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China Broadcasts a Three-Youngster Coverage

China said on Monday that it would allow all married couples to have three children, ending a two-child policy that has failed to boost the country’s declining birthrates and avert a demographic crisis.

The announcement by the ruling Communist Party represents a dramatic shift in the world’s most restrictive family planning policies, one that it had come under increasing pressure to make. The labor pool is shrinking and the population is graying, threatening the industrial strategy that China has used for decades to emerge from poverty to become an economic powerhouse. Already, local officials in some areas had been tacitly allowing couples to have three children.

But it is far from clear that relaxing the policy further will pay off. People in China have responded coolly to the party’s earlier move, in 2016, to allow couples to have two children.

Monday’s announcement still splits the difference between individual reproductive rights and government limits over women’s bodies. Prominent voices within China, including the central bank, have called on the party to scrap its restrictions altogether, but Beijing has resisted giving up full control.

“Opening it up to three children is far from enough,” said Huang Wenzheng, a demography expert with the Center for China and Globalization, a Beijing-based research center. “It should be fully liberalized, and giving birth should be strongly encouraged.”

“This should be regarded as a crisis for the survival of the Chinese nation, even beyond the pandemic and other environmental issues,” Mr. Huang added. “There should never have been a birth restriction policy in the first place. So it’s not a question of whether this is too late.”

The party made the announcement after a meeting by the Politburo, a top decision-making body, though it wasn’t immediately clear when the change would take effect. In an acknowledgment that raising the birth limits might not be enough, the party also pledged to beef up support for families, though it did not provide details.

China’s family planning restrictions date to 1980, when the party first imposed a “one-child” policy to slow population growth and bolster the economic boom that was then just beginning.

In 2013, as Chinese officials began to understand the implications of the country’s aging population, the government allowed parents who were from one-child families to have two children themselves. Two years later, the limit was raised to two children for everyone, effective Jan. 1, 2016.

But more couples now embrace the concept that one child is enough, a cultural shift that has dragged down birthrates. And some say they aren’t interested in children at all, even after the latest announcement.

“No matter how many babies they open it up to, I’m not going to have any because children are too troublesome and expensive,” said Li Shan, a 26-year-old product manager at an internet company in Beijing. “I’m impatient and worried that I won’t be able to educate the child well.”

Births in China have fallen for four consecutive years, including in 2020, when the number of babies born dropped to the lowest since the Mao era. The country’s total fertility rate — an estimate of the number of children born over a woman’s lifetime — now stands at 1.3, well below the replacement rate of 2.1.

The party’s announcement was unlikely to ignite a baby boom, experts said.

“The decision makers have probably realized that the population situation is relatively severe,” said He Yafu, an independent demographer based in the southern Chinese city of Zhanjiang. “But merely opening up the policy to three children and not encouraging births as a whole, I don’t think there will be a significant increase in the fertility rate. Many people don’t want to have a second child, let alone a third child.”

Still, the news was met with relief by some women who already had a third child but had been wary of being punished for flouting the rules.

“My mobile phone almost fell to the ground,” said Yolanda Ouyang, a 39-year-old employee at a state-owned enterprise in the region of Guangxi who had kept her third child hidden for two years because she feared that she would be fired.

“I’m so happy and so shocked,” Ms. Ouyang said. “Finally, my child can come outside and play out in the open.”

The party’s announcement was quickly met with criticism on Weibo, a popular social media platform. “Don’t they know that most young people are already tired enough just trying to feed themselves?” wrote one user, pointing to a common lament about the rising costs of living. Other users complained that raising birth limits would do nothing to curb the discrimination that women faced at work when they had more children.

In a nod to such concerns, the party indicated on Monday it would also work to introduce broader changes that would make it easier for couples to have more children. It also pledged to improve maternity leave and “protect the legitimate rights and interests of women in employment.”

The party also said it would increase funding to expand services for the country’s retirees. In 2020, the number of people age 60 and above in China stood at 264 million, accounting for about 18.7 percent of the population. That figure is set to grow to more than 300 million people, or about one-fifth of the population, by 2025, according to the government.

For decades, China’s family planning restrictions empowered the authorities to impose fines on most couples who had more than one child and compel hundreds of millions of Chinese women to have abortions or undergo sterilization operations. Civil servants were fired for violating birth restrictions.

Gao Bin, a 27-year-old seller of lottery tickets in the eastern city of Qingdao, recalled how his mother was forbidden to give birth to him and had to flee to three different places just to escape family planning officials. He said that his mother still cries when she recounts those days.

“To be honest, when I saw the announcement of this policy, I was pretty angry,” Mr. Gao said. “I think the government lacks a humane attitude when it comes to fertility.”

Claire Fu and Elsie Chen contributed research.

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Prime Minister on assessments, tracing and vaccination

Lee Hsien Loong, Singapore’s prime minister.

Roslan Rahman | AFP | Getty Images

SINGAPORE — Singapore’s Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong said Monday that the country’s Covid restrictions may be relaxed after June 13 if the situation improves.

“Barring another super-spreader or big cluster, we should be on track to bring this outbreak under control,” he said in a televised address.

“If our situation continues to improve, and the number of community cases falls further, we should be able to relax the restrictions after 13 June,” he said.

The Southeast Asian nation saw the number of local coronavirus infections climb higher in April, and imposed tighter measures twice in May, to stem the spread of the virus.

Starting on May 8, Singapore lengthened quarantines for travelers arriving from overseas, closed indoor gyms and limited social gatherings to groups of five.

It later announced a ban on dine-in, capped public gatherings to groups of two, and said all workers who can work from home must do so from May 16 to June 13. At that time, the government said it would review the measures two weeks later.

The surge in cases also led to another delay of the travel bubble between Singapore and Hong Kong.

Singapore’s government last week warned of “heightened uncertainties” in the months ahead because of the pandemic, but maintained its growth forecast at 4% to 6% for 2021. The country’s economy grew 1.3% in the first quarter of 2021, the fastest pace in more than a year.

As of Sunday, the country reported 62,028 confirmed cases of Covid-19 and 33 deaths from the disease.

This is breaking news. Please check back for updates.

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The Luckiest Employees in America? Youngsters.

Roller coaster riders and lemonade slingers at Kennywood Amusement Park, a summer staple in Pittsburgh, don’t have to buy their own uniforms this year. Those with a high school diploma also earn $ 13 as a starting wage – up from $ 9 last year – and new hires get free season passes for themselves and their families.

