Categories
Politics

N.S.A. Installs Trump Loyalist as Prime Lawyer Days Earlier than Biden Takes Workplace

At the Pentagon, Mr. Miller was upset that agency leadership had slowed Mr. Ellis’ installment payments for months despite having gone through the standard hiring process and been selected for the position, a senior US official said. So, Mr. Miller ordered the agency to swear in Mr. Ellis, a move the Washington Post reported on Saturday.

In a statement, the Pentagon defended Mr. Ellis’ hiring, saying he had been duly selected by the Department of Defense General Counsel. “To be clear, the interest of Congress or the media in any particular recruitment measure is not a justification under the merit system policies and procedures to delay the placement of a selected qualified individual in a position,” the statement said.

Mr. Ellis is seen as a shrewd lawyer. But the urge to get him into a permanent government job puzzled some. According to former officials, he will likely enter the General Counsel’s office under high suspicion and have an uphill battle to win General Nakasone’s trust.

Mr. Ellis will serve on the Senior Executive Service, a public service job that offers strong protection against layoffs. However, officers can easily be transferred to the Department of Defense so that he can get a legal position elsewhere in the sprawling department – for example, overseeing environmental compliance on a remote military base.

While on the Intelligence Committee, Mr. Ellis was a trusted advisor to Rep Devin Nunes, Republican of California. Mr. Ellis served in various roles in the Trump administration, including serving as an attorney for the National Security Council and then as White House executive director for intelligence.

At the White House, Mr. Ellis overturned a career official’s decision to put Mr. Bolton’s book open for publication despite having no formal training in the classification of national security information. The Justice Department, under pressure from President Trump, sued Mr Bolton to recover his profits from the book.

A judge overseeing the case issued a ruling Thursday making it very likely that Mr. Bolton’s attorney Charles J. Cooper could question White House officials like Mr. Ellis about whether the classification decisions were made in bad faith were. Should Mr. Ellis serve as General Counsel at least temporarily, he may be able to withhold this testimony.

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Health

Covid Vaccine Effort: The Push to Attain Cautious Medical Staff

“If that doesn’t get you in line, I don’t know what will,” Georgia’s Governor Brian Kemp said last month.

Houston Methodist, a Texas hospital system with 26,000 employees, gives employees who take the vaccine a bonus of $ 500. “Vaccination is not yet mandatory for our employees (but it will be at some point),” wrote Dr. Marc Boom, the hospital’s general manager, emailed staff last month.

In an interview last week, Dr. Boom, the bonuses are “one of the many strategies to get people going”. He added, “I think we will get there. But I am not naive enough to believe that there are no people who are deeply resilient. “

At Norton Healthcare, a healthcare system in Louisville, Kentucky, workers who refuse the vaccine and then catch Covid-19 will generally no longer be able to take the paid medical vacation Norton has been offering to infected employees since the beginning of the pandemic. Instead, unvaccinated workers will have to use their regular paid time off from next month if, with limited exceptions, they contract Covid-19.

Atlas Senior Living, which has 29 assisted living facilities and other communities in the Southeast, offers workers up to four days of extra paid time off when they are vaccinated. (Some hourly workers at Atlas had not yet paid any time off as part of their standard services.)

Atlas has tried to avoid “roging people who refused to take it,” and has focused on education and the rewards of paid free time, said Scott Goldberg, Atlas co-executive director.

Juniper and Atria officials said their decision to require employees to be vaccinated was not due to widespread reluctance from their employees. Both chains make exceptions for pregnant workers who are allergic to vaccine ingredients or have other compelling reasons to refuse the vaccine.

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Business

Fb and Twitter Face Worldwide Scrutiny After Trump Ban

LONDON – In Sri Lanka and Myanmar, Facebook continued to post warnings that they had contributed to the violence. In India, activists have called on the company to fight against positions held by politicians against Muslims. In Ethiopia, groups advocated the social network blocking hate speech after hundreds were killed in ethnic violence on social media.

“The offline problems that rocked the country are fully visible online,” wrote activists, civil society groups and journalists in Ethiopia in an open letter last year.

For years, Facebook and Twitter have rejected calls to remove hate speech or other comments from public figures and government officials that civil society groups and activists have said risk inciting violence. Companies stuck to guidelines, driven by American ideals of free speech, that give such numbers more leeway to use their platforms for communication.

But last week, Facebook and Twitter cut President Trump off their platforms for inciting a crowd to attack the U.S. Capitol. These decisions have angered human rights groups and activists who are now urging companies to apply their policies evenly, especially in smaller countries where platforms dominate communication.

“When I saw what the platforms were doing to Trump, I thought, ‘You should have done this before, and you should have done this consistently in other countries around the world,” said Javier Pallero, Policy Director at Access Now, one Human rights ombudsman group involved in the letter from Ethiopia: “All over the world we are at the mercy if they choose to act.”

“Sometimes they act very late,” he added, “and sometimes they don’t act at all.”

David Kaye, a law professor and former United Nations observer on freedom of expression, said political figures in India, the Philippines, Brazil and elsewhere deserve a review of their online behavior. But he said the actions against Mr. Trump raise difficult questions about how the power of American internet companies is being used and whether their actions set a new precedent for more aggressive police speech around the world.

“The question for the future is whether this is a new type of standard that they want to adopt for executives around the world and whether they have the resources to do so.” Mr. Kaye said. “There will be a real increase in demand to do this elsewhere in the world.”

