With investors looking for some pickup in growth and slightly faster price hikes, Federal Reserve observers have expected it to slow down its large bond purchases that it has been using to support growth and raise interest rates earlier than expected.
The central bank has promised to keep interest rates near zero until the economy reaches full employment and inflation is above 2 percent and is expected to stay there for some time. If markets expect the economy to hit these goals sooner rather than later, it could be viewed as an expression of optimism.
“If you look at why they are rising, it has to do with expectations of a return to more normal levels, inflation in line with mandate, higher growth and an opening economy,” said Jerome H. Powell, chairman of the Fed. said of rates during a recent Congressional testimony.
The markets are forward-looking, however: the economy still has a long way to go before it can return to full strength. Administration officials have vowed not to be sidetracked by improvements in high-profile numbers like general employment growth and instead to continue the recovery until historically disadvantaged groups regain jobs, incomes and the benefits of other measures for economic progress.
Employment growth last month was above economists’ projections, but it would take more than two years for the labor market to return to employment levels in early 2020.
While economic pain remains across all populations, the effects have not been evenly distributed. Employment for black workers is still nearly 8 percent below pre-pandemic levels, while employment for white workers has declined by around 5 percent. Black workers tend to lose their jobs severely during recessions and only get them back after a long period of employment growth.
Ms. Jones, the Department of Labor economist, said the government was determined to accelerate the recovery of marginalized workers, noting that it took black workers in particular years longer to recover from the 2008 financial crisis – a delay that left permanent scars on these households.
