned.

The Indian government has temporarily suspended internet services in the areas that have been protesting for months, an interior ministry official confirmed.

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Gojek needs to develop additional exterior Indonesia this 12 months, co-CEO says

Bicycle passengers wear helmets with the Gojek logo.

afif c. kusuma | iStock Editorial | Getty Images

SINGAPORE – Start-up Gojek plans to expand its business beyond its home base in Indonesia this year, Co-CEO Kevin Aluwi said on Wednesday.

“One of our main priorities for 2021 is to expand our presence outside of Indonesia,” Aluwi told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Asia” as part of the network’s coverage of the Davos agenda.

“We have definitely invested relatively small amounts in our markets outside of Indonesia in recent years. However, we believe that this year we really want to spread our wings and be a regional and global company,” added Aluwi.

Gojek started with Ride-Hagel in Indonesia in 2010 and has since branched out into other business areas such as grocery delivery, digital payment and logistics. It is now present in more than 200 cities in five Southeast Asian countries, but Indonesia remains its main market.

Aluwi stated that some of the other countries the company does business in appear to have recovered more from the coronavirus pandemic.

While Southeast Asia’s most populous country has put in place a mass vaccination program, Indonesia is still struggling to get the virus under control – cases of infection have topped 1 million, according to Johns Hopkins University.

According to Aluwi, most of the companies in Indonesia are going through a difficult time including the severely affected transportation services. While Gojek has also felt the crisis, he attributes “significant growth pockets” to the company’s diversification in grocery delivery, grocery delivery and logistics.

The pandemic has pushed people around the world to shop online and choose delivery rather than going to restaurants or supermarkets to minimize exposure to the virus. Even if vaccination programs are rolled out around the world, some experts have stated that changes in consumer behavior will continue after the pandemic is controlled.

Gojek is also reportedly in talks with Indonesian e-commerce provider Tokopedia to seal a $ 18 billion merger ahead of possible IPO plans, Reuters reported this month. The deal could help Gojek take over regional competitors like Singapore-based digging and internet company Sea, which operates the Shopee e-commerce platform and has a market cap value of around $ 110 billion.

Aluwi declined to comment on what he called “merger speculation”, saying Gojek’s focus is to continue growing his business. He added that Gojek was “extremely optimistic” around 2021.

“We believe 2021 will be a year of growth, and most importantly, we have really invested in a lot of business, product and operational fundamentals in 2020 so profitability and long-term sustainability look significantly better year-over-year.” Year, “he said.

Gojek is worth $ 10 billion, according to CB Insights. Prominent supporters include Google, China’s Tencent, and Singapore’s state investor Temasek.

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Alarm in U.Okay. Over Virus Variant Bolsters Case for Lockdown

LONDON – The UK’s disclosure on Friday that a new variant of the virus could be more deadly than the original caused a stir over why such alarming information was released when the evidence was so inconclusive. However, its effects are little discussed: it has silenced those who have called for life to return to normal soon.

The UK government is expected to announce in the coming days that it will extend and tighten the nationwide lockdown imposed by Prime Minister Boris Johnson this month. Schools can remain closed until Easter, while overseas travelers may need to be quarantined in hotels for 10 days.

For Mr Johnson, who has faced relentless pressure from members of his own Conservative Party to relax restrictions, the warning of the variant made a strong case that Britain may be in the middle of a serious new phase of the pandemic – and that it does relaxed constraints now could be disastrous.

While scientists agree that the evidence of the variant’s greater lethality is tentative, inconclusive, and based on limited data, they said it was nonetheless served the government’s purposes in the lockdown debate that Mr Johnson, who spoke between Science and politics have often been drawn to have shown an aversion to tough steps.

“It is strange to make such an announcement, which has dire consequences and clearly affects the general public, without a full dataset and more thorough analysis,” said Lawrence Young, a virologist at Warwick Medical School. “I wonder if it was about reiterating the harsh message that the lockdown must be adhered to and increased border controls justified.”

Devi Sridhar, director of the global public health program at the University of Edinburgh, said, “These preliminary data show why waiver restrictions should be applied carefully and measuredly.”