Facebook, which also owns Instagram and WhatsApp, is the world’s largest social network with more than 2.7 billion monthly users. More than 90 percent of them live outside the United States. The company declined to comment, but said the actions against Mr Trump are based on his violation of existing rules and do not constitute a new global policy.

“Our guidelines apply to everyone,” said Sheryl Sandberg, Facebook’s chief operating officer, in a recent interview with Reuters. “The policy is that you cannot incite violence, you cannot be part of the incitement to violence.”

Capitol Riot Fallout

Updated

Jan. 17, 2021, 5:21 p.m. ET

Twitter, which has around 190 million users every day around the world, said its rules for world leaders are not new. When reviewing posts that could lead to violence, the context of the events is crucial.

“Offline damage from online speech is proven to be real and most importantly drives our policies and enforcement,” said Jack Dorsey, managing director of Twitter, in a post Wednesday. However, he said the decision “sets a precedent that I consider dangerous: the power an individual or a company has over part of the global public debate.”

There are signs that Facebook and Twitter have started to act more confidently. Following the attack on the Capitol, Twitter updated its policy to permanently ban the accounts of repeat offenders of its political content rules. Facebook has taken action against a number of accounts outside the United States, including the deletion of the account of a state-owned media company in Iran and the closure of government accounts in Uganda, where violence erupted before the elections. Facebook said the shutdowns had nothing to do with the Trump decision.

Many activists have recognized Facebook for its global influence and non-uniform application of rules. They said that in many countries there is a lack of cultural understanding to determine when posts could lead to violence. Too often, they said, Facebook and other social media companies don’t act even when they receive warnings.

In 2019, in Slovakia, Facebook did not cut down on posts by a member of parliament who was convicted by a court and robbed of his seat of government for incitement and racist remarks. In Cambodia, Human Rights Watch said the company was slow to respond to government officials participating in a social media campaign to tarnish a prominent Buddhist monk who campaigned for human rights. In the Philippines, President Rodrigo Duterte used Facebook to reach journalists and other critics.

After a wave of violence, Ethiopian activists said Facebook was being used to incite violence and promote discrimination.

“The truth is, despite good intentions, these companies do not guarantee uniform application or enforcement of their rules,” said Agustina Del Campo, director of the Center for Freedom of Expression Studies at the University of Palermo in Buenos Aires. “And often they lack context and understanding when they try.”

In many countries, it is believed that Facebook bases its actions on its business interests rather than human rights. In India, home of most of Facebook’s users, the company has been accused of not monitoring anti-Muslim content from political figures for fear of angering the government of Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his ruling party.

“The developments in our countries are not being seriously addressed,” said Mishi Choudhary, a technology lawyer and founder of the Software Freedom Law Center, a digital rights group in India. “Any abolition of content raises the question of freedom of expression, but inciting violence or using a platform for dangerous speech is not free speech, it is a question of democracy, law and order.”

But while many activists urged Facebook and Twitter to be more active in protecting human rights, they expressed their anger at the power companies have to control language and influence public opinion.

Some also warned that actions against Mr Trump would provoke a backlash, with political leaders in some countries taking steps to prevent social media companies from censoring the language.

Government officials in France and Germany raised alarm over the ban on Mr Trump’s accounts, questioning whether private corporations should be able to unilaterally silence a democratically elected leader. A draft law that is being examined for the European Union of 27 states would set new rules for the content moderation policy of the largest social networks.

Barbora Bukovská, senior director of law and politics at Article 19, a digital rights group, said the risk is particularly high in countries whose leaders have historically used social media to fuel divisions. She said the events in Washington sparked a bill in Poland by the ruling right-wing nationalist party that would punish social media companies for not removing explicitly illegal content, which could allow for greater targeting of LGBTQ people.

“These decisions about Trump were the right decisions, but there are broader questions that go beyond Trump,” said Ms. Bukovská.

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Health

Zoom Funeral Ideas – The New York Occasions

In my family’s case, we were really impressed with how video conferencing, which can be so stressful in our daily work lives, enabled us to celebrate my father’s full life in a beautiful and moving way.

If you need to arrange a memorial service on a video platform, here are some tips.

We bought a one month subscription to Zoom Pro (it’s currently $ 14.99 per month and you can cancel it at any time). It allows up to 100 participants (other plans allow more at an additional cost) with unlimited meeting time and saves a recording in the cloud. We’re glad we did. If we had to limit the time of the event, we would have missed many moving contributions from the participants.

Since I created the account, I was the de facto host of the meeting. In retrospect, I wish I had passed the role to my 17-year-old daughter, a digital native. The tasks include picking up people from the waiting room. Mute all microphones as needed; Muting the official or other speakers; Troubleshooting technical problems; Support of guests; and forward messages to family members in the chat box. Introduce the tech host at the beginning of the service so people know who to turn to for help.

The back end of video sharing platforms has settings that can be difficult if you’re new to them, especially if it’s an emotional event. The host can go over the toggle switches in advance to find out how to mute people as they enter, or activate the waiting room. This security feature keeps guests in a queue until the host allows it.

Our virtual memorial was partially successful because the rabbi was not distracted from the difficulties that inexperienced zoomers had to begin with. When the service passed into Shiva, my mother moderated – greeted the people and made sure that everyone who wanted to offer a memory had the opportunity.

Schedule one or more short hours of practice to solve problems and ensure you are on the same page regarding different roles. Some of the attendees at our event were complete novices to Zoom who feared not to miss the laudatory speech and knew they were holding up the program when they tried to mute as requested. We recommend giving guests tips on logging in and out. Muting and unmuting; Switch screen views; and using the chat function – either together with the invitation or on request prior to the event. Don’t assume everyone will connect to current devices.

We sent an email to notify friends and relatives of my father’s death and the Zoom event, including a link and a password. Each of our family members has compiled and distributed their own lists. You can also use Zoom to send email invitations.

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Business

The rich are investing like market bubble is right here, or at the very least close to

If an investor with a market share of $ 1 million or more believes that there is already a stock bubble – or one is coming soon – what is the correct answer? According to a new survey by E-Trade Financial, the answer is to keep investing in stocks with an emphasis on undervalued sectors of the market.

Only 9% of the millionaires surveyed by E-Trade believe the market is nowhere near a bubble. The rest of the wealthy investor set:

  • 16% think we are “full in a bubble”
  • 46% in “something like a bubble”
  • 29% believe the market is getting closer

However, these wealthy investors do not run away from the market or park money in cash. With bubble fears mounting mounting fears, the same investors say their risk tolerance increased significantly in the first quarter of 2021, and the majority expect stocks to end the first quarter with more gains.

The introduction of the Covid-19 vaccines, albeit slow to start, and the prospect of another even bigger stimulus package from President-elect Biden are causing investors to do what market history dictates: look ahead.

“There is broader recognition of an improving economy and evidence that the factors for higher market development are in place,” said Mike Loewengart, chief investment officer of E-Trade Financial’s capital management unit.

The Morgan Stanley E-Trade survey was conducted Jan. 1-7 of an online sample of 904 self-managed active investors who manage at least $ 10,000 in an online brokerage account. The millionaires record, created exclusively for CNBC, consists of 188 investors with investable assets of at least $ 1 million.

The apparent contradiction in the sustained upward movement at a time of mounting bladder anxiety is not as strong as it seems. This bull market has taken all risks and market experts continue to believe that the path of least resistance is up. Although the bullish path may require some optimization of the portfolio with a greater emphasis on undervalued sectors of the stock market.

Here are some results from the e-trade survey that show where investors are right now between risk and reward.

1. Millionaires are more optimistic than the wider investing public

There is currently a lot of talk and talk about an overstretched market and a dotcom bubble-like environment, making it difficult for many investors to shut down the noise. But among these wealthy investors, even as their own bubble fears mount, they are increasingly bullish and bullish than the broader investor universe. 64 percent of millionaires are bullish, up 9 percentage points from the fourth quarter of 2020 compared to 57 percent of the broader investor universe who remain bullish.

Among these investors, the percentage who said their risk tolerance increased in the first quarter rose 8 percentage points (from 16% to 24%). The majority (63%) said that it will remain at the level of the previous quarter. Only 13% of millionaires said their risk tolerance has decreased.

Wealthy investors don’t expect great returns. The largest group expects the market to grow no more than 5% this quarter. However, after the sharp rise in the markets that are already on the books, this is a safe, albeit bullish, reaction, Loewengart said. Fifty-nine percent of millionaires expect another quarterly profit in the S&P 500, with 43 percent of those seeing a profit of no more than 5 percent. Those who believe the market is due for a quarterly decline fell from 28% to 22%.

2. Further portfolio changes will be made

Even if the risk remains the mode for many, more and more investors are optimizing their portfolios. Rotation in value stocks, small-cap stocks, and depressed sectors like energy and finance is already a well-mapped phenomenon – called the “big rotation” – and these investors are no exception.

The percentage of millionaires who report making changes to the allocations in their portfolios rose 6% for the second straight quarter to almost a third (32%) overall. The percentage of millionaires who invest in cash is still very low (7%) but increased from 5% in the last quarter.

While growth stocks have outperformed in recent years, investors are taking the opportunity to move into more cyclical sectors of the market.

“Everything outside of big tech turned into better potential opportunities,” Loewengart said.

According to CFRA, small caps have underperformed the S&P 500 since late 2018.

The price growth gap between S & P 500 Growth and S & P 500 Value was at its highest level in history last August (since the mid-1970s) and is currently as large as it was in December 1999, even after a certain amount of stock rotation .

The 12-month price-performance ratio of the S&P 500 is 45% above the 20-year average. The CFRA 2021 profit increase for the S&P 500 growth component of the index is 13.3% versus 20.1% for the value group.

3. Home trading may have peaked but it is permanent

Even if millionaires are more likely to say they’re making changes to their portfolio allocations, the upside in the S&P 500 sector hasn’t changed as much as the survey suggests. This shows that names and names are given to every investor that participates in the rotation. With more cyclical games, there are still many who put their market money on the winners.

“There’s the momentum factor. People want to keep believing where they’ve seen strong returns, it will go on, but some are realizing it can’t go up forever,” Loewengart said.

While interest in financials as the sector with the greatest potential has increased slightly (3%) this quarter, a bet on a quick financial recovery, information technology and healthcare overall remain the top bets in the fall in this bull market, according to Loewengart . Healthcare (at 66%) and technology (at 53%) remain the two most popular sectors and investor interest has not declined.

Technology, for all its winnings, is hard to bet on.

“We can talk a lot about how the home trade is over and other segments will do better. However, when we see similar industry expectations, that also reflects the market tied to technology and the fact that Covid is changing the world has, “said Loewengart. “Some things are not going to be what they were before and we are going to see multiple expansion in big tech names,” he said.

He added that given recent valuations, investors should expect earnings to be more modest than the opportunity in cyclical sectors, where more stimulus and vaccine use can result in more significant valuation growth. “There is a possible change in market leadership,” said Loewengart.

4. International market opportunities are more attractive

The data shows more clearly that overseas interest is growing than that sector bets are changing significantly in the US market. This is in part because these millionaires have typically long preferred US stocks.

Millionaires are shaking their prejudices about their home country and are becoming more interested in investing outside the US. Interest rises 9 percentage points this quarter. The percentage of millionaire investors who said international markets were more attractive to them in the first quarter of 2021 rose from 27% to 36%.

“It’s definitely a big step in terms of millionaires, a significant step,” said Loewengart.

For the past three years, the S&P 500 has outperformed the international and emerging market indices developed by S&P. The last time these international markets outperformed the US large-cap index was in 2017.

While the dollar has rallied recently, its broader weakness over the past few months has been a key element of global equity performance.

“This means that the millionaire is better prepared for the opportunity,” said Loewengart.

How much of this new interest overseas is broadly based compared to China is not clear from the survey. “China could be the only G8 member to see GDP growth in 2020. This is a clear indicator that the world outside of the US, developing countries, is moving past the virus,” he said.

5. The US political risk factor has fallen sharply

If political risk and election risk were a major factor in the fourth quarter, there was a significant investor downgrade that quarter.

The end of the e-trade poll was the Georgia runoff election and the unrest at the Capitol that set the market another record. When it comes to the biggest question – the presidential election – millionaire investors are no longer nearly as concerned as they were last quarter.

The percentage of wealthy investors who see the new presidential administration as the greatest risk to their portfolio decreased from 50% to 30% this quarter. 26% of these investors are pessimistic about the outlook for the US economy under President-elect Biden, while 60% showed some degree of optimism, ranging from moderate (38%) to high (22%).

Market volatility, meanwhile, saw risk factors spike, from 18% of millionaires who viewed this as their biggest portfolio threat, to just over a quarter (27%).

6. Millionaires are less risky when it comes to the riskiest assets

The most recent phase of this bull market, the phase after Covid Spring 2020, was marked by a risk appetite for new offers, IPOs and SPACs, as well as an increase in new asset classes such as cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin. Millionaires, while remaining at risk, are less interested in betting like this:

Categories
Politics

Biden plans blitz of govt motion in first 10 days

President-elect Joe Biden plans to take immediate executive action after his inaugural address this week to turn the page on the Trump era, Chief of Staff Ron Klain said Sunday after setting out Biden’s plan for his first few days in the office.

Biden plans a 10-day blitz of executive action on what his administration has dubbed the country’s “four crises” problems – Covid-19, economic downturn, racial injustice and climate change.

“He will return to the White House after this speech in the Capitol and take immediate action to move this country forward,” Klain told CNN’s State of the Union on Sunday.

Biden will officially take office on Wednesday at 12:00 PM ET. Klain said Biden’s inaugural address was “a message to move this country forward, a message of unity, a message to get things done”.

Klain outlined Biden’s plans for his first few days in a memorandum to White House staff sent to NBC News on Saturday entitled “A Review of the First Ten Days.”

“We are facing four overlapping and worsening crises: the COVID-19 crisis, the resulting economic crisis, the climate crisis and a racist stock crisis,” Klain wrote in the memo.

“In his first ten days in office, President-elect Biden will act decisively to address these four crises, prevent other urgent and irreversible harm, and restore America’s place in the world,” added Klain.

The executive actions take a variety of forms, including executive orders, presidential memoranda, and instructions to cabinet agencies.

The first steps Biden will take on Wednesday include re-entering the Paris Climate Agreement and lifting President Donald Trump’s travel ban, which applies to several Muslim-majority countries. Biden will also require masks for federal estates and interstate travel, and will take steps to expand eviction and foreclosure restrictions.

On Thursday, Biden will sign executive measures related to reopening schools and businesses, and on Friday he will “instruct his cabinet agencies to take immediate action to provide economic aid to working families who are bearing the brunt of this crisis,” it said in the memo.

The following week, according to the memo, Biden will “take significant early action to promote justice and support communities of color and other underserved communities.”

Biden will also take action this week to address climate change, expand access to health care, and “restore the dignity of our immigration system and border policies.”

The memorandum contains few details and states that Biden splits up executive action to highlight the activity.

It is also noted that the objectives behind executive action, while “bold”, are backed by “sound” legal theory and are “a restoration of an adequate constitutional role for the President”.

Klain wrote in the memo that legislation will be required for the administration’s more ambitious agenda items, including immigration reform and the increase in the federal minimum wage.

Biden on Thursday unveiled his $ 1.9 billion Covid-19 relief agenda, which calls for action to combat the public health crisis and new cash injections to stimulate the economy. The plan would also raise the federal minimum wage to $ 15 an hour.

Democrats control the House of Representatives and will soon take control of the Senate after two Republicans were defeated in Georgia’s Senate runoff earlier this month. But Klain said Sunday that, given the small Democratic majority, the Biden team would push for GOP support for its plans.

Democrats have 222 seats in the House of Representatives compared to the GOP’s 212, and the parties will split the Senate equally between 50 and 50, with Vice President-elect Kamala Harris able to break votes that break the votes.

“We’re going to try to work hard with people in both parties,” Klain said on CNN.

“The American people voted in November and they voted overwhelmingly for Joe Biden, no question about it, but they elected an evenly divided Senate, they elected a tightly divided Congress, we have to find ways that Democrats and Republicans do Get things done. ” ,” he added.

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Entertainment

Kamala Harris, Douglas Emhoff on CBS Sunday Morning | Video

Kamala Harris and Douglas Emhoff have been together for eight years, but they are still learning (fun) things about their relationship. You may know the vice-president-elect and her husband met on a blind date, but did you know Kamala Googled Doug beforehand? I suspect you probably didn’t, as Doug first realized this fun fact with the couple CBS Sunday morning Interview on January 17th.

Hostess Jane Pauley asked Kamala about the couple’s story after they were started by a friend. “You totally googled him, didn’t you?” she joked. Doug was ready for the big “reveal,” as Kamala admitted, “I was never asked that.” Turns out she totally did it.

“It’s so funny you asked me that question,” Kamala said after laughing with her shocked husband. “So yeah, my best friend got us on a blind date. She said, ‘Just trust me. Just trust me.’ She wanted me to just get into it and said, “Don’t Google it.” I did. Doug already knew a little about Kamala (then California’s attorney general) before they met, but he still had a secret to tell about his side of their love story.

“A friend of mine was in town and we were going to a Laker game,” said Doug. “I told him the story. I said, ‘What do you think I should text her.’ We sat in the stands of the Staples Center and came up with this text that was something like, “Hey, it’s Doug.” Embarrassed. I’ll text you. “Sometimes you need a little help from a friend, right? In the end, everything worked out for Kamala and Doug. Watch the cute interview above in full.

Categories
Business

San Francisco’s Tech Staff Are Leaving the Bay Space

SAN FRANCISCO — The Bay Area struck a hard bargain with its tech workers.

Rent was astronomical. Taxes were high. Your neighbors didn’t like you. If you lived in San Francisco, you might have commuted an hour south to your job at Apple or Google or Facebook. Or if your office was in the city, maybe it was in a neighborhood with too much street crime, open drug use and $5 coffees.

But it was worth it. Living in the epicenter of a boom that was changing the world was what mattered. The city gave its workers a choice of interesting jobs and a chance at the brass ring.

That is, until the pandemic. Remote work offered a chance at residing for a few months in towns where life felt easier. Tech workers and their bosses realized they might not need all the perks and after-work schmooze events. But maybe they needed elbow room and a yard for the new puppy. A place to put the Peloton. A top public school.

They fled. They fled to tropical beach towns. They fled to more affordable places like Georgia. They fled to states without income taxes like Texas and Florida.

That’s where the story of the Bay Area’s latest tech era is ending for a growing crowd of tech workers and their companies. They have suddenly movable jobs and money in the bank — money that will go plenty further somewhere else.

But where? The No. 1 pick for people leaving San Francisco is Austin, Texas, with other winners including Seattle, New York and Chicago, according to moveBuddha, a site that compiles data on moving. Some cities have even set up recruiting programs to lure them to new homes. Miami’s mayor has even been inviting tech people to move there in his Twitter posts.

I talked to more than two dozen tech executives and workers who have left San Francisco for other parts of the country over the last year, like a young entrepreneur who moved home to Georgia and another who has created a community in Puerto Rico. Here are some of their stories.

“I miss San Francisco. I miss the life I had there,” said John Gardner, 35, the founder and chief executive of Kickoff, a remote personal training start-up, who packed his things into storage and left in a camper van to wander America. “But right now it’s just like: What else can God and the world and government come up with to make the place less livable?”

A couple of months later, Mr. Gardner wrote: “Greetings from sunny Miami Beach! This is about the 40th place I’ve set up a temporary headquarters for Kickoff.”

Remote personal training happens to coincide well with remote life, but he said his start-up’s growth this past year was also due to his leaving the tech bubble and immersing himself in more normal communities, a few days at a time.

The biggest tech companies aren’t going anywhere, and tech stocks are still soaring. Apple’s flying-saucer-shaped campus is not going to zoom away. Google is still absorbing ever more office space in San Jose and San Francisco. New founders are still coming to town.

But the migration from the Bay Area appears real. Residential rents in San Francisco are down 27 percent from a year ago, and the office vacancy rate has spiked to 16.7 percent, a number not seen in a decade.

Though prices had dropped only slightly, Zillow reported more homes for sale in San Francisco than a year ago. For more than a month last year, 90 percent of the searches involving San Francisco on moveBuddha were for people moving out.

Twitter, Yelp, Airbnb and Dropbox have tried to sublease some of their San Francisco office space. Pinterest, which has one of the most iconic offices in town, paid $90 million to break a lease for a site where it planned to expand. And companies like Twitter and Facebook have announced “work from home forever” plans.

“Moving into a $1.3 million house that we saw only on video for 20 minutes and said yes,” wrote Mike Rothermel, a designer at Cisco who moved from the Bay Area to Boulder, Colo., with his wife last summer. “It’s a mansion compared to SF for the same money.”

The amount of room they have felt surreal after various Bay Area apartments. He told me they have so much counter space, they can keep appliances like the food processor in the kitchen itself.

And then the people around them — neighbors — started doing something strange. They brought cinnamon rolls and handwritten welcome notes.

“We’re selling our house and moving out of SF. Where should we go and why?” Justin Kan, a serial entrepreneur who co-founded Twitch, asked on Twitter in August.

Joe Lonsdale, a co-founder of the software company Palantir, which moved from Silicon Valley to Denver, wrote back: “Come to Austin with us. Growing tech ecosystem and Texas is the best place to make a stand together for a free society.”

Also: no state income taxes.

Austin, population one million and the Texas city most would say is closest in spirit to the Bay Area, has long had a healthy tech industry. The computer giant Dell is based nearby. The University of Texas is one of the top public colleges in the country. And the music scene is eclectic and creative.

Now the local tech industry is rapidly expanding. Apple is opening a $1 billion, 133-acre campus. Alphabet, Amazon and Facebook have all either expanded their footprints in Austin or have plans to. Elon Musk, the Tesla founder and one of the two richest men in the world, said he had moved to Texas. Start-up investor money is arriving, too: The investors at 8VC and Breyer Capital opened Austin offices last year.

Some of the favorite gurus of tech workers are already there, like Tim Ferriss, life-hacker, who left for Austin in 2017, and Ryan Holiday, whose writing about stoicism is influential among the start-up set.

Sahin Boydas, the founder of a remote-work start-up who had lived in San Francisco and its suburbs over the last decade, saw all of that. He looked at his wife and two young children, working and learning from home while crammed into a Cupertino rental that had seen better days. Much of the late summer, the air was full of smoke from wildfires. For days, electricity would go in and out at his house.

“You start to feel stupid,” said Mr. Boydas, who is 37. “I can understand the 1 percent rich people, the very top investors and entrepreneurs, they can be happy there.”

So he and his family moved to Austin. For the same price as their three-bedroom apartment in Cupertino, they have a five-bedroom home on an acre of land. For the first time, Mr. Boydas has outdoor space. He just acquired two rabbits for his children. Sure, it’s (very) hot, but he’s ready for it.

“We’re going to get a cat and a dog,” he said. “We could never do that before.”

And it’s not just the cost of rent that is lower — the water bill is lower; the trash bill is lower; the cost of a family dinner at a restaurant has fallen significantly. Mr. Boydas said he hadn’t even known about the taxes.

“I run payroll for myself, and when I saw zero, I called the accountant like there’s an error — there’s no tax line here,” he said. “And they were like, ‘Yeah there’s no tax.’”

“Ok guys hear me out, what if we move Silicon Valley to Miami,” tweeted Delian Asparouhov, a principal at Founders Fund, which invests in start-ups.

The mayor of Miami wrote back last month: “How can I help?”

Now there is a very vocal Miami faction, led by a few venture capital influencers, trying to tweet the city’s start-up world into existence.

The San Francisco exodus means the talent and money of newly remote tech workers are up for grabs. And it’s not just the mayor of Miami trying to lure them in.

Topeka, Kan., started Choose Topeka, which will reimburse new workers $10,000 for the first year of rent or $15,000 if they buy a home. Tulsa, Okla. will pay you $10,000 to move there. The nation of Estonia has a new residency program just for digital nomads.

A program in Savannah, Ga., will reimburse remote workers $2,000 for the move there, and the city has created various social activities to introduce the newcomers to one another and to locals.

“We try to make the transition easy,” said Jennifer Bonnett, vice president of Innovation & Entrepreneurship at the Savannah Economic Development Authority, whose program started in June.

Keyan Karimi, 29 and a start-up investor, took Savannah’s invitation to move there (though he didn’t ask for the reimbursement).

Seeing the inequality of billionaires in San Francisco’s wealthy Pacific Heights neighborhood and the homeless camps down the hill ground on him. So Mr. Karimi went home to his parents’ house in Atlanta to ride out some of the pandemic. Then he detected something strange. The city he thought was boring had gotten pretty interesting. Or maybe he had just never noticed before.

“I had no idea how much was going on here. I was sort of myopic,” he said, pausing and correcting himself: “No, I was arrogant.”

Mr. Karimi started looking at Zillow and studying the Southern cities he had ignored. He likes old houses and wants to fix one up. Savannah has a lot of those. So just a few months after leaving his $4,000-a-month one-bedroom in San Francisco, he’s working with the local business development group to put together a maritime innovation center in Savannah to invest in and guide shipping and logistics start-ups. He bought one of those old houses.

Savannah has one of the largest ports in the country. “No one knows that,” Mr. Karimi said. “I figure we can do something with that.”

The only downside is mosquitoes, he said. “I get eaten alive.”

There are 33,000 members in the Facebook group Leaving California and 51,000 in its sister group, Life After California. People post pictures of moving trucks and links to Zillow listings in new cities.

The founder of both groups, Terry Gilliam, is planning to take members on a house-hunting road trip through eastern Tennessee this spring with stops in popular post-S.F. destinations. One tour will be Chattanooga, Knoxville and Johnson City.

“When people decide to leave San Francisco, they usually don’t know where they want to go, they just want to go,” Mr. Gilliam said.

Mr. Gilliam, who met his wife when they worked at a Bay Area Chili’s restaurant, said she wouldn’t let the family move yet. And so the Pied Piper of the California-bashing Facebook community is still in Fremont, on the eastern end of Silicon Valley.

“People always get pissed at me when they hear birds in my Zoom,” said Ed Zaydelman, a longtime leader in San Francisco’s Burning Man community (and former New York City club promoter), who is forming an entrepreneur community in Costa Rica. “And I say, ‘Come join.’”

If San Francisco of the 2010s proved anything, it’s the power of proximity. Entrepreneurs could find a dozen start-up pitch competitions every week within walking distance. If they left a big tech company, there were start-ups eager to hire, and if a start-up failed, there was always another.

They could live jammed into a rambling Victorian with fellow nerds who — thanks to the popularity of polyamory — were having a lot of sex. More money was made faster in the Bay Area by fewer people than at any other time in American history.

No one leaving the city is arguing that a culture of innovation is going to spring up over Zoom. So some are trying to recreate it. They are getting into property development, building luxury tiny-home compounds and taking over big, funky houses in old resort towns.

“All these people want to do is this live-on-the-land stuff, but it’s not as easy as people think,” Mr. Zaydelman said.

He calls his new development company Nookleo, and he is building five tiny-home communities for remote workers. The little houses cost between $30,000 and 40,000. Each compound has four to six homes, a small organic farm, a yoga deck, a swimming pool and a kitchen clubhouse. Two clusters are already underway in Costa Rica, with Mexico and Portugal next.

In Puerto Rico, Gillian Morris, the founder of the travel app Hitlist, is also recruiting. Her San Francisco breaking point came after her roommate was attacked on their street, and she did a sort of gut check of herself over whether the street scenes and feeling of danger were worth the high rent. She moved to San Juan in 2019, even though it also has a crime problem. But now she lives in a huge house in the middle of the city.

“I have 12 people leaving San Francisco over the next three months to join a co-living community I set up,” she said. “It’s amazing here.”

And for the Baja-leaning, there is Bear Kittay, a co-founder of Good Money, an online banking platform. Now Mr. Kittay, another longtime fixture of the Burning Man festival turned developer, is building a property for the new digital nomads.

“The things that make this city ill are not within my control to change,” he said of San Francisco. “A lot of people are choosing to go to places where there’s opportunity, and maybe it’s a place that is more conservative and there can be an integration of dialogue. Or a place where they can live closer to nature. That’s what we’re doing.”

Nikil Viswanathan, who co-founded the blockchain start-up Alchemy, recently fled San Francisco. He said that there was no reason anymore for him or his colleagues to be there, and that he had always wanted to live on the beach. So now he does, in San Diego.

But the expats still find one another. Not long ago, he stumbled on a cluster at a party.

“I knew it was an S.F. crew because when I walked in because they had the full dual monitor with the ergonomic keyboard on a standing desk,” Mr. Viswanathan said, adding that conversation revolved around the lower cost of living. “One of the S.F. guys was like: ‘I just had a burrito for $6. It was amazing.’”

The last burrito he had in San Francisco cost $15.

Longtime Bay Area residents may well say good riddance to people like Mr. Viswanathan. People who distrusted the young newcomers from the start will say this change is a good thing. Hasn’t this steep growth in wealth and population in a tiny geography always seemed unsustainable?

These tech workers came like a whirlwind. Virtually every community from San Jose in the south to Marin County in the north has fought the rise of new housing for the arrivals of the last decade. Maybe spreading the tech talent around America is smart.

Locals have also seen this play before. Moving trucks come to take a generation of tech ambition away, and a few years later moving trucks return with new dreamers and new ambitions.

After the dot-com bust in 2001, there were fallow years before the latest, long-lasting boom — just as there were fallow years after the PC industry consolidated a decade earlier. That led to the dot-com boom. It is the circle of life in the Bay Area.

And those who are staying are digging in. “When 12 friends left, it felt like powerlessness,” said Diana Helmuth, a 32-year-old writer and marketer in Oakland. “Like these forces were too big. The forces of the world felt too big.”

Now, though, she is hardening toward those who say life is better somewhere else and were in town only for a job. “I say, ‘Great, goodbye, have a great time somewhere else.’”

Categories
World News

How Parler deplatforming exhibits energy of Amazon, cloud suppliers

Andy Jassy, ​​CEO of Amazon Web Services.

CNBC

Launching Amazon Web Services is rare, but it has enormous consequences.

It came this week when Amazon dropped Parler, a social network that caught on with conservatives after Twitter banned President Donald Trump and included content that encouraged violence. Parler filed a lawsuit against Amazon in federal district court to prevent Amazon from suspending Parler’s account, and Amazon pushed back, asking the court to deny Parler’s motion.

The incident shows a kind of power that Amazon wields almost uniquely because so many companies rely on it to provide computers and data storage. According to estimates by technology research firm Gartner, Amazon controlled 45% of cloud infrastructure in 2019, more than any other company. The app survived without being listed in the Apple and Google app stores. However, by sending from the Amazon cloud, Parler is not represented on the Internet for days.

Parler’s engineering team had developed software that relied on computer resources from Amazon Web Services, and the company had spoken to Amazon about introducing a proprietary AWS database and artificial intelligence services, the company said in a court case on Wednesday With.

It would take some time to figure out how to perform similar functions on Parler’s own servers or a cloud other than AWS. And in the case of Parler, time is of the essence as the service gained attention and new users after the Trump ban on Twitter.

Parler’s engineers could learn to use other computing infrastructures, or the company could hire developers who already have this knowledge. However, since no cloud provider is as popular as Amazon, Oracle’s clouds, for example, are not as easy to find as those who know how to build on AWS.

The warnings were there

The speed with which Amazon acted shouldn’t come as a shock. Companies have been posting details of their dealings with Amazon for years warning of such sudden crashes.

In 2010, DNA sequencing company Complete Genomics said that “if Amazon Web Services disrupted the services we rely on to deliver ready-made genomic data to our customers, our customers would not receive their data on time.”

Gaming company Zynga warned its AWS foundation could quickly disappear when it filed for prospectus for its IPO in 2011. At the time, AWS was hosting half of the traffic for Zynga’s games like FarmVille and Words with Friends.

“AWS may terminate the agreement without giving reasons with 180 days ‘notice in writing and terminate the agreement with 30 days’ notice in writing for good cause, including all material failures or violations of the agreement by us that we do not within the 30th – Time of day, “said Zynga.

AWS may even immediately terminate or suspend its agreement with a customer in certain circumstances, as was the case with Wikileaks in 2010, indicating violations of the AWS Terms of Service.

Parler began using AWS in 2018, long after the Wikileaks incident and the first company disclosures about the possibility of cloud disruptions.

When AWS announced to Parler that it was planning to block Parler’s AWS account, Parler repeatedly violated the rules, including by not owning or controlling the rights to its content.

Over the course of several weeks, AWS Parler drew attention to cases of user content that led to violence, Amazon said in a lawsuit. Additional content emerged after protesters stormed the Washington Capitol on January 6, disrupting Congress’ confirmation of the electoral college’s results in the 2020 presidential election. AWS said that Parler had not done enough to quickly remove this type of information from its social network.

Parler could have protected himself better. Large AWS customers can sign up for broader agreements that give more customers time to comply when they break the rules.

Gartner analyst Lydia Leong explained this difference in a blog post: “Thirty days is a common time frame specified as a curing period in contracts (and the curing period in the AWS Standard Corporate Agreement), but it is click-through agreements from cloud providers (e.g., because the AWS customer agreement) does not typically have a curing period, action can be taken immediately at the provider’s discretion, “she wrote.

Other cloud providers have their own set of conditions that their customers must follow. AWS now has millions of customers and holds more of the cloud infrastructure market than any other provider. As a result, if they don’t behave according to Amazon’s standards, many companies could be exposed to the type of treatment Parler has received, rare as it is.

Parler recognized the drawbacks of being committed to a cloud provider, but ultimately the flexibility offered by the clouds was too attractive to ignore. “Personally, I’m very much against the cloud and anti-centralization, even though AWS has its place for high-frequency traffic,” wrote Alexander Blair, Parler’s chief technology officer, in a post about the service.

Parler and Amazon did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

CLOCK: Apple pulls Parler out of the App Store while cracking down on violent posts

Categories
Health

Recipients cannot let guard down, says Dr Scott Gottlieb

Dr. Scott Gottlieb on Thursday warned coronavirus vaccine recipients not to abandon their guards immediately and urged CNBC to adhere to public health measures such as wearing masks.

The former commissioner for the U.S. Food and Drug Administration said the advice is especially important to older Americans who are at higher risk of death or serious illness from Covid-19.

“I think for an elderly person who is susceptible to this virus, wait some time after the second shot until you probably have full protective immunity,” Gottlieb told Squawk Box. “I don’t think people should feel completely safe after the first shot.”

Both Covid vaccines, which have received emergency clearance from the FDA, require two doses. Pfizer and its German partner BioNTech developed one of the vaccines while Moderna makes the other. Gottlieb is on the Pfizer board of directors.

Around 10.3 million Americans received their first Covid shot on Wednesday morning, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. About 29.4 million cans were distributed.

The shaky vaccine comes as the nation continues to see high levels of coronavirus infections and more deaths from Covid-19. According to a CNBC analysis of the data compiled by Johns Hopkins University, the 7-day average of new daily cases in the country is 245,306. An average of 3,360 Americans have died of Covid each day in the past week. This is the second highest number ever recorded.

Vaccine recipients still need to take public health precautions as the US outbreak remains so significant and “infections are everywhere,” Gottlieb said. “If you are a vulnerable person, it is still very advisable to continue wearing a mask and taking precautions even after you had the second shot and believe you have complete protective immunity to the vaccine.”

“That doesn’t mean you have to hibernate and avoid seeing family,” added Gottlieb, who headed the FDA in the Trump administration from 2017 to 2019. “Maybe you can lean forward in this regard but wear a mask. Be more careful with these interactions, because in a high-circulation environment you are still at risk.”

With more and more Americans being vaccinated, Gottlieb should lower overall infection rates in the United States and significantly reduce the intensity of the epidemic. At this point, he said it made more sense to “loosen” some precautions.

“Hopefully this will be summer, spring, when these new variants fail to gain a foothold here in the US and change our trajectory,” he said, referring to the coronavirus strains originally found in the UK and South Africa believed to be more transmissible.

Researchers in Ohio said Wednesday they had discovered two new variants that likely originated in the United States

Last week, Gottlieb warned Americans that a return to pre-pandemic life was unlikely in 2021. For example, he told CNBC that public places may still require that the temperature be taken before entry.

“I just think that if you drive through an airport now after 9/11, things will be different, just as they are,” he said last week. “I don’t think masks will be mandatory next fall and winter when we can increase the vaccination rate and when these new varieties go away or don’t prevail. But I think a lot of people will want to wear masks, and that’s fine. “

Disclosure: Scott Gottlieb is a CNBC employee and a member of the boards of directors of Pfizer, the genetic testing startup Tempus, and the biotech company Illumina. He is also co-chair of the Healthy Sail Panel of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings and Royal Caribbean.