The high wages and perks for Kennywood’s seasonal workers, where nearly half of the workforce are under the age of 18, reflect what happens across the country as employers seek to hire waiters, receptionists, and other service workers to meet rising demand satisfy when the economy opens up again.

For American teenagers looking for work, this may be their best summer in years.

With businesses trying to get filled from barely occupied to full practically overnight, teenagers seem to win more than any other demographic. The proportion of 16-19 year olds in work has not been so high since 2008, before the spreading global financial crisis led to a decline in employment. Around 256,000 young people in this age group found employment in April – which makes up the vast majority of those newly hired – a significant change after young people suffered severe job losses at the start of the pandemic. Whether the trend can hold will be clearer when the job data for May is released on Friday.

It could have a downside. Some educators warn that jobs can be a distraction from school. And while employment itself can provide learning opportunities, the recent wave of recruitment has been led by white teenagers, raising concerns that minority youth may miss out on a hot summer job market.

“A rising tide doesn’t raise all boats,” said Alicia Sasser Modestino, an economist at Northeastern University who studies labor markets for young people. Still, “There could be some really good opportunities for teenagers that we haven’t seen in a long time – that’s good.”

For Hayley Bailley, a 17-year-old from Irwin, Pennsylvania, Kennywood’s summer hiring spurt meant an opportunity to earn more for the car she wants to buy. Ms. Bailley, a high school graduate, was excited to take a job running an antique roller coaster and snapping people into paddle boats when she believed she was paying $ 9. When she found out the park was raising the pay to $ 13 an hour, she was delighted.

“I love it,” she said. She doesn’t even mind walking backwards on the carousel to make sure everyone is driving safely, though it can be confusing. “After you see the little kids and they give you high fives, it doesn’t matter at all.”

It’s not just Kennywood who pays. According to Luke Pardue, an economist with the company, in a database compiled by payroll platform Gusto, small businesses have raised wages for youth in the service sector in recent months. Teens had taken a blow at the start of the pandemic but returned to their pre-coronavirus wage levels in March 2021 and spent the first half of May hurrying their wages beyond that.

“It’s great that business and small businesses have this pressure relief valve,” said Pardue. “From the perspective of gaining experience and also earning money, this is a positive development.”

For employers, young people can be a critical new source of labor at a time when demand is growing and vacancies are not filled.

Health concerns and childcare challenges seem to deter some older workers from finding work quickly. Extended unemployment insurance benefits can also give workers the financial cushion they need for better opportunities. These challenges are compounded by the fact that the United States issued far fewer work visas to immigrants during the pandemic due to travel and other restrictions. As a result, there is a lack of employees from abroad who normally fill temporary, agricultural and seasonal positions.

The recruitment crisis is felt across the country.

Cape Cod restaurants have long relied on seasonal workers to prepare lobster rolls and maintain bar and bus tables. However, it has become difficult to fill jobs with fewer overseas workers and rising property prices are keeping local seasonal workers out, said Will Moore, manager at Spankys Clam Shack and Seaside Saloon in Hyannis, Mass.

“I think everyone’s hoping that when the college kids get here and the high school kids graduate, band aids will come over the holes,” he said.

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With temperatures rising in Henderson, Kentucky, officials feared they would not have enough lifeguards to open their only public swimming pool for the summer.

By mid-May, they had around six applicants for the position, paying a starting salary of $ 8.50 an hour. The city requires a minimum of eight lifeguards a day to keep the entire pool safe. The limited interest reflected a perfect storm: the pool was not opened last year due to the pandemic, so lifeguards could not be hired as of 2020, and youth workers were welcomed by higher wages on local fast food and big box retail jobs lured.

The city government increased the starting salary to $ 10 an hour on May 25 and lowered the minimum age for applicants from 16 to 15 years. It seems to have worked: more teenagers applied and the city has started surveying candidates for the vacancies.

“It seems that a lot of entry-level retail salaries really increased between 2020 and 2021, and we just had to catch up if we were to be competitive and attract qualified applicants,” said Trace Stevens, City Park Director and Recreation.

Teens make more than just thicker paychecks when employers try to attract applicants. Kennywood employees receive seasonal parking passes for themselves and three family members – a bonus worth around $ 300. Applebee’s offered an “Apps for Apps” deal in which interviewed applicants received a free starter voucher. Restaurants and gas stations across the country are offering signing bonuses.

But the benefits and better pay may not reach everyone. White teens lost their jobs sharply at the start of the pandemic, and led the gains in 2021, although black teens added comparatively few and Hispanic teens actually lost jobs. This continues a long-term disparity with white teens working in much larger numbers, and the gap could worsen if the current trajectory continues.

Restricted access to transport is one factor that can deter minority youth from work, said Ms. Sasser Modestino. While places like Cape Cod and suburbs begin to boom, pedestrian traffic remains low in some urban centers on public transportation, which can put youth who live in cities at a disadvantage.

“We haven’t seen the demand yet,” said Joseph McLaughlin, director of research and evaluation at Boston Private Industry Council, who helps students with paid internships and helps others apply to private employers such as grocery stores.

Ms. Sasser Modestino’s research has shown that the long-term decline in youth work is partly due to a shift towards study preparation and internships, but that many young people still need and want jobs for economic reasons. But the types of jobs teenagers have traditionally held have dwindled – blockbuster gigs are a thing of the past – and older workers are increasingly filling them.

Teens who benefit now may not have a cheap job market in the long run, said Anthony P. Carnevale, director of the Center for Education and Labor at Georgetown University.

“There can certainly be a brief positive effect as young people can move into many occupations that adults have declined in for some reason,” he said. “It will only be temporary because we always take care of the adults first.”

Educators have raised another concern: that today’s numerous and successful teenage jobs could distract students from their studies.

When classes resumed last August at Torrington High School, which serves 330 students in a small Wyoming town, headmaster Chase Christensen found that about 10 of his senior students were not returning. They had taken full-time jobs, including night shifts in a nursing home and working in a gravel pit, and were reluctant to give up the money. Five have dropped out or not graduated from high school since then.

“They got used to paying a full-time worker,” Christensen said. “You get jobs that high schoolers don’t normally get.”

If better career prospects in the short term overtake teenagers’ plans for additional education or training, it could also create problems. Economic research consistently finds that those who manage to get additional training have better-paying careers.

Nonetheless, Ms. Sasser Modestino pointed out that much of the hiring is now for summer jobs, which are less likely to disrupt school. And there can be advantages. For people like Ms. Bailley, this represents an opportunity to save on textbooks and lessons. She wants to go to community college to qualify and then get an engineering degree.

“I’ve always been interested in robots, I love programming and coding,” she explained, saying that learning how roller coasters work fits with her academic interests.

Shaylah Bentley, 18, and a new season ticket at Kennywood, said the above-expected wage she earns will allow her to decorate her dormitory at Slippery Rock University. She is on the advance for the second year this year and is studying sports science.

“I wanted to save money on school and expenses,” she said. “And have something to do this summer.”

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Nepali billionaire says Nepal underestimated its second Covid wave

Health workers in protective suits spray disinfectant on children on a deserted street in Kathmandu on May 3, 2020 as a preventive measure against the Covid-19 coronavirus during a government-imposed nationwide lockdown.

Prakash Mathema | AFP | Getty Images

Nepal has underestimated its second wave of Covid-19 infections and needs to step up its efforts to deal with the crisis, Nepalese billionaire Binod Chaudhary said last week. Nor should the country hold its elections until the situation stabilizes, he said.

“I have to admit, we as a nation have probably underestimated the intensity of the second wave,” he told CNBC’s Street Signs Asia on Friday.

The South Asian country’s Covid cases increased in April and continued to hit new record highs in May.

As of May 30, Nepal has reported 557,124 coronavirus infections and 7,272 deaths, according to local health authorities.

The situation is similar to neighboring India, which has the second highest number of cases in the world.

Chaudhary, chairman of Nepal-based CG Corp Global, said the first wave was bad enough and the country had been “crippled” for about three months despite recovering.

“It’s worse this time,” he said.

Health system

Nepal’s medical system is under immense pressure, with a lack of oxygen, ventilators and intensive care beds, he said.

World Bank data shows that Nepal had only 0.749 doctors per 1,000 people in 2018. That’s less than 0.857 in India and 2.812 in the UK in the same year.

Vaccination in Nepal has been hampered by the supply and, according to Our World in Data, only around 2.25% of the country’s 29 million people are fully vaccinated.

“We were counting on India,” said Chaudhary.

India is a vaccine manufacturing center and has donated shots to neighboring countries. Nepal also bought cans, but India stopped exports in February to give domestic demand priority.

“We’re looking for other sources of supply,” he said. “We must all increase our efforts quickly.”

This land needs to be safe and secure.

Binod Chaudhary

CG Corp Global

He added that CG Corp Global has mobilized its network to help bring oxygen and ventilators to Nepal. The company’s nonprofit donated approximately $ 1 million to help address the health emergency.

Chaudhary urged the world to “pay special attention to countries like Nepal” when it comes to vaccines.

“This country needs to be safe and protected,” he said. Bordering India and China, Nepal is “strategically convenient yet small,” he said, predicting the problem could be resolved “fairly quickly”.

Various nations have sent aid in the form of medical supplies and personal protective equipment. China has reportedly donated 800,000 doses of its Sinopharm-developed vaccine to Nepal.

General elections in November

Chaudhary, an opposition MP, said he would like all parties to bring the Covid-related challenges to the fore and try to get Nepal to safety.

“Unfortunately, that’s not the case,” he said. The Nepalese parliament was dissolved in December, but the move was reversed after the Supreme Court found it unconstitutional.

On May 22nd, President Bidya Devi Bhandari dissolved parliament and called for an election in November. Reuters reported that the Nepalese Congress Party announced to the opposition that it would launch a political and legal battle against the dissolution.

Most opposition parties find the timing unacceptable, Chaudhary said. It should take place when the country’s health and economic situation is back on track, he said.

That could happen in less than six months, but only with vaccines and medical equipment secured for Nepal, he predicted.

As cases continue to grow, Chaudhary said the call for an election was ironic and unfortunate.

“While the house is on fire, we are still fighting over who will sleep in the master bedroom.”

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Atlas Obscura, a Journey Website Centered on the Bizarre and Obscure, Digs Deeper

When the pandemic hit last spring, Atlas Obscura had just received a $20 million investment from a group of investors led by Airbnb. Atlas Obscura, at the time, was focused on building the “experience” side of its business — guided tours and classes — which it expected to snap into the giant home rental platform. (The New York Times is also an investor in Atlas Obscura.) But Airbnb gave up on the initiative as it scrambled to weather the crisis. And like the rest of travel media, Atlas Obscura has spent a year mostly catering to the fantasies of homebound travelers. That led, the company says, to record traffic and advertising revenue, as well as a new business in online classes.

Now, the travel media and the travel industry are bracing — and hoping — for a surge of tourism. Though few in the travel media have taken on re-editing of their product like Atlas Obscura, they’re also trying to adapt to a changed political situation, seeking to find nonwhite writers who live in the places they write about, or to have more diverse American writers tell the stories of destinations. Jacqueline Gifford, the editor in chief of Travel and Leisure, said the travel media was trying to ask itself, “Who gets to tell travel stories, why they’re telling them, and what’s the way we can be more representative of this country, of the world we’re living in today?”

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But there are also built-in limits to how much you can revolutionize travel writing, said Rafat Ali, the founder of the travel business site Skift.

“It’s always going to be outsiders looking in,” he said.

The challenge for editors and writers across media is how to make journalism inclusive as well as riveting and provocative, rather than just a corporate media exercise in box-checking. (One top newspaper editor described that genre to me last week as “D.E.I. dutiful,” referring to diversity, equity and inclusion initiatives.)

It shouldn’t be that hard. Complicated, surprising stories are often the best ones, as illustrated by the superb “Reckoning With a Reckoning” issue that Adrienne Green, the features editor at New York magazine, put together last week. It sought, as the magazine’s editor in chief, David Haskell, wrote in an email, “to clarify stakes and also complicate them, to tell morality tales but avoid easy morals.”

Atlas Obscura, which also publishes magaziney features like the disturbing story of how a Black woman’s remains wound up on display at a Philadelphia museum and the secret queer history of Colonial Williamsburg, is another good example of how a publisher can meet the moment by deepening its content with an inquiry into, in particular, the violence Americans often choose to forget.

Indeed, Mr. Patel told me he’s not sure “decolonizing” was the right word for the project. “Decolonization suggests removal, and that’s not what we’re doing,” he said Wednesday morning, as we began our tour of unusual New York sites on the edge of the Bushwick section of Brooklyn. “Adding this kind of perspective to travel and travel writing makes it less boring.”

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Why polyester is an issue for the trade

Fashion has a polyester problem.

It’s the most widely used clothing fiber in the world, but as a synthetic material made from plastic, polyester takes a lot of energy to manufacture and is highly water and air polluting, according to the Council of Fashion Designers of America.

The fashion industry is trying to address the problem, but according to the CEO of one of the world’s largest apparel manufacturers, there is no easy solution. “There is still no raw material that is as cheap and versatile as polyester,” said Roger Lee, who runs TAL Apparel, headquartered in Hong Kong.

Polyester is not only inexpensive, it also does not wrinkle and can be washed at low temperatures. However, the washing process also releases tiny fibers known as microplastics that can be harmful to marine life. While polyester will last for years, longevity is a double-edged sword – clothing can be worn many times, but will likely land in landfills and not biodegrade.

“Today we rarely use virgin polyester,” Lee told CNBC’s “Managing Asia: Sustainable Future”. “What do I mean by that? Very often the polyacetals (fibers) that we use actually come from recycled bottles.”

In the past two years, the use of recycled plastics in fashion has accelerated tremendously, according to Lee. “The reason is that the cost of using it has come down to the same price as using new polyester. And that’s the key – if the price is the same … (it’s) a no-brainer. It saves Environments (and has) the same trading costs. “

TAL Apparel makes clothing for brands like Burberry, J Crew and Patagonia and was founded by the Lee family who entered the fashion business with a cotton fabric business in 1856. The company was revived in 1947 by Lee’s great uncle CC.

CEOs have to say, okay, what’s more important … a profit now or … a planet in the future?

According to the Textile Exchange standards body, only around 14% of polyester is currently made from recycled fibers. How close is the industry to the breakthrough in recycling used clothing?

“If you’re talking about pure polyester, we’re close. But the problem is that a lot of materials are mixed materials, it’s a polyester mixture with something else. And the separation was a problem,” Lee explained.

TAL is involved in the Hong Kong Textiles and Apparel Research Institute, which is looking for new ways to make the fashion industry more sustainable. In November, the institute launched a “Green Machine” that was developed with the H&M Foundation and can separate mixed materials. The new machine breaks down the cotton part of the material and extracts the polyester, which can then be spun into garments.

Preventing clothes from going to landfill or encouraging people to buy less could help get rid of an excess of polyester garments – and that means looking at the fundamentals of the fashion industry.

Custom clothing

Brands are currently “guessing” how many pieces of each style they will produce, Lee said, and the clothes take three to six months to make before they are posted to stores or posted online. What is not sold at full price is written off. “If it’s that cheap or 70% cheaper (people think) I don’t really need it, but you know what 70% is worth, (well) I’ll get it. And then you buy yourself what I don’t really need “said Lee.

One solution is to make clothes to measure, as TAL has been doing for 15 years. “In the last few years it has really been undressed … you go to the store, the garment is not ready for you. But you say you know what, I like this fabric, I like this style, you place the order and the shirt, for example, will be available on your doorstep in seven days, “explained Lee. Before the coronavirus pandemic, TAL produced around 600,000 shirts annually in this way.

While making bespoke clothing is currently more expensive than making it in bulk, that could change in the long run. “You don’t need (a) warehouse to store (clothes) … You don’t need big stores to sell … But big brands that are stationary a lot can’t get rid of them overnight, so it is makes no sense, “said Lee.

“What is entering the market is the emerging people … we need more people who think about it like that,” he added. In December, Amazon launched a bespoke t-shirt service Made For You in the US, while Unspun of San Francisco sells bespoke jeans.

“Brands have to commit to saying: I will be removing this raw polyester from my supply chain in five to ten years, for example, and forcing people to find alternative ways that are more sustainable is the responsibility of the brand CEOs to do so,” said Lee.

He also urged the industry to work together. “Our industry is highly competitive (and) shares secrets about how we do things to give one company an advantage over another,” said Lee. “But CEOs have to say, OK, which is more important … a profit now or … a planet in the future. And I think planet in the future.”

– CNBC’s Karen Gilchrist contributed to this report.

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‘It’s Going to Be a Large Summer time for Arduous Seltzer’

The music should be pumping and the burgers and jerk chicken wings flying out of the kitchen this holiday weekend at the Rambler Kitchen and Tap in the North Center neighborhood of Chicago.

To wash it down, patrons might go with a mixed drink or one of the 20 craft beers the bar sells. But many will order a hard seltzer. The Rambler expects to sell close to 500 cans in flavors like peach, pineapple and grapefruit pomelo.

“We’ll sell a lot of buckets of White Claw and Truly seltzers,” said Sam Stone, a co-owner of the Rambler. “It’s going to be a big summer for hard seltzer.”

The Memorial Day weekend kicks off what many hope will be a more normal summer, when kids start counting down the number of days left in school, people head back to the beach and grills heat up for backyard parties that went poof last year because of the pandemic. And for the hard seltzer industry, it’s the start of a dizzying period when dozens of old and new competitors vie to be the boozy, bubbly drink of the season.

A grown-up cousin to fizzy seltzer waters like LaCroix, alcoholic hard seltzers became a sensation before the pandemic, racking up around $500 million in sales in 2018, according to NielsenIQ. But in the past year, when people couldn’t go to their favorite bars and restaurants, they picked up cases and cases of the drinks at liquor and grocery stores, sending revenues soaring to more than $4 billion in 2020.

Analysts are betting that another big wave of seltzer buying will hit this summer. Nik Modi, an analyst at RBC Capital Markets, notes that hard seltzers are popular at group gatherings, which largely didn’t happen last year.

“This summer,” Mr. Modi said, “is going to be a completely different ballgame.” He and others predict that annual sales will top $8 billion over the next four years.

Dave Burwick, the chief executive of Boston Beer, said on CNBC last year that the growth of hard seltzers was the biggest shift in the beer industry since light beers were widely introduced in the 1970s. Boston Beer, the company behind Sam Adams, also makes Truly Hard Seltzer.

While White Claw and Truly — the Coca-Cola and Pepsi of hard seltzer — capture about 70 percent of the market, everyone wants in on the action, drawn by the staggering growth. Old-school beer companies, spirits giants, winemakers and others are fermenting sugar solutions and adding seasonal flavors like watermelon, black cherry and strawberry lemonade to create their own buzzy concoctions. (Care for passion fruit-orange-guava?) They’re also trying to outdo one another by coming up with new variations, like so-called spiked seltzers that use rum or tequila, seltzers with antioxidants or even “hard coffee.”

Boston Beer introduced Truly Iced Tea Hard Seltzer this year and a few weeks ago released an ad campaign with the British pop singer Dua Lipa. This spring, the hip-hop star Travis Scott released Cacti, a seltzer made with blue agave syrup, in a partnership with Anheuser-Busch. It quickly sold out in many locations.

“People were lining up outside of the stores to buy Cacti and share pictures of themselves with their carts full of Cacti,” said Marcel Marcondes, the chief marketing officer for Anheuser-Busch.

Also this spring, Topo Chico Hard Seltzer was released. A partnership between Coca-Cola and Molson Coors Beverage, it hit shelves in 16 markets across the country, chasing the cult following of Topo Chico’s seltzer water in the South.

“I feel like I can walk into a party saying, ‘Oh, yeah, I brought the Topo Chico,’” said Dane Cardiel, 32, who works in business development for a podcast company and lives in Esopus, N.Y., about 60 miles south of Albany.

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How flavored bubbly water with alcohol became a national phenomenon is partly due to social media videos that went viral and clever marketing that sold hard seltzers as a “healthier” alcohol choice.

White Claw’s slim cans prominently state that the drinks contain only 100 calories, are gluten free and have only two grams each of carbohydrates and sugar. The brand is owned by the Canadian billionaire Anthony von Mandl, who created Mike’s Hard Lemonade.

“The health and wellness element is front and center in terms of the visual marketing,” said Vivien Azer, an analyst at the Cowen investment firm. “Every brand’s packaging features its relatively low carb and sugar data.”

On top of that, the alcohol content in most hard seltzers, about 5 percent, or the same as 12 ounces of a typical beer, is less than a glass of wine or a mixed drink. That makes it easier for people to sip at a party or while watching a game without getting intoxicated or winding up with the belly-full-of-beer feeling.

“It’s a nice drink for an afternoon on the patio,” said Shelley Majeres, the general manager of Blake Street Tavern in downtown Denver. “You can drink four or five of them in an afternoon and not have a big hangover or get really drunk.”

Blake Street, an 18,000-square-foot sports bar, started selling hard seltzers two years ago. Today, they make up about 20 percent of its can and bottle sales.

The industry has also neatly sidestepped the gender issue that plagued earlier, lighter alcoholic alternatives like Zima, which became popular with women but struggled to be adopted by men.

“I’ve got just as many men as women drinking it,” said Nick Zeto, the owner of Boston Beer Garden in Naples, Fla. “And it started with the millennials, but now I have people in their 40s, 50s and 60s ordering it.”

That kind of broad appeal is attractive to beer, wine and spirits companies.

“We view ourselves as the challenger brand,” said Michelle St. Jacques, the chief marketing officer of Molson Coors, which has been making beer since the late 1700s but hopes to end this year with 10 percent of the hard seltzer market.

Last spring, the company released Vizzy, a hard seltzer that contains vitamin C. Topo Chico came this spring. “We feel like we’re making great progress in seltzer by not trying to bring me-too products, but rather products and brands that have a clear difference,” Ms. St. Jacques said.

While grocery and liquor stores have made plenty of space available to the hard seltzer brands that people drink at home, the competition to get into restaurants and bars is fierce. Most want to offer only two or three brands to their customers.

“Oh, my god, I get presented with new hard seltzer whenever they can get my attention,” said Mr. Stone, who sells six brands at the Rambler. The crowd favorite, he said, is the vodka-based High Noon Sun Sips peach, made by E.&J. Gallo Winery. “Everybody, from the big brands to small, new ones, are getting into the hard seltzer game.”

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Business

With theme parks set to rebound, journey advisors share journey suggestions

Social-Media-Persönlichkeiten Dixie D’Amelio und Noah Beck im Disney California Adventure Park im Disneyland Resort am 2. Mai 2021 in Anaheim, Kalifornien.

Handout | Getty Images Entertainment | Getty Images

Die Covid-Pandemie machte die letzten 14 Monate zu einer buchstäblichen Achterbahnfahrt für Themenparks und ihre Fans.

Die Parks wurden im letzten Frühjahr geschlossen oder gar nicht geöffnet, und obwohl einige bis zum Sommer wieder geöffnet wurden, waren es strenge Kapazitätsgrenzen und strenge Gesundheits- und Sicherheitsmaßnahmen, die einige Kunden abschreckten und den Spaßfaktor für andere definitiv beeinträchtigten.

Hier sehen Sie, wie sich die Dinge für diesen Teil des Reise- und Tourismussektors im Jahr 2021 entwickeln und wie potenzielle Besucher einen Themenparkurlaub im Verlauf der Pandemie optimal nutzen können.

Vor der Pandemie lief es für den Sektor gut. Die Top 20 der nordamerikanischen Themenparks zogen 2019 159.108.000 Besucher an, 1% mehr als im Vorjahr. Dies geht aus dem TEA / AECOM-Themenindex und dem Museumsindex 2019 hervor.

Um noch mehr Besucher anzulocken, haben die Parkbetreiber ihre Gewinne in vielbeschworene neue Attraktionen mit großem Budget wie den Jurassic World Velocicoaster auf den Abenteuerinseln des Universal Orlando Resorts in Florida und den Avengers Campus mit Marvel-Thema im Disney California Adventure Park in Anaheim zurückgeführt .

Mehr von Personal Finance:
Wie war der Besuch eines Themenparks inmitten der Pandemie?
Wie Reisende von den Kämpfen in der Hotelbranche profitieren könnten
Was Sie erwartet, wenn Live-Musik-Events wieder auf die Bühne kommen

Die Leute haben nicht vergessen, dass diese Debüts in Vorbereitung waren.

“Viele Familien entscheiden sich in diesem Jahr für den Besuch von Themenparks”, sagte Trish Smith, eine in Kansas City, Missouri, ansässige Reiseberaterin, die dem InteleTravel-Netzwerk von Agenten zu Hause angeschlossen ist. “Ich hatte zu diesem Zeitpunkt in diesem Jahr tatsächlich mehr Buchungen als 2019.

“Es kommen so viele neue Attraktionen, dass viele Leute sagen: ‘Ja, das möchte ich nicht verpassen, und ich möchte der Erste sein'”, fügte sie hinzu.

Die Nachfrage ist besonders in Kalifornien aufgestaut, wo die Parks erst im April wiedereröffnet wurden.

Tatsächlich sagte Michael Erstad, Senior Analyst, Verbraucher des Forschungsunternehmens M Science, dass Themenparks bereits im nächsten Jahr zu früheren Besucherzahlen zurückkehren könnten. “Ich denke auf jeden Fall, dass es eine Möglichkeit ist”, sagte er. “Es wird alles davon abhängen, wie sich die Dinge für den Rest des Jahres mit dem Virus entwickeln.

“Ich würde nicht zählen [a rebound] aus.”

Cardify, ein Unternehmen für Erkenntnisse zu Verbraucherdaten, hat nicht überraschend festgestellt, dass in den Themenparks im vergangenen Jahr ein starker Rückgang der Verbraucherausgaben zu verzeichnen war, sich jedoch bis zum letzten Sommer durch die Wiedereröffnung mit Kapazitätsbeschränkungen “etwas erholen” konnte. Jetzt, da Städte und Bundesstaaten die Pandemiebeschränkungen lockern, sehen die Parks, was Cardify als “Silberstreifen” für Parkbetreiber bezeichnet – einen neuen “starken Anstieg” der Ausgaben.

Cardify fand auch in einer Umfrage unter 1.044 Verbrauchern heraus, dass 72% begeistert sind, nach der Pandemie in Vergnügungsparks zurückzukehren, mehr als in Kinos (68%) oder Bars und Clubs (67%). Nur persönliche Konzerte (79%) und Sportveranstaltungen (74%) werden mit Spannung erwartet.

Themenparks “sind an einem viel besseren Ort” im Vergleich zu Kinos, Kreuzfahrten, Flugreisen, Hotels und anderen Unterhaltungsmöglichkeiten, sagte Erstad von M Science.

Wie in Skigebieten, in Themenparks “ist ein Großteil der Erfahrung im Freien”, sagte er, und daher weniger riskant in Bezug auf die Exposition. “Sie stehen zwar für Fahrten an, aber im letzten Jahr wurden Verbesserungen vorgenommen, um die Kaufentscheidungen für Lebensmittel und Getränke zu verbessern, sodass Sie viele Dinge elektronisch erledigen.”

Also, wohin gehen Nervenkitzel suchende?

Es gibt im Wesentlichen zwei Themenparkmärkte in den USA, obwohl es einige Überschneidungen zwischen ihnen gibt. Große Zielparks – wie Walt Disney World, Universal Orlando Resort und SeaWorld Orlando, die in Zentralflorida zusammengefasst sind – ziehen sowohl inländische als auch internationale Besucher für längere Ferien an, während Regionalparks, die manchmal kleiner und weniger thematisch sind, eher eine Autofahrt anziehen. in, Tagesausflügler demografisch aus nahe gelegenen Gebieten.

Beispiele für die letztere Art von Park wären die 27 Themen- und Wasserparkimmobilien, die in Nordamerika von der in Grand Prairie, Texas, ansässigen Six Flags Entertainment Corp. betrieben werden. Einige kleinere, aber hoch thematisierte Parks wie Dollywood in Pigeon Forge, Tennessee, überspannen die Linie zwischen den beiden Kategorien.

(Interessanterweise verfügt Disneyland über ein globales Zielparkprofil, fungiert jedoch effektiv als Regionalpark und zieht die meisten Besucher aus dem lokalen südkalifornischen Markt an. Der Park, der derzeit nur Kaliforniern vorbehalten ist, wird jedoch am 15. Juni für alle Besucher wieder vollständig geöffnet.)

Keine konkreten Pläne; du musst jetzt ein wenig flexibel sein.

Trish Smith

Mit InteleTravel verbundener Reiseberater

Die Konsumausgaben in den Parks von Orlando erholen sich seit Monaten vom Absturz des letzten Jahres. Besucher außerhalb des Bundesstaates öffnen ihre Brieftaschen mehr als Einwohner Floridas, erklärte Erstad.

“Ich denke, es ist ein gesundes Zeichen für Disney und die auf Reiseziele ausgerichteten Betreiber sowie für die allgemeine Attraktivität der Verbraucher für Themenparks im Allgemeinen in diesem Sommer.” [and] ein Hinweis auf Verbraucher, die diese Art von suchen [mostly outdoor] Unterhaltung “, sagte er.

Florida gehört zu den am wenigsten restriktiven Staaten, wenn es um die Regulierung von Pandemien geht, und die Disney-, Universal- und SeaWorld-Parks in der Region Orlando sind seit letztem Juli geöffnet. Vorübergehende zwischenstaatliche Reisebeschränkungen und Quarantäneanforderungen drosselten die Fernnachfrage für einige Monate, wurden jedoch schließlich zum Jahresende gelockert.

Während das Interesse an Disneys Orlando-Parks groß ist, werden “Roadtrips in der Nähe von zu Hause in diesem Sommer für regionale Themenparks wie sehr beliebt sein [Cedar Fair’s] Kings Dominion [and] Cedar Point, Six Flags, Sesame Place, Busch Gardens und Dollywood “, sagte Carolyn Moody, InteleTravel-Beraterin in Durham, North Carolina.

Die Jury ist sich noch nicht sicher, wie es den Regionalparks ergehen wird, da es an einigen Orten aus klimabezogenen und geschäftlichen Gründen an echten Daten mangelt, sagte Erstad.

Cedar Fair Entertainment Co. beispielsweise hat vier seiner elf Themenparks in den USA und Kanada für den größten Teil des Jahres 2020 vollständig offline geschaltet, selbst in Ländern, in denen eine begrenzte Eröffnung mit eingeschränkter Kapazität möglich war, und die Betriebssaison im Übrigen verkürzt. Im Jahr 2020 waren es nur 487 Betriebstage, verglichen mit 2.224 im Jahr 2019.

“Cedar Fair hat einen eher konservativen Ansatz gewählt. Sie waren die ersten, die bekannt gaben, dass sie die Inhaber von 2020-Pässen bis 20201 ehren würden, und haben sich bewusst für einen vorsichtigeren Ansatz entschieden”, sagte Erstad. “Es ist etwas zu früh, um sich einige Ihrer kälteren Wetterparks anzusehen, obwohl wir in den geöffneten Parks eine ziemlich gute Nachfrage gesehen haben.”

In diesem Jahr plant die in Sandusky, Ohio, ansässige Cedar Fair, alle US-Parks – wie Knotts Berry Farm in Buena Point, Kalifornien, und Carowinds in Charlotte, North Carolina – bis zum Memorial Day zu eröffnen, obwohl Kanadas Wunderland außerhalb von Toronto, Ontario, bleibt geschlossen. Das Unternehmen plant, die ursprünglich für 2020 geplanten Attraktionen zu eröffnen und in diesem Jahr weitere 100 Millionen US-Dollar für neue Upgrades auszugeben, sagte Präsident und CEO Richard A. Zimmerman in einer Erklärung vom 5. Mai in Erwartung einer “starken aufgestauten Verbrauchernachfrage nach mehr Nähe” Unterhaltung zu Hause im Freien, insbesondere in der zweiten Jahreshälfte. “

“Wir sind mit den bisherigen Frühindikatoren zufrieden und unsere operative Strategie für 2021 konzentriert sich auf die Maximierung der Leistung in unserer saisonal gewichteten zweiten Jahreshälfte”, fügte er hinzu. “Mit unseren Parkeröffnungen gleich um die Ecke sehen wir wieder einen Anstieg der Verkäufe von Saisonkarten.”

Erstad wies unterdessen auf Six Flags Great Adventure & Safari in Jackson, New Jersey, als einen Regionalpark hin, der zu Beginn der Pandemie eröffnet wurde und “im letzten Sommer sehr gut” lief.

“Das war nur auf die Tatsache zurückzuführen, dass sie die Safari-Attraktion haben, bei der Sie mit Ihrer Familie in Ihrem Auto sitzen und sozial von anderen entfernt sein können”, bemerkte er.

Der Park in der Nähe von New York City und Philadelphia hat am 30. Mai seine Safari für Fahrer mit Vorbehalt wiedereröffnet und am 3. Juli seinen Teil des Themenparks mit einer Kapazität von 25% wiedereröffnet. Die gute Resonanz deutet auf eine große “aufgestaute Nachfrage” hin. “Sagte Erstad.

Parks wie die von Cedar Fair, die letztes Jahr überhaupt nicht geöffnet waren, werden möglicherweise erste Besucherzahlen verzeichnen, aber “Ich weiß nicht, dass die Nachfrage so stark steigen wird wie bei Disney und einigen anderen größeren Parks.” erlebt haben “, sagte Summer Hull, Direktor für Reiseinhalte auf der Website The Points Guy.

“Aber ich denke, dass für einige der Leute, die normalerweise gerne an diese Orte gehen, dies der Sommer sein kann, in dem sie zu ihnen zurückkehren”, fügte sie hinzu.

Tipps und Drehpunkte zum Themenpark

Welche Tipps haben Reiseberater, wenn Sie sich für einen Themenpark entschieden haben?

Moody, ein Disney-Spezialist, sagte, dass Familien, die in diesem Jahr Themenparks in Betracht ziehen, einen Reiseberater konsultieren sollten, “der Kunden über die neuesten CDC-Vorschriften auf dem Laufenden halten, Fragen beantworten, die besten Angebote finden, alles von Anfang bis Ende buchen und Single sein kann Ansprechpartner während Ihrer Reise. “

Sie empfiehlt außerdem, Reisen so früh wie möglich zu buchen, Parks früh oder spät am Tag zu besuchen, um Menschenmassen zu vermeiden, Tickets zu kaufen und auch die erforderlichen Eintrittsreservierungen vorzunehmen.

Smith betonte auch diesen letzten Punkt. Während Universal Orlando nie Reservierungen benötigte und Six Flags sie diesen Monat landesweit in seinen Parks verschrottete, brauchen Besucher der Walt Disney World Parks sie immer noch – ebenso wie jeder, der einen der neu eröffneten Themenparks in Kalifornien besucht.

“Selbst wenn Sie das Ticket kaufen, ist es nicht garantiert, dass Sie in den Park gelangen, in den Sie gehen möchten, da dieser Park möglicherweise mit Reservierungen ausgebucht ist”, sagte sie.

Befolgen Sie im Park die noch geltenden Regeln zur Maskierung und sozialen Distanzierung – die Situation ist fließend und kann sich schnell ändern -, aber machen Sie sich keine Sorgen. Seit der Wiedereröffnung wurden keine Berichte darüber veröffentlicht, dass Parks in der Umgebung von Orlando zu Covid-Hotspots werden.

“Die Themenparks haben großartige Arbeit geleistet, um die Sicherheit der Menschen zu gewährleisten”, sagte Smith. “Selbst wenn mehr Menschen geimpft werden, berücksichtigen sie immer noch die Sicherheit. Ich glaube also nicht, dass es in Fällen oder so etwas zu einem starken Anstieg kommen wird.”

The Points Guy’s Hull war seit seiner Wiedereröffnung dreimal in Walt Disney World und sagte: “Es war eine tolle Zeit.”

“Es ist größtenteils im Freien und sie haben großartige Arbeit geleistet, damit es sich lustig und gleichzeitig sicher in Ihrer eigenen kleinen ‘Disney-Blase’ anfühlt”, sagte sie.

Seien Sie auch offen für Veränderungen. “Das ist das Größte”, sagte Smith. “Sie haben keine konkreten Pläne. Sie müssen jetzt ein wenig flexibel sein.”

Hull stimmte zu und sagte, dass Gäste des Themenparks, die ihre Hausaufgaben machen, diesen Sommer eine tolle Zeit haben werden. “Aber diejenigen, die davon ausgehen, dass es sich nur um ein normales Geschäft handelt, werden einige Überraschungen erwarten”, sagte sie und stellte fest, dass viele Teile größerer Zielparks – von Hotels über Restaurants bis hin zu Fahrgeschäften – immer noch nicht online sind oder nicht über normale Kapazitäten verfügen.

“Sie müssen einige Dinge auf eine Art und Weise anordnen, die Sie vorher vielleicht nicht hatten, und trotzdem mit gemäßigten Erwartungen an Dinge rund um das Essen, das Housekeeping und andere Elemente, die immer noch eine Art Pandemie-Ära sind und nicht wieder normal geworden sind noch.”

(Offenlegung: CNBC und Universal Parks & Resorts sind beide Tochterunternehmen von NBCUniversal, die der Muttergesellschaft Comcast gehören.)

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Business

In a World Let Free, Video Sport Makers Are ‘Doubling Down’

At the height of the pandemic, people stuck indoors spent the time playing tons of video games.

Now that countries are slowly opening up again, this behavior will change. And video game makers have warned that when people go outside, their sales will fall and game spending could fall for the first time in at least a decade.

But the companies do not reduce the anticipation. Far from it.

Consider Riot Games, which makes League of Legends. “We’re doubling up,” said Nicolo Laurent, the company’s managing director. “We’re hiring like crazy.”

Then there is Microsoft’s Xbox. “Our gaming investment has never been higher,” said Phil Spencer, who runs the business.

Video game companies are among the pandemic winners saying they continue to plan to move at full steam even after the coronavirus bans that have propelled their businesses over the past 15 months have largely been lifted. Other tech companies that thrived while supplying an out-of-the-way society – including Zoom and Peloton – have also announced they will continue to spend, expand operations and hire new staff.

It’s a counter-intuitive bet. However, some of the companies said they could use the cash they had in store from the gust of wind of the year to return to the growth path they were on before the pandemic accelerated it.

“This is a great time for the industry,” said Strauss Zelnick, general manager of Take-Two Interactive, which makes the NBA 2K and Grand Theft Auto video games. He said the pandemic has made gambling more accessible to a wider audience, and rather than pulling back, “we are investing to grow to meet that demand.”

When industry predicted a slowdown in growth in the past, companies often cut costs, but those downturns and rallies were usually unpredictable due to falling stock markets and recessions, said Bill Pearce, assistant dean at the Haas School of Business from the University of California, Berkeley.

As the pandemic subsides, coronavirus vaccines and predictions of how people will react when the world opens up means companies have “more clarity and more confidence in investing,” Pearce said. Some industries that followed conventional wisdom and slowed down, such as car dealerships, are now kneeling on their knees for failing to meet increasing demand, he said.

However, John Paul Rollert, a professor at the University of Chicago’s Booth School of Business, said that moving forward in the face of changing behavior is a risky and rewarding approach.

“They really play high-stakes poker,” said Mr. Rollert. Still, as the economy recovered and money sloshed around, he added, “You can see why these companies might think, ‘Covid has been good to us, but maybe post-Covid will be great for us.'”

Newzoo, a gaming analytics firm, has forecast that people will spend $ 175.8 billion on games this year, down 1 percent from 2020. This would be the first drop since Newzoo began tracking spending in 2012.

In business today

Updated

May 28, 2021 at 12:54 p.m. ET

Take-Two announced earlier this month that sales will decrease 30 percent year over year for the next quarter and 8 percent for the fiscal year. Activision Blizzard, which makes the war game Call of Duty, forecast an 11 percent year-on-year revenue decline for the next quarter.

“It’s hard to imagine that there will be as much money or game time or as many players as the industry has benefited over the last year, at least in the immediate future,” said Matthew Ball, managing partner at Epyllion Industries, which operates a company Capital fund that invests in gambling.

Other challenges, such as a global chip shortage that is limiting the availability of new video game consoles from Microsoft and Sony, and a lack of blockbuster games after a year of remote work made game development even more difficult than normal.

However, game makers said they were not concerned, especially after such huge pandemic growth.

In January, Microsoft reported quarterly sales of $ 5 billion with games for the first time, partly due to a new generation of Xbox consoles. The company bought ZeniMax Media, which publishes games like Skyrim and Fallout, in September for $ 7.5 billion.

Microsoft’s gaming business is now aiming to expand in countries like Africa by promoting the cloud gaming service xCloud, Spencer said. In cloud gaming, games are hosted in a company’s data center and broadcast to consumers’ devices so they don’t have to install the games or use expensive hardware.

“If you look at the last decade, gaming has seen a double-digit growth pattern,” said Spencer. “The pandemic has undoubtedly accelerated.”

At Take-Two, based in New York, profits rose 46 percent last year. The company has hired around 700 game developers in the past 12 months, expanded its workforce by 10 percent, and invested heavily in technology and marketing, Zelnick said.

“In many ways, it’s an investment year where we’re building for the future,” he said.

Niantic, the San Francisco-based company that produced the mobile game Pokemon Go, expects to increase its workforce by about 25 percent to nearly 900 employees this year, said John Hanke, its managing director. The company was preparing to launch two new games, one based on the Settlers of Catan board game and the other based on the Pikmin franchise. Eight more are in development.

At Riot in Los Angeles, a post-pandemic downturn was “not even an issue for discussion,” Laurent said. Revenue for the privately held company rose 20 percent last year.

(Mr. Laurent has dealt with allegations and complaints from employees that Riot is a sexist workplace. He was sued in January for sexual harassment and retaliation. He has denied the allegations.)

Riot plans to hire 1,000 employees this year, increasing its workforce by 33 percent, Laurent said. In addition to expanding its flagship League of Legends title, Riot is investing in esports leagues for its first-person shooter game Valorant and for Wild Rift, a modified version of League of Legends played on mobile phones. The company is also building two new studios in Shanghai and Seattle this year and plans to open five more locations over the next three years.

“Gambling will be the center of influence,” said Laurent in the 21st century. “The pandemic is just giving us a small boost.”

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‘A Quiet Place’ sequel has highest pandemic opening weekend field workplace

Emily Blunt, Millicent Simmonds and Noah Jupe star in “A Quiet Place Part II.”

Paramount

The box office was anything but quiet over the weekend.

John Krasinski’s “A Quiet Place Part II,” the sequel to his 2018 directorial debut, garnered $48.4 million over the weekend so far, the highest of any film release during the pandemic. The haul was just shy of the $50 million “A Quiet Place” tallied in 2018.

The Paramount film is currently on pace to pick up around $58 million for the four-day Memorial Day weekend.

“This is the start of the second act in movie-going’s rebound and the kind of performance that seemed unimaginable just a few months ago,” said Shawn Robbins, chief analyst at Boxoffice.com. “For ‘A Quiet Place Part II’ to open near the level of its pre-pandemic predecessor despite ongoing capacity limits and other regional restrictions speaks volumes about not just interest in the sequel itself, but also the power of moviegoing.”

“Audiences are increasingly eager to reintegrate that shared theatrical experience back into their daily lives,” he said.

The sequel has been widely praised by critics and earmarked as a must-see film, especially in theaters. In reviews, critics touted how seeing the film in a theater heightened the experience because sounds — whether on the screen or in the seats nearby — made the thriller more suspenseful.

Heading into the holiday weekend, more than 70% of theaters were open. As vaccination rates continue to rise and the number of coronavirus cases decline consumer confidence in returning to movie theaters has spiked. Not to mention, studios are finally releasing new content.

Analysts are optimistic that this could be the first weekend the domestic box office could top $100 million since the pandemic began. The last time the box office reached that figure over a weekend was March 6, 2020.

“The momentous success of ‘A Quiet Place Part II’ delivered a knockout punch to those who had figured that the pandemic would accelerate the oft-predicted downward spiral and eventual demise of the movie theater,” said Paul Dergarabedian, senior media analyst at Comscore.

The strong performance of “A Quiet Place Part II” could be aided by Disney’s “Cruella,” which was also released this weekend. Current estimates indicate that the film could secure nearly $30 million. The studio is expected to release its box office data later on Sunday.

Although, the film could bring in much less. After all, it was made available in theaters and through Disney+ for $30 on the same day. Some consumers may have ventured out to the cinema to see the film, but others may choose to stay on the couch and stream. Plus, the film is getting mixed reviews.