The interests of scientists and government officials have not always been balanced in Britain’s fight against the pandemic. Tensions have increased when Mr Johnson reopened the economy as scientists warned of new infections.

During his briefing on Downing Street on Friday, Mr Johnson, as some noted, had no choice but to confirm concerns that the new variant beating Britain could not only be more contagious but also more deadly. Hours earlier, a well-known epidemiologist, Neil Ferguson of Imperial College London, told a television journalist Robert Peston that a government scientific committee had concluded that there was a “realistic possibility” that the variant could be 30 percent more deadly than it is the original version of the coronavirus.

The Prime Minister’s initial announcement that the variant could be linked to higher death rates contained few details and did not make it clear how uncertain many experts were about the data. While government scientists later published a summary of studies setting out the possible effects of the variant, the number of deaths they analyzed was small and uncertainties about the data resulted in a wide range of estimates.

“We haven’t seen the evidence, which in itself is worrying,” said David King, a former chief scientific advisor to the government who was critical of Mr Johnson’s handling of the pandemic. “I would have simply welcomed the science with a preprint report.”

Dr. Ferguson himself has become something of a lightning rod during the pandemic. In March last year, his models predicted that the uncontrolled spread of the virus in the UK could cause up to 510,000 deaths. These numbers stunned Mr. Johnson and prompted him to impose the country’s first lockdown despite waiting a week to act.

At the time, some scientists criticized Dr. Ferguson on the grounds that he was too public and that his projections were exaggerated. They accused him of publishing inflated projections of death during previous epidemics. After pressing for repression, he was referred to by the British tabloids as “Professor Lockdown”.

Updated

Jan. 26, 2021, 4:31 p.m. ET

Dr. Ferguson later resigned from the government’s Emergency Scientific Advisory Group (SAGE) after admitting he breached lockdown rules by inviting a woman to his home.

As a member of a key SAGE committee, the Advisory Group on New and Emerging Respiratory Virus Threats, which released a report on the lethality of the variant on Friday evening, Dr. Ferguson played a leading role in alerting the new variant. And with the UK death toll nearing 100,000, its projections don’t look all that fantastic even after multiple lockdowns.

Government scientists defended the decision to publish the results in the interests of transparency. The disclosure reflected the rapidly changing thinking of infectious disease experts about the potential of mutations to change the path of the virus. Variants that were discovered earlier in the pandemic received little public attention.

Still, virologists said they were concerned about the lack of a strong theory about how or why the variant, first discovered in the UK, could lead to more people dying. Among other concerns about the new data – the small number of deaths on which the results were based, and the fact that harrowing conditions in hospitals themselves could lead to higher death rates – was the uncertainty about why this could be more dangerous waiting for more dates you said.

“You can see some mechanism by which the transmission rate would be a little higher,” said Ian Jones, professor of virology at the University of Reading. “But why that should lead to a higher death rate is not so easy to see.”

Mutations in the new variant make it easier to attach to human cells, which makes them even more contagious. Virologists said that the same trait could theoretically allow more cells to be infected than older variants, which could lead to wider infection, which in turn could produce a more aggressive and potentially dangerous immune response.

With no laboratory data to suggest this could happen, scientists said it was far too early to understand the models that point to higher death rates.

Even the most reputable methods of studying the effects of the variant yielded a wide range of additional risk estimates, ranging from having virtually no effect on mortality to increasing the risk of death by 65 percent.

Nonetheless, the fact that so many models evaluated by government scientists suggested higher mortality rates has alarmed scientists.

“For now, overall, I’d say it’s likely valid,” said Paul Hunter, professor of medicine at the University of East Anglia. “I can’t believe that all of these different groups would have drawn the same conclusions and made the same mistakes in controlling possible biases. But it’s not beyond the possibilities. “

Even so, scientists said the new variant would not only reinforce the government’s case for restrictions not yet relaxing, but would also require the same policy measures as previous versions of the virus.

“What more can we do just because we know this is more deadly?” Professor Hunter said. “The answer is probably nothing